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National Australia BANK Limited

Company Profile Analysis

Ticker: NAB.AX

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National Australia BANK Limited - ICT showcase

Year Founded & Workforce

1858

41,900 Employees

Industry

ICT
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National Australia BANK Limited Overview

NAB is Australia's largest business bank. It is the third-largest of the four domestic majors by market capitalisation and the second- or third-largest by earnings, depending on period. Its franchise is anchored in SME, agribusiness, commercial and private banking. These areas generate the largest single share of group cash earnings (Business & Private Banking: A$3.33bn of A$7.09bn in FY25). The franchise is complemented by a mid-tier mortgage book that management is deliberately re-weighting towards proprietary channels. A returns-focused Corporate & Institutional Bank and BNZ in New Zealand complete the group. Since the FY19 Royal Commission fallout, NAB has exited wealth management and life insurance and has refocused on core banking. Under CEO Andrew Irvine (from April 2024), the strategy centres on three priorities: business banking growth, deposit growth and proprietary home lending, all underpinned by a customer-advocacy programme and technology simplification. FY26 to date has been shaped by Middle East conflict-driven provisioning, a A$1.35bn software write-down, a A$1.8bn capital raise and a re-tightening RBA cycle (cash rate 4.60%).


What the company does

NAB is a full-service commercial bank. It takes deposits, extends credit and provides transaction, payments, markets and wealth-adjacent services to consumers, small and medium enterprises, corporates, institutions and governments in Australia and New Zealand. It also has offshore branches serving cross-border clients in London, New York, Singapore, Tokyo, Hong Kong and Shanghai.

Company's own description (paraphrased from the 2025 Annual Report and FY25 Results Summary)

NAB states its purpose as being the most customer-centric company in Australia and New Zealand. Its "strategic ambition" framework sets out where it will grow:

  • Business & Private Banking: "clear market leader".

  • Corporate & Institutional Banking: disciplined growth.

  • Personal Banking: deepening customer relationships.

  • BNZ: personal and SME growth.

  • ubank: customer acquisition.

It also defines what NAB intends to be known for: relationship-led banking, exceptional experiences, and being safe and sustainable. The FY25 Results Summary frames the strategy as delivering stronger customer advocacy, greater speed and simplicity, and ongoing technology modernisation. These support three key priorities: growing business banking, driving deposit growth and strengthening proprietary home lending.

Business and revenue model

Revenue component (FY25, cash basis)AUD Mn% of net operating income
Net interest income17,39883.6
Other operating income3,41516.4
Net operating income20,813100.0

NAB earns the overwhelming majority of its revenue from net interest income (NII). This is the spread between lending yields and funding costs, including deposit and capital "replicating portfolio" earnings. The remainder is other operating income: fees and commissions, card and merchant income, markets trading (FX, rates, credit), treasury income, and wealth/brokerage income such as nabtrade and JBWere.

Source: NAB 2025 Full Year Results Summary, Group performance table.

Product / service / subscription / licensing mix: These categories do not map cleanly onto banking. In the closest analogues:

  • Spread income on balance-sheet products (loans and deposits) ≈ 84%.

  • Fee and service income (transaction accounts, merchant acquiring, cards, trade, guarantees, advisory) is part of the ~16% other income.

  • Markets and treasury income is part of other income and is volatile.

  • There is no material licensing revenue.

  • Recurring account-keeping and merchant terminal rental fees are the nearest "subscription-like" lines. These are not separately disclosed.

Value-chain position

NAB is a balance-sheet intermediary at the centre of the Australian payments and credit value chain:

  • It originates credit through proprietary bankers, digital channels, brokers (mortgages) and the Advantedge white-label book, which is now in run-off.

  • It funds itself chiefly with customer deposits. Deposits funded 84% of total lending at September 2025.

  • It supplements this with wholesale term funding across global markets: A$19.6bn issued in 1H26, including A$3.7bn of Tier 2 capital.

  • It is a direct participant in the NPP, BECS, eftpos and card schemes.

  • It acquired Banked (Pay by Bank / account-to-account orchestration) in May 2026 to own more of the merchant-payments layer.

Customer types and end-markets

Customer segmentServed byNotes
SME and mid-market business, agribusiness, health, professional services, propertyBusiness & Private Banking (B&PB)Core franchise; NAB holds leading business-lending share
High-net-worth / private clientsB&PB (JBWere, NAB Private Wealth)Advice, investment, private banking
Mass-market consumersPersonal Banking, ubankMortgages, deposits, cards, personal loans
Large corporates, institutions, financial sponsors, governmentsCorporate & Institutional Banking (C&IB)Lending, markets, transaction banking, DCM, specialised finance
NZ consumers, SMEs, agri, corporatesBNZ (New Zealand Banking)Full-service bank in New Zealand

Independent characterisation

NAB is best understood as a business-bank-led universal bank with structurally higher commercial-credit beta than CBA or Westpac. Its earnings are more sensitive to SME credit cycles and to deposit-replicating portfolio yields. They are less sensitive to mortgage price wars than a mortgage-heavy peer. The FY25–FY26 period shows both sides of this exposure:

  • Business-lending growth and deposit gathering drove underlying profit up 6.4% half-on-half ex-LNI in 1H26.

  • Individually assessed charges rose: A$964m in FY25 and A$541m in 1H26. Forward-looking provisions were topped up by A$300m for Middle East-related stress concentrated in fuel-sensitive sectors.

The group runs a cost-to-income ratio in the mid-to-high 40s. That is better than ANZ/Westpac historically but worse than CBA. Its cash ROE of ~11–12% sits below CBA's 14.0% (FY26) and roughly in line with Westpac.

Strategy

Stated strategy themes (FY25 Annual Report / FY25 and 1H26 Results)

Purpose: to be the most customer-centric company in Australia and New Zealand.

Three key priorities: grow business banking, drive deposit growth, strengthen proprietary home lending.

