Pacific Basin Shipping Limited Overview
Pacific Basin is one of the world's largest owner-operators of modern, geared, mid-sized dry bulk carriers. It specialises in Handysize (25,000–42,000 dwt) and Supramax/Ultramax (52,000–66,000 dwt) ships that carry minor bulk cargoes:
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grains and agricultural products
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logs and forest products
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concentrates, bauxite, alumina and steel
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cement, clinker, fertilisers, salt and scrap
As at 30 June 2026 it owned 106 vessels and operated about 254 ships including chartered tonnage. It serves more than 500 industrial customers through a network of regional commercial offices.
The franchise rests on three things:
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an integrated, in-house managed owned fleet;
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a cargo-led "triangulated" trading model that cuts ballast legs;
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an "operating activity" that charters in short-term ships against cargo commitments for a margin.
Together these have let the company beat Baltic Handysize and Supramax indices consistently (for example, by 16% and 17% respectively in H1 2026).
The company is debt-free on a net basis, with US$157 million net cash at 30 June 2026. It pays out up to 100% of net profit when in net cash. Its largest shareholder is Caravel Group, with about 20%.
Company's own description
The Annual Report states plainly, "We own and operate dry bulk cargo ships" (Annual Report 2023, "Who We Are"). Successive reports describe the company as operating "one of the world's largest fleets of modern Handysize and Supramax vessels." It is headquartered and listed in Hong Kong and serves global customers through local offices and a worldwide fleet (Annual Report 2024).
In its 2025 Annual Report, management describes:
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its "integrated operating platform with global customer network and triangulated trading model" (2026 interim release);
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a disciplined, counter-cyclical approach to fleet investment;
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a commitment to net zero by 2050.
Business model
Pacific Basin earns freight and charter revenue through three linked engines.
1. Core business — owned and long-term chartered fleet. Handysize and Supramax/Ultramax ships are deployed on voyage charters (cargo contracts, contracts of affreightment or spot cargoes) or time charters. Performance is measured as net daily time-charter-equivalent (TCE) earnings against vessel costs, giving a "contribution before overheads."
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FY2025 core contribution: US$117.2 million.
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H1 2026 core contribution: US$123.7 million.
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Source: 2025 annual results; 2026 interim results.
2. Operating activity. The company charters in short-term third-party ships to carry cargoes it has committed to customers. It earns a margin per operating day.
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FY2025: US$22.9 million over 27,850 operating days.
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H1 2026: US$1,060 per day over 12,650 days, about US$13.4 million.
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Q1 2026: margin of US$340 per day over 6,240 days, down 59% year on year (Q1 2026 trading update).
3. Asset management (fleet trading). The company buys secondhand ships counter-cyclically, exercises purchase options on chartered ships, sells older tonnage, and since 2024 orders newbuildings. Disposal gains are excluded from the dividend payout base.
Revenue model mix
| Revenue type | Character | Disclosure status |
|---|---|---|
| Voyage charter revenue (freight per tonne) | Service; spot and contract | Disclosed in aggregate in the revenue note |
| Time charter revenue (daily hire) | Service; period | — |
| Contracts of affreightment (COAs) | Service under multi-year cargo commitments | Volume share not publicly disclosed in sources reviewed |
| Bunker and energy-related services | Ancillary. The bunker unit was reportedly rebranded "Sustainable Energy Solutions" (Manifold Times, Apr 2026) | — |
| Product / subscription / licensing | — | Not applicable |
Pacific Basin is a pure service business: it sells sea transport capacity. There is no product, subscription or licensing revenue.
Revenue is reported gross, including voyage-related costs such as bunkers and port disbursements. This is why reported revenue (US$2,081.0m in FY2025) is far larger than economic value added. Analysts should focus on TCE earnings and contribution before overheads.
Value-chain position
Pacific Basin sits in the middle of the commodity logistics chain:
Upstream: shipyards (Japanese and Chinese), shipowners who charter tonnage to it, bunker suppliers.
Downstream: shippers and receivers of commodities, including miners, agribusiness traders, cement and steel producers, and fertiliser companies.
It is a price-taker on freight rates but differentiates through service reliability, cargo-system knowledge and global positioning of geared ships that can serve ports without shore cranes.
Customer types and end-markets
Customers: more than 500 customers (company website, Sept 2025). These include grain houses, forest-product exporters, miners, cement and construction-materials producers, steelmakers, fertiliser producers and traders. Named customers and concentration are not publicly disclosed.
