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Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited

Company Profile Analysis

Ticker: PLGO

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Year Founded & Workforce

2014

108 Employees

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Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited Overview

Pelagos Insurance Capital is a Bermuda-domiciled specialty insurance and reinsurance balance sheet that has reinvented itself as a "capital allocator and risk selector" rather than a conventional underwriting house. With only about 108 employees but 4.7 billion USD of FY2025 gross premiums written, Pelagos deploys its A-rated capital through delegated underwriting partnerships — anchored by a ten-year rolling binder with The Fidelis Partnership (TFP), the MGU spun out of the group in January 2023, and increasingly supplemented by new partners such as Euclid Mortgage, Bamboo Insurance and Oak Global. Its portfolio spans property, marine, aviation, energy, political violence, cyber and a distinctive asset-backed finance and portfolio credit book, alongside a property catastrophe and retrocession reinsurance segment. The company competes on portfolio construction, outwards reinsurance (including its Herbie Re catastrophe bond program) and capital management, having aggressively repurchased stock below book value. Its central investment debate is volatility versus a sub-1.0x price-to-book valuation.


The company's own description

In its 2025 Form 20-F (filed 5 March 2026), the company describes itself as a global specialty insurer and reinsurer writing roughly ten lines of business — including property, marine, asset-backed finance, energy, cyber, aviation and aerospace, and political risk — through two reportable segments, Insurance and Reinsurance, with business distributed via brokers and reinsurance intermediaries and underwriting partly delegated to its strategic partner TFP (summary of 20-F via edgar.tools). Since the rebrand, the company's standard boilerplate positions Pelagos as an expert capital allocator and risk selector that combines strategic capital with specialist underwriting expertise, deploying a diversified portfolio and strong balance sheet through a network of underwriting partners (Company dividend press release, 3 August 2026). The website states the group offers over 100 products and is headquartered in Bermuda with offices in London and Dublin.

Independent characterization

DimensionCharacterization
Revenue model~100% risk-premium (insurance/reinsurance premiums earned) plus investment income on float and capital. No product, subscription or licensing revenue
Value-chain positionRisk carrier / capacity provider; origination delegated to MGAs/MGUs; distribution via Lloyd's/London-market and Bermuda brokers
Cost structureVery low internal G&A (~29M USD per quarter, Q2 2026) but high policy acquisition costs (~30–32 points of combined ratio) including ceding commissions and profit commissions to partners
Partner economicsPartners earn commissions and profit-related ("PFP") commissions; TFP's profit commission is subject to an annual underwriting hurdle (a 5% hurdle was not met in 2025 per Q3 2025 call commentary)
Customer typesCorporate and specialty buyers (energy, marine, aviation, financial institutions, mortgage/credit counterparties), primary insurers and reinsurers (for reinsurance/retro), high-value homeowners (via partners)
End-marketsGlobal specialty commercial P&C, U.S. E&S and admitted property (via partners), structured credit and mortgage credit, property catastrophe reinsurance and retrocession

Pelagos is best understood as a "hybrid balance-sheet carrier": a rated risk-bearing entity that owns the insurance licences, capital, reinsurance programme and investment portfolio, while most front-end origination and day-to-day underwriting is outsourced. This structure resulted from the January 2023 Separation Transactions, in which the group distributed its MGU operations (Fidelis Marketing Limited and Pine Walk Capital Limited) to shareholders to create The Fidelis Partnership, which was then acquired by an investor consortium (Q2 2026 6-K, Note 1). The listed company retained the balance sheet.

Economically, the model resembles a sidecar or capacity provider writ large, but with genuine portfolio-steering rights: the company sets risk appetite, decides gross line sizes, buys outwards protection, and (increasingly) allocates capacity across multiple MGAs. TFP remains the "cornerstone" relationship under a ten-year rolling binder with right-of-first-refusal features (Reinsurance News interview with Group MD Jonny Strickle, May 2026; Q3 2025 earnings call summary).

Capital-allocation framework

Management articulates three pillars of capital management — how it underwrites, how it uses outwards reinsurance to manage volatility, and how it returns excess capital (2025 CEO Letter, furnished with the 2026 Information Circular). On the Q2 2026 call management described managing portfolio volatility with an annual time horizon and shifting capacity from excess-of-loss to quota-share contracts while keeping probable maximum losses broadly stable (TradingKey transcript summary, August 2026).

Strategy

Stated strategy themes

From the 2025 CEO Letter and 2026 communications, management frames the strategy around these themes (paraphrased):

  1. Capital allocator model — deploy capital "through the right partner to the right risk at the right time," flexing allocation between partners as conditions change (Strickle, Reinsurance News, May 2026).

  2. Three pillars of capital management — underwriting selection, outwards reinsurance to manage volatility, and return of excess capital (2025 CEO Letter).

  3. Diversified underwriting partnerships — reduce reliance on a single partner while keeping TFP as cornerstone; any new partner must clear profitability hurdles comparable to the core book.

  4. Margin over volume — focus on rate adequacy and terms as softening appears in pockets of the market; shift capacity from excess-of-loss to quota-share where risk-adjusted returns are better (Q2 2026 call).

  5. Cycle-insulated specialty — grow Asset Backed Finance & Portfolio Credit, where demand is driven by capital relief rather than insurance pricing.

