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Arrow Electronics

Company Profile Analysis

Ticker: ARW

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Arrow Electronics - Semiconductor showcase

Year Founded & Workforce

1935

22,230 Employees

Industry

Semiconductor
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Arrow Electronics Overview

Arrow is one of the world's two largest Western broadline technology distributors. It reported 2025 sales of USD 30.9 billion and trailing-twelve-month sales of about USD 35.9 billion through Q2 2026. The business has two halves. Global Components (about 70% of 2025 sales) distributes semiconductors and IP&E (interconnect, passive and electromechanical) parts from hundreds of suppliers to OEMs and EMS providers. It adds design-in engineering, integration and supply chain services. Global Enterprise Computing Solutions (ECS, about 30%) aggregates datacenter, cloud, security and software offerings for value-added resellers and managed service providers, increasingly through its ArrowSphere cloud marketplace. Arrow's edge is scale and breadth: more than 140 sales facilities, 39 distribution and value-added centers, customers in over 85 countries, and no customer above 2% of sales. Its weaknesses are structural to distribution: thin margins (2.7% GAAP operating margin in 2025), heavy working-capital needs and exposure to the semiconductor cycle. A sharp 2026 upcycle driven by AI infrastructure and memory constraints is now lifting results. At the same time, the company is completing a CEO search.

The company's own description. In its FY2025 Form 10-K, Arrow describes itself as a company that sources and engineers technology for thousands of manufacturers, service providers and users of enterprise computing solutions. It claims one of the broadest product portfolios available from leading component and enterprise computing suppliers. Its stated business strategy is to be "the premier, technology-centric, go-to-market and supply chain services company." The portfolio is built to enable technology across industrial automation, edge and cloud computing, smart and connected devices, and transportation. Arrow says it aggregates disparate sources of electronic components, infrastructure software and IT hardware to engineer complete solutions for customers on behalf of its suppliers.

Business model. Arrow earns a spread between supplier acquisition cost and customer selling price. The spread is supplemented by fees for services. Most purchases are made under non-exclusive distributor agreements that suppliers or Arrow can cancel at short notice, typically 30 to 90 days. Sales are overwhelmingly order-by-order rather than long-term contracts, so forward visibility is generally only a few months. Supplier agreements give Arrow meaningful protection against inventory loss. At 31 December 2025, price-protection provisions covered about 56% of consolidated inventory, and supplier repurchase obligations on termination covered about 59%.

Revenue model mix. Arrow does not split revenue into product, service, subscription and licensing lines. It discloses product mix within each segment instead (FY2025 Form 10-K):

Semiconductor products and related services: Share of segment sales (%): 72

  • IP&E (capacitors, resistors, potentiometers, power supplies, relays, switches, connectors) — Share of segment sales (%): 16

Computing and memory: Share of segment sales (%): 7

Other products and services: Share of segment sales (%): 5

Software applications: Share of segment sales (%): 27

Storage: Share of segment sales (%): 25

Security: Share of segment sales (%): 15

Compute: Share of segment sales (%): 14

Data intelligence: Share of segment sales (%): 5

Networking: Share of segment sales (%): 5

Other products and services: Share of segment sales (%): 9

Several revenue streams are fee-based or recognized net: supply chain services (procurement, logistics, warehousing, financial management, data analytics), engineering and design services (including integrated-circuit design and software development through eInfochips), integration services, ArrowSphere-enabled cloud and software subscriptions, and contractual go-to-market outsourcing fees in ECS. Software, cloud and some services are recognized on a net basis. As a result, ECS gross billings (USD 22.05 billion in 2025) were more than twice ECS reported sales (USD 9.35 billion).

Semiconductor share of consolidated sales (FY2025 Form 10-K)

Semiconductor products share of consolidated sales (%): FY2023: 60; FY2024: 53; FY2025: 50

Value chain position. Arrow sits downstream of semiconductor and IP&E manufacturers and IT vendors, and upstream of OEMs, EMS providers, VARs and MSPs. It handles demand creation for suppliers through field application engineers and design registrations. It also provides fulfillment for customers whose order sizes or delivery schedules suppliers do not serve directly. The largest single supplier was about 8% of 2025 consolidated sales.

Customers and end markets. The customer base includes OEMs, VARs, MSPs, EMS providers and other commercial customers in industrial, automotive and transportation, computing, networking and communications, aerospace and defense, and medical markets. Arrow also sells to U.S. government agencies, which subjects it to federal contractor rules. About 66% of 2025 sales came from operations outside the United States (65% in 2024, 66% in 2023).

Independent characterization. Arrow is best understood as a working-capital-intensive logistics and engineering platform with a high-margin services overlay. It makes money on scale, credit, inventory management and design-in influence rather than on owned intellectual property. Two shifts over 2024–2026 are changing the shape of the business. The first is growth in supply chain services recorded on a gross basis in the Americas, which inflated receivables and payables. The second is ECS's move toward software, cloud and exclusive multi-year supplier outsourcing contracts. These raise recurring revenue but have also produced loss charges where volumes undershot commitments.