Cargo mix: about 90% of laden voyages carried non-fossil-fuel commodities in FY2025, spanning agricultural, construction and other goods (2025 Annual Report summary). The listed commodity set includes:
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grains, sugar and fertilisers
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ores, bauxite, concentrates, alumina and steel
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cement and clinker, salt, sand and gypsum
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scrap, logs and forest products
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coal/coke and pet-coke (roic.ai summary of the company's description)
Independent characterisation
Pacific Basin is best understood as a logistics-intensive dry bulk operator wrapped around a mid-sized owned fleet, rather than a pure asset owner. Its earnings are levered to Handysize/Supramax spot rates. However, its commercial model has produced persistent outperformance against the indices:
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FY2025: +9% (Handysize) and +10% (Supramax).
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H1 2026: +16% and +17%.
This outperformance, together with a cash break-even below US$6,900 per day (FY2025: US$6,880 Handysize, US$6,540 Supramax), keeps the company profitable in weak markets such as 2025. Peers with older or less-utilised fleets struggle in such conditions.
The structural weakness is equally clear. Revenue and margins are dictated by a cyclical freight market. Since 2023 the company has also been unusually exposed to geopolitics and trade policy:
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USTR Section 301 fees on Hong Kong-linked operators;
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Chinese reciprocal fees;
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Red Sea and Strait of Hormuz disruptions.
Strategy
Stated strategy (themes from the 2025 Annual Report and 2026 interim)
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Focus on Handysize and Supramax/Ultramax minor bulk. The company sees mid-sized geared ships as central to flexible cargo handling and triangulated trading.
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Outperform the market through the cycle. This rests on an integrated platform, a global customer network and the triangulated trading model.
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Cost leadership. Sector-leading cash break-even below US$6,900/day; opex about US$4,790/day in H1 2026.
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Disciplined fleet renewal and growth. The company describes a counter-cyclical approach using secondhand purchases, purchase options on chartered ships and selective newbuildings.
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Strong balance sheet and shareholder returns. Net cash position; dividend policy of 50% rising to up to 100%; opportunistic buybacks when shares trade below NAV.
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Safety and sustainability. LTIF of 0.32 in H1 2026; EEOI 45% below 2008; net zero by 2050.
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Navigating geopolitics and trade policy. Singapore restructuring and pre-emptive USTR mitigation.
Strategic initiatives — last 24 months
| Date | Initiative | Detail | Financial target / magnitude |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2024 | First newbuilding order since 2014 | Dual-fuel methanol Ultramaxes (Nihon / Mitsui) | Replaced Apr 2026 |
| 2024–2026 | Buyback programmes | US$40m (2024, completed); 2025 programme; up to US$40m for 2026 | 9.5m shares / US$3.5m bought in H1 2026 |
| 2,025 | US$250m sustainability-linked facility | Liquidity and ESG linkage | US$250m |
| 2,025 | Global Security Operations Centre / Security Team | Seafarer safety in high-risk zones | — |
| 2,025 | Towngas green methanol supply agreement | Fuel pathway for future dual-fuel ships | — |
| Oct 2025 | USTR mitigation | Expanded Singapore company; leadership relocation; reflagging up to half of the fleet; board changes | One-off costs in FY2025 |
| Dec 2025 | Four Handysize newbuildings (JNS, China) | 40k dwt, H1 2028 delivery | US$119.2m |
| Mar 2026 | Dividend policy upgrade | 50% of net profit ex-disposal gains, up to 100% when in net cash at year end | From FY2026 |
| 16 Apr 2026 | Newbuilding programme reshaping | Dual-fuel Ultramaxes swapped for conventional ships (US$39.2m each); two more Handysizes (US$29.8m each); option for two dual-fuel Ultramaxes at US$45.5m each | 10 firm plus 2 options, 2028–1H 2029 delivery |
| H1 2026 | Fleet additions | Took delivery of one previously long-term chartered Ultramax; exercised two Handysize purchase options; added a long-term chartered Ultramax newbuilding (2027) | — |
Rationale for the April 2026 switch. The company explicitly cited renewed uncertainty about the global green-fuel regulatory framework. This followed the failure to adopt IMO's Net-Zero Framework in October 2025. The switch also reduces unnecessary near-term capex (company statement via Manifold Times).
Medium-term guidance
The company does not publish formal revenue or earnings guidance or medium-term financial targets. It provides forward cover:
Q2 2026 (Q1 trading update): 70% of Handysize days covered at US$14,000/day and 90% of Supramax days at US$17,080/day.