Strategic initiatives in the last 24 months

InitiativeDateDetailStatus
Euclid Mortgage partnershipAnnounced Nov 2024; live 1 Jan 2025First non-TFP partner; U.S. residential mortgage credit; ~35M USD 2025 GPW expectedLive
Bamboo Insurance partnership2,025New partner (U.S. property/homeowners MGA)Live
Oak Global and other partnersJan 2026Several partners onboarded at 1 JanuaryLive
Lloyd's Syndicate 3123 participation2024 onwardAccess to Lloyd's global distributionOngoing
Herbie Re cat bond programMay 2025; Jan 202690M USD multi-peril (to Jun 2027); 75M USD U.S. quake aggregate (to end-2029); nearly 900M USD of cover raised over the program's lifeOngoing
Subordinated debt issuanceJun 2025400M USD 7.75% notes due 2055Completed
Junior notes redemptionApr 2026125M USD 6.625% notes due 2041 retiredCompleted
Capital return program2025–2026Authorization raised to 200M (Aug 2025) then 400M USD (Feb 2026); dividend raised to 0.15 USD/quarterOngoing; 139.1M left at 30 Jun 2026
Founding-investor exit2025–Mar 2026Complete repurchase of CVC stake below book valueCompleted
Rebrand to PelagosAnnounced Feb 2026; effective May 2026Name derived from "archipelago"; subsidiaries to adopt Pelagos name through 2026Holding company complete; subsidiaries in progress

Medium-term targets and guidance

ItemTarget / guidanceSource
Operating ROAE13–15% through the cycleQ2 2026 call
Combined ratio (2026)Mid- to high-80sQ2 2026 call
GPW growth (2026)Mid-single digitsQ2 2026 call
GPW growth (2025, achieved)6–10% target; delivered ~7%Q3 2025 call
Q3 2026 NPEInsurance similar to Q2 (~515M USD); Reinsurance 130–160M USDQ2 2026 call

Cost programs with quantified targets: none disclosed.

Products & Services

Pelagos does not publish product-level premium, pricing or launch-year data; pricing is risk-based and negotiated per placement. The catalog below is compiled from the 20-F segment descriptions, earnings commentary and company materials. Launch years are not publicly disclosed unless stated.

Insurance segment

LineDescription and key capabilitiesTarget customersNotable disclosures
Property (direct & facultative / D&F)Large commercial property, U.S. E&S property, high-value homeowners, binder business; written largely via TFP and new partnersCorporates, real estate owners, HNW homeowners, U.S. E&S buyersDirect property grew 9.5% (period cited on Q3 2025 call); new high-value homeowners flow identified in Q3 2025; property led Q2 2026 growth via expansion of an existing partner relationship
MarineHull, cargo, marine liability and specialty marine; management describes it as a leading specialty marine bookShipowners, traders, marine operatorsCited as growth driver in Q2 2026; catastrophe/large losses in Marine in Q1 2026
Asset Backed Finance & Portfolio Credit (legacy "Bespoke")Structured credit, asset-backed non-payment, economic-linked (e-cat) risks, surety/guarantee and residential mortgage credit; buyers are often motivated by capital relief, regulatory relief and transaction facilitation rather than traditional insurance needBanks, lenders, asset managers, mortgage counterpartiesManagement says these lines are relatively insulated from the P&C pricing cycle (Q2 2026 call); Euclid Mortgage partnership (from 2025) adds U.S. mortgage credit
Aviation & AerospaceAirline hull and liability, aviation war, lessor contingent cover, space risksAirlines, lessors, manufacturers, space operatorsSource of 2024–25 adverse development from Russia–Ukraine lessor litigation; management reports exposure now substantially resolved
Political Risk, Violence & TerrorPolitical risk, contract frustration, political violence, terrorism and sabotageMultinationals, lenders, project sponsorsCatastrophe/large losses in this line in Q1 2026; Middle East events contributed ~60M USD of Q2 2026 large losses
EnergyUpstream/downstream energy property and construction, energy liabilityOil & gas, power and renewable operatorsA gas pipe explosion produced a ~34M USD loss in Q2 2026
CyberCyber insurance and cyber reinsurance participationsCorporates and cedants2024 CEO Letter references participation in Travelers' cyber book as a portfolio addition
Other InsuranceMiscellaneous specialty risks (contingency, specie, etc.)VariousCatastrophe/large losses in Q1 2026 and Q3 2025

Reinsurance segment

LineDescriptionTarget customersNotable disclosures
Property catastrophe reinsuranceActively managed, predominantly residential property cat book using a proprietary view of risk; excess-of-loss and increasingly quota-sharePrimary insurers globally (North America and international)Reinsurance GPW +40% in 2024 and +11% in 2025; Q3 2025 loss ratio 2.6%
RetrocessionCat retro capacity to reinsurersReinsurersSmall proportion of segment
Whole AccountMulti-line proportional/aggregate covers for cedantsInsurers/reinsurersSmall proportion of segment

Capital and risk-transfer "platform" offerings

OfferingDescription
Delegated capacity / underwriting partnershipsLong-term capacity for best-in-class MGAs (TFP, Euclid Mortgage, Bamboo Insurance, Oak Global, others); new partners must meet profitability thresholds comparable to existing partners (Q2 2026 call)
Lloyd's participationCapital participation in The Fidelis Partnership Syndicate 3123 (from 2024)
Herbie Re (outwards)Cat bond program sponsored by PICB providing collateralized retro protection — not a client product but a core part of the capital stack

Financial Narrative

Important context: FY2023 is heavily distorted by the ~1.6B USD non-cash gain on the distribution of Fidelis MGU (classified in "other revenues") and a 90M USD deferred tax benefit. Insurance-industry concepts (gross profit, EBITDA, working capital, cash conversion cycle) are not meaningful for a P&C carrier and are marked as such rather than estimated. Primary data come from company earnings releases; where the company does not disclose a line (e.g., FY2021), figures from StockAnalysis.com (aggregator, derived from SEC filings) are used and flagged.