Strategy

Stated strategy themes (FY2025 Form 10-K). Arrow aims to be "the premier, technology-centric, go-to-market and supply chain services company." The 10-K sets out these strategic initiatives:

Global Components: Initiative: Shift toward a higher mix of higher-margin value-added services: engineering, integration and supply chain services (procurement, logistics, warehousing, data-analytics insight)

Global Components: Initiative: Further penetrate the margin-accretive IP&E market

Global ECS: Initiative: Enable customers' cloud businesses through ArrowSphere, including an AI-enabled digital go-to-market platform for channel partners

Global ECS: Initiative: Provide value-added distribution services on behalf of suppliers: sales and marketing, demand generation, support and managed services, digital platforms

Enterprise: Initiative: Execute the Operating Expense Efficiency Plan and keep a scalable cost structure

Enterprise: Initiative: Run a disciplined capital allocation framework: working-capital deployment, debt reduction and share repurchases

Initiatives announced in the last 24 months

Operating Expense Efficiency Plan: Timing: Started 2024; multi-year; Detail: Workforce reduction and relocation to lower-cost regions; USD 116.1 million of restructuring, integration and other charges in 2025; Q4 2025 operating expenses fell to 67% of gross profit

Automotive engineering build-out: Timing: 2024; Detail: eInfochips acquired Avelabs and iQmine; new Munich and Istanbul automotive development centres

Next-generation vehicle E/E architecture hub: Timing: 2026; Detail: Engineering expertise and supply-chain stability offered to OEMs and tier-1 suppliers moving to software-defined vehicles

IP&E aerospace and defense expansion: Timing: Sep 2025; Detail: AirBorn (a Molex company) high-reliability interconnect added in North America and EMEA

ECS strategic outsourcing agreements: Timing: Ongoing to 2032; Detail: Exclusive multi-year supplier agreements with non-cancellable purchase obligations; management is optimizing, enhancing and scaling these offerings after loss charges

Supply chain services scale-up: Timing: 2025–2026; Detail: Gross-basis supply chain programs for complex customers, including hyperscale data-center deployments

Capital structure: Timing: Jun 2025; Detail: USD 2 billion revolver extended to June 2030

Capital return: Timing: Aug 2026; Detail: New USD 1 billion share repurchase authorization

Leadership: Timing: Aug 2026; Detail: New President and COO role to lead both segments and logistics and to strengthen succession

Sustainability: Timing: 2024–2025; Detail: Near-term science-based targets submitted to and validated by the Science Based Targets initiative (SBTi); supplier environmental engagement program launched

Medium-term targets and guidance. Arrow has not published formal multi-year financial targets. Management gives quarterly guidance. For Q3 2026 it guided to sales of USD 9.60–10.20 billion (Global Components USD 7.50–7.90 billion; ECS USD 2.10–2.30 billion). Non-GAAP diluted EPS guidance was USD 4.83–5.03, with interest expense of about USD 50 million. Management expects Global Components to track at or above seasonal trends for the rest of 2026. It expects supply chain services profit to return to more normal levels after an unusually strong Q2. ECS should show its typically strong fourth-quarter margin, though smaller additional contract charges are expected.

Products & Services

Arrow is a distributor, so its "products" are mostly third-party lines plus its own services and platforms. It publishes no price lists; pricing is quote-based for components and contractual or subscription-based for ECS and services.

Global Components

OfferingDescription and capabilitiesTarget customersPricing model
Semiconductor distributionBroadline franchised distribution of microcontrollers, processors, FPGAs, analog, power, discretes, sensors, connectivity and memory from major semiconductor suppliers; about 72% of segment sales in 2025OEMs, EMS providers, design engineersQuote-based spread; volume and scheduled pricing
IP&E distributionCapacitors, resistors, potentiometers, power supplies, relays, switches and connectors, including a growing aerospace and defense interconnect line (AirBorn high-reliability connectors and cable assemblies added in North America and EMEA, Sep 2025); a strategic priority because it is margin-accretiveIndustrial, aerospace and defense, transportation and medical OEMsQuote-based
Computing and memoryBoard-level computing and memory products within the components channel; about 7% of segment salesOEMs, EMS providersQuote-based
Supply chain servicesProcurement, logistics, warehousing, financial management and data-analytics insight for complex direct supply chains; some engagements recorded on a gross basis; growth drove Americas integrated-services demand in 2025 and large operating cash inflows in Q1 2026Large OEMs and hyperscale and data-center customers with complex electronics supply chainsFee-based and gross-margin models
Engineering and design services (incl. eInfochips)Software development, product design, integrated-circuit design, digital engineering and an automotive Centre of Excellence (expanded with Munich and Istanbul development centres in 2024, plus the Avelabs and iQmine acquisitions)OEMs, tier-1 automotive suppliers, product companiesEngineering service fees
Demand creation / field application engineeringField application engineers win design registrations that lead to future production sales of suppliers' partsDesign engineers at OEMs; suppliersEmbedded in distribution margin
Integration servicesPrototyping to volume-production readiness, worldwide logistics and fulfillment, scalable manufacturing and customer support across the product lifecycleOEMs needing integrated subsystemsService and integration fees
Next-generation vehicle E/E architecture initiativeResearch hub and engineering resources for the shift to software-defined vehicles (launched 2026)Automotive OEMs and tier-1 suppliersEngineering and distribution
Digital channels (arrow.com)E-commerce, account management and online ordering for componentsEngineers, small and mass-market customersList and quote pricing