H2 2025 (from H1 2025 results): 60% Handysize at US$11,680/day; 74% Supramax at US$13,480/day.
- Cover for H2 2026 is disclosed in the 2026 interim results.
Products & Services
Pacific Basin's "products" are ship types and freight services. The catalogue is organised by unit.
Handysize fleet
| Attribute | Detail |
|---|---|
| Description | Geared (own cranes), shallow-draft bulk carriers of about 28,000–40,000 dwt with box-shaped holds, able to access small and restricted ports |
| Fleet size | Owned 58 at 31 Dec 2025; plus long-term chartered (9 per results table) and short-term chartered ships (FY2025 results) |
| Typical cargoes | Logs, grains, concentrates, cement, fertilisers, steel, salt, sugar, scrap |
| Target customers | Forest-product exporters, mid-sized miners, agribusiness and construction-materials producers |
| Latest additions | Purchase options exercised on three Japanese-built Handysizes in 2025 and two in H1 2026. Six 40,000 dwt newbuildings on order at JNS (China), delivering 2028 |
| Pricing | Voyage freight (USD/tonne) or daily hire; FY2025 average net TCE US$11,490/day |
| Flagship units | Ship names are not individually material. Example shown in company reports: Ipswich Bay (38,190 dwt, built 2014) |
Supramax/Ultramax fleet
| Attribute | Detail |
|---|---|
| Description | Geared bulk carriers of about 52,000–64,000 dwt. Ultramax is the modern 60–64k dwt design with better fuel efficiency |
| Fleet size | About 48 owned at 31 Dec 2025 (derived: 106 total owned minus 58 Handysize) |
| Typical cargoes | Minor bulks plus grains, coal, ores, petcoke, fertilisers |
| Latest additions | Purchase option on one Ultramax in 2025. Delivery in H1 2026 of a previously long-term chartered Ultramax. New long-term chartered Ultramax newbuilding (2027 delivery) |
| On order | Four conventionally fuelled 64,000 dwt Ultramaxes (Nihon Shipyard / Mitsui & Co), US$39.2m each, delivering 2028–mid-2029. Option for two dual-fuel methanol Ultramaxes at US$45.5m each, exercisable by end-Feb 2027 |
| Pricing | FY2025 average net TCE US$12,850/day |
| Flagship units | Example: Mount Aso (pictured in H1 2026 coverage) |
Operating activity (service)
The company charters ships in on a short-term basis to fulfil cargo commitments. This lets it serve customers beyond its owned fleet's capacity. Performance:
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FY2025: US$22.9m over 27,850 days;
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H1 2026: US$1,060/day margin over 12,650 days.
Cargo contracts and logistics services
Contracts of affreightment and long-term cargo relationships are the basis of the "triangulated trading" model. This combines fronthaul and backhaul cargoes to cut ballast days. Specific COA volumes and counterparties are not publicly disclosed.
Sustainability-linked services
| Service | Detail | Status |
|---|---|---|
| PB Carbon Neutral Voyage Programme | Customers can offset voyage emissions (launched 2021) | Sustainability Report 2021. |
| Green methanol supply | Supply agreement with Towngas to support future methanol-capable ships | 2025 Annual Report summary |
| Bunker / energy unit ("Sustainable Energy Solutions") | Reported rebranding of the bunker unit | Manifold Times headline |
In-house services (internal, not sold externally)
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In-house technical management, crewing (seafarer pool and retention: 94% crew retention in 2025 per the 2025 Sustainability Report summary), and chartering.
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Global Security Operations Centre and a dedicated Security Team, set up in 2025 for seafarer safety in high-risk areas (2025 Annual Report and Sustainability Report summaries).
Financial Narrative
All figures in USD millions unless stated. Fiscal years end 31 December.
Company: HKEX annual results announcements FY2021–FY2025.
Aggregator: StockAnalysis / TipRanks (standardised from company filings). These standardised lines may differ from company-defined measures.
Income statement
Notes:
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The company defines EBITDA as gross profit less indirect G&A, excluding certain items. StockAnalysis's standardised EBITDA differs (FY2025: 221.69; FY2024: 283.6).
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2022 had record underlying profit and EBITDA; 2021 had record net profit, including vessel disposal gains.
Per-share data
Notes:
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FY2022 dividend: HK52 cents interim (incl. HK17 special) plus HK9 final.