Enablers: much stronger customer advocacy (NAB Customer Voices); greater speed and simplicity; technology modernisation, including an AI-ready architecture; prudent balance-sheet settings.

"What we will deliver": leading customer advocacy, strong returns, winning in market, customer-obsessed colleagues, and being simple, fast and resilient.

Values: customer obsessed; win together; keep it simple; move with speed; own it.

Strategic initiatives register (last 24 months)

InitiativeDateDescription / targetStatus
NAB Customer VoicesFY25 →Systematic NPS capture and response programmeEmbedded in more than half of priority frontline teams by 1H26. Medium & Large Business NPS +16 points to equal-first; Mass Consumer NPS +5
New business lending platformFY25Digital origination for bankersMore than 80% of 1H26 applications digital; time-to-yes down ~20% since FY22
Proprietary home lending pushFY25–26~270 new proprietary lenders onboarded in FY25Proprietary drawdowns 38% (FY24) → 41% (FY25) → 47.7% (1H26)
Deposit franchise rebuildFY25–26Branch reinvigoration, Saturday openings, onboarding improvementsFY25 deposits +7.4%; B&PB/PB transaction-account balances +8% in 1H26
Product rationalisationSince FY2227% fewer products (1H26 vs FY22); ~500 legacy applications decommissioned since Oct 2023Ongoing
Technology modernisation and simplificationFY25–27Core platform modernisation, AI deployment; ELT re-shaped (Technology & AI; Transformation & Operations)Ongoing; software capitalisation policy reset in 1H26
Productivity programmeFY25–26A$420m benefits in FY25; FY26 target above A$450m1H26 delivered A$199m
Cost guidanceFY26Cost growth below 4.6% ex-LNITracking (3Q26 noted seasonal and software-policy pressure)
Investment spendFY25A$1.8bn (FY24 A$1.6bn)Ongoing
Payments innovation / A2A2024–26Pay by Bank via Banked; industry payment portals; Amazon.com.au checkoutBanked acquired 14 May 2026
AI2,026Founding partner of the Federal Government's "Buy Australian AI Partnership" (27 Aug 2026); AI for Business masterclass with the National AI CentreOngoing
Fraud and scams2025–2624/7 Fraud Assist; real-time card fraud SMS; push for a National Economic Crime Strategy (Jun 2026)Ongoing
Housing affordabilityFY25 → 2030A$60bn financing ambition to address housing affordability by 2030 (A$6.9bn delivered over three years to FY25)Ongoing
Environmental finance→ 2030A$80bn environmental finance ambition; A$10.4bn delivered in FY25Ongoing
Balance-sheet resilienceApr–Jul 2026A$300m forward-looking provisioning top-up; ~A$1.8bn DRP raiseCompleted

Medium-term financial targets and guidance

TargetValueSource
CET1 operating target>11.25%FY25 and 1H26 Results
Dividend payout ratio65–75% of cash earnings (Board discretion)FY25 and 1H26 investor presentations
FY26 productivity>A$450m1H26 Results
FY26 cost growth (ex LNI)<4.6%1H26 Results
ROE / EPS targetsNo explicit numeric ROE target disclosed—

Products & Services

Pricing is not disclosed in filings as a "pricing model". Banking products are priced via interest rates and fees published in product terms, Target Market Determinations and fee schedules. Launch years are given only where publicly confirmed.

Personal Banking (Australia)

Product / brandDescriptionTarget customerPricing model / notes
NAB Classic BankingEveryday transaction account with no monthly account fee (NAB website)Mass retailFee-free base; other fees apply
NAB Reward Saver / iSaver (savings)Bonus-interest and online savings accountsRetail saversVariable interest. NAB lifted savings rates in Feb 2026 (NAB release, 13 Feb 2026)
NAB Term DepositFixed-term depositsRetail / SMSFFixed rate by term
Tailored variable rate with offsetFlagship owner-occupier and investor variable mortgage with 100% offsetHome buyers / refinancersVariable rate plus package options
Base Variable Rate home loanNo-frills variable mortgagePrice-sensitive borrowersVariable rate
Tailored fixed rateFixed-rate mortgageBorrowers wanting certaintyFixed rate by term
NAB Qantas Rewards cardsFrequent-flyer credit cardsAffluent / travelAnnual fee plus interest
NAB Rewards cardsPoints-based credit cardsRetailAnnual fee plus interest
NAB Low Rate / Low Fee cardsLow-cost credit cardsValue seekersLow rate or low fee
Ready Credit (redesigned)Revolving product, redesigned as a credit card from 25 Aug 2025 (NAB Debt Investor Update, Aug 2026)Retail—
Personal loansSecured / unsecured (car, debt consolidation, renovation)RetailFixed / variable; A$250 application fee waived in a 2026 offer
NAB Premier BankingRelationship banking for affluent customersMass affluentRelationship pricing
NAB app / Internet BankingDigital channels, Fast Payments (NPP), scam/fraud tools including 24/7 Fraud Assist live chat (launched 1H26)All retailFree
International transfers$0 fee when sending in foreign currency (NAB website)RetailFX margin
Insurance (distributed)Home and contents, landlord, car, caravanRetailThird-party underwritten; NAB distributes
nabtradeOnline broking platformSelf-directed investorsBrokerage fees
NAB Equity LendingMargin lendingInvestorsInterest
NAB Community Hub (Werribee, VIC)First integrated multi-service community hub, launched 1H26Vulnerable / multilingual customers—

ubank (digital bank, within Personal Banking)

ProductDescriptionNotes
Spend / Save accountsDigital transaction and high-interest savings accountsCustomer-acquisition brand
ubank home loansDigital mortgagesIntegrates the former 86 400 technology stack (acquired 2021)
AccountabilityMoved to Group Executive Personal Banking (Ana Marinkovic) per 11 Aug 2026 ELT updatePreviously under COO