Income statement: notes and sources

Sources: FY2023, FY2024, FY2025 earnings releases (6-K); FY2021–FY2022 revenue, NPE, expense and pre-tax lines from StockAnalysis.com. FY2022 net income: aggregator-derived 62.3M vs. company-reported net income available to common shareholders of 52.6M (Insurance Business, Mar 2024) — the ~9.7M gap is likely preference dividends; both noted. FY2025 GPW is the rounded 4.72B reported. FY2025 DPS derived: 0.10 (Q1) + 0.10 (Q2) + 0.15 (Q3) + 0.15 (Q4), consistent with 52.3M USD dividends paid. Basic EPS not captured in sources reviewed.

Underwriting and return ratios

Margins and coverage derived. FY2023 margins distorted by the separation gain. FY2025 operating ROAE for the full year was not captured in sources reviewed (quarterly: Q4 2025 18.3%; Q3 2025 21.4%; 9M 2025 5.2%).

Gross profit and EBITDA: not meaningful for insurers (no cost of goods sold; D&A immaterial). An aggregator TTM "EBITDA" of 479M USD (MarketInOut, July 2026) is effectively pre-interest operating income and is not used for analysis.

Growth: Revenue CAGR FY2021–FY2025 = 20.3% (distorted by FY2023); NPE CAGR FY2021–FY2025 = 18.6%; GPW CAGR FY2022–FY2025 = 16.1% (derived).

Balance sheet

Sources: 2024 and 2025 Information Circulars (total assets, cash & invested assets, total capital); 2025 Form 20-F (debt); edgar.tools (FY2025 total assets 12.44B, equity 2.40B, liabilities 10.04B). Debt principal FY2023–FY2024 assumes the 330M Senior Notes and 125M Junior Notes (both outstanding before the June 2025 subordinated issue); FY2025 total capital derived. Post-separation BVPS on 3 January 2023 was 16.24 USD.

Latest balance sheet points (2026):

Sources: AlphaQuery (Q1 2026 balance sheet); Q1/Q2 2026 releases; TipRanks Q1 call summary.

Goodwill & intangibles: not material / not disclosed separately in sources reviewed. Working capital, current ratio, cash conversion cycle: not applicable to insurers (unclassified balance sheet). Net debt: not meaningful (cash is policyholder-supporting); GuruFocus cites cash-to-debt of 1.06x.

Cash flow and capital returns

Sources: edgar.tools (FY2025 OCF, aggregator); FY2025 earnings release and Feb 2026 6-K (buybacks/dividends). FY2024 buyback amount not captured (program began in 2024; cumulative repurchases added 1.24 USD to BVPS since inception per Q4 2025 call). Capex is negligible and not disclosed separately; "free cash flow" is not a meaningful metric for this business.

The negative FY2025 operating cash flow (aggregator data) is consistent with heavy claims payments in 2025 — California wildfire losses, Russia–Ukraine aviation settlements following the June 2025 English judgment, and reinsurance timing — and should be monitored for reversal in FY2026.

2026 capital returns:

Remaining authorization at 30 June 2026: 139.1M USD.

Key ratios

Derived. ROIC, asset turnover and cash conversion cycle are not meaningful for an insurer and are omitted. Aggregator TTM ratios (MarketInOut, July 2026): ROE 15.95%, ROA 2.92%, interest cover 8.99x.

Quarterly trajectory (most recent 10 quarters)

Sources: respective quarterly earnings releases (6-K) and press coverage (Insurance Business, Reinsurance News, Bermuda Re magazine). Q4 2025 combined ratio not captured; management cited a 37-point improvement versus Q4 2024 (implying ~91%, derived).

Trend commentary

Growth inflection and normalization. Premium growth was exceptional during 2022–2024 (GPW +18.6% in 2023 and +23.0% in 2024) as the group rode the hardest specialty and property-cat market in a generation, followed by deliberate deceleration to +7% in 2025 and a mid-single-digit target for 2026. New partners contributed about 4 points of 2025 growth, meaning core TFP-originated volume grew only ~3%. This is the clearest evidence that the partner-diversification strategy is now load-bearing for the top line.

Earnings volatility is the dominant feature. Combined ratios swung from 82.1% (2023) to 99.7% (2024) to 94.8% (2025), and quarterly from 79.0% to 128.0%. The 2024–25 deterioration was driven by two discrete items — Russia–Ukraine aviation lessor litigation (287.2M USD charge in Q4 2024, further adverse development of ~89M in Q2 2025) and the January 2025 California wildfires (160–190M USD estimate). Management argues that excluding the aviation litigation the group would have beaten its through-cycle targets every year since IPO (Q4 2025 call). The improvement in H1 2026 (combined ratio 93.1%, last-twelve-month 86.4%) supports the view that the book is cleaner, but Q2 2026's 162M USD of catastrophe and large losses shows the portfolio remains lumpy.