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FY2024 dividend: HK4.1 cents interim plus HK5.1 cents final.
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FY2025 dividend: HK1.6 cents interim plus HK6.0 cents final.
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Payout ratios were 75% in FY2023 and FY2022 (company).
H1 2026: basic EPS HK16.1 cents; interim dividend HK15.5 cents.
Margins
Revenue CAGR FY2021–FY2025: −8.5% per year (derived: 2,081.0 / 2,972.5 over 4 years).
Revenue YoY: FY2022 +10.4%; FY2023 −30.0%; FY2024 +12.4%; FY2025 −19.4% (aggregator, matches company figures).
Commentary. The five-year record traces a full freight cycle:
2021–2022 (boom): post-COVID congestion, restocking and port inefficiency pushed Handysize and Supramax TCEs to records. H1 2022 Supramax TCE was about US$33,840/day, up 85% year on year. Margins peaked near 30% at EBITDA level.
2023 (normalisation): rates fell as Chinese demand slowed and congestion unwound. Revenue dropped 30% and net profit fell 84%.
2024 (flat market): described as an "unusually flat freight market". Revenue recovered 12.4% on higher volumes and Red Sea/Panama disruption. Net profit rose 20% to US$131.7m.
2025: fleet supply outpaced demand in H1. One-off costs for USTR-related restructuring hit earnings. Net profit halved to US$58.2m, although EBITDA remained a respectable US$263.1m.
The low gross margin on reported revenue overstates fragility. Revenue includes pass-through voyage costs, so EBITDA and cash break-even are the economically relevant measures.
Interim trend
Sources: 2024, 2025 and 2026 interim results. H1 2026 revenue is reported as US$1.11bn. The net margin is derived; the company cites about 10%.
Balance sheet
Notes:
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The FY2024 net cash figure of about US$20m comes from the FY2024 earnings call.
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The FY2021 owned fleet count of 117 is after committed sales and acquisitions (MarineLink, Jan 2021).
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See Annual Reports for the full statements.
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Aggregator data for FY2024 (alphaquery) suggests total assets of about US$2.41bn and equity of about US$1.8bn.
Interim balance sheet (30 Jun 2026)
Source: 2026 interim results.
Cash flow and capital returns
Notes:
- The FY2022 figure of 348 is the H1 2022 interim (basic plus special) only, at US$348.0m.
FY2025 distribution: management stated total committed distributions reached 179% of net profit excluding vessel disposal gains. This implies roughly US$40m of buybacks on top of US$50.5m of dividends (derived; buyback amount not separately verified).
Ratios
Additional data points:
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Annualised ROE was 11% in H1 2026 (company).
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ROA, ROIC, current ratio, interest coverage and asset turnover need full balance sheet data.
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The cash conversion cycle is not meaningful for a shipowner.
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Net debt/EBITDA is not meaningful while the company holds net cash.
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The FY2024 aggregator ROE of about 7.2% matches the company's 7%.
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Commentary on balance sheet and capital allocation. The defining feature of the past five years is deleveraging. Windfall 2021–2022 cash flows went first to cutting debt and then to dividends: 75% payout in 2021–2023, including specials.
Net cash at end-2025 (US$134m) and mid-2026 (US$157m), plus US$674–756m of committed liquidity, give the company:
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the capacity to fund a US$298m capital commitment programme;
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room to maintain a new up-to-100% payout policy.
The fleet's market value exceeded book value by about US$357m at end-2025 and about US$510m at mid-2026. This latent NAV cushion is not reflected in book equity.