Global ECS

OfferingDescription and capabilitiesTarget customersPricing model
ArrowSphereCloud and software marketplace and management platform that helps VARs and MSPs manage, differentiate and scale as-a-service businesses across hybrid multicloud estates; includes business intelligence and an AI-enabled digital go-to-market platformVARs, MSPs, cloud solution providersSubscription and consumption pass-through with margin
Infrastructure software and business applicationsSoftware applications were about 27% of 2025 ECS sales; business applications grew about 26% year over year in Q2 2026VARs and MSPs serving enterprise and mid-marketMostly net-basis margin
StorageAbout 25% of 2025 ECS sales; demand rose in 2026 as memory supply constraints pulled orders forwardDatacenter-focused VARs and integratorsHardware margin
SecurityAbout 15% of 2025 ECS sales; up about 21% year over year in Q2 2026Security VARs, MSPs, MSSPsHardware, software and subscription
ComputeAbout 14% of 2025 ECS sales; up about 51% year over year in Q2 2026 on hyperscaler and AI-related deploymentsDatacenter integrators, VARsHardware margin
Data intelligence and analyticsAbout 5% of ECS salesVARs and solution providersSoftware and services
NetworkingAbout 5% of ECS salesVARs, MSPsHardware and software
Strategic outsourcing agreementsMulti-year, non-cancellable purchase-obligation agreements running through 2032 that make Arrow the exclusive partner for certain suppliers' products in specified regions, with a contractual fee model for outsourced selling and marketingSoftware and IT suppliersContractual fees and margin; USD 18.3 million of net losses recognized in 2025
Value-added servicesEngineering and integration support, warehousing and logistics, marketing resources, authorized hardware and software training, support and managed servicesVARs, MSPs, suppliersService fees

Launch years for individual product lines are not publicly disclosed, except as noted above.

Financial Narrative

All figures are USD millions unless stated otherwise. They are GAAP figures from Arrow's Forms 10-K for FY2021–FY2025. Prior-year comparatives follow the latest filing presenting them. EBITDA is GAAP operating income plus depreciation and amortization.

Income statement

The 2023 non-GAAP diluted EPS is shown as 0 because that figure was not available on a comparable basis.

Margins

Revenue fell at a compound annual rate of -2.7% between FY2021 and FY2025, from USD 34.5 billion to USD 30.9 billion. Using the FY2020 base of USD 28.7 billion, the five-year CAGR to FY2025 is +1.5%.

Commentary. The five-year record traces a full semiconductor cycle. In 2021–2022, shortage-era pricing and allocation lifted gross margin to 13.0% and operating margin to 5.6%. Net income peaked at USD 1.43 billion in 2022. As customers worked down excess inventory, components sales fell 11.7% in 2023 and a further 21.4% in 2024. With a largely fixed cost base, operating margin roughly halved to 2.7–2.8% in 2024–2025. Higher interest rates compounded the earnings decline: interest expense rose from USD 128 million in 2021 to USD 341 million in 2023.

Several factors pushed gross margin down 60 basis points in 2025. These were regional and product mix (faster growth in lower-margin Asia/Pacific and in gross-recognized supply chain services), ECS contract losses and a heavier share of ECS sales recognized on a gross basis. The rise in 2025 net income (+45.7%) owed much to a net gain on investments of about USD 110 million. Non-GAAP net income grew only 1.4%, to USD 576 million.

The inflection is visible in 2026. Q1 and Q2 2026 sales rose 39% and 32% respectively, and Q2 operating margin reached 4.0%. Trailing-twelve-month net income through Q2 2026 reached USD 812 million on USD 35.9 billion of sales.

Balance sheet

Commentary. Total assets jumped 34% in 2025, to USD 29.1 billion, while sales rose only 10.5%. The cause was a surge in receivables (+USD 6.7 billion) matched by payables (+USD 6.3 billion), consistent with growth in supply chain services where Arrow intermediates large flows on a gross basis. By Q2 2026, total assets had reached USD 38.4 billion, with receivables of USD 28.0 billion and payables of USD 27.1 billion. These pass-through balances inflate the balance sheet and depress asset-based ratios without changing underlying leverage much.

Gross debt fell to about USD 2.2 billion by Q2 2026, and management cited adjusted leverage of 1.75 times. Goodwill has been stable at about USD 2.1 billion since the 2019 impairment cycle. The decline in intangibles reflects amortization with few acquisitions.