Investment income has plateaued. NII rose from 20.6M (2021) to 190.5M (2024) as short-duration assets repriced, then eased to 184M (2025) and ~44M per quarter in 2026 as buybacks shrank the asset base and yields stabilized (portfolio yield ~4.4–4.5%, duration 2.7 years, average rating A+).

Leverage stepped up then down. The June 2025 400M USD subordinated issue at 7.75% raised financing costs (47.7M in 2025 vs 33.8M in 2024) and debt-to-capital to ~27%; the April 2026 redemption of the 125M junior notes brought pro forma leverage to ~24%.

Book value compounding. Diluted BVPS rose from 16.24 USD (Jan 2023) to 26.56 USD (June 2026), a ~63% increase plus 1.20 USD of cumulative dividends, materially aided by repurchases below book (Q1 2026 buybacks alone added 0.75 USD per share per CFO).

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Financial Detail

Group Entities

EntityFormer nameDomicile / regulatorRole

Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited

Fidelis Insurance Holdings Limited

Bermuda

Listed holding company

Pelagos Insurance Capital Bermuda Limited ("PICB")

Fidelis Insurance Bermuda Limited (FIBL)

Bermuda; Class 4 insurer regulated by the BMA

Writes most reinsurance business plus insurance lines; sponsor of Herbie Re cat bonds

"PICUK" (UK insurer)

Fidelis Underwriting Limited (FUL)

UK; PRA and FCA

UK/London-market insurance carrier

Irish insurer

Fidelis Insurance Ireland DAC (FIID)

Ireland; Central Bank of Ireland

EU carrier (post-Brexit access)

UK services company

FIHL (UK) Services Limited

UK

Service company

Revenue by Segment

Segment GPW (USD Mn)FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025

Insurance (restated basis)

—2,960.43,538.53,760

Reinsurance

605.9618.6864.6961

Specialty (legacy basis)

1,616.22,241.3——

Bespoke (legacy basis)

796720.4——

Group total GPW

3,018.13,579.04,403.14,720

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Segment Margins & Growth (%) and Revenue by Segment (%)

Segment metric (%)FY2023FY2024FY2025

Insurance GPW YoY growth (%)

—19.56.3

Reinsurance GPW YoY growth (%)

2.139.811.1

Insurance share of group GPW (%)

82.780.479.6

Reinsurance share of group GPW (%)

17.319.620.4

Insurance UW Income by Period

PeriodInsurance UW income (USD Mn)Reinsurance UW income (USD Mn)Group UW income (USD Mn)Group combined ratioSource

Q3 2024

—85.380.087.4%

Q3 2025 release

Q3 2025

Insurance loss ratio 38.8%; UW ratio 68.9%

97.5 (loss ratio 2.6%)

125.579.0%

Q3 2025 release; Reinsurance News

Q1 2025

82.3—(94.5)115.6%

Reinsurance News, May 2026

Q1 2026

147.9—76.286.6%

Reinsurance News, May 2026

Q2 2025

18.2—(20.6)103.7%

Q2 2026 release

Q2 2026

49.6—2.899.5%

Q2 2026 release (ScanX summary)

“—” = not publicly disclosed.

Segment Revenue

Metric (USD Mn)InsuranceReinsuranceGroup

GPW Q2 2026

913.5

383.3 (derived)

1,296.8

GPW Q2 2025

902.3

316.5 (derived)

1218.8 (derived)

Net premiums earned Q2 2026

51566581

Income Statement and Per-Share Data

MetricFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025

Gross premiums written (USD Mn)

—3,018.13,579.04,403.14,720

Net premiums earned (USD Mn)

1,1601,5011,832.62,258.12,294

Net investment income (USD Mn)

20.640.7119.5190.5184

Net investment gains/(losses) (USD Mn)

13.5-33.74.9-28.622.8

Total revenue (USD Mn)

1,1951,5093,5962,4202,501

Losses and LAE (USD Mn)

696.8830.2698.81,1561,090

Policy acquisition costs (USD Mn)

250.1384.4723.8999.7990.1

Underwriting income (USD Mn)

—120.4327.38.3117.2

Operating income before interest (USD Mn)

114.5108.82,087168.6322.8

Interest / financing expense (USD Mn)

35.435.535.533.847.7

Pre-tax income (USD Mn)

78.780.12,047136.4275.6

Income tax expense/(benefit) (USD Mn)

0.417.8-85.323.150.1

Net income (USD Mn)

78.362.32,132.5113.3225.5

Operating net income (non-GAAP, USD Mn)

—89.5398.9137.0205.2

Diluted EPS (USD)

——18.650.982.11

Operating EPS diluted (USD)

——3.491.181.92

Dividends per share declared (USD)

———0.400.50

Margin Analysis (%) and Financial Ratios (x)

Ratio (%)FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025

Combined ratio (%)

—91.982.199.794.8

Operating ROAE (company, %)

——18.85.6—

Pre-tax margin on revenue (%)

6.65.356.95.611.0

Operating (pre-interest) margin (%)

9.67.258.07.012.9

Net margin (%)