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Business Units
| Unit (as reported) | What it contains | Products/services |
|---|---|---|
Handysize (core) | Owned and long-term chartered Handysize ships (25k–42k dwt) | Voyage and time charter freight for minor bulks |
Supramax/Ultramax (core) | Owned and long-term chartered Supramax/Ultramax ships (52k–66k dwt) | Voyage and time charter freight for minor and some major bulks |
Operating activity | Short-term chartered-in ships matched to cargo commitments | Margin-based freight service |
Other / unallocated | Historically one Capesize (owned, chartered out long-term until disposal), bunker unit, overheads | Ancillary |
Revenue by Segment (USD) and Revenue by Segment
| Metric | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
Handysize net TCE (USD per day) | — | 12,840 | 11,490 |
Supramax net TCE (USD per day) | — | 13,630 | 12,850 |
Core business contribution before overheads (USD Mn) | — | — | 117.2 |
Operating activity contribution before overheads (USD Mn) | — | — | 22.9 |
Operating activity days (days) | 23,480 | — | 27,850 |
Operating performance before overheads, total (USD Mn) | — | 197 | 142 |
Revenue by Segment (USD) and Revenue by Segment (Half-Yearly)
| Metric | H1 2025 | H1 2026 | YoY % |
|---|---|---|---|
Handysize net TCE (USD/day) | — | 14,150 | — |
Supramax net TCE (USD/day) | — | 16,550 | — |
Handysize outperformance vs BHSI (USD/day) | — | 1,950 | — |
Supramax outperformance vs BSI (USD/day) | — | 2,370 | — |
Core business contribution (USD Mn) | 50.7 | 123.7 | +144% (derived) |
Operating activity contribution (USD Mn) | ~10.1 (derived) | 13.4 | +33% (company) |
Operating activity margin (USD/day) | — | 1,060 | — |
Operating days | — | 12,650 | — |
Income Statement
| Metric | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (USD Mn, company) | 2,972.5 | 3,281.6 | 2,296.6 | 2,581.6 | 2,081.0 |
Gross profit (USD Mn, aggregator) | 739.34 | 732.08 | 130.95 | 135.24 | 75.84 |
Operating income (USD Mn, aggregator) | 730.88 | 723.95 | 124.21 | 129.23 | 68.86 |
EBITDA (USD Mn, company definition) | 889.9 | 935.1 | 347.2 | 333.4 | 263.1 |
Underlying profit (USD Mn, company) | 698.3 | 714.7 | 119.2 | 114.1 | 59.2 |
Net profit attributable (USD Mn, company) | 844.8 | 701.9 | 109.4 | 131.7 | 58.2 |
Pre-tax income (USD Mn, aggregator) | 846.35 | 702.50 | 109.10 | 132.38 | — |
Interest expense (USD Mn, aggregator) | 30.92 | 23.94 | 21.18 | 21.44 | 18.93 |
D&A for EBITDA (USD Mn, aggregator) | 119.44 | 142.08 | 151.51 | 154.37 | 152.84 |
Per-Share Data
| Metric | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Basic EPS (US cents, aggregator) | 18 | 14 | — | — | — |
Basic EPS (HK cents, company) | — | — | — | 19.9 | 8.9 |
Diluted EPS per ADS (USD, aggregator; ADS = 20 shares) | 3.20 | 2.60 | 0.40 | 0.49 | — |
Total dividend per share (HK cents, company) | — | 61 | — | 9.2 | 7.6 |
Margin Analysis (%)
| Metric | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gross margin (%, derived) | 24.9 | 22.3 | 5.7 | 5.2 | 3.6 |
Operating margin (%, derived) | 24.6 | 22.1 | 5.4 | 5.0 | 3.3 |
EBITDA margin (%, company EBITDA / revenue, derived) | 29.9 | 28.5 | 15.1 | 12.9 | 12.6 |
Net margin (%, company) | 28.4 | 21.4 | 4.8 | 5.1 | 2.8 |
Income Statement and Margin Analysis (%)
| Metric | H1 2024 | H1 2025 | H1 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (USD Mn) | 1,281.5 | 1,018.7 | 1,110 |
EBITDA (USD Mn) | 157.9 | 121.5 | 197.8 |
Underlying profit (USD Mn) | 43.9 | 21.9 | 94.9 |
Net profit (USD Mn) | 57.6 | 25.6 | 105.0 |
Net profit margin (%) | 4.5 | 2.5 | 9.5 |
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View Subscription PlansBalance Sheet
| Metric | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net cash (+) / net borrowings (−) (USD Mn, company) | — | 65.3 | -38.9 | 20 | 134.0 |
Cash and deposits (USD Mn, company) | — | — | — | — | 270.6 |
Available committed liquidity (USD Mn, company) | — | — | — | 547.6 | 756.1 |
Undrawn committed facilities (USD Mn, company) | — | — | — | — | 485.5 |
Owned fleet market value (USD Mn, company estimate) | — | — | — | 2,008.0 | 1,941.3 |
Owned fleet net book value (USD Mn, company) | — | — | — | — | 1,584.3 |
Owned vessels (number, company) | 117 | — | 115 | 111 | 106 |
Unmortgaged owned vessels (number, company) | — | — | — | — | 46 |
Financial Analysis
| Metric | Value (USD Mn) |
|---|---|
Cash and deposits | 206.53 |
Net cash | 157.2 |
Total committed liquidity | 673.6 |
