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REDFLEX HOLDINGS

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Ticker: VRRM

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Year Founded & Workforce

1995

1,901 Employees

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REDFLEX HOLDINGS Overview

Profiled entity: Verra Mobility Corporation

ItemDetailSource
Legal nameVerra Mobility CorporationSEC filings
Former names / predecessorsGores Holdings II, Inc. (SPAC, incorporated in Delaware 15 Aug 2016). It merged with Greenlight Holding II Corporation (Platinum Equity–owned parent of American Traffic Solutions and Highway Toll Administration) and was renamed Verra Mobility in 201810-Q FY2022 notes
Operating heritageAmerican Traffic Solutions (ATS), founded Oct 2003 per company history page. Some data vendors cite 1987 as the founding year. Discrepancy notedverramobility.com history; Yahoo/roic.ai
Incorporation jurisdictionDelaware, USA8-K cover pages (2026)
SEC file number / IRS EIN1-37979 / 81-35638248-K cover (May 2026)
Headquarters2046 Riverview Auto Drive, Suite 300, Mesa, Arizona 85201, USA (tel. +1 480 443 7000). The prior HQ was 1150 N. Alma School Road, Mesa8-K (May 2026); 8-K (Feb 2022)
Exchange / tickerNasdaq Capital Market: VRRM (Class A common stock)DEF 14A 2026
ISIN / CUSIPUS92511U1025 / 92511U102GuruFocus; Equibles
Fiscal year end31 December10-K
Employees1,901 at 31 Dec 2025 (FY2025 10-K). Workforce cut ~5% in Q1 2026 (Q1 2026 call). Prior years: see table below10-K FY2025; Q1 2026 call
AuditorDeloitte & Touche LLP, auditor since 20 Sep 2023DEF 14A 2026
Market capitalization~US$457 million at US$3.01 per share (13–14 Oct 2026)MarketBeat/Defense World, 14 Oct 2026
Shares outstanding151,906,484 Class A shares (record date 24 Mar 2026). ~151.98M in Aug 2026DEF 14A 2026; Google Finance
Websitewww.verramobility.com; IR: ir.verramobility.comCompany
Chair / CEOPatrick J. Byrne (Chair). Jon Keyser (Interim President & CEO since 31 May 2026)8-K 1 Jun 2026
MetricFY2023FY2024FY2025
Employees (company-reported or third-party; see note)1,2881,7541,901

Note: FY2025 (1,901) is from the FY2025 10-K as summarized by StockTitan and GuruFocus. FY2024 (1,754) is the full-time employee figure displayed by Yahoo Finance in October 2025 and is presumed to come from the FY2024 10-K.

Legacy entity: Redflex Holdings Limited

ItemDetailSource
Legal nameRedflex Holdings Limited (ABN 96 069 306 216)ASX announcement 18 Jun 2021
FoundedIn business since 1995, according to Redflex's own H1 FY2008 report. Wikipedia gives January 1997. Discrepancy noted. 1997 is the ASX listing dateRedflex H1 FY08 report; Wikipedia
ASX listingJanuary 1997 (ticker RDF)Redflex H1 FY08 report
Last registered office31 Market Street, South Melbourne, Victoria 3205, AustraliaASX announcement 18 Jun 2021
Key operating subsidiaries (historic)Redflex Traffic Systems Inc. (USA); Traffic Operating Services (Saudi Arabia) LLC; Australian, UK, European and Middle East operationsDOJ; FNN (2017)
DelistingFollowing scheme implementation on 18 June 2021ASX
Acquirer / considerationVM Consolidated, Inc. (Verra Mobility). A$0.96 per share cash, raised from an initial A$0.92 bid. Total A$152.5MVerra 8-Ks Jan & Jun 2021

Verra Mobility is a US-centred provider of transaction-processing and enforcement technology for mobility. It sits between vehicles, tolling and issuing authorities, and the fleets and governments that pay them. Three engines drive the business. Commercial Services processes tolls, violations and titles for rental car companies and fleets, with segment margins above 60%. Government Solutions builds, owns, operates and maintains speed, red-light, school-bus and bus-lane camera programmes; this is where the former Redflex business now sits. Parking Solutions (T2 Systems) sells parking software and hardware to universities and cities. The franchise has historically paired scale with very high recurring revenue: service revenue was 94% of FY2025 sales. It is now in a reset. Repricing by its two largest rental-car customers, a CEO exit, $104M of Parking impairments and an 87% share-price collapse have turned a premium-multiple compounder into a levered, deep-value turnaround. Its key growth asset is the expansion of automated enforcement in New York and California.


Company's own description (paraphrased from FY2025 10-K and 2026 proxy)

Verra Mobility describes itself as a leading provider of smart mobility technology. It operates mainly in the United States, Australia, Europe and Canada, and combines vehicles, hardware, software, data and people to solve transportation problems. Its customers include rental car companies (RACs), direct fleets, fleet management companies (FMCs), governments, universities, parking operators, healthcare facilities, transportation hubs and violation-issuing authorities (FY2025 10-K, MD&A overview). Its stated purpose is to enrich lives by making mobility safer and easier (2026 proxy).

Independent characterization

Verra Mobility is best understood as three distinct businesses sharing a holding company, a balance sheet and some back-office infrastructure:

  1. A toll-and-violation clearing house for fleets (Commercial Services, ~45% of FY2025 revenue). Verra connects to more than 50 tolling authorities and 400+ issuing authorities (company boilerplate cited by StockAlarm). It pays tolls on behalf of rental and fleet vehicles and recovers the cost plus fees from the rental customer or fleet operator. Management says tolling support is roughly 85% of Commercial Services revenue globally and that about 90% of the segment's revenue is US-based (management commentary, 2026 investor conference transcript). The economics look like a payments/processing network: very low marginal cost, segment profit margins in the mid-60s (FY2025: ~$283M profit on $436M revenue, Q4 2025 call). The model's weakness has now been exposed. Three customers (the large US RAC groups) generated 34.8% of total company revenue in FY2025 (FY2025 10-K per StockTitan). They have bargaining power to reprice, insource (Avis gained the option to self-perform certain activities) or modulate fleet volume.

  2. A photo-enforcement BOOM operator (Government Solutions, ~47% of FY2025 revenue). Verra designs, installs, owns, operates and maintains enforcement cameras for cities, counties, states and school districts. It is paid per camera per month or per citation, plus product sales in some international markets (mostly the legacy Redflex hardware business). New York City is the anchor customer: NYCDOT was 17.9% of total FY2025 revenue (FY2025 10-K per StockTitan). It operates under a new five-year contract effective 1 January 2026 with a total contract value of $998M (Q4 2025 8-K). Margins are much lower (Q2 2026 segment margin 24%) because the business carries field operations, installation and maintenance labour, subcontractors and service-level penalties.

  3. A parking SaaS and hardware vendor (Parking Solutions / T2 Systems, ~8% of revenue). T2 serves more than 1,900 universities, municipalities, parking operators, healthcare facilities and transport hubs (8-K, Dec 2021). Management describes the revenue mix as roughly 50% SaaS, 25% recurring service and 25% episodic hardware (2026 investor conference transcript). The segment has disappointed. Goodwill impairments totalled $97.1M in FY2024 and $64.0M in Q2 2026, plus a $40.4M intangible impairment in Q2 2026.