6.64.159.34.79.0

Interest coverage (x)

3.23.158.85.06.8

Effective tax rate (%)

0.522.2-4.216.918.2

Balance Sheet and Per-Share Data

MetricFY2023FY2024FY2025

Total assets (USD Mn)

10,00011,80012,440

Cash and invested assets (USD Mn)

4,3004,800—

Shareholders' equity (USD Mn)

——2,400

Total capital – debt plus equity (USD Mn)

3,0003,0003,255

Debt principal outstanding (USD Mn)

455455855

Book value per diluted share (USD)

20.6921.7924.61

Balance Sheet and Per-Share Data (31 Mar 2026–30 Jun 2026)

Metric31 Mar 202630 Jun 2026

Total assets (USD Mn)

13,710

not captured

Shareholders' equity (USD Mn)

2,250

~2220 (derived: 26.56 × ~83.6M diluted shares)

Book value per diluted share (USD)

26.2226.56

Debt-to-capital

0.27 reported; 24.2% pro forma after April note redemption

not captured

Dividends & Capital Returns

MetricFY2025

Operating cash flow (USD Mn)

-408.3

Share repurchases (USD Mn)

261.4

Dividends paid to common (USD Mn)

52.3

Total capital returned (USD Mn)

313.7

Dividend History

PeriodBuybacks (USD Mn)Shares repurchasedAvg price (USD)Dividends (USD Mn)Total returned (USD Mn)

Q1 2026

219.411,544,85519.00

13.3 (derived)

232.7

Q2 2026

60.1

~2.78M (derived)

21.6012.572.6

H1 2026

279.5—19.5125.8305.3

Returns & Leverage Ratios (%) and Financial Ratios (x)

RatioFY2023FY2024FY2025

ROE on year-end equity (%)

——9.4

ROA on net income (%)

21.31.01.8

Debt / equity (x)

——0.36

Debt / total capital (%)

15.215.226.3

GPW by Quarter

QuarterGPW (USD Mn)Combined ratio (%)Net income (USD Mn)Diluted EPS (USD)Operating EPS (USD)BVPS diluted (USD)

Q1 2024

——

81.2 (derived)

———

Q2 2024

~1200

92.753.70.460.5421.71

Q3 2024

741.987.4100.6———

Q4 2024

953.7128.0-122.2-1.09-1.0521.79

Q1 2025

~1720

115.6-42.5-0.38——

Q2 2025

~1219

103.719.7———

Q3 2025

797.579.0130.51.241.2123.29

Q4 2025

978—117.81.171.0924.61

Q1 2026

~1840

86.6108.01.150.9426.22

Q2 2026

1,296.899.544.40.520.3426.56

Region Overview

RegionEvidenceDirection

United States

Partner business in California property (E&S and admitted), U.S. mortgage credit via Euclid Mortgage, U.S. earthquake protection bought via Herbie Re 2026-1; California wildfire losses Q1 2025

Growing via partners

Middle East

TFP opened an Abu Dhabi office giving direct access to Middle Eastern business (2024 CEO Letter); ~60M USD of Middle East-related large losses in Q2 2026

Growing, with event risk

London / Lloyd's

Participation in TFP Syndicate 3123 (from 2024)

Growing

Worldwide specialty

Marine, aviation, energy, political risk written on a global basis

Mixed; aviation de-risked

Capital Markets

MeasureValueSource / date

IPO price

14.00 USD

Jun 2023

Latest verified close

~25.31 USD

Simply Wall St, early Aug 2026

52-week range

14.80 – 26.34 USD

Yahoo Finance, 30 Jul 2026

YTD 2026 share price return

30.6%

Simply Wall St, early Aug 2026

1-year total shareholder return

66.7%

Simply Wall St, early Aug 2026

3-year total shareholder return

95.9%

Simply Wall St, early Aug 2026

5-year return

n/a (listed June 2023)

—

Beta (5Y monthly)

0.30

Yahoo Finance

Valuation Multiples

MultiplePLGONotes

P/E (TTM)

~7.0x

Yahoo, 30 Jul 2026 (EPS TTM 3.58)

Price / diluted book

~0.95x

Derived: 25.31 / 26.56

EV / EBITDA

~4.5x

MarketInOut (not meaningful for insurers)

EV / revenue

~1.0x

MarketInOut

Dividend yield

~2.4%

0.60 USD annualized

Capital Markets — Average 1-year target

ItemValueSource

Average 1-year target

25.72 USD (Yahoo, Jul 2026); 22.73 USD (Fintel, Jun 2026)

Aggregators — note discrepancy

UBS

Buy, target 29 USD

MarketScreener

Citizens

target 28 USD

ScanX

JPMorgan

Underweight, target 26 USD

ScanX

Q3 2026 consensus

EPS 0.82 USD; revenue ~737M USD

Earnings Whispers

Dividend per share (USD)

Dividend per share (USD)FY2024FY2025FY2026

Declared per share

0.400.500.45

Authorization by Date

DateAuthorizationNotes
2024

Program initiated

Amount not captured

6 Aug 2025

200M USD (renewed)

—

20 Feb 2026

400M USD (increased)

217.7M unused at 3 Mar 2026; 139.1M unused at 30 Jun 2026

Credit Ratings

AgencyRating (insurer financial strength)

AM Best

A

S&P Global

A-

Moody's

A3

Capital Instruments

InstrumentPrincipal (USD Mn)CouponMaturityStatus

Senior Notes

3304.875%

30 Jun 2030

Outstanding

Fixed-Rate Reset Subordinated Notes

4007.750%

15 Jun 2055

Outstanding (issued Jun 2025)

Fixed-Rate Reset Junior Subordinated Notes

1256.625%

1 Apr 2041

Redeemed Apr 2026

Analyst Conclusions

Management guidance (2026)

Mid-single-digit GPW growth; mid- to high-80s combined ratio; 13–15% through-the-cycle operating ROAE; continued capital returns. Q3 2026 Insurance NPE expected near Q2 levels, Reinsurance NPE 130–160M USD. Results due 11 November 2026.