Cash flow

Commentary. Arrow's cash flow runs countercyclically. Working-capital builds absorb cash in upswings (2021–2022, 2025), and inventory and receivables release cash in downturns (2023–2024). The 2025 operating cash flow of only USD 64 million reflected about USD 522 million of working-capital investment as sales re-accelerated. The pattern reversed sharply in 2026. Operating cash flow was USD 700 million in Q1 and USD 318 million in Q2, helped by the timing of supply chain services flows. Trailing-twelve-month operating cash flow through Q2 2026 was about USD 936 million.

Share repurchases totaled about USD 3.2 billion over the five years. They cut the diluted share count from 73 million to 52 million, a reduction of roughly 29%, which supported EPS through the downturn.

Ratios

Commentary. Returns compressed hard from the 2022 peak. ROIC fell from 16.9% to 6.8%, below a typical BBB-rated cost of capital in 2024–2025. The rebound in 2026 earnings implies a material recovery: trailing net income of USD 812 million on Q2 2026 equity of about USD 7.0 billion gives an ROE near 12%.

Receivable and payable day counts have been distorted by gross-basis supply chain services and by ECS revenue recognized net. Days sales outstanding (234) and days payables outstanding (232) both more than doubled since 2021, while the net cash conversion cycle stayed in a 53–76-day band. Leverage peaked at 3.2 times net debt to EBITDA in 2024 and was falling quickly through 2026.

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Financial Detail

Revenue by Segment

SegmentFY2023FY2024FY2025

Global Components sales (USD Mn)

25,42019,98321,501

Global ECS sales (USD Mn)

7,6877,9409,352

Consolidated sales (USD Mn)

33,10727,92330,853

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Results by Segment

SegmentFY2023FY2024FY2025

Global Components operating income (USD Mn)

1,459741775

Global ECS operating income (USD Mn)

367410426

Corporate and unallocated (USD Mn)

-355-383-379

Consolidated operating income (USD Mn)

1,471769822

Segment Margins & Growth (%) and Revenue by Segment (%)

MetricFY2023FY2024FY2025

Global Components operating margin (%)

5.743.713.60

Global ECS operating margin (%)

4.775.164.56

Global Components sales growth YoY (%)

-11.7-21.47.6

Global ECS sales growth YoY (%)

-7.83.317.8

Global Components share of total sales (%)

76.871.669.7

Global ECS share of total sales (%)

23.228.430.3

Results by Segment (FY2024–FY2025)

SegmentFY2024FY2025

Global Components non-GAAP operating income (USD Mn)

827781

Global ECS non-GAAP operating income (USD Mn)

414430

Revenue by Segment (Quarterly)

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q1 2026Q2 2026

Global Components sales (USD Mn)

4,7785,2856,6407,366

Global ECS sales (USD Mn)

2,0362,2952,8332,627

Consolidated sales (USD Mn)

6,8147,5809,4749,992

Income Statement and Margin Analysis (%)

MetricFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025

Revenue (USD Mn)

34,47737,12433,10727,92330,853

Revenue growth YoY (%)

20.27.7-10.8-15.710.5

Gross profit (USD Mn)

4,2024,8374,1493,2923,467

Operating income (USD Mn)

1,5572,0681,471769822

Depreciation and amortization (USD Mn)

195187181163138

EBITDA (USD Mn)

1,7522,2561,652932960

Interest expense (USD Mn)

128209341254210

Pre-tax income (USD Mn)

1,4361,8841,164489718

Income tax expense (USD Mn)

32644925596148

Effective tax rate (%)

22.723.821.919.620.6

Net income attributable to shareholders (USD Mn)

1,1081,427904392571

EPS basic (USD)

15.2922.0116.037.3611.03

EPS diluted (USD)

15.1021.8015.847.2910.93

Non-GAAP EPS diluted (USD)

15.5022.38010.5611.02

Dividends per share (USD)

00000

Diluted shares (M)

7365575452

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Margin Analysis (%)

MetricFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025

Gross margin (%)

12.1913.0312.5311.7911.24

Operating margin (%)

4.525.574.442.752.66

EBITDA margin (%)

5.086.084.993.343.11

Net margin (%)

3.213.842.731.401.85

Balance Sheet and Per-Share Data

MetricFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025

Total assets (USD Mn)

19,53621,76321,72621,75829,078

Cash and equivalents (USD Mn)

222177218189306

Accounts receivable, net (USD Mn)

11,12412,32312,23813,03119,739

Inventories (USD Mn)

4,2025,3195,1874,7105,082

Accounts payable (USD Mn)

9,61710,46010,07011,04717,384

Short-term debt incl. current portion (USD Mn)

3835901,6543500.3

Long-term debt (USD Mn)

2,2443,1832,1542,7743,085

Total debt, excl. leases (USD Mn)

2,6273,7733,8083,1243,085

Net debt (USD Mn)

2,4053,5963,5902,9352,779

Shareholders' equity attributable to Arrow (USD Mn)

5,2825,5465,8055,7616,585

Goodwill (USD Mn)

2,0802,0282,0502,0552,120

Identifiable intangibles (USD Mn)

1951591279777

Working capital (USD Mn)

4,5675,9515,1405,7656,815

Book value per share (USD)

77.6193.61107.89110.43128.94

Cash Flow

MetricFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025

Operating cash flow (USD Mn)