Revenue model mix

Revenue type (USD Mn)FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025
Service revenue (recurring)695.2783.6841.7918.1
Product sales (episodic)46.433.737.560.9
Total revenue741.6817.3879.2979.1
Service revenue % of total93.795.995.793.8

Source: Verra Mobility Q4/FY press releases (8-K Ex. 99.1) for FY2023 (filed 29 Feb 2024), FY2024 (27 Feb 2025) and FY2025 (24 Feb 2026). Percentages computed.

Characterization by model type:

Transaction/processing fees: (Commercial Services): toll pass-through fees, all-inclusive daily toll packages sold through RACs, violation processing, title & registration.

Service-as-a-subscription / BOOM: (Government Solutions): monthly per-camera fees or per-citation fees, plus maintenance contracts.

Product sales: (mainly Government Solutions international, i.e. legacy Redflex hardware, plus NYCDOT red-light camera sales in 2025; and Parking hardware).

SaaS licensing: (Parking Solutions: T2 software).

Value-chain position and end-markets

End-marketCustomer typesVerra's role in the value chainKey demand driver
US rental car tollingAvis Budget, Hertz, Enterprise (the three significant customers)Outsourced toll and violation intermediary between toll agencies and rentersAir travel and rental days (TSA throughput), cashless tolling adoption
Commercial fleet tollingFMCs, direct fleets, fleet payment card issuers (U.S. Bank Voyager partnership, Sep 2026)Toll aggregation and payment; violations; title & registrationFleet size, all-electronic tolling
European tolling / finesRACs and fleets in Europe; foreign-vehicle fine collection (EPC); Spanish consumer tolling (Pagatelia)Cross-border fine and toll processingCross-border rental travel
US automated enforcementCities (NYC, LA, SF, Oakland, San José), school districts, state DOTs (work zones)End-to-end programme operator (cameras, processing, adjudication support)Vision Zero policies, state enabling legislation
International enforcement (legacy Redflex)Australian state agencies, UK, other export marketsHardware supplier and maintenance providerRoad-safety budgets, camera replacement cycles
Parking managementUniversities, municipalities, hospitals, operatorsSaaS, permits, citations, pay stationsDigital/mobile parking payment

Strategy

Stated strategy themes

FY2025 (Roberts, Feb 2026): execute a focused value-creation strategy to strengthen the core, enhance profitability and position the company for durable long-term growth (FY2025 press release, paraphrased).

Mid-2026 (Keyser): a reset toward customer-centricity, urgency and agility. The company is aligning business and technology investment with customers' evolving priorities (Avis framework release, July 2026; Q2 2026 release).

  • Management reaffirmed them as late as February 2025. They are now superseded: FY2026 guidance is US$945–965M revenue and US$360–370M Adjusted EBITDA.

Strategic initiatives (last 24 months)

InitiativeDateDescriptionTarget / statusSource
Transformation / cost optimization programme2025 → ongoingChief Transformation Officer role created (Keyser, 2025); exit activities in Q4 2025~5% workforce reduction in Q1 2026; ~US$10M annual savingsQ1 2026 call
Board Transformation Committee5 Jun 2026Board-level oversight of transformationRecommendations implemented 17 Jun 2026Reuters/8-K
Hybrid operating model17 Jun 2026Centralizes HR, Finance, Legal, Government Relations, Engineering and Product Management; unified customer organization under a CCOSegment reporting under review8-K 17 Jun 2026; Q2 2026 release
Commercial Services customer stabilizationJul–Aug 2026Seven-year Avis framework; five-year Hertz agreement (early renewal of a contract expiring mid-2027)Both on materially less favourable terms with volume-modulation rights. Third major RAC (Enterprise, per press) still in renewal discussions8-Ks 28 Jul and 5 Aug 2026
NYCDOT new contractEffective 1 Jan 2026Five years plus a five-year extension option; TCV US$998MNew SLAs and liquidated damages; lower pricing offset by camera additionsFY2025 press release
California speed-safety expansionJan–Jun 2026Selected by all six AB 645 pilot cities (Los Angeles, San Francisco, Oakland, San José, Glendale, Long Beach)LA: 125 sites targeted operational by end-2026Q2 2026 call; LA release
MOSAIC platform implementation2025–2026Platform modernization included in capexPart of ~US$135M FY2026 capexFY2026 guidance
ERP implementation2,025Enterprise resource planning upgradeWeighed on FY2025 CS marginsQ4 2025 call
AI-enabled products2,026AI-driven Title & Registration; AI named in risk factors as a strategic leverLaunched 2 Sep 2026Press release
Fleet-card distributionSep 2026U.S. Bank Voyager integrationLaunched 29 Sep 2026Press release
Capital returnMay & Oct 2025US$100M buyback authorization (May 2025) raised by US$150M (Oct 2025)US$133.4M spent Q4 2025; US$51.6M H1 2026. Authorization runs to 13 Nov 2026FY2025 & Q2 2026 releases
ESG / corporate responsibilityOngoingFour pillars: Community, Planet, People, GovernanceNo quantified targets disclosed in sources reviewed2026 proxy

Guidance evolution (FY2026)

Guidance itemFeb 24, 2026May 6, 2026May 26, 2026Aug 5, 2026
Revenue (USD M)1020–1030Reaffirmed985–995945–965
Adjusted EBITDA (USD M)405–415Reaffirmed380–385360–370
Adjusted EPS (USD)1.32–1.38Reaffirmed1.19–1.251.11–1.17
Free cash flow (USD M)150–160ReaffirmedNot captured105–115
Capex (USD M)~125~125~125~135
Diluted shares (M)~155~155~155~153

Implied H2 2026 (computed from August guidance less H1 actuals): revenue US$458–478M (−8% to −12% vs H2 2025's US$519.8M); Adjusted EBITDA US$163–173M (−19% to −24% vs H2 2025's US$215.2M). The full impact of RAC repricing lands in H2 2026.

Products & Services

Commercial Services

OfferingDescription & capabilitiesTarget customerLatest version / yearPricing model
RAC tolling programmes (ATS heritage)Plate-based and transponder toll payment for rental vehicles; integration with 50+ US tolling authorities; renter billing via the RACAvis Budget, Hertz, EnterpriseAvis 7-year framework (Jul 2026); Hertz 5-year agreement (Aug 2026)Per-transaction or per-rental-day fees shared with RACs. New contracts carry materially lower economics and fleet-volume modulation rights
Fleet toll management (HTA heritage)Toll aggregation, reconciliation and payment for commercial fleets; available to U.S. Bank Voyager fleet-card customers from Sep 2026FMCs, direct fleets, fleet-card programmesVoyager integration announced 29 Sep 2026Per-vehicle / per-transaction (not disclosed)
Violations managementProcessing of parking, red-light and other violations issued to fleet and rental vehicles; links to 400+ issuing authoritiesRACs, FMCsOngoingPer-violation processing fee (not disclosed)
Title & Registration (AI-driven)Automated vehicle title, registration and activation. The company says it cuts fleet vehicle activation time by up to 80% and enables same-day road readinessFleets, FMCs, RACsLaunched 2 Sep 2026—
EPC (Euro Parking Collection plc)Cross-border collection of tolls and fines for foreign-registered vehicles in EuropeEuropean RACs, issuing authoritiesAcquired 2018—
PagateliaInteroperable electronic tolling and mobility payments in SpainConsumers, fleets (Spain)Acquired Q4 2019—
Hertz technology partnershipJoint exploration of modernized toll processing under the renewed contractHertzAnnounced 26 Aug 2026Part of the 5-year contract