Capital commitments | 297.71 |
Owned fleet market value | ~2,070 |
Owned fleet net book value | ~1,560 |
Cash Flow and Returns & Leverage Ratios (%)
| Metric | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Operating cash flow (USD Mn, aggregator) | — | — | 309.3 | — |
Net change in cash and equivalents (USD Mn, company) | 49.4 | -97.5 | — | — |
Net cash outflow from borrowings (USD Mn, company) | — | — | — | 97 |
Share buybacks (USD Mn, company) | — | — | 40 | — |
Dividends declared for the year (USD Mn, company) | 348 | — | 61 | 50.5 |
Dividend payout of net profit ex-disposal gains (%, company) | 75 | 75 | 50 | 100 |
Margin Analysis (%) and Key Financials (USD)
| Metric | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
ROE (%, company) | — | 6 | 7 | — |
Net cash/(borrowings) to shareholders' equity (%, company) | 3 | -2 | — | — |
Net cash/(borrowings) to NBV of owned vessels (%, company) | 4 | -2 | 1 | — |
Cash break-even, Handysize (USD per day, company) | — | — | — | 6,880 |
Cash break-even, Supramax (USD per day, company) | — | — | — | 6,540 |
Capital Markets
| Item | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
Last observed price | About HK$4.28 (Investing.com, latest available Aug–Oct 2026); other quotes of HK$4.17 (Motley Fool) | Aggregators |
52-week range | HK$2.23 – HK$4.435 (Investing.com); HK$2.16 – HK$4.33 (Motley Fool) | Aggregators — minor discrepancy |
1-year performance | About +80% to +90% (derived from about HK$2.2–2.4 in Oct 2025 to about HK$4.2–4.3) | Derived |
2025 total shareholder return | 46% | Company (FY2025 call) |
Shares in issue | About 5.17bn | Derived from the Caravel 20.06% disclosure |
Market capitalisation | About HK$22bn (about US$2.8bn) | Derived |
Valuation Snapshot
| Multiple | Value | Basis |
|---|---|---|
P/E (TTM) | About 20.6x | TTM net profit US$137.6m (FY2025 58.2 − H1 2025 25.6 + H1 2026 105.0) |
EV/EBITDA (TTM) | About 7.9x | EV about US$2.68bn (market cap less US$157m net cash); TTM EBITDA US$339.4m |
EV/Sales (TTM) | About 1.2x | TTM revenue about US$2.17bn |
P/NAV | About 1.2x (indicative) | Book equity plus about US$510m fleet value surplus |
Per-Share Data and Returns & Leverage Ratios (%)
| Metric | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Dividend per share (HK cents) | 61 | — | 9.2 | 7.6 |
Payout of net profit ex-disposal gains (%) | 75 | 75 | 50 | 100 |
Capital Programmes
| Programme | Amount | Execution |
|---|---|---|
| 2,024 | US$40m | Completed; 138m shares cancelled |
| 2,025 | Implied by the 179% committed distribution | — |
| 2,026 | Up to US$40m | 9.5m shares / US$3.5m in H1 2026 |
Analyst Conclusions
Management guidance and outlook
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No numeric earnings guidance.
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At the H1 2026 call, management described a progressively improving freight market supported by geopolitical disruption and trade inefficiencies, especially the Arabian Gulf conflict.
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It committed to continued outperformance, cost discipline, up-to-100% payouts while in net cash, and further buyback evaluation while shares trade below NAV.
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Q2 2026 forward cover was set at US$14,000/day (Handysize) and US$17,080/day (Supramax), well above FY2025 averages.
Bull case
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Sustained tonne-mile inflation. The Hormuz disruption (about 30mt per month affected) plus Cape rerouting and slow steaming keep geared rates near FY2026 levels (Supramax about US$18,000/day YTD vs US$14,250 in FY2025). This drives H2 2026 earnings toward or above H1's US$105m.
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Capital returns. At about 100% payout on a run-rate of more than US$200m annualised net profit (H1 2026 doubled), the dividend yield remains about 5%+ even after the re-rating. Buyback capacity of about US$36.5m remains unused.
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Asset backing and cheap growth. About US$510m of fleet value surplus over book, plus 10 efficient newbuildings bought at moderate prices, positions PB for 2028–29 renewal.
Bear case
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Port-fee cliff. If the US–China suspension lapses around 9–10 Nov 2026, routing constraints and costs return. The Singapore structure limits but does not eliminate the impact.