419-337051,13064

Capital expenditure (USD Mn)

83798393101

Free cash flow (USD Mn)

336-1126221,038-37

Dividends paid (USD Mn)

00000

Share repurchases (USD Mn)

9121,049770265162

Net debt issued or repaid (USD Mn)

3771,14230-696-48

Returns & Leverage Ratios (%) and Financial Ratios (x)

MetricFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025

ROE on year-end equity (%)

21.025.715.66.88.7

ROA (%)

5.76.64.21.82.0

ROIC, NOPAT over equity plus debt (%)

15.216.912.07.06.8

Current ratio (x)

1.401.481.391.461.36

Debt to equity (x)

0.500.680.660.540.47

Net debt to EBITDA (x)

1.371.592.173.152.89

Interest coverage, operating income over interest (x)

12.29.94.33.03.9

Asset turnover (x)

1.761.711.521.281.06

Days sales outstanding

118121135170234

Days inventory outstanding

5160657068

Days payables outstanding

116118127164232

Cash conversion cycle (days)

5363737670

Revenue by Region

Segment × region (USD Mn)FY2023FY2024FY2025

Americas Components

7,9556,4126,944

EMEA Components

8,0755,6485,671

Asia/Pacific Components

9,3907,9238,886

Americas ECS

4,1604,0674,231

EMEA ECS

3,5273,8735,121

Revenue by Region by Region

Region (USD Mn)FY2023FY2024FY2025

Americas

12,11510,47911,175

EMEA

11,6029,52110,792

Asia/Pacific

9,3907,9238,886

Regional growth YoY (%)

Regional growth YoY (%)FY2024FY2025

Americas

-13.56.6

EMEA

-17.913.4

Asia/Pacific

-15.612.2

Revenue by Region (FY2024–FY2025)

Region (USD Mn)FY2024FY2025

Americas ECS gross billings

10,32310,607

EMEA ECS gross billings

9,20511,443

Global ECS gross billings

19,52822,050

Capital Markets

MetricFY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025

Arrow cumulative TSR index (end-2020 = 100)

100138107126116113

Peer group TSR index

100147132170200249

S&P MidCap 400 TSR index

100125108126144155

Share Price & Returns

PeriodArrow share performance

Five years to end-2025 (TSR)

+13%

Three years to end-2025 (TSR)

+5.6% (index 107 to 113)

2026 year to date

From USD 110.32 at the start of 2026 to roughly USD 208–221 in late October 2026, close to +90%

One year to late October 2026

Roughly +90%, from about USD 108–111 in November 2025

52-week range

USD 101.79 – 237.33

Valuation Multiples

MultipleArrow

P/E, trailing (GAAP EPS USD 15.65)

About 13–14x

P/E, forward

About 10x

EV/EBITDA, trailing

About 8.5x

EV/Sales, trailing

About 0.35x

P/B (Q2 2026 equity of about USD 7.0 billion)

About 1.5x

Dividends & Capital Returns

MetricFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025

Share repurchases (USD Mn)

9121,049770265162

Dividends per share (USD)

00000

Credit Ratings

AgencySenior unsecured ratingOutlook

Moody's

Baa3

Stable

S&P Global Ratings

BBB-

Stable

Fitch Ratings

BBB-

Stable

Capital Instruments

InstrumentPrincipal (USD Mn)Maturity

7.50% senior debentures (not redeemable before maturity)

1102027

3.875% notes

5002028

5.150% notes

5002029

2.95% notes

5002032

5.875% notes

5002034

North American asset securitization program (USD 1.5 billion capacity)

Variable

Revolving

Revolving credit facility (USD 2 billion)

Variable

June 2030

Analyst Conclusions

Management guidance (Q3 2026, given 6 Aug 2026)

Consolidated sales: Guidance: USD 9.60–10.20 billion (about +28% year over year at the midpoint)

Global Components sales: Guidance: USD 7.50–7.90 billion (about +5% sequentially at the midpoint)

Global ECS sales: Guidance: USD 2.10–2.30 billion

Non-GAAP diluted EPS: Guidance: USD 4.83–5.03

Interest expense: Guidance: About USD 50 million

FX effect on sales: Guidance: About USD 27 million negative year over year

Consensus expectations. Consensus Q3 2026 EPS is about USD 5.06. Implied FY2026 EPS is about USD 21.24, nearly double FY2025 non-GAAP EPS of USD 11.02, with mid-to-high single-digit growth expected in FY2027.