Government Solutions (includes the former Redflex business)

OfferingDescription & capabilitiesTarget customerNotes / flagship programmes
Speed safety cameras (fixed and mobile)Automated speed detection, evidence capture, citation processingCities, school zonesNYC school-zone speed programme. California AB 645 pilots: San Francisco (the state's first speed programme), Oakland, San José, Glendale (9 sites), Long Beach (18 sites), Los Angeles (125 sites; selected June 2026)
Red-light camerasIntersection enforcement with video and still evidenceCitiesNYC red-light expansion (300 cameras installed H2 2025). Mountain House, CA was the first programme under SB 720
School bus stop-arm enforcementCameras on school buses capture vehicles passing stopped busesSchool districts, municipalitiesGrowth driver in 2024–2026. Company survey found 82% support (Q4 2025 call)
City bus lane enforcementFixed and bus-mounted cameras enforcing dedicated lanesTransit agencies, citiesNYC bus-lane programme (150 cameras added 2022)
Work-zone speed enforcementAutomated enforcement in highway work zonesState DOTsPart of US$25M of new ARR and awards in Q2 2026
Citation processing / back officeImage review, notice generation, payment, adjudication support. Capex references "MOSAIC implementation" (a platform modernization programme; details not publicly disclosed)All enforcement customersMOSAIC named in FY2026 capex assumptions
Legacy Redflex hardware (product sales)Radar/LiDAR speed systems, red-light systems, ANPR. Sold mainly internationally with maintenance servicesAustralian state agencies, UK, Middle East and other export marketsVerra 10-Q (2022): Redflex's international operations primarily involve product sales plus maintenance services

Parking Solutions (T2 Systems)

OfferingDescriptionTarget customerNotes
Parking management software (SaaS; T2 Flex is the widely known platform name)Permits, enforcement, citations, analyticsUniversities, municipalities, hospitals~50% of segment revenue is SaaS (2026 conference commentary)
Pay stations and hardwareMulti-space pay stations, LPR-enabled enforcement hardwareOperators, cities~25% of segment revenue; episodic and declining as customers shift to mobile payments (FY2024 10-K)
Mobile and contactless payments; curbside and transportation demand managementMobile pay, curbside management, TDMCities, campusesListed in the 2021 acquisition release
Professional services and citation processingImplementation, consulting, citation processingExisting customersVolatile; declined in 2024 and grew in 2025

Pricing: Verra does not publish list prices. Contract economics are disclosed only in aggregate. The new NYCDOT contract adds service-level agreements, service credits, liquidated damages, cybersecurity and subcontracting requirements (FY2025 press release).

Financial Narrative

All figures in USD millions unless stated. Fiscal year ends 31 December. Sources: Verra Mobility Q4/full-year press releases (8-K Ex. 99.1) for FY2021 (filed Apr 2022), FY2022 (1 Mar 2023), FY2023 (29 Feb 2024), FY2024 (27 Feb 2025) and FY2025 (24 Feb 2026). Ratios marked "computed" are analyst calculations from those statements.

Headline five-year income statement

Revenue CAGR FY2021–FY2025 (computed): 15.5%. Excluding acquisition effects, FY2022–FY2025 CAGR: 9.7%. FY2021 revenue includes Redflex from 17 Jun 2021 and T2 from 7 Dec 2021. Acquisitions contributed ~US$95M of FY2022 service revenue growth (FY2022 8-K).

Detailed income statement (FY2022–FY2025)

Note: Verra does not report "gross profit". The "gross profit proxy" (revenue less cost of service and cost of product, excluding D&A) is an analyst construct. Most operating cost sits in "operating expenses" and SG&A.

Margin profile

Commentary on income statement trends

FY2021–FY2022: acquisition-led step-up: Redflex and T2 were bolted on, and travel recovered after COVID. Revenue rose 35% in FY2022. Adjusted EBITDA margin fell from 49% to 46% because acquired businesses (Redflex hardware, T2) earn lower margins than legacy tolling.

FY2023: earnings depressed by non-operating items: Net income fell to US$57.0M despite +10% revenue. Drivers: a US$25.0M loss on private-placement warrant fair value, a US$31.5M PlusPass settlement accrual and a US$5.7M tax settlement related to a 2018 acquisition. Interest expense also rose to US$86.7M (FY2023 press release).

FY2024: Parking impairment: A US$97.1M Parking goodwill impairment cut GAAP net income to US$31.4M, while Adjusted EBITDA reached a record 45.7% margin.

FY2025: peak profitability, then the inflection: Net income was US$136.6M with no impairments and lower interest after refinancings. Adjusted EBITDA margin compressed by ~320bp to 42.5%, driven by low-margin NYC installation and product revenue, NYCDOT readiness costs, ERP costs and credit losses (FY2025 press release; Q4 call). This was the last "clean" year before the 2026 customer repricing.

Year-to-date 2026 and quarterly trend

Sources: Q2 2026 8-K quarterly reconciliation table; Q4 2025, Q3 2025 and Q1 2026 releases. Q2 2026 net loss reflects a US$64.0M goodwill impairment and a US$40.4M intangible impairment, both in Parking Solutions. TTM to Q2 2026: revenue ~US$1,007.0M (computed), Adjusted EBITDA US$411.8M, net income US$44.2M.

H1 2026 versus H1 2025: revenue US$487.2M vs US$459.3M (+6.1%). Adjusted EBITDA US$196.7M vs US$200.8M (−2.0%). Net loss US$(21.4)M vs net income US$70.9M. CFO US$97.2M vs US$138.1M. FCF US$42.2M vs US$82.0M (Q2 2026 8-K).

Balance sheet

FY2021 values are rounded figures from EDGAR-derived data (edgar.tools). FY2022–FY2025 values come from company balance sheets.

FY2022 net debt is analyst-computed as carrying debt minus cash; the company reported net leverage of 3.3x at end-2022 (Q4 2022 call). FY2023–Q2 2026 net debt is as reported (company definition excludes OID and deferred financing costs). Tangible equity is computed as equity minus goodwill minus intangibles.

Balance sheet commentary.

  • Verra carries negative tangible equity (−US$552M at Q2 2026). Its asset base is dominated by acquisition goodwill (US$677M), and leverage is roughly flat at ~US$1.0B gross.

  • Debt reduction stalled after 2023 because buybacks absorbed free cash flow: US$558M of repurchases over FY2022–Q2 2026.

  • Working capital is consuming cash. Unbilled receivables rose from US$56M to US$97M in H1 2026 as NYC installations were billed in arrears. Management guides a ~US$30M working-capital outflow for FY2026.