Bull case

  1. Clean book post-litigation: with aviation exposure ~95% resolved, LTM combined ratio of 86.4% (Q2 2026) indicates underlying profitability consistent with 13–15% ROAE targets.

  2. Accretion engine: repurchasing stock at ~0.8–0.95x book compounds BVPS; 23% YoY BVPS growth including dividends at Q2 2026.

  3. Partner diversification and cycle-insulated credit reduce dependence on TFP and on property-cat pricing, supporting re-rating toward peers that trade above book.

Bear case

  1. Volatility persists: Q2 2026 operating ROAE of 5.1% and 162M USD of large losses show the portfolio's lumpiness; 2024–25 track record undermines target credibility.

  2. Softening market: with peers reporting negative rate indices, mid-single-digit growth and mid-80s combined ratio could prove optimistic.

  3. Structural partner economics: high acquisition costs (~32 points) and TFP's governance rights limit margin capture and create conflicts.

Catalysts and monitorables (next 12 months)

  • Q3 2026 results (11 Nov 2026): hurricane season losses, reinsurance NPE, buyback pace.

  • 1 January 2027 renewals: pricing, retention, new partner additions.

  • Prior-year reserve development trend.

  • Use of remaining 139.1M USD buyback authorization and any new authorization.

  • Rating agency actions; FY2026 20-F (expected ~March 2027).

  • Completion of subsidiary rebranding; any change to TFP binder terms.

Analyst verdict

Pelagos Insurance Capital is a structurally unusual specialty carrier: a large, A-rated balance sheet with a tiny workforce, deploying capital through delegated partners led by The Fidelis Partnership. The rebrand from Fidelis is substantive rather than cosmetic — it marks the transition from a single-partner capacity vehicle toward a multi-partner capital allocator, a strategy that new partners have so far supported with roughly 4 points of growth.

The investment case rests on one tension. On one side, book value has compounded impressively — from 16.24 USD at separation to 26.56 USD by mid-2026 — helped by repurchases below book, including the full buyout of CVC's founding stake at 19 USD. The aviation litigation that distorted 2024–2025 appears largely resolved, and trailing twelve-month underwriting (86.4% combined ratio) is consistent with management's 13–15% ROAE target. On the other side, the company has repeatedly shown that its earnings are vulnerable to large and catastrophe losses, as the Q2 2026 miss demonstrated, and market conditions are softening across property-cat and specialty lines.

At roughly 0.95x book and ~7x trailing earnings, the market prices Pelagos for a mid-single-digit-to-low-teens ROE. If management can deliver even the low end of its target range through a full catastrophe season while continuing to buy back stock, the discount to higher-performing Bermuda peers should narrow. However, the persistent dependence on TFP — with its board designation right, profit-commission economics and dominant share of origination — remains the key structural risk, alongside reserve adequacy.

Verdict: A credible but higher-volatility value proposition.

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Executive Leadership

Executive Leadership Team

NameTitleBackground / notesSource

Daniel (Dan) Burrows

Group Chief Executive Officer & Executive Director

Joined 2015; formerly Co-CEO Global Re Specialty at Aon Benfield and Global Head of Retrocession at Benfield; previously CEO UK within the group; re-elected Class III director April 2026 (term to 2029)

TheOfficialBoard; AGM 6-K

Allan C. Decleir

Group Chief Financial Officer & Executive Director

Signs 6-K filings; leads capital management commentary

6-K Aug 2026; earnings calls

Jonny Strickle

Group Managing Director

Presents at investor conferences (KBW, Sept 2026); described rebrand rationale; earlier referenced as Group Chief Underwriting Officer in a Q3 2025 call summary (title history not fully verified)

Company releases; Reinsurance News

Ian Houston

Chief Underwriting Officer

Led Herbie Re issuances (2025, 2026)

Company releases

Michael Justin Pearson

Chief Risk Officer

Received 10,000-share award on 13 Oct 2026 (Form 4)

StockTitan / Investing.com

Miranda Hunter

Head of Investor Relations

Hosts earnings calls

Earnings transcripts

Executive Leadership Team by Director

DirectorRole / affiliationClass / termNotes

Daniel Burrows

Group CEO

Class III, to 2029 AGM

Executive

Allan Decleir

Group CFO

—

Executive director (Futu profile)