Bull case

Operating leverage in a multi-year upcycle: Supporting data: Q2 2026 non-GAAP EPS up 124% on sales up 32%; WSTS projects a further 27% market growth in 2027

Balance sheet and cash turning sharply positive: Supporting data: USD 1.02 billion of operating cash flow in H1 2026; gross debt down to about USD 2.2 billion; leverage 1.75 times; new USD 1 billion buyback

Mix shift toward services and recurring ECS revenue: Supporting data: Record ECS backlog (+75% at end-2025); security, compute and business applications all growing above 20%; IP&E and services prioritized

Bear case

Cycle peak and pull-forward risk: Supporting data: Memory-constrained ordering pulled demand forward in early 2026; the prior downturn cut components sales 31% from peak and operating margin by half

Structural ECS contract drag: Supporting data: Non-cancellable obligations through 2032; USD 18.3 million of 2025 losses and further charges in 2026; management says long-term performance cannot be reasonably estimated

Governance and execution risk: Supporting data: Interim CEO for more than a year; geopolitical exposure demonstrated by the 2025 Entity List episode; five-year TSR well below peers

Key catalysts (next 12 months)

Q3 2026 results and Q4 guidance: Expected timing: 5 Nov 2026; Watch for: Normalization of supply chain services profit; ECS contract charges; Q4 seasonality

Permanent CEO appointment: Expected timing: Not dated; Watch for: Internal versus external pick, and any strategy reset

Q4 and FY2026 results: Expected timing: Early Feb 2027; Watch for: Full-year EPS against the about USD 21 consensus; 2027 commentary

Pace of buybacks under the USD 1 billion program: Expected timing: Quarterly; Watch for: Share count reduction

U.S. tariff and export-control decisions: Expected timing: Ongoing; Watch for: IEEPA ruling effects; China trade controls

Book-to-bill and backlog trends in Global Components: Expected timing: Quarterly; Watch for: Signs of peaking or order cancellations

Working-capital and cash conversion: Expected timing: Quarterly; Watch for: Unwind risk in gross-basis supply chain services balances

2027 annual meeting and governance: Expected timing: May 2027; Watch for: Board refresh, pay design for the new CEO

Analyst verdict. Arrow enters late 2026 at the strongest operating point since its 2022 peak. Quarterly revenue is near USD 10 billion, operating margin has recovered to about 4%, and trailing net income has roughly doubled from its 2024 trough. The recovery is real and broad. All three components regions grew more than 35% year over year in Q2 2026. ECS is benefiting from AI-driven compute and storage demand and from continued software and security growth. The balance sheet is moving the right way: gross debt has fallen by roughly USD 900 million since year-end, leverage is below 2 times, and a fresh USD 1 billion buyback gives management a lever it used heavily in past cycles.

The quality of earnings deserves scrutiny. Part of 2026's strength reflects order pull-forwards and unusually profitable supply chain services, which management itself expects to normalize. The ECS outsourcing contracts are a genuine uncertainty because their losses cannot yet be bounded. The interim leadership structure also leaves the strategic agenda partly on hold.

At about 13–14 times trailing and about 10 times forward earnings, and roughly 1.5 times book, the market is pricing Arrow as a cyclical near a peak rather than a re-rated services platform. That view is defensible given the company's history. Arrow's five-year shareholder return trails its peer group by a wide margin despite heavy buybacks. Distribution margins have never sustained much above 5%.

On balance, Arrow looks fairly valued with a modest positive skew. Upside depends on three things: the cycle extending into 2027, as WSTS forecasts suggest; ECS charges fading; and a permanent CEO credibly committing to services-led margin expansion. Downside protection comes from countercyclical cash flow, investment-grade credit and a low valuation multiple. The appointment of the permanent CEO and the 2027 guidance are the two signals that matter most.

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Executive Leadership

Executive Leadership Team

NameTitleAgeIn role sincePrior rolesSalary 2025Stock awards 2025Non-equity incentive 2025Total 2025

William F. Austen

Interim President and CEO; director

67

Sep 2025 (director since May 2020)

President, CEO and director of Bemis Company 2014–2019; Bemis EVP Operations and COO 2013–2014; director of Tennant Co. (2007–2022) and Arconic (2020–2023)

350,7703,795,11304,347,295

Deidra C. (Dee) Merriwether

President and Chief Operating Officer

57

Sep 2026

SVP and CFO of W.W. Grainger from 2021; earlier SVP and President, North American Sales and Services at Grainger; director of Weyerhaeuser

0000

Rajesh K. Agrawal

SVP, Chief Financial Officer

60

Sep 2022

EVP and CFO of The Western Union Company

700,0002,300,056653,1003,996,353

Carine L. Jean-Claude

SVP, Chief Legal and Compliance Officer, Secretary

58

Jun 2021

Interim Chief Legal Officer from Dec 2020; previously Chief Compliance Officer

0000

Richard J. Marano

President, Global Components

61

Aug 2023

President, Americas Components from Jan 2020

750,0003,500,043699,7504,972,325

Eric C. Nowak

President, Global ECS

62

Apr 2024

President, EMEA ECS for more than five years

822,2693,400,095767,1775,150,461

Gretchen K. Zech

SVP, Chief Governance, Sustainability and HR Officer

56

Feb 2022

SVP and Chief Human Resources Officer

0000

Board of Directors

DirectorRoleBackground

Steven H. Gunby (68, director since 2017)

Independent Board Chair

President, CEO and director of FTI Consulting since 2014; former Senior Partner at Boston Consulting Group

William F. Austen (67, director since 2020)