Cash flow

Notes: FY2024 FCF includes an after-tax legal settlement cost of ~US$22.1M (PlusPass). FY2023 financing inflow includes US$161.4M of warrant exercise proceeds. H1 2026: CFO US$97.2M, capex US$55.0M, FCF US$42.2M, buybacks US$51.6M.

Commentary: FCF conversion has fallen steadily from 50% to 33% of Adjusted EBITDA. Causes: camera-installation capex (NYC, California), MOSAIC platform spend, and rising receivables and credit losses (credit-loss expense US$23.0M in FY2025 vs US$13.0M in FY2024). FY2026 FCF guidance of US$105–115M (Aug 2026) implies a further step down, to ~30% conversion.

Ratio analysis (computed)

Methodology: ROE and ROA use average balances. The ROIC tax rates (27% FY2022, 31% FY2023, 30% FY2024, 29% FY2025) are the company's annual estimated effective rates. A full cash conversion cycle is not meaningful: inventory (US$20.7M) and payables are immaterial relative to a service-dominated revenue base, so DSO is the relevant working-capital metric. ROE is inflated by the small, buyback-depleted equity base.

Leverage trend into 2026: Net leverage was 2.4x at Q2 2026 (Q2 2026 8-K). On the revised FY2026 Adjusted EBITDA midpoint (US$365M), leverage would be ~2.7x even with flat net debt (computed). On a post-repricing run-rate, it would be higher until cost actions land.

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Financial Detail

Segment Overview

SegmentWhat it containsProducts / servicesPrincipal customers

Commercial Services

ATS rental/fleet tolling, HTA, EPC (UK), Pagatelia (Spain)

Automated toll management, violations management, title & registration (AI-driven T&R launched Sep 2026), European tolling and fine processing

RACs (Avis Budget, Hertz, Enterprise), FMCs, direct fleets

Government Solutions

Legacy ATS photo enforcement plus Redflex (US programmes, Australian and international product and maintenance business)

Speed, red-light, school-bus stop-arm, bus-lane and work-zone speed cameras; citation processing; product sales

States, municipalities, counties, school districts, law enforcement agencies

Parking Solutions

T2 Systems

Parking software (SaaS), transaction processing, hardware (pay stations, LPR), professional services, citation processing

Universities, municipalities, parking operators, healthcare, transport hubs (US & Canada)

Segment revenue (USD Mn)

Segment revenue (USD Mn)FY2023FY2024FY2025

Commercial Services

372.8407.7435.8

Government Solutions

358.4390.9460.7

Government Solutions – service

344.0367.9415.6

Government Solutions – product

14.423.045.1

Parking Solutions

86.180.682.6

Parking Solutions – service

66.866.166.7

Parking Solutions – product

19.314.515.9

Total revenue

817.3879.2979.1

Segment Margins & Growth (%) and Revenue by Segment (%)

Segment metric (%)FY2023FY2024FY2025

Commercial Services YoY growth

149.46.9

Government Solutions YoY growth

129.117.9

Parking Solutions YoY growth

8-6.42.5

Commercial Services % of total

45.646.444.5

Government Solutions % of total

43.944.547.1

Parking Solutions % of total

10.59.28.4

Segment (FY2025) Overview

Segment (FY2025)Revenue (USD Mn)Segment profit (USD Mn)Segment margin (%)Source

Commercial Services

435.8

~283

~65

Q4 2025 earnings call (CFO Conti), via MarketBeat

Government Solutions

460.7

~122

~26

Q4 2025 earnings call; profit described as roughly flat YoY

Parking Solutions

82.6

~11

~13

Q4 2025 earnings call

Revenue by Segment

Segment metric (USD Mn)Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q2 2026

Commercial Services revenue

109.1117.3108.1115.1

Commercial Services segment profit

72.078.369.177.2

Government Solutions revenue

107.1122.6129.2128.5

Government Solutions segment profit

30.131.331.131.2

Parking Solutions revenue

19.922.120.620.0

Parking Solutions segment profit

3.23.81.62.3

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Income Statement and Margin Analysis (%)

MetricFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025

Revenue (USD Mn)

550.6741.6817.3879.2979.1

Revenue growth YoY (%)

39.934.710.27.611.4

Adjusted EBITDA (USD Mn)

270.9338.5371.5401.6415.9

Adjusted EBITDA margin (%)

49.245.645.545.742.5

Net income (USD Mn)

41.492.557.031.4136.6

Net margin (%)

7.512.57.03.614.0

Diluted EPS (USD)

0.250.500.360.190.85

Dividends per share (USD)

00000

Operating cash flow (USD Mn)

193.2218.3206.1223.6255.8

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Income Statement and Per-Share Data

MetricFY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025

Service revenue (USD Mn)

695.2783.6841.7918.1

Product sales (USD Mn)

46.433.737.560.9

Cost of service revenue ex-D&A (USD Mn)

16.318.219.030.3

Cost of product sales (USD Mn)

30.925.227.145.5

Revenue less direct costs, "gross profit proxy" (USD Mn)

694.3773.9833.2903.3

Operating expenses (USD Mn)

226.3273.3295.9333.2

SG&A (USD Mn)

163.1198.6195.1215.3

Depreciation, amortization & disposal (USD Mn)

140.2113.2109.1116.3

Goodwill impairment (USD Mn)

0097.10

Operating income (USD Mn)

164.7188.8136.0238.4

Interest expense, net (USD Mn)

69.486.773.964.6

Pre-tax income (USD Mn)

127.187.079.1195.0

Income tax provision (USD Mn)

34.630.047.758.3

Net income (USD Mn)

92.557.031.4136.6

EBITDA, company definition (USD Mn)

335.2286.8261.5373.7

Adjusted net income (USD Mn)

161.6172.5206.6212.9

Basic EPS (USD)

0.610.360.190.86

Diluted EPS (USD)

0.500.360.190.85

Adjusted EPS (USD)

1.021.081.231.32

Diluted weighted shares (M)

159.0160.0167.7161.3

Stock-based compensation (USD Mn)

16.717.523.025.2

Amortization of intangibles (USD Mn)

106.277.667.064.4

Margin (%)

Margin (%)FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025

Gross profit proxy margin

93.694.794.892.3

Operating margin

22.223.115.524.3

EBITDA margin (company-defined EBITDA)

45.235.129.738.2

Adjusted EBITDA margin

45.645.545.742.5

Net margin

12.57.03.614.0

Income Statement and Per-Share Data (Quarterly)

Quarterly metric (USD Mn)Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026Q2 2026

Revenue

223.3236.0261.9257.9223.6263.6

Adjusted EBITDA

95.4105.3113.3101.986.0110.6

Net income

32.338.646.818.926.7-48.2

Adjusted EPS (USD)

0.300.340.370.300.250.38

Balance Sheet

MetricFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025

Total assets (USD Mn)

1,8371,756.31,790.01,614.51,645.7

Total liabilities (USD Mn)

1,5771,525.21,368.51,349.41,352.7

Stockholders' equity (USD Mn)

260231.1421.5265.1293.0

Current assets (USD Mn)

348362.6439.5394.0440.9

Current liabilities (USD Mn)

175186.8214.8199.7210.5

Working capital (USD Mn)

173175.8224.8194.3230.4

Balance Sheet (FY2022–Q2 2026)

MetricFY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025Q2 2026

Cash & equivalents (USD Mn)