Business & Private Banking

Product / brandDescriptionTarget customer
NAB Business Transaction Account ($0 monthly fee option)Core business transaction accountSME / sole traders
Business savings / deposit accountsBusiness deposit productsSME
NAB QuickBiz overdraftUnsecured overdraft up to A$50,000Small business
Business loans (secured / unsecured)Term lending; new digital business lending platform; >80% of 1H26 applications submitted digitallySME, mid-market
Equipment and vehicle financeAsset financeSME / agri
Trade and invoice finance; bank guaranteesWorking capitalImporters/exporters, contractors
Business credit cards (NAB Qantas Business Signature, Rewards Business Signature, Low Rate Business, purchasing and corporate cards)Commercial cards; real-time fraud alerts via two-way SMS launched 1H26SME to corporate
EFTPOS terminals / merchant acquiringIn-person acceptance; 2026 rental-rebate offerMerchants
NAB Gateway, NAB TransacteCommerce payment gatewaysOnline merchants
NAB Portal PayIndustry payment portal, integrated with MRI property softwareReal estate, strata, professional services
Industry payment solutionsRolled out across professional services, insolvency, real estate, strata, independent schools and health (FY25)Vertical-specific
Pay by Bank (Banked)Account-to-account real-time checkout; used for Amazon.com.au checkout (partnership announced Jan 2025)Merchants, billers
Specialised industry bankingAgribusiness, health, professional services, government/education/communitySector clients
JBWerePrivate wealth advice and investment for HNW and family officesUHNW/HNW
NAB Private WealthPrivate banking, investment and advice solutionsHNW
AI for Business Masterclass (with National AI Centre)Free SME education programmeSME

Corporate & Institutional Banking

OfferingDescription
Corporate lending and syndicationBilateral and syndicated facilities
Specialised financeProject, infrastructure, acquisition and real-asset finance
Debt capital marketsBond origination, green/sustainable bonds
MarketsFX, rates, commodities, risk management products
Transaction bankingCash management, payments, liquidity; NAB Connect platform ranked #1 for overall platform features and functionality for 8 consecutive years (Coalition Greenwich 2026 Australia Large Corporate Transactional Banking study, per NAB website)
NAB Direct LinkHost-to-host corporate payments connectivity
Trade and working capitalSupply-chain and receivables finance
Investor partneringCoverage for superannuation funds and asset managers
Asset servicingCustody business being wound down (FY25 Results Summary)
NAB Economics / Markets ResearchMorning Call podcast, NAB Monthly Business Survey, Housing Monitor (brand and franchise asset)

New Zealand Banking (BNZ)

OfferingDescription
BNZ personal bankingMortgages, deposits, cards, BNZ app
BNZ business and agriSME, agribusiness and commercial lending
BNZ corporate and institutionalCorporate banking and markets in NZ
NotesBNZ ranked first in consumer NPS among the 5 major NZ banks at Sep 2025 (Insights HQ, cited in FY25 Results Summary)

Other group platforms

PlatformDescription
NAB VenturesCorporate VC arm. Invested in Banked in 2022, 2023 and 2024 before full acquisition
NAB Nexus24/7 service referenced in 3Q26 update. Details not fully disclosed
NAB Customer VoicesCustomer-advocacy feedback programme, rolled out from FY25 and embedded in more than half of priority frontline teams by 1H26

Financial Narrative

Earnings

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Financial Detail

Segment Overview

SegmentWhat it containsKey products / services

Business & Private Banking (B&PB)

SME, mid-market, agribusiness, specialised industry banking; private banking; JBWere and NAB Private Wealth; some business-owner home lending

Business lending, overdrafts, equipment finance, trade, deposits and transaction accounts, merchant/EFTPOS, FX, wealth advice

Personal Banking (PB)

Australian consumer banking through branches, contact centres, proprietary home lenders, brokers and digital; ubank (accountability moved under PB Group Executive from Aug 2026); Advantedge (run-off)

Home loans, deposits, cards, personal loans, Premier banking

Corporate & Institutional Banking (C&IB)

Large corporates, institutions, governments, financial sponsors; Markets; offshore branches

Corporate lending, specialised and infrastructure finance, DCM, FX and rates, transaction banking, working-capital solutions; asset servicing being wound down

New Zealand Banking (NZB)

Bank of New Zealand: personal, business, agri, corporate in NZ

Full-service banking in NZ

Corporate Functions & Other (CFO)

Group treasury, technology, enterprise functions, eliminations; large notable items (e.g. 1H26 software LNI)

—

Segment cash earnings (AUD Mn)

Segment cash earnings (AUD Mn)FY24FY25

Business and Private Banking

3,2773,330

Personal Banking

1,1401,253

Corporate and Institutional Banking

1,7701,854

New Zealand Banking (AUD)

1,3331,353

Corporate Functions and Other

-418-699

Group cash earnings

7,1027,091

Segment YoY growth FY25 v FY24 (%)

Segment YoY growth FY25 v FY24 (%)Value

B&PB

1.6

Personal Banking

9.9

C&IB

4.7

NZ Banking (AUD)

1.5

NZ Banking (NZ$, NZ$1,485m)

2.8

Group

-0.2

Segment contribution to FY25 cash earnings ex Corporate Functions (%)

Value

B&PB

42.7

Personal Banking

16.1

C&IB

23.8

NZ Banking

17.4

Segment cash earnings (AUD Mn) — Business and Private Banking

Segment cash earnings (AUD Mn)1H252H251H26

Business and Private Banking

1,6471,6831,850

Personal Banking

555698700

Corporate and Institutional Banking

908946921

New Zealand Banking (AUD)

707646627

Corporate Functions and Other (incl. LNI)

-234-465-1,459

Group cash earnings

3,5833,5082,639

Group cash earnings ex LNI

3,5833,5083,588

Income Statement and Per-Share Data

MetricFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025

Cash earnings (AUD Mn)