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Supply overhang. The Supramax/Ultramax orderbook and the highest fleet expansion pace in six years could erode rates once Gulf flows normalise. The forward curve already prices a short-lived crisis.
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Valuation already discounts recovery. At about 20x TTM P/E and above NAV (estimate), the shares price in strong H2 2026 earnings. The operating activity margin has proved volatile (Q1 2026: −59% YoY).
Catalysts and monitorables (next 12 months)
| Timing | Catalyst |
|---|---|
| Mid-Oct 2026 | Q3 2026 trading update (TCE, cover for Q4) |
| ~9–10 Nov 2026 | US–China port-fee suspension expiry or extension |
| Ongoing | Hormuz / Iran blockade developments; Red Sea transits |
| By end-Feb 2027 | Decision on dual-fuel Ultramax option (US$91m) |
| ~Early Mar 2027 | FY2026 results; first full year under up-to-100% payout |
| 2026–2027 | IMO regulatory track after the Net-Zero Framework failure |
| Ongoing | Caravel holding (cap 23%) and board dynamics |
| Ongoing | Buyback execution vs NAV |
Analyst verdict
Pacific Basin enters late 2026 in its strongest position since the 2021–22 boom. The improvement owes as much to the company's own decisions as to the market.
Over a full cycle, management has shown the model works. Earnings collapsed from US$844.8m in 2021 to US$58.2m in 2025, yet the company stayed profitable through the trough. It held a cash break-even below US$6,900/day, beat the Baltic indices every year, and removed net debt entirely. When the market turned in 2026, operating leverage showed: H1 net profit quadrupled to US$105m on revenue up only about 9%.
Three structural changes since 2025 deserve credit:
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The Singapore restructuring was a pragmatic, early answer to an existential trade-policy threat.
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The Caravel shareholder agreement turned a takeover overhang into a capped, board-represented strategic partnership.
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The April 2026 switch from dual-fuel to conventional Ultramaxes protects capital without abandoning green optionality.
Paired with an up-to-100% payout, these choices make Pacific Basin one of the cleanest ways to own geared dry bulk exposure among listed peers.
The cautionary points are concrete. The near-term earnings tailwind is largely geopolitical and could reverse quickly if Gulf flows normalise. Supramax fleet growth is the fastest in six years. The US–China port-fee truce expires in November 2026. The re-rating has also consumed much of the NAV discount that management cited in August.
On balance, Pacific Basin merits a constructive but valuation-aware stance. The franchise quality is not in doubt — persistent outperformance, low costs, a net cash balance sheet and disciplined capital returns. Expected returns from here depend mainly on how long freight strength lasts, not on further multiple expansion. The November port-fee decision and the Q3/Q4 TCE prints are the decisive near-term tests. A pullback toward NAV would offer a more attractive entry for investors who share management's through-the-cycle view.
End of dossier. Data verified to public sources available as of 11 October 2026.
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View Subscription PlansExecutive Leadership
Board of Directors
| Name | Title | Tenure | Prior roles | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Martin Fruergaard | CEO and Executive Director; Chair of Executive Committee | ED from 2 Jul 2021; CEO from end-Jul 2021 | CEO of Ultragas (Ultranav group LPG carriers) from 2015 | — |
Jimmy Ng Chi Kit | CFO; Executive Committee member | From 12 May 2025 | Investment banking and corporate finance; ex-Goldman Sachs (TradeWinds) | 48 (2025) |
Kristian Helt | Executive Director | From 13 Oct 2025 (initial one-year term) | Director, Chartering from Feb 2022; Executive Committee member | — |
Board of Directors — Stanley Hutter Ryan
| Name | Role | Committees | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
Stanley Hutter Ryan | Chairman; INED | Chair Nomination; member Remuneration | Chairman since 2023 AGM; stepped down from Sustainability Committee Feb 2025 |