Interim President and CEO

Former Bemis Company CEO

Lawrence (Liren) Chen

Independent director

President, CEO and director of InterDigital since 2021; formerly at Qualcomm

Michael D. Hayford

Independent director

Former CEO of NCR

Andrew C. Kerin

Independent director

Senior operating executive background

Carol P. Lowe

Independent director

Senior finance executive background

Mary T. McDowell

Independent director

Former technology-company CEO

Gerry P. Smith

Independent director

Retail and technology CEO background

Board & Management Changes

DateChange

Apr 2024

Eric Nowak named President, Global ECS

16 Sep 2025

Sean Kerins separated from the company as director, President and CEO; the company said the separation was unrelated to its financial statements; Bill Austen appointed interim

2025–2026

Board, assisted by an executive search firm, conducting a search for a permanent CEO

6 Aug 2026

Deidra Merriwether appointed to the new post of President and COO, effective 8 Sep 2026, reporting to the interim CEO and responsible for both global business segments and logistics

Major Shareholders

HolderShares% of outstanding

The Vanguard Group

6,211,17712.16

BlackRock, Inc.

4,732,9119.26

ACR Alpine Capital Research, LLC

3,451,6066.70

Dimensional Fund Advisors LP

2,839,1495.56

Competitive Landscape

Key Competitors

CompetitorSegment overlapPositioning relative to Arrow

Avnet, Inc. (Nasdaq: AVT)

Components

Closest U.S. broadline peer; fiscal 2026 (ended June 2026) sales of USD 27.63 billion (+24.5%); owns the Farnell high-service catalog business; about half its revenue now comes from Asia

WPG Holdings (Taiwan)

Components

Asia's largest semiconductor distributor; strong in Greater China computing and mobile supply chains

WT Microelectronics (Taiwan)

Components

Large Asian distributor that added Future Electronics' global footprint

TTI, Inc. (Berkshire Hathaway)

Components (IP&E)

Specialist IP&E distributor competing in Arrow's priority IP&E segment

Mouser Electronics (TTI / Berkshire)

Components (high-service, catalog)

Online catalog for design engineers

Digi-Key Electronics

Components (high-service, catalog)

Privately owned online catalog leader

Rutronik

Components (EMEA)

Strong German and European regional broadliner

TD SYNNEX (NYSE: SNX)

ECS

Largest IT distributor; Q4 FY2025 (ended Nov 2025) revenue of USD 17.4 billion; Hyve hyperscale ODM business

Ingram Micro

ECS

Global IT distributor with its own cloud marketplace

Exclusive Networks

ECS (security)

Cybersecurity specialist distributor in EMEA

ALSO Holding

ECS (EMEA)

European IT distributor and cloud marketplace

Suppliers selling direct; logistics and e-commerce firms

Both

Arrow's 10-K names suppliers themselves, plus logistics, catalog and e-commerce providers, as competitors

Peer Comparison FY2025

MetricArrow (FY Dec-2025)Avnet (FY Jun-2026)TD SYNNEX (Q4 FY2025, quarter to Nov-2025)

Revenue (USD Bn)

30.8527.6317.38

Revenue growth YoY (%)

10.524.59.7

Gross margin (%)

11.210.46.9

GAAP operating margin (%)

2.72.62.3

Company Snapshot

$30,853M

Revenue

22,230

Employees

1935

Founded

CO, US

Headquarters

SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Scale and breadth: USD 30.9 billion of 2025 sales; more than 140 sales facilities and 39 distribution and value-added centers serving over 85 countries
  • Diversification: No customer above 2% and no supplier above 8% of 2025 sales
  • Inventory risk protection: Price protection on about 56% and repurchase rights on about 59% of inventory at end-2025
  • Highest gross margin among broadline peers: 11.2% in 2025, versus Avnet's 10.4% in fiscal 2026
  • Growing ECS franchise: ECS sales up 17.8% in 2025, gross billings of USD 22.05 billion, record backlog up more than 75% at year-end
  • Countercyclical cash generation and buyback capacity: USD 1.13 billion of operating cash flow in 2024's downturn; USD 3.2 billion repurchased between 2021 and 2025; new USD 1 billion authorization in Aug 2026

Weaknesses

  • Thin margins: GAAP operating margin of 2.7% in 2025, down from 5.6% in 2022
  • Low returns at the trough: ROIC of about 6.8% in 2025, versus 16.9% in 2022
  • Working-capital intensity: Operating cash flow of only USD 64 million in 2025; receivables rose USD 6.7 billion
  • ECS contract losses: USD 18.3 million of net losses in 2025, with further charges cutting Q2 2026 ECS operating income by 12%
  • Leadership transition: Interim CEO since Sep 2025; the 10-K lists the CEO search as a risk factor
  • Long-term shareholder returns lag peers: Five-year TSR index of 113 versus 249 for the peer group at end-2025 (FY2025 Form 10-K)