6,5587,1047,7317,1027,091

Statutory net profit attributable (AUD Mn)

6,3646,8917,4146,9606,759

Dividend per share (A$ cents)

127151167169170

Credit impairment charge (AUD Mn, negative = write-back)

-217125802728833

Group CET1 ratio Level 2 (%)

13.0011.5112.2212.3511.70

NPEs to gross loans and acceptances (%)

1.150.951.131.391.55

Income Statement and Returns & Leverage Ratios (%)

MetricFY2024FY2025

Net interest income (AUD Mn)

16,75417,398

Other operating income (AUD Mn)

3,4823,415

Net operating income (AUD Mn)

20,23620,813

Operating expenses (AUD Mn)

9,4139,848

Underlying profit (AUD Mn)

10,82310,965

Credit impairment charge (AUD Mn)

728833

Cash earnings before tax (AUD Mn)

10,09510,132

Income tax expense (AUD Mn)

2,9753,002

Cash earnings (AUD Mn)

7,1027,091

Net interest margin (%)

1.711.74

Cost-to-income (%)

46.547.3

Cash ROE (%)

11.611.4

Statutory ROE (%)

11.410.8

Cash EPS basic (A$ cents)

229.2231.8

Cash EPS diluted (A$ cents)

227.0230.4

Statutory EPS basic (A$ cents)

224.6221.0

Statutory EPS diluted (A$ cents)

222.7219.9

Cash dividend payout ratio (%)

73.773.3

NTA per share (AUD)

18.2918.71

Financial Analysis

Metric (AUD Mn unless stated)1H252H251H26

Net interest income

8,4458,9539,163

Other operating income

1,8231,5921,707

Net operating income

10,26810,54510,870

Operating expenses ex LNI

4,8055,0435,018

Large notable items pre-tax

001,347

Underlying profit (reported)

5,4635,5024,505

Credit impairment charge

348485706

Cash earnings (reported)

3,5833,5082,639

Cash earnings ex LNI

3,5833,5083,588

Statutory net profit

3,4073,3522,750

NIM (%)

1.701.781.81

Cash ROE ex LNI (%)

11.711.011.6

Cash EPS basic ex LNI (A$ cents)

116.9114.8117.3

DPS (A$ cents)

858585

CET1 Level 2 (%)

—11.7011.65

Template Metric Details

Template metricStatus for NAB

Gross profit / gross margin

N/M. Closest proxy is net operating income

EBITDA / EBITDA margin

N/M. Closest proxy is underlying (pre-provision) profit: FY25 A$10,965m, a 52.7% margin on net operating income

Operating margin

Underlying profit / NOI: FY24 53.5%, FY25 52.7%

Net margin

Cash earnings / NOI: FY24 35.1%, FY25 34.1%

Revenue CAGR

NOI FY24→FY25 +2.9%.

Balance Sheet

MetricFY2023FY2024FY2025

Total assets (AUD Mn)

1,059,0831,080,2481,109,062

Total liabilities (AUD Mn)

997,5801,018,0351,045,415

Net assets / total equity (AUD Mn)

61,15461,45562,922

Balance-sheet Item Details

Balance-sheet itemLatest disclosed

Gross loans and advances growth FY25

+5.9% (FY25 Results Summary)

Deposit growth FY25

+7.4%

GLA growth 1H26 v 2H25

+2.9% (+3.7% ex FX)

Deposit growth 1H26 v 2H25

+2.3% (+3.0% ex FX)

Deposits / total lending

84% (Sep 2025)

Goodwill and intangibles

Capitalised software reduced by A$1,347m at 31 Mar 2026 via accelerated amortisation

Total debt (short/long)

N/M for a bank. Wholesale funding issued: A$19.6bn term in 1H26 incl. A$3.7bn Tier 2

Net debt / working capital

N/M

Margin Analysis (%)

MetricSep 2024Sep 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026

CET1 Level 2 (%)

12.3511.7011.6511.93

Pro forma CET1 (%)

—

11.81 (MLC Life sale)

12.05 (DRP raise)

—

Leverage ratio (%)

—4.924.91—

LCR quarterly average (%)

—135132—

NSFR (%)

—116116—

Collective provisions / CRWA (%)

—1.331.35—

Per-Share Data and Key Financials

MetricFY2024FY2025

Ordinary DPS (A$ cents)

169170

Shares bought back in year (AUD Bn)

—0.6

Returns & Leverage Ratios (%)

RatioFY24FY251H26 (ex LNI)

Cash ROE (%)

11.611.411.6

Statutory ROE (%)

11.410.8

8.9 (reported)

ROA (statutory NPAT / avg total assets, %)

approx 0.65

approx 0.62

—

Cost-to-income (%)

46.547.346.2

ROIC, current ratio, net debt/EBITDA, interest coverage, asset turnover, cash conversion cycle

N/M

N/M

N/M

Geography — cash earnings (AUD Mn)

Geography — cash earnings (AUD Mn)FY2024FY2025

New Zealand Banking

1,3331,353

Australia and offshore (Group less NZB)

5,7695,738

Group

7,1027,091

Geography — cash earnings (AUD Mn)

1H25

2H25

New Zealand Banking

707646

Australia and offshore (ex LNI)

2,8762,862

Group ex LNI

3,5833,508

Jurisdiction / Entity Details

Jurisdiction / entityEmployees

Australia (all entities)

29,557

India — NAB Global Innovation Centre India Pvt Ltd

4,277

UK — NAB Limited London Branch

235

USA — NAB Limited New York Branch

93

Singapore Branch

54

Shanghai Branch

21

Tokyo Branch

20

NAB Japan Securities

12

Valuation Snapshot

MetricValueSource

Recent share price

~A$39.1 (late Sep 2026)