105.2136.377.665.349.6

Accounts receivable, net (USD Mn)

163.8197.8206.5234.3259.4

Unbilled receivables (USD Mn)

30.837.148.256.197.3

Goodwill (USD Mn)

833.5835.8735.6741.6676.8

Intangible assets, net (USD Mn)

377.4301.0232.3168.698.7

Short-term debt (USD Mn)

21.99.006.910.0

Long-term debt (USD Mn)

1,190.01,029.11,034.21,021.21,024.7

Total debt, net carrying value (USD Mn)

1,212.01,038.11,034.21,028.01,034.7

Net debt, company definition (USD Mn)

1,106.8918.3968.0971.8993.2

Tangible equity (USD Mn)

-979.8-715.3-702.8-617.2-551.9

Cash Flow and Margin Analysis (%)

MetricFY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025

Operating cash flow (USD Mn)

218.3206.1223.6255.8

Capex: installation/service parts and PP&E (USD Mn)

48.257.070.9119.1

Free cash flow (USD Mn)

170.2149.1152.8136.7

FCF / Adjusted EBITDA (%)

50.340.138.032.9

Capex / revenue (%)

6.57.08.112.2

Share repurchases (USD Mn)

125.1100.0200.0133.4

Dividends paid (USD Mn)

0000

Debt repayment incl. revolver (USD Mn)

34.0181.545.638.3

Returns & Leverage Ratios (%) and Financial Ratios (x)

RatioFY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025

ROE (%)

37.717.59.248.9

ROA (%)

5.13.21.88.4

ROIC, after-tax EBIT / (debt + equity − cash) (%)

9.09.87.813.5

Current ratio (x)

1.942.051.972.09

Debt / equity (x)

5.242.463.903.51

Net debt / Adjusted EBITDA (x)

3.32.52.42.3

EBIT / interest (x)

2.372.181.843.69

Adjusted EBITDA / interest (x)

4.94.35.46.4

Asset turnover (x)

0.410.460.520.60

Days sales outstanding, billed AR only (days)

81888687

Region / country revenue (USD Mn)

Region / country revenue (USD Mn)FY2023FY2024FY2025

United States (derived)

713.7763.2846.1

Australia

45.958.066.2

Canada

30.833.231.6

United Kingdom

23.820.528.2

Other international (derived residual)

3.14.37.0

Total international

103.6116.0133.0

Total revenue

817.3879.2979.1

Region growth (%)

Region growth (%)FY2024FY2025

United States

6.910.9

Australia

26.514.1

Canada

7.7-4.8

United Kingdom

-13.937.7

Total international

12.014.6

Segment Overview (Annual)

SegmentGeographic composition (management commentary, 2026 investor conference transcript)

Commercial Services

~90% US; remainder mainly Europe (EPC in the UK, Pagatelia in Spain)

Government Solutions

~85% US; remainder largely UK, Australia and New Zealand (the legacy Redflex international base)

Parking Solutions

US and Canada only

Group

"Just over 90%" North America; APAC is mostly Australia

Share Price & Returns

Reference pointPrice (USD)Return to US$3.01 (13 Oct 2026)Source

Oct 2023 month-end

19.77-84.8%

Digrin price history

Oct 2024 month-end

25.97-88.4%

Digrin

Oct 2025 month-end

23.21

-87.0% (1-year)

Digrin

Dec 2025 month-end

22.41

-86.6% (YTD)

Digrin

20 May 2025 (director grant FMV)

24.53-87.7%

2026 proxy

26 May 2026 close (pre-Avis news; implied by a US$9.23 single-day fall of ~70%)

~13.2

-77%

HBSS release (computed)

52-week range

3.40 (low as of Jun–Aug 2026; lower prints since) – 25.83 (high)

—

Equibles; Google Finance

5-year

StockStory: US$1,000 invested five years before 27 May 2026 was worth ~US$268

~-73% at that date, lower since

StockStory/TradingView

Valuation Snapshot

MetricValueBasis

Share price

US$3.01

MarketBeat, 13 Oct 2026

Market cap

~US$457M

MarketBeat

Net debt

US$993.2M

Q2 2026

Enterprise value

~US$1,450M

Computed

EV / TTM revenue (US$1,007M)

~1.4x

Computed

EV / TTM Adjusted EBITDA (US$411.8M)

~3.5x

Computed

EV / FY2026E Adjusted EBITDA (US$365M midpoint)

~4.0x

Computed

P/E on FY2026E Adjusted EPS (US$1.14 midpoint)

~2.6x

Computed

P/E on TTM GAAP EPS

~11.6x

MarketBeat (impairment-depressed)

P/B

~2.0x (book US$223.6M); tangible book negative

Computed

FCF yield on FY2026E FCF (US$110M midpoint)

~24%

Computed

Capital Markets

ItemDetailSource

Consensus rating

"Reduce": 9 Hold, 1 Sell

MarketBeat (Oct 2026)

Average price target

US$6.83 (MarketBeat). Google Finance (Aug 2026, 8 analysts): average US$6.40, high US$9.00, low US$5.00

MarketBeat; Google Finance

Recent actions

JPMorgan: Neutral, PT US$6 → US$5 (13 Oct 2026). UBS: Neutral, PT raised US$4 → US$6 (7 Aug 2026). Morgan Stanley: PT US$5 (6 Aug 2026). Weiss: "sell (d)" (14 Sep 2026). Zacks: Hold (13 Aug 2026). Post-Avis downgrades on 27–28 May 2026: Baird, Deutsche Bank, JPMorgan, William Blair, CJS, UBS

MarketBeat; Fintel

Q3 2026 consensus

Adj. EPS ~US$0.26 (Earnings Whispers); revenue estimates US$240–262M across vendors

Earnings Whispers

Capital Markets — Dividend policy

ItemDetail

Dividend policy

No dividends paid FY2020–FY2025 (2026 proxy TSR note); none declared in 2026

Buyback history

FY2022 US$125.1M; FY2023 US$100.0M (incl. ASR); FY2024 US$200.0M (incl. US$51.5M block from a stockholder and a US$112.7M ASR); FY2025 US$133.4M (6.03M shares); H1 2026 US$51.6M

Current authorization

US$250M total (May 2025 US$100M + Oct 2025 US$150M), valid to 13 Nov 2026. Remaining ~US$65M (computed: 250 − 133.4 − 51.6). Q2 2026 repurchases were minimal (US$1.3M)

Capital Instruments

InstrumentAmount (USD Mn)MaturityPricing / notesSource

Senior secured term loan (VM Consolidated)

~688.8 (refinanced Oct 2025)

15 Oct 2032

Prior repricings took the spread to SOFR + 2.25% (2024). New pricing not captured

FY2025 & FY2024 8-Ks

Senior unsecured notes

~350 (implied by gross debt of US$1,037.1M at Dec 2025 less the term loan)

———

ABL revolver (US$150M; US$35M LC sublimit)

0 drawn at Jun 2026 (US$110.5M drawn and repaid in H1 2026)

17 Oct 2030

Asset-based

FY2025 8-K; Q2 2026 cash flow

Equipment financing

~2.7

Various

New in 2026

Q2 2026 cash flow

Current portion of debt

10.0

Within 12 months

—

Q2 2026 balance sheet

Analyst Conclusions

Management guidance (5 Aug 2026)

FY2026: revenue US$945–965M; Adjusted EBITDA US$360–370M (~38% margin); Adjusted EPS US$1.11–1.17; FCF US$105–115M; capex ~US$135M; D&A ~US$120M; net interest ~US$62M; effective tax rate 28–29%; ~153M diluted shares.