Opportunities

  • Semiconductor upcycle: WSTS projects the market at USD 1.51 trillion in 2026 and USD 1.9 trillion in 2027
  • AI and datacenter infrastructure: Compute +51%, security +21% and business applications +26% year over year in Q2 2026
  • Supply chain services scale: Drove 2026 cash inflows and above-normal Q2 profits
  • IP&E share gains: A stated margin-accretive priority; aerospace and defense lines added in 2025
  • Software-defined vehicles: 2026 E/E architecture hub plus the eInfochips automotive Centre of Excellence
  • Operating leverage: Q2 2026 operating margin of 4.0% (+120 basis points) on 32% sales growth; cost base reset by the Operating Expense Efficiency Plan

Threats

  • Trade controls and geopolitics: Three China subsidiaries on the Entity List in Oct–Nov 2025; 66% of sales outside the U.S.
  • Tariff policy volatility: 10-K flags IEEPA tariff litigation at the U.S. Supreme Court and uncertainty over tariff drawbacks
  • Supplier disintermediation and consolidation: 10-K cites supplier consolidation and direct selling as competitive risks
  • Cycle reversal and pull-forward: Memory-driven order pull-ins in early 2026 could reverse; the 2023–2025 downturn cut components sales by 31% from peak
  • Competitive margin pressure: Avnet's adjusted operating margin reached 3.8% in its June 2026 quarter
  • Non-cancellable ECS commitments: Purchase obligations through 2032 could generate further losses if volumes undershoot

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Key Developments

DateEventSignificance
Apr 2025Repaid USD 350 million of 4.00% notes due 2025Continued deleveraging
May 2025Q1 2025 results: sales of USD 6.81 billion; net income of USD 80 millionTrough-level profitability as recovery began
May 2025Annual meeting: shareholders backed elimination of supermajority voting requirementsLed to the 2026 charter amendment
27 Jun 2025New USD 2 billion revolving credit agreement maturing June 2030Extended liquidity runway
Q2 2025Q2 2025 sales of USD 7.58 billionRecovery gathered pace
11 Sep 2025AirBorn (Molex) added to IP&E linecardAerospace and defense interconnect expansion
16 Sep 2025CEO Sean Kerins separated; director Bill Austen named Interim President and CEO; board shrank to nineLeadership uncertainty; permanent CEO search launched
8 Oct 2025Three China subsidiaries added to the BIS Entity ListBlocked shipments from many U.S.-technology suppliers
17 Oct 2025BIS temporary authorization allowed normal activity to resumeDisruption limited to about ten days
30 Oct 2025Q3 2025 results: sales of USD 7.71 billion (+13%); EPS USD 2.09; non-GAAP EPS USD 2.41Beat consensus; Q4 guided to USD 7.80–8.40 billion
Nov 2025Repurchased 448,883 shares at an average USD 111.39Buyback near cycle-low share prices
11 Nov 2025Subsidiaries formally removed from the Entity ListRisk resolved; marginal Q4 Asia/Pacific sales loss
5 Feb 2026FY2025 results: Q4 sales of USD 8.7 billion (+20%); full-year sales of USD 30.9 billion; EPS USD 10.93; record ECS backlog (+75% year over year)Results above guidance; Q1 2026 guided to USD 7.95–8.55 billion
Feb 2026FY2025 Form 10-K filed; flagged expected further ECS contract losses and IEEPA tariff litigation uncertaintyUpdated risk disclosure
2026Named again to Fortune's "World's Most Admired Companies"Reputation
2026Launched next-generation vehicle E/E architecture initiative and research hubAutomotive engineering push
30 Mar 20262026 proxy and annual report filed; governance reforms proposedSpecial meeting right; supermajority removal
7 May 2026Q1 2026 results: sales of USD 9.47 billion (+39%); EPS USD 4.55; non-GAAP EPS USD 5.22; operating cash flow USD 700 millionSharp upcycle; both segments grew 39%
12 May 2026Annual meeting: eight directors elected; 25% special meeting right approved; by-laws amendedGovernance strengthened
6 Aug 2026Q2 2026 results: record sales of USD 9.99 billion (+32%); EPS USD 5.26; non-GAAP EPS USD 5.45 (+124%)Operating margin up 120 basis points to 4.0%
6 Aug 2026New USD 1 billion share repurchase authorizationCapital return capacity reset
6 Aug 2026Dee Merriwether named President and COO (effective 8 Sep)Succession bench strengthened
Q2 2026Gross debt cut to about USD 2.2 billion; adjusted leverage 1.75 timesBalance sheet repair
Q2 2026ECS operating income fell 12% on charges for multi-year contractsECS contract risk materialized again
8 Sep 2026Merriwether assumed the COO roleOperating leadership in place
5 Nov 2026Q3 2026 results scheduled; guidance USD 9.60–10.20 billion sales and USD 4.83–5.03 non-GAAP EPSNext catalyst

Financial Performance

Explore key financial metrics, segmented revenue, balance sheet health, and performance trends.

Revenue

8 charts
Income Statement: Revenue & Gross Profit: Revenue fell from USD 34,477 Mn in FY2021 to USD 30,853 Mn in FY2025.
Arrow Electronics — Income Statement: Revenue & Gross Profit
Series (USD Mn)FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025
Revenue34,47737,12433,10727,92330,853
Gross profit4,2024,8374,1493,2923,467

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