Motley Fool, Sep 2026

52-week range

A$35.48 – A$48.40

Stocklight (Aug 2026)

Price at FY25 result (6 Nov 2025)

~A$43.3 intraday

Capital Brief

Price around 5 Mar 2026

A$47.33

Motley Fool price history

Price on 3Q26 day (17 Aug 2026)

Closed A$39.46 (-4.6%)

Stocklight

1-year performance (Oct 2025 → Oct 2026)

Approx. -10% to -13% price-only

Analyst estimate from the above data points; verify

Consensus EPS FY26 / FY27 (AUD)

2.38 / 2.54

Motley Fool citing consensus, Sep 2026

P/E FY26 / FY27

~16x / ~15x

Motley Fool

P/NTA

~2.1x (A$39.1 / NTA A$18.32 at Mar 2026)

Analyst calculation

Dividend yield (trailing 170c)

~4.3%, fully franked (~6.2% grossed-up)

Analyst calculation

Peer P/E (CBA)

~27x FY26 cash earnings

Motley Fool, Aug 2026

EV/EBITDA, EV/Sales

N/M for banks

—

Per-Share Data

MetricFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025

Interim DPS (A$ cents)

6073838485

Final DPS (A$ cents)

6778848585

Total DPS (A$ cents)

127151167169170

Credit Ratings

AgencySenior unsecuredTier 2Covered bondsOutlookSource / date

S&P Global

AA-

A-

——

CreditFlow / Cbonds

Moody's

Aa2

A3

Aaa

—

CreditFlow (2026 issues)

Fitch

AA- (affirmed early 2026)

A-

AAA

Stable

Stockti / CreditFlow

Morningstar DBRS

AA (Issuer)

——

Stable (Sep 2024 confirmation)

DBRS

Recent Issuance Details

Recent issuance (2026)DateSizeTenor / structureCoupon / spread

Covered bond

17 Aug 2026

1,750m (A$ per CreditFlow)

5 years (Aug-31)

4.61%

Senior unsecured FRN

16 Jul 2026

A$2,500m

3 years

3mBBSW+57

Senior unsecured (USD)

28 May 2026

1,250m and 750m

3 years

4.434% / SOFR+54

Subordinated Tier 2

28 May 2026

1,000m

11NC10

5.625%

Senior unsecured

6 May 2026

A$2,000m and 500m

5 years

3mBBSW+71 / 5.378%

Subordinated Tier 2

6 May 2026

1,000m

15NC10

6.558%

Analyst Conclusions

Management guidance

FY26 productivity: more than A$450m.

FY26 cost growth: below 4.6% ex-LNI. Management cautioned that 2H26 opex carries the flow-on effect of the software capitalisation change.

Capital: CET1 to be maintained above 11.25%; currently ~12% after the DRP.

Dividends: 65–75% payout policy.

Macro view (NAB Economics): - Australian growth slows to ~1.5% over 2026; unemployment peaks ~4.75%.

  • Cash rate now 4.60%, with risk of a further November hike.

  • Gradual normalisation expected from around August 2027.

  • NZ recovery is fragile.

Consensus expectations

  • Consensus FY26 EPS ~A$2.38 and FY27 ~A$2.54, implying ~7% EPS growth into FY27 (Motley Fool, Sep 2026).

  • FY26 statutory and cash earnings will be depressed by the A$949m post-tax LNI.

  • FY26 cash earnings run-rate ex-LNI: 1H26 A$3,588m plus 3Q26 ~A$1.83bn indicates a full-year figure of ~A$7.2–7.3bn if 4Q26 is similar. This is an analyst extrapolation, not guidance.

Bull case

  1. Business-bank operating leverage. B&PB earnings grew 9.9% HoH in 1H26. Business lending rose 5.6% in 1H26 and 2% in 3Q26 (B&PB +4%), with share gains. Costs are flat ex-LNI and NIM is at 1.81%. Higher rates lift replicating-portfolio income.

  2. Cleaner cost base after the reset. The software write-down removes a capitalised legacy overhang. With more than A$450m of annual productivity and lower future amortisation, cost-to-income could trend from ~47% towards the low-40s. That would narrow the ROE gap to CBA.

  3. Over-provisioned into the shock. Forward-looking provisions total A$1.93bn and CP/CRWA is 1.35%. If the Middle East-related stress proves milder, FLA releases (as in FY25's A$283m release) could provide earnings upside. CET1 above 12% then re-opens capital-management optionality.

Bear case

  1. Credit cycle hits the business bank first. Four RBA hikes in 2026, the fuel shock and falling house prices threaten SME, agri, transport and CRE borrowers. NAB's book is the most business-heavy of the majors. NPEs are already 1.52%, and IA charges ran at ~A$1.0bn annualised in 1H26.

  2. Structural cost creep. The software-policy change permanently lifts expensed technology spend. The 3Q26 update cited higher costs, and the market sold off 4.6%. Investment needs (A$1.8bn in FY25) plus remediation (payroll, customer) may keep costs rising faster than revenue.

  3. Dilution and the return gap. The A$1.8bn discounted raise and DRP dilutes EPS. Cash ROE of ~11.5% is ~250bps below CBA's. Repeated executive churn, including CFO, CRO, Technology and COO in 18 months, raises execution risk. Home-lending momentum softened in 3Q26.