Segment colour from the Q2 2026 call (secondary summaries):

  • Commercial Services revenue down a high single digit, with segment margins in the low 60s%.

  • Government Solutions margins contracting ~450–500bp to the low 20s%, reflecting NYC pricing and implementation costs.

Consensus growth expectations

Near-term consensus (Q3 2026 Adj. EPS ~US$0.26 versus US$0.37 in Q3 2025) implies a ~30% YoY decline in adjusted earnings in H2 2026.

Bull case (grounded in data above)

  1. The worst customer news is known and contracted. Avis (7 years) and Hertz (5 years) are locked in, NYC (5+5 years, US$998M TCV) is renewed, and roughly two-thirds of revenue now has multi-year visibility at reset prices.

  2. Government Solutions is a genuine growth engine. Segment revenue grew +18% in FY2025 and +20% in Q2 2026. Verra holds all six California AB 645 cities plus LA's 125 sites, and won US$25M of new ARR in Q2 2026. Installation-heavy revenue should convert to higher-margin recurring service as cameras go live.

  3. The valuation embeds extreme pessimism. EV/FY2026E Adjusted EBITDA is ~4x and the FCF yield ~24%. There are no maturities before 2030. Even a partial margin recovery from cost centralization could re-rate the equity, and the low valuation invites strategic interest.

Bear case (grounded in data above)

  1. Pricing power has structurally shifted to the RACs. Avis can self-perform activities, and both RAC contracts carry fleet-volume modulation. The third major RAC renewal is outstanding. Pre-renewal, Avis alone represented ~US$135–145M of revenue and ~US$120–125M of segment profit; similar concessions at Enterprise would hit EBITDA further.

  2. Quality of growth is deteriorating. FCF conversion has fallen from 50% to ~30%, receivables and unbilled balances are rising, credit losses are up, and Parking impairments now total over US$200M. The "high-margin recurring" narrative is weakening.

  3. Balance sheet and governance overhangs. Net leverage is set to drift towards ~2.7–3.0x on falling EBITDA, tangible equity is negative, the CEO is interim, senior departures continue, securities litigation is pending, and ~US$185M of buybacks were executed at US$20+ before the collapse. All of this argues for a sustained discount.

Key catalysts and monitorables (next 12 months)

CatalystExpected timingWhat to watch
Q3 2026 results4 Nov 2026First quarter with full Avis/Hertz repricing; FY2026 guidance hold; CS margin
Buyback authorization expiry13 Nov 2026Renewal vs debt paydown priority
Permanent CEO appointmentH2 2026 – H1 2027Profile: operator vs dealmaker
Third RAC (Enterprise) renewal—Terms, insourcing rights
Segment re-definitionFY2026 10-K (~Feb 2027)New reporting structure; possible Parking strategic review
California go-lives (Glendale, Long Beach, LA)Autumn–end 2026Installation pace; citation volumes
NYC camera additions and SLA performanceOngoingService credits / liquidated damages
FY2027 guidanceFeb 2027Run-rate EBITDA after repricing and cost actions
Securities class actionOngoingMotion to dismiss outcome
Credit rating actionsOngoingAny downgrade on VM Consolidated debt

Analyst verdict

Redflex no longer exists as an investable security. Its legacy is now one modest but successful part of Verra Mobility: the international enforcement hardware and maintenance business (Australia, UK) plus US programme capacity folded into Government Solutions. Australian revenue up 44% in two years suggests the 2021 A$152.5M purchase was sound. That cannot be said of the T2 Systems acquisition, which has absorbed over US$200M of write-downs.

The investment question is therefore Verra Mobility, which in 2026 moved from a premium-quality compounder to a stressed turnaround. The core issue is not demand. Tolling volumes, NYC camera counts and the California pipeline are all growing. The core issue is the distribution of value: Verra's largest customers have shown they can capture much of the economics through repricing and partial insourcing. That makes the pre-2026 margin structure (46% Adjusted EBITDA, 65% Commercial margins) a historical artefact rather than a base case.

At ~4x forward EBITDA, with ~24% FCF yield and no maturities until 2030, the equity already discounts a severe outcome. Real upside requires three things:

  1. a stable renewal with the third RAC;

  2. evidence that Government Solutions margins can recover toward the ~30% long-term level management cited in 2025 as installations convert to recurring service; and

  3. a credible permanent CEO with a cost and capital-allocation plan that favours deleveraging over buybacks.

The downside path is further RAC concessions, NYC service penalties and continued Parking erosion. Together these could push leverage above 3x and leave the equity as a levered option on Government Solutions.

Net assessment: a high-risk, deep-value special situation. Position sizing should reflect binary customer risk. The decisive data points are the November 2026 Q3 print and the February 2027 FY2027 guidance. Until those land, a "hold / speculative" stance, consistent with the prevailing sell-side Neutral/Hold posture, is analytically defensible.

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Executive Leadership

Executive Leadership Team

NameTitleTenurePrior rolesEducationAge (birth yr)

Jonathan (Jon) Keyser

Interim President & CEO (from 31 May 2026). Previously EVP, Chief Legal Officer (Dec 2022–) and Chief Transformation Officer (2025–)

Joined Dec 2022

VP & GC, Honeywell PMT and UOP/Aerospace ISC (2019–22); Assistant GC, Harley-Davidson (2016–19); Hogan Lovells (2010–16); Colorado State House member (2014–16); USAF intelligence officer (Iraq, Afghanistan)

BS, US Air Force Academy; JD, University of Denver

44

Craig C. Conti

EVP & CFO

Since Apr 2022

CFO, Century Aluminum (2018–22); CFO, ITW welding (2014–18); GE HealthCare IT FP&A; 15 years at GE

MBA, Kellogg (Northwestern); BS Finance, Siena College

48

Stacey Moser

Chief Customer Officer (from 17 Jun 2026). Previously EVP Commercial Services (Jul 2025–)

Joined Jul 2025

CCO, Universal Robots (2023–25); CCO, GE Digital grid software (2021–23); VP Global Sales & Ops, Tektronix/Fortive; Texas Instruments; Motorola

BSEE, Purdue

48

Lin Bo

SVP, Parking Solutions (T2)

Since Sep 2024

GM, Filtration Group (2023–24); Danaher (9 years); ZS Associates

MBA, Harvard; BSc Eng, University of Toronto

40

Hiten Patel

Chief Accounting Officer

———

1982 (Yahoo)

Jason Rivera

Chief Product & Technology Officer

————

Kristen Young

SVP, General Counsel & Chief Compliance Officer

Not disclosed (likely succeeded Keyser in the legal role)

———

Mark Zindler

VP Investor Relations

————

“—” = not publicly disclosed.