Martin Fruergaard | Executive Director, CEO | Chair Executive Committee | — |
Kristian Helt | Executive Director | — | Appointed 13 Oct 2025 |
John Mackay McCulloch Williamson | INED | Chair Audit | Joined around the 2021 AGM |
Irene Waage Basili | INED | Chair Remuneration; member Nomination | — |
Kirsi Kyllikki Tikka | INED | Chair Sustainability | — |
Kalpana Desai | INED | Audit; Sustainability | Appointed 1 Feb 2025 |
Wang Xiaojun Heather | INED | Remuneration; Sustainability | Appointed 1 Feb 2025 |
Mats Henrik Berglund | INED (re-designated 21 Nov 2025) | Audit (per Oct 2025 announcement) | Former CEO 2012–2021; NED from about 2024; independent director of Ardmore Shipping |
Dr Harindarpal (Harry) Singh Banga | NED (Caravel nominee) | — | Appointed 16 Feb 2026; Executive Chairman of Caravel; ex-Noble Group and Gulf Group; age 75; fee HK$1 |
Angad Banga | NED (Caravel nominee) | — | Appointed 16 Feb 2026; Group CEO of Caravel; ex-J.P. Morgan and KKR; age 42; fee HK$1 |
Board & Management Changes
| Date | Change | Context |
|---|---|---|
19 Jan 2023 | CFO Peter Schulz resigned (effective 31 Mar 2023) | Personal and family reasons |
| 2023 | David Turnbull retired as Chairman; Stanley Ryan succeeded | Planned succession |
28 Aug 2024 | CFO Michael Jorgensen resigned (effective 31 Oct 2024) | Personal and family reasons |
1 Feb 2025 | Desai and Wang appointed INEDs | Board refresh and diversity |
12 May 2025 | Jimmy Ng appointed CFO | Fills six-month gap |
13 Oct 2025 | Helt appointed ED; Cheung (NED) resigned | Coincided with USTR fees taking effect; part of mitigation of the "Chinese ownership/control" test |
21 Nov 2025 | Berglund re-designated INED | HKEX agreed with the board's independence view |
16 Feb 2026 | Harry and Angad Banga appointed NEDs | Caravel shareholder agreement |
Major Shareholders
| Rank | Holder | Stake (%) | Shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Caravel Group Ltd | 20.3 | 1,036,388,401 |
| 2 | M&G Investment Management | 11.2 | 569,456,000 |
| 3 | Pzena Investment Management | 10.1 | 514,492,443 |
| 4 | Wellington Management Group | 5.11 | 261,175,538 |
| 5 | FMR LLC | 5.02 | 256,494,261 |
| 6 | Fidelity International | 4.85 | 247,698,200 |
| 7 | Seafarer Capital Partners | 3.74 | 191,211,000 |
| 8 | The Vanguard Group | 3.68 | 188,150,158 |
| 9 | American Century Investment Management | 3.29 | 167,958,000 |
| 10 | Dimensional Fund Advisors | 3.02 | 154,072,755 |
Competitive Landscape
Key Competitors
| Competitor | Listing | Focus | Positioning vs PB |
|---|---|---|---|
Star Bulk Carriers | NASDAQ: SBLK | Diversified Capesize to Supramax; absorbed Eagle Bulk (2024) | Larger, more diversified owner; less operator-driven |
Genco Shipping & Trading | NYSE: GNK | Capesize + Ultramax/Supramax; low leverage, high payout | Similar "value strategy" dividend model |
Golden Ocean (merged into CMB.Tech, 2025) | Formerly NASDAQ/OSE: GOGL | Capesize/Panamax | Large-ship exposure; less of a minor-bulk overlap |
Oldendorff Carriers | Private | One of the largest dry bulk operators across all sizes | Main operator-model rival |
D/S Norden | Copenhagen | Dry operator; Supramax/Panamax | Asset-light operator rival |
Western Bulk | Oslo | Asset-light Supramax/Ultramax operator | Operating-activity rival |
Belships | Oslo | Ultramax owner/operator | Modern Ultramax peer |
Taylor Maritime (owns Grindrod Shipping) | LSE | Handysize/Supramax | Closest pure-play geared peer |
Precious Shipping | SET (Thailand) | Handysize/Supramax/Ultramax | Asian geared peer |
Jinhui Shipping | HKEX/OSE | Supramax/Ultramax | HK-listed geared peer |
Pangaea Logistics Solutions | NASDAQ | Ice-class and niche logistics | Logistics-led model |
Safe Bulkers / Diana Shipping | NYSE | Mixed sizes, time-charter model | Less geared-ship focus |
Peer Comparison FY2023
| Metric | Pacific Basin | Star Bulk | Genco | Golden Ocean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 2,581.6 | ~1,270 | ~423 | ~960 |
Net income | 131.7 | ~310 | ~77 | ~200 |
Net margin | 5.1% | ~24% | ~18% | ~21% |
Revenue growth vs FY2023 | +12.4% | — | — | — |
Recent Developments
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