Key catalysts and monitorables (next 12 months)

CatalystExpected timingWhat to watch
FY26 full year results5 Nov 2026Ex-LNI cash earnings vs ~A$7.2–7.3bn run-rate; 2H26 cost growth; final DPS (85c base case); CET1 after DRP; any capital-management signals
RBA November meetingNov 2026Further hike risk (NAB flagged the bias); NIM vs credit trade-off
AGMDec 2026Remuneration vote; Bligh election
1Q27 trading updateFeb 2027Impairment trends; productivity delivery
1H27 resultsMay 2027First full half under the new ELT structure; Banked integration
Middle East / fuel-price trajectoryOngoingFLA release or top-up
NZ economy and RBNZOngoingBNZ earnings recovery
APRA hybrid phase-out / capital rulesOngoingCapital stack, Tier 2 issuance costs
Shaun Dooley retirementBy end-2026Risk continuity
Peer results (WBC, ANZ FY26, ~early Nov 2026)Nov 2026Relative credit and margin read-through

Concluding analyst verdict

NAB enters FY27 as a fundamentally sound but cyclically exposed franchise. Its operating engine is improving more than its headline numbers suggest. Stripping out the A$949m post-tax software write-down, 1H26 cash earnings of A$3,588m were up 2.3% on 2H25 and underlying profit rose 6.4%. A further 2% quarterly gain in 3Q26 points to a group earning roughly A$7.2–7.3bn on a clean basis. That is modest growth over FY25's A$7,091m, delivered while NIM expanded to 1.81% and costs ex-LNI fell. The three strategic priorities are visibly working. Business lending and SME share are rising. Proprietary home lending reached 47.7% of drawdowns. Deposits are growing fast enough to fund 84% of lending.

Against this, the balance of risks has shifted. NAB is the major bank most leveraged to business credit, just as Australia faces a 4.60% cash rate, a fuel-price shock and falling dwelling prices. Management has front-run the risk. It added a A$300m forward-looking provision top-up, applied a 45% downside weighting, and raised ~A$1.8bn of equity to push CET1 above 12%. This is prudent, but it came at the cost of EPS dilution and a weaker share price. The executive bench has also been substantially rebuilt in 18 months. Execution must now be proven under a new CFO, CRO and technology leadership.

At ~16x FY26 consensus EPS, ~2.1x NTA and a ~4.3% fully franked yield, NAB trades at a steep discount to CBA (~27x). That discount is justified by a ~250bps ROE gap and higher credit beta. However, it looks wide relative to NAB's improving underlying trajectory.

Verdict: constructive but conditional. The investment case hinges on two things being demonstrated at the 5 November FY26 result: credit losses plateauing, and the post-reset cost base growing below revenue. If both hold, a re-rating towards peer-average multiples is plausible. If business-credit stress accelerates, NAB will underperform its peers first.

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Executive Leadership

Executive Leadership Team

NameTitleTenure / startPrior roles and background

Andrew Irvine

Managing Director & Group CEO

CEO since 2 Apr 2024; joined NAB 2020 as Group Executive B&PB

Former senior executive at BMO Financial Group (Canada). Also chaired the Australian Banking Association.

Inder Singh

Group CFO & Group Executive Strategy

Started 2 Mar 2026 (announced Aug 2025)

—

Connie Sokaris

Group Chief Risk Officer

Appointed 7 May 2026; started 3 Aug 2026 subject to approvals

At NAB since 2003; previously Executive, Credit and Market Risk; earlier C&IB client coverage roles

Andrew Auerbach

Group Executive, Business & Private Banking

From 16 Jun 2025

21+ years in senior roles at BMO (Canada); co-founder/CEO of Delisle Advisory Group

Ana Marinkovic

Group Executive, Personal Banking (incl. ubank from Aug 2026)

Appointed 2024

Previously Executive, Business Direct & Small Business

Cathryn Carver

Group Executive, Corporate & Institutional Banking

From 1 Jul 2024

Previously Executive, Client Coverage, C&IB

Daniel Huggins

CEO, Bank of New Zealand

—

BNZ executive roles

Pete Steel

Group Executive, Technology & AI (expanded from Digital, Data & AI)

Expanded role from Oct 2026

—

Shane Conway

Group Executive, Transformation & Operations

Group Executive Transformation from 1 Dec 2025; expanded Oct 2026

Led Technology Modernisation and Simplification; executive sponsor of the Banked acquisition

Sarah White

Group Executive, People & Culture

——

Jon Benson

Group General Counsel (joins ELT 1 Oct 2026)

GC role from 1 Dec 2025

Previously Chief Legal Officer, Corporate & Customer Divisions Legal

Executive Leadership Team — Ross McEwan

NameFormer roleDeparture

Ross McEwan

Group CEO

Retired April 2024

David Gall

Group Executive C&IB

Left 1 Oct 2024

Rachel Slade

Group Executive B&PB

Left 1 Jul 2025

Nathan Goonan

Group CFO

Departed 2025

Sharon Cook

Group Executive Customer & Corporate Services / General Counsel

Retired 31 Dec 2025

Shaun Dooley

Group CRO (also acting CFO Mar 2025–Mar 2026)

Retiring by end-2026

Patrick Wright

Group Executive Technology & Enterprise Operations

Left ELT 30 Sep 2026; special adviser until retirement in 1H27

Les Matheson

Group COO

Retired 30 Sep 2026

Board of Directors

DirectorRoleNotes

Philip Chronican

Independent Non-Executive Chair

Former NAB interim CEO (2019), ex-ANZ and Westpac senior executive

Andrew Irvine

Managing Director & Group CEO

Executive director

Anna Bligh AC

Independent NED

Effective 1 Sep 2026 subject to regulatory approval. Former Queensland Premier; ABA CEO for ~8 years; Chair, UNICEF Australia; former Medibank NED

Kathryn Fagg AC

Independent NED

—

Christine Fellowes

Independent NED

Global media executive (ex-NBCUniversal); appointed 2023

Warwick Hunt MNZM

Independent NED

—

Carolyn Kay

Independent NED

Appointed 2023; Scentre Group NED; former Future Fund guardian

Alison Kitchen AM

Independent NED

Former KPMG chair; Audit Committee Chair (succeeded David Armstrong after the 2023 AGM)

Simon McKeon AO

Independent NED

Former Macquarie executive chairman (Melbourne); Monash chancellor

Ann Sherry AO

Independent NED

—

Major Shareholders

Holder typeDetail

Retail shareholders

More than 40% of NAB's shareholders are retail investors (CEO, FY24 result release); ~500,000 shareholders (1H26 release)

Top registered holders

Typically custodial nominees (HSBC Custody Nominees, J.P. Morgan Nominees Australia, Citicorp Nominees, BNP Paribas Nominees, National Nominees).