Executive Leadership Team — David M. Roberts

NameRoleDepartureContext

David M. Roberts

President & CEO and director (CEO since Oct 2018; ATS COO 2014–18)

1 Jun 2026

The Board said it was the right time for a leadership transition. The departure came six days after the Avis termination notice (8-K 1 Jun 2026)

Jonathan Baldwin

EVP Government Solutions (Apr 2022–)

9 Jul 2026

Departure disclosed in mid-June 2026 alongside the realignment

Steve Lalla

EVP Commercial Services (Feb 2021–)

30 Jul 2025

Succeeded by Stacey Moser; received severance per proxy

Mark Talbot (ex-Redflex CEO)

Led Government Solutions after the Redflex acquisition (2021)

—

Succeeded by Baldwin in Apr 2022

Directors' Remuneration

Named executive officer2025 base salary (USD)2024 base salary (USD)AIP target (% of salary)Notes

David M. Roberts (former CEO)

700,000675,000100

LTI mix 70% PSU / 30% RSU; ~89% of 2025 pay variable

Craig C. Conti (CFO)

500,000485,00075

LTI 60% PSU / 40% RSU

Stacey Moser

450,000070

Joined 21 Jul 2025

Jonathan Baldwin

430,000414,00075

Departed Jul 2026

Jonathan Keyser

450,000414,00075

Raised Sep 2025 for retention

Steve Lalla

460,000453,00075

Departed 30 Jul 2025

Board of Directors

DirectorAgeSinceCommitteesBackground

Patrick J. Byrne (Chair)

65

Nov 2020 (Chair since 2022)

Audit

Chair of Diebold Nixdorf, GXO Logistics, Stronvar Aerospace; ex-GE (CEO GE Digital, CEO Onshore Wind, SVP Operational Transformation); ex-Fortive/Tektronix; ex-Micron director

John H. Rexford

69

Oct 2018

Audit (Chair); Nominating & Governance

Ramona Park Consulting; ex-Xerox Global M&A head; ex-CFO, Affiliated Computer Services; ex-Exela director

Douglas L. Davis

64

Jun 2019

Compensation (Chair); Nominating & Governance

Oshkosh and Cerence director; ex-Intel SVP (Automated Driving, IoT)

Cynthia A. Russo

56

Jun 2019

Audit; Compensation

PAR Technology and Verifone audit chair; ex-CFO Cvent and MICROS; CPA

Michael P. Huerta

69

May 2021

Nominating & Governance (Chair)

Former FAA Administrator (2013–18); Delta Air Lines and Joby Aviation director; ex-ACS (now Conduent) transportation group president

Raj Ratnakar

58

Feb 2024

Compensation

Ex-Chief Strategy Officer DuPont and Fortive; ex-McKinsey; private equity adviser

Major Shareholders

HolderShares% of classAs-of / source

BlackRock, Inc.

22,723,44914.96

13G/A 18 Jul 2025 (2026 proxy)

T. Rowe Price Associates

9,612,4406.33

13G 17 Feb 2026 (2026 proxy)

The Vanguard Group

17235167 (prior filing)

11.35 (prior)

Vanguard reported 0% on a disaggregated basis from 13 Mar 2026 (2026 proxy)

Wellington Management

7,059,237

~4.6 (computed)

13F Q4 2025 via MarketBeat

Sunriver Management

2,956,976

~1.9 (computed)

13F Q4 2025 via MarketBeat

Undisclosed holder (MarketBeat)

2,924,781

~1.9 (computed)

13F Q4 2025

Dimensional Fund Advisors, Morgan Stanley

Not captured

—

Increased positions in Q4 2025 (MarketBeat)

All directors & executive officers (12 persons)

1,922,3611.27

2026 proxy (record date 24 Mar 2026)

Competitive Landscape

Competitors by Segment

SegmentCompetitorTypePositioning vs Verra

Government Solutions

Conduent (Transportation segment)

US-listed BPO; tolling, transit, legacy enforcement

Sold its Curbside Management and Public Safety Solutions businesses in 2024 (Conduent 10-K FY2025). Now a weaker direct enforcement rival; strong in tolling back-offices

Government Solutions

Modaxo (Constellation Software group)

—

Inherits municipal enforcement and parking contracts

Government Solutions

Jenoptik (Smart Mobility Solutions)

German photonics group

Expanding in the US through a go-to-market transition; FY2025 SMS revenue +8.5%

Government Solutions

Sensys Gatso Group

Swedish traffic enforcement specialist

Systems sales plus TRaaS; US presence; FY2025 revenue SEK 719M

Government Solutions

BusPatrol

Private; school bus stop-arm

Direct rival in the stop-arm category (market share not disclosed)

Government Solutions

Hayden AI

Private; AI bus-mounted lane enforcement

Rival in bus-lane enforcement (not disclosed)

Government Solutions

Altumint, Blue Line Solutions, NovoaGlobal

Private US enforcement vendors

Regional programmes, speed and red-light (not disclosed)

Government Solutions

Rekor Systems

US-listed AI roadway intelligence

Adjacent (ALPR/data) rather than full-programme BOOM

Commercial Services

RAC in-house toll programmes

Customer insourcing

Primary 2026 threat. Avis secured the right to perform certain activities internally

Commercial Services

Bestpass; PrePass (fleet tolling)

Private fleet toll aggregators

Compete for trucking and fleet tolling

Commercial Services

Fleet-card and payments players (Wex, Fleetcor/Corpay)

Payments

Toll management add-ons; partly partners (U.S. Bank Voyager)

Parking Solutions

Passport, ParkMobile/EasyPark, Flowbird, Amano/AIMS, gtechna, Genetec

Parking SaaS and hardware

Fragmented. T2's hardware revenue is shifting to mobile; impairments suggest share or price pressure

Peer Comparison FY2025

Company / segmentRevenue (FY2025)YoY growthEBITDA marginSource

Verra Mobility (group)

US$979.1M

+11.4%

42.5% (Adjusted)

FY2025 8-K

Conduent – Transportation segment

US$609M

+3.9%

3.0% (Adjusted)

Conduent Q4 2025 call (MarketBeat)

Jenoptik – Smart Mobility Solutions

€129.7M

+8.5%13.6%

Jenoptik Annual Report 2025

Sensys Gatso Group

SEK 719M

+14% (+20% constant currency)

15.2%

Sensys Gatso year-end report 2025

Company Snapshot

$979.1M

Revenue

1,901

Employees

$457M

Market Cap

1995

Founded

Arizona, US

Headquarters

SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Exceptional unit economics in Commercial Services. FY2025 segment profit ~US$283M on US$436M revenue (~65% margin; Q4 2025 call).
  • Recurring revenue. Service revenue was 93.8% of FY2025 revenue (US$918.1M of US$979.1M; FY2025 8-K).
  • Anchor government franchise secured. NYCDOT five-year contract with US$998M TCV plus a five-year extension option (FY2025 8-K).
  • California sweep. Selected by all six AB 645 cities, including LA's 125-site programme (Q2 2026 call; LA release).
  • Strong cash generation even in a reset year. FY2025 CFO US$255.8M; FY2026 FCF guidance US$105–115M, roughly 24% of current market cap (computed).
  • Redflex-derived international growth. Australia revenue up from US$45.9M (FY2023) to US$66.2M (FY2025) (FY2025 10-K).