Dana LaForge

Non-executive

Class III, to 2029 AGM

Re-elected April 2026

Dame Helena Morrissey

Non-executive

Class III, to 2029 AGM

Re-elected April 2026

Daniel Kilpatrick

Non-executive; Partner, Crestview

—

Crestview-affiliated

Charles Collis

Non-executive

—

Listed by TheOfficialBoard

Michael Davern

Non-executive; TFP designee

Class I, to 2027 AGM

Appointed 14 Sep 2026; Risk and Investment Committees; actuarial and underwriting background

Charles Mathias (former)

TFP designee

Class I

Resigned effective 2 Aug 2026

Governance Overview

FeatureDetail

Classified board

Three classes (I, II, III) with staggered three-year terms

Chair/CEO separation

Yes — non-executive chair separate from CEO (vendor profiles)

Committees

Audit, Risk, Investment, Nominations & Corporate Governance (and compensation committee, standard) — Risk and Investment Committee membership confirmed in 6-K filings

Shareholder nomination rights

TFP (TFP Intermediate Holdings II Limited) has a right under Bye-Law 54.3(a)(iv) to designate a director and its successor

FPI status

Permitted to follow home-country practice on several NYSE governance requirements; audit committee must be fully independent

AGM 2026 attendance

72,748,329 shares represented (quorum)

Major Shareholders

HolderStake / evidenceStatus

Crestview Partners (Funds III & IV)

~14.3–14.5M shares per 2025 Schedule 13G/A filings (~17% of ~85M shares on a derived basis)

—

CVC Falcon Holdings

Fully exited March 2026 after sales to the company: 3.11M shares (Q2 2025, 50M USD), 4.08M (Q4 2025, 75M USD), 8.60M (Mar 2026, 163.3M USD)

Exited

The Fidelis Partnership

Shareholder; participated pro rata in Q4 2025 CVC buyback (446,589 shares, 8.2M USD)

—

Pine Brook

Founding investor

—

Insider ownership

Not publicly disclosed in sources reviewed; Form 3/4 filings active (Sept–Oct 2026)

—

Public float

~46.4M shares (MarketInOut, July 2026)

Aggregator

Competitive Landscape

Competitors by Segment

SegmentNamed competitors

Specialty insurance (marine, energy, aviation, PV, cyber)

Lancashire Holdings, Beazley, Hiscox, Hamilton Insurance Group (Global Specialty), AXIS Capital, Arch Capital, Ascot (private), Lloyd's syndicates broadly

Property catastrophe reinsurance / retro

RenaissanceRe, Everest Group, Arch, Hamilton Re, Lancashire, Conduit Re, SiriusPoint

Structured credit / mortgage credit

Arch (mortgage), Everest, AXIS, specialty credit Lloyd's syndicates

Capital-provider / MGA-capacity model

SiriusPoint (MGA platform), Accelerant (risk exchange), Hamilton, various fronting carriers

Peer Comparison FY2025

Metric FY2025Pelagos (PLGO)Hamilton (HG)Lancashire (LRE)SiriusPoint (SPNT)

GPW (USD Mn)

4,7202,9002,259.33,688.5

GPW growth (%)

7.120.75.116.1

Combined ratio (%)

94.892.993.188.3

Net income (USD Mn)

225.5577293.4444

ROE / ROAE (%)

9.4 (derived, YE equity)

2220.9

16.2 (operating)

Company Snapshot

$2,501M

Revenue

108

Employees

2014

Founded

Wellesley House South, Bermuda

Headquarters

SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Scale with lean overhead: 4.72B USD FY2025 GPW with ~108 employees and ~29M USD quarterly G&A (FY2025 release; Q2 2026 call).
  • Book value compounding: diluted BVPS 16.24 USD (Jan 2023) → 26.56 USD (Jun 2026), +23% YoY including dividends at Q2 2026.
  • Accretive buybacks below book: 15.2M shares repurchased in 2025 at 17.22 USD avg and 11.5M in Q1 2026 at 19.00 USD vs BVPS ~24–26 USD; Q1 2026 buybacks added 0.75 USD to BVPS.
  • Underwriting capability when cat-light: Q3 2025 combined ratio 79.0%, Q1 2026 86.6%; LTM combined ratio 86.4% at Q2 2026.
  • Conservative investment portfolio: ~91–92% cash and fixed maturities, average rating A+, duration 2.7 years, yield ~4.4–4.5% (Q1/Q2 2026 calls).
  • Diversified multi-line portfolio and robust outwards protection including ~900M USD of cumulative Herbie Re capacity and quota share/XoL/ILW protections.

Weaknesses

  • Partner concentration: new partners contributed only ~4 points of 2025 growth; TFP remains the dominant source of business.
  • Earnings volatility: combined ratio 128.0% in Q4 2024 and 115.6% in Q1 2025; Q2 2026 operating ROAE only 5.1%.
  • Reserve history: 287.2M USD aviation charge (Q4 2024) and 89.2M USD adverse PYD (Q2 2025); FY2024 net adverse PYD 124.6M USD.
  • High acquisition costs: policy acquisition ~30–32 points of combined ratio (Q2 2026: 32 points).
  • Higher-cost leverage: 7.75% coupon subordinated debt (2055) raised interest expense to 47.7M USD in FY2025.
  • Negative operating cash flow: -408.3M USD in FY2025 (aggregator data), reducing investment float.