Substantial holders (≥5%)

Index managers (e.g. BlackRock, Vanguard) have historically lodged notices near the 5% threshold.

Competitive Landscape

Competitors by Segment

SegmentCompetitors

Business banking (SME / commercial)

Commonwealth Bank (CBA), Westpac (WBC), ANZ, Macquarie Bank, Bendigo & Adelaide Bank, Bank of Queensland, Judo Bank, non-bank SME lenders (Prospa, Moula), Rabobank (agri)

Home lending

CBA, Westpac, ANZ (incl. Suncorp Bank, acquired 2024), Macquarie, ING Australia, Bendigo, BOQ, non-banks (Pepper, Liberty, La Trobe)

Deposits / digital

CBA, Westpac, ANZ, Macquarie, ING, Bendigo/Up

Corporate & institutional

ANZ, CBA, Westpac, Macquarie, global banks (HSBC, Citi, MUFG, SMBC, BNP Paribas)

Payments / merchant

CBA (incl. Square/Smartpay partnerships), Westpac, ANZ, Tyro, Stripe, Adyen, Square, Zeller

New Zealand

ANZ NZ, ASB (CBA), Westpac NZ, Kiwibank

Wealth / broking

CommSec (CBA), Macquarie, Stake, SelfWealth, private banks

Peer Comparison FY2026

MetricNAB FY25 (Sep)CBA FY26 (Jun)Westpac FY25 (Sep)ANZ FY25 (Sep)

Cash / underlying NPAT (AUD Mn)

7,09110,982

7113 (ex notable items)

6896 (ex significant items)

Statutory NPAT (AUD Mn)

6,75910,9116,916

5890 (approx.)

Profit growth YoY (%)

-0.27.1

-2 (ex notables)

approx. 0 (stable)

NIM (%)

1.742.05——

Cash ROE (%)

11.414.0——

CET1 (%)

11.7012.012.512.0

Full-year DPS (A$ cents)

170505153166

Cost-to-income (%)

47.345.5——

Competitors by Segment by Market

MarketNAB shareSource / date

Australian business lending

~22%

Morningstar DBRS, Sep 2024

Australian home lending

~14.6%

Morningstar DBRS, Sep 2024

SME and total business lending share trend

Gaining in FY25 and 1H26

NAB results (RBA/APRA data)

Home lending growth vs system

0.6x (FY24) → 0.9x (FY25) → 1.1x ex Advantedge in 1H26 (0.7x incl.)

NAB results

Company Snapshot

41,900

Employees

1858

Founded

Melbourne, Australia

Headquarters

SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Dominant business bank. B&PB generated A$3,330m cash earnings in FY25 (43% of divisional earnings), and grew 9.9% HoH to A$1,850m in 1H26 (FY25 / 1H26 Results).
  • Deposit franchise. Deposits grew 7.4% in FY25 and fund 84% of lending. B&PB/PB transaction-account balances grew 8% in 1H26.
  • Margin resilience. NIM rose from 1.71% (FY24) to 1.74% (FY25) and 1.81% (1H26), while peers faced compression. CBA's NIM fell 3bps in FY26.
  • Cost discipline. Productivity delivered A$420m in FY25 and A$199m in 1H26. 1H26 costs ex-LNI fell 0.5% HoH.
  • Capital flexibility. CET1 was 11.93% at June 2026, rising to >12% pro forma, against an 11.25% target. NAB demonstrated market access with ~A$1.8bn raised and A$19.6bn of term funding in 1H26.
  • Institutional platform quality. NAB Connect has been ranked #1 for 8 consecutive years (Coalition Greenwich 2026). C&IB ROE was 15.7% in FY25.
  • Simplified group. Wealth (2021) and life insurance (Oct 2025, A$497m) exits are complete.

Weaknesses

  • Flat earnings trajectory. Cash earnings were A$7,731m in FY23, A$7,102m in FY24 and A$7,091m in FY25.
  • ROE gap. Cash ROE of 11.4% (FY25) compares with CBA's 14.0% (FY26).
  • Legacy technology burden. The A$1,347m pre-tax accelerated amortisation charge in 1H26 is evidence; 400+ tech roles were cut in Sep 2025.
  • Conduct and remediation costs. A$130m of payroll review and remediation in FY25; A$15.5m hardship penalty (Aug 2025); higher B&PB customer remediation in 1H26.
  • Asset-quality sensitivity. NPEs rose from 0.95% (FY22) to 1.55% (FY25). IA charges were A$964m in FY25.
  • Executive churn. CFO, CRO, B&PB head, COO, Technology head and General Counsel all changed between 2025 and 2026.

Opportunities

  • A2A payments. Banked and Pay by Bank target merchant economics as Australia shifts from cards to real-time rails.
  • Proprietary mortgage mix. Proprietary drawdowns rose to 47.7%, enabling a "more targeted approach" in the broker channel at better returns.
  • Higher rates. A 4.60% cash rate supports replicating-portfolio yields. Investor Daily attributed part of the FY22 uplift to similar dynamics.
  • AI-driven productivity. Explicit ELT focus (Technology & AI role), lower capitalisation and faster delivery.
  • NZ cyclical recovery. NAB forecasts NZ GDP growth of 2.4% in 2027. BNZ ranks #1 in consumer NPS.
  • Housing and environmental finance. A$60bn housing-affordability and A$80bn environmental-finance ambitions create growth and ESG positioning.

Threats

  • Geopolitical and fuel shock. Downside scenario weighting is 45%. A$201m of new FLAs target fuel-sensitive sectors.
  • Rate overshoot. Four RBA hikes in 2026 could stress SME and household borrowers. Dwelling prices are falling (fifth straight month).
  • Competition. CBA is growing at or above system in all five core categories (FY26). Macquarie is pressuring mortgages and deposits. C&IB margins are under pressure.
  • Regulation. APRA capital and hybrid reforms; ASIC focus on hardship and scams; AUSTRAC AML/CTF obligations.
  • Fraud and cyber. Industry-wide mortgage fraud (Jun 2026); scam liability frameworks.
  • Valuation and dilution. The 1.5% discounted DRP and underwrite diluted EPS. The market reacted negatively to the 3Q26 update (-4.6%).

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Key Developments

DateEventSignificance
Mar 2025ELT changes: Auerbach hired for B&PB; Slade and CFO Goonan to depart; Dooley acting CFO; Whitelaw acting CRO; Saadie acting B&PB headLeadership renewal around the new CEO
12 Mar 2025A$3.0bn buy-back completedCapital return complete
5 May 2025 (approx.)1H25 results: cash earnings A$3,583m; NIM 1.70%Stabilisation
16 Jun 2025Auerbach starts as Group Executive B&PBCore franchise leadership
13 Aug 2025Federal Court penalty of A$15.5m (NAB A$13m, AFSH A$2.5m) for hardship-notice failuresConduct/regulatory
Aug 2025Inder Singh announced as Group CFO & StrategyCFO succession
Sep 2025400+ technology and enterprise-operations roles cutCost discipline
21 Oct 2025Shane Conway promoted to Group Executive Transformation; Sharon Cook to retire; Jon Benson appointed Group General CounselTransformation focus
31 Oct 2025Sale of remaining 20% of MLC Life to Nippon Life for A$497m completesInsurance exit; +CET1
6 Nov 2025FY25 results: cash A$7,091m (-0.2%); statutory A$6,759m (-2.9%); DPS 170c; CET1 11.70%. Shares fell ~2.7% intraday (Capital Brief)Slight miss vs consensus (~A$7.17bn)
12 Nov 2025Statement on the passing of former CEO Nobby ClarkCorporate
Feb 2026RBA hikes 25bps (to 3.85%), then again in March (to 4.10%) (per NAB 1H26 economic outlook)Rate-cycle reversal; NIM tailwind, credit headwind
13 Feb 2026NAB increases savings ratesDeposit competition
18 Feb 20261Q26 trading update: cash earnings A$2.02bn (+15% v 2H25 quarterly average); CIC A$170m; CET1 11.48%Strong start to FY26
24 Feb 2026Shaun Dooley to retire by end-2026; Singh to start 2 MarCRO succession opened
11 Mar 2026Chair Chronican addresses AICD Governance SummitGovernance profile
20 Apr 20261H26 CIC flagged at A$706m incl. A$300m FLA top-up; A$1,347m software LNI; A$4.2bn credit RWA overlay; discounted and partially underwritten DRP (~A$1.8bn). Shares -3.6%Major earnings and capital reset
4 May 20261H26 results: cash A$2,639m (A$3,588m ex LNI, +2.3% HoH); statutory A$2,750m; NIM 1.81%; CET1 11.65% (12.05% pro forma); DPS 85cUnderlying momentum vs one-offs
6 May 2026Wholesale issuance incl. 15NC10 Tier 2 (6.558% coupon) and 5-year senior (CreditFlow)Funding/capital
7 May 2026Connie Sokaris appointed Group CRO (start 3 Aug 2026)Risk leadership
14 May 2026Banked acquiredPayments strategy
28 May 2026US$ senior and 11NC10 Tier 2 (5.625%) issued (CreditFlow)Funding
3 Jun 2026CEO message to customers on support amid financial pressureCustomer/conduct
17 Jun 2026Redemption of NAB Capital Notes 3 (NABPF) completedHybrid capital management (APRA hybrid phase-out context)
27 Jun 2026NAB outlines action on industry-wide mortgage fraud and calls for a National Economic Crime StrategyFraud/broker risk
~29 Jun–1 Jul 2026DRP and underwrite shares issued at A$37.04; ~A$1.8bn raised; Bank of America upgrades to Buy (TP A$42.50)Capital complete
16 Jul 2026Senior A$2.5bn 3-year FRN (BBSW+57) (CreditFlow)Funding
30 Jul 2026NAB Business & Private Banking investor briefingFranchise deep-dive
5 Aug 2026Anna Bligh AC appointed to Board (effective 1 Sep 2026)Board renewal
11 Aug 2026ELT changes: Wright and Matheson exit; Steel and Conway roles expanded; ubank to PB; Benson joins ELTSimplification; ELT -1
17 Aug 20263Q26 update: cash earnings ~A$1.83bn (+2% v 1H26 quarterly average ex LNI); statutory A$1.81bn; CET1 11.93%; business lending +2%, B&PB +4%; deposits +2%; home lending softer. Shares closed -4.6%Market disappointed on costs/housing
17 Aug 2026A$1.75bn 5-year covered bond (4.61%) priced (CreditFlow)Funding
27 Aug 2026NAB Economics moves to forecast an RBA hike in September; NAB joins the Buy Australian AI PartnershipMacro; AI
29 Sep 2026RBA lifts cash rate to 4.60% (4th hike of 2026, highest since 2011)Higher NIM/replicating yields vs credit stress
30 Sep 2026FY26 year-end; Wright and Matheson leave ELTTransition

Financial Performance

Explore key financial metrics, segmented revenue, balance sheet health, and performance trends.

Revenue

1 chart
Revenue by Segment (AUD): New Zealand Banking rose from AUD 1,333 in FY2024 to AUD 1,353 in FY2025.
National Australia BANK Limited — Revenue by Segment (AUD)
Series (AUD)FY2024FY2025
New Zealand Banking1,3331,353

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