Opportunities

  • Add partners in admitted/niche markets (e.g., California admitted property) to complement TFP's E&S flow (Strickle, May 2026).
  • Grow cycle-insulated credit lines (Asset Backed Finance & Portfolio Credit) as capital-relief demand persists.
  • Close the P/B discount (~0.95x) via sustained 13–15% ROAE, supporting re-rating.
  • Middle East and Lloyd's access via TFP Abu Dhabi and Syndicate 3123.
  • Removal of PE overhang after CVC's full exit in March 2026 broadens the shareholder base; Russell 2500 Growth inclusion.
  • Quota-share shift to reduce volatility while keeping PMLs stable.

Threats

  • Softening market: management acknowledged more capital chasing business (Q2 2026); peers report negative RPIs.
  • Catastrophe and geopolitical large losses: ~60M USD Middle East losses in Q2 2026; 2025 California wildfires.
  • TFP economic misalignment: partner economics (commissions, profit commissions) and board designation rights create potential conflicts.
  • Rating pressure if reserve or capital adequacy deteriorates (S&P A- / Moody's A3 currently).
  • Bermuda corporate income tax (15% CIT effective 2025) raised effective tax rate to ~18% in FY2025.
  • Residual litigation: remaining Russia–Ukraine claims under airline policies continue in the Commercial Court (Beinsure, 2025).

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Key Developments

DateEventSignificance
Q2 2025Repurchases 3.11M shares from CVC for 50M USDBegins orderly exit of founding PE holder
30 May 2025Herbie Re Series 2025-1: 90M USD multi-peril cat bond (risk period to Jun 2027)Tail protection
Early Jun 2025English High Court rules for lessors in Russia aviation case; company says ~95% of litigated lessor exposure resolvedRemoves major reserve overhang; considers appeal
13 Jun 2025Issues 400M USD 7.75% subordinated notes due 2055Capital raise; higher financing cost
6 Aug 2025Buyback authorization renewed at 200M USD; dividend raised to 0.15 USDCapital return commitment
Aug 2025Q2 2025 results: net income 19.7M, combined ratio 103.7%, adverse PYD 89.2MAviation litigation hit; CEO states event now behind them
12 Nov 2025Q3 2025 results: combined ratio 79.0%, net income 130.5M, operating ROAE 21.4%Best quarter as public company
Q4 2025Repurchases 4.08M shares from CVC (75M) and 0.45M from TFP (8.2M)Continued overhang removal
Jan 2026Several new partners onboarded including Oak GlobalDiversification
22 Jan 2026Herbie Re Series 2026-1: 75M USD U.S. earthquake aggregate cover to end-2029Eighth series
20 Feb 2026Buyback authorization increased to 400M USD; 0.15 USD dividend payable 27 MarAggressive buyback vs. peers
25 Feb 2026FY2025 results: GPW 4.72B (+7%), combined ratio 94.8%, net income 225.5M, BVPS 24.61Recovery year
25 Feb 2026Announces rebrand to Pelagos Insurance CapitalIdentity shift to capital allocator
2 Mar 2026Agrees to buy all remaining CVC shares (8.6M at 19.00 USD; 163.3M USD)CVC fully exits; accretive below book
5 Mar 2026FY2025 Form 20-F filedAnnual report
Mar 20262026 Information Circular and CEO Letter furnishedProxy materials
Apr 2026Redeems 125M USD junior subordinated notesPro forma debt/capital 24.2%
14 Apr 2026Rebrand FAQ published; TFP confirmed as cornerstone partnerClient/partner continuity
28 Apr 2026AGM approves name change; Class III directors electedGovernance
11 May 2026Legal name change effectiveRebrand complete at holdco
12 May 2026Begins trading as PLGOTicker change
13 May 2026Q1 2026: combined ratio 86.6%, net income 108.0M, buybacks 219M, BVPS 26.22Strongest-ever quarter of BV growth (>7% incl. dividends)
~Late Jun 2026Index demand
9 Jul 2026Director Charles Mathias (TFP designee) announces resignationBoard change
10 Jul 2026Citizens raises price target to 28 USDSell-side
20 Jul 2026JPMorgan raises target to 26 USD, maintains UnderweightSell-side caution
Jul/Aug 2026Sell-side
3 Aug 20260.15 USD dividend declared, payable 25 Sep 2026Dividend maintained
12 Aug 2026Q2 2026: operating EPS 0.34 vs ~0.89–1.04 consensus; combined ratio 99.5%; 162M large losses (incl. ~60M Middle East, ~34M gas pipe explosion)Earnings miss; targets maintained
10 Sep 2026Group MD presents at KBW Insurance ConferenceInvestor outreach
14 Sep 2026Michael Davern appointed director (TFP designee)Board refresh
23 Sep 2026Form 3 filed (new insider)Governance
6 Oct 2026Q3 2026 results scheduled for 11 Nov (call 12 Nov)Catalyst
13 Oct 2026CRO receives 10,000-share award (Form 4)Compensation

Financial Performance

Explore key financial metrics, segmented revenue, balance sheet health, and performance trends.

Revenue

3 charts
Income Statement: Revenue & Gross Profit: Total revenue rose from USD 1,195 Mn in FY2021 to USD 2,501 Mn in FY2025.
Pelagos Insurance Capital Limited — Income Statement: Revenue & Gross Profit
Series (USD Mn)FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025
Total revenue1,1951,5093,5962,4202,501
Gross premiums written—3,018.13,5794,403.14,720

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