Weaknesses

  • Customer concentration. Three RACs at 34.8% and NYCDOT at 17.9% of FY2025 revenue (10-K).
  • Weakened negotiating position. Avis and Hertz renewals are on materially less favourable terms with volume-modulation rights (Q2 2026 8-K).
  • Parking Solutions underperformance. Cumulative US$161.1M goodwill and US$40.4M intangible impairments (FY2024 and Q2 2026 8-Ks); Q2 2026 segment margin 11%.
  • Leverage with negative tangible equity. Net debt US$993.2M (2.4x); tangible equity −US$552M (Q2 2026, computed).
  • Declining cash conversion. FCF/Adjusted EBITDA fell from 50% (FY2022) to 33% (FY2025); capex rose to US$119M (FY2025 8-K).
  • Leadership instability. CEO exit (Jun 2026), Government Solutions EVP exit (Jul 2026), Commercial EVP turnover (2025); interim CEO with a legal and transformation background.

Opportunities

  • California expansion. Management says ~US$500M of SAM was opened domestically, half from California speed and red-light (2026 conference transcript).
  • NYC camera growth. NYC service revenue +36% YoY in Q2 2026 despite repricing (Q2 call).
  • Fleet channel expansion. U.S. Bank Voyager integration (Sep 2026) brings new fleet distribution.
  • AI-driven product extensions. Title & Registration claims up to 80% faster activation (Sep 2026).
  • Cost take-out under the new operating model. ~US$10M from Q1 2026 cuts, with further centralization in progress (Q1 call; Jun 2026 8-K).
  • Valuation-driven strategic options. EV/Adjusted EBITDA ~3.5x TTM (computed) could attract a strategic buyer or private equity (speculative).

Threats

  • Further RAC insourcing or termination. Risk factors warn that termination of either extended contract could have a material adverse effect, and the third major RAC is still in renewal discussions (Q2 2026 8-K).
  • Fleet-volume modulation could make Commercial revenue volatile (Q2 2026 8-K).
  • Federal and political pushback. USDOT ended SS4A grants for safety cameras outside school and work zones, calling them unfair revenue schemes (Smart Cities Dive).
  • NYC contract penalties. The new SLAs, service credits and liquidated damages create downside (FY2025 8-K).
  • Securities litigation. Class action covering 24 Feb–26 May 2026 purchasers, D. Ariz. (Levi & Korsinsky).
  • Further impairments and covenant headroom risk if EBITDA declines. Risk factors explicitly flag further goodwill impairment (Q2 2026 8-K).

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Key Developments

DateEventSignificance
7 May 2025Q1 2025: revenue US$223.3M, Adj. EPS US$0.30 Earnings history (opencapital)Solid start to FY2025
15 May 2025ABL revolver increased from US$75M to US$125M (Fourth ABL Amendment) TipRanks / 8-KLiquidity
May 2025Board authorizes US$100M buyback over 18 months FY2025 8-KCapital return
6 Aug 2025Q2 2025: revenue US$236.0M, Adj. EPS US$0.34 8-KIn line
21 Jul 2025Stacey Moser joins as EVP Commercial Services ProxyLeadership change
30 Jul 2025Steve Lalla departs ProxyLeadership change
Sep 2025Keyser's salary raised for retention; named Chief Transformation Officer during 2025 ProxySignals transformation agenda
17 Oct 2025US$150M ABL (2030) and US$688.8M term loan (2032) refinancing FY2025 8-KMaturities extended
23 Oct 2025Buyback authorization raised by US$150M (to US$250M) FY2025 8-KCapital return
29 Oct 2025Q3 2025: revenue US$261.9M (+16%); FY2025 guidance revised 8-KPeak quarter
Q4 2025US$133.4M of buybacks (6.03M shares); exit activities initiated FY2025 8-KBought back stock near US$22
Dec 2025NYC 300-camera red-light expansion completed FY2025 8-KUS$38.4M FY2025 revenue
1 Jan 2026New NYCDOT contract (US$998M TCV) effective FY2025 8-KAnchor renewed at lower pricing
Jan 2026Glendale and Long Beach select Verra for speed programmes KurrantCalifornia momentum
Feb 2026Legal settlement finalized; Verra receives cash plus ordinary shares of an Australian-listed company (counterparty not identified) Q1 2026 8-K~US$10.3M Q1 gain
24 Feb 2026FY2025 results; FY2026 guidance US$1,020–1,030M revenue 8-KPre-shock outlook
Q1 2026~5% workforce reduction; US$50.2M buyback (2.2M shares) Q1 call; Munich-startup summaryCost and capital actions
6 Apr 20262026 proxy filed DEF 14AGovernance
6 May 2026Q1 2026: revenue flat at US$223.6M; guidance reaffirmed; CEO describes Avis talks as ongoing and constructive 8-K; HBSS releaseLater cited in litigation
19 May 2026AGM: Byrne, Roberts, Rexford re-elected; say-on-pay approved 8-KGovernance
26 May 2026Avis termination notice (effective Sep 2026); guidance cut to US$985–995M revenue 8-K~US$135–145M annualized revenue at risk
27 May 2026Shares fall ~70% (~US$1.4B market cap lost). Downgrades from Baird, Deutsche Bank, JPMorgan (to Underweight), William Blair, CJS; UBS on 28 May Fintel; Motley FoolRe-rating
1 Jun 2026CEO Roberts exits; Keyser interim CEO; search firm retained 8-KLeadership crisis
4 Jun 2026Plaintiff-firm investigations announced (HBSS); class action later filed (D. Ariz.) PR Newswire; Levi & KorsinskyLitigation
5 Jun 2026Board forms Transformation Committee Reuters briefGovernance
15 Jun 2026Los Angeles speed safety award (125 sites) Press release; ReutersLargest California programme
17 Jun 2026Organizational realignment; Moser named CCO; Baldwin departure (effective 9 Jul) 8-KOperating model reset
13 Jul 2026JPMorgan upgrades to Neutral, PT US$6 GoldeselSentiment stabilization
28 Jul 2026Avis framework: seven-year contract, materially less favourable 8-KCustomer retained
5 Aug 2026Q2 2026: revenue US$263.6M (+12%); net loss US$48.2M (US$104.4M impairments); Hertz five-year deal; guidance cut to US$945–965M 8-KSecond guidance cut
26 Aug 2026Hertz technology partnership expansion Press releaseRelationship deepening
2 Sep 2026AI-driven Title & Registration launched Press releaseProduct innovation
22 Sep 2026Form 4: Keyser RSU vesting KalkineRoutine
29 Sep 2026U.S. Bank Voyager toll management partnership Press releaseChannel expansion
29 Sep 2026Shares close at US$3.04: −27.6% in one month, −87.5% over 52 weeks Yahoo Finance / American Century letterContinued derating
13–14 Oct 2026JPMorgan cuts PT from US$6 to US$5 (Neutral); shares ~US$3.01; consensus "Reduce", avg PT US$6.83 Defense World / MarketBeatPre-Q3 sentiment
4 Nov 2026 (scheduled)Q3 2026 results expected; consensus Adj. EPS ~US$0.26 Earnings WhispersFirst quarter with full RAC repricing

Financial Performance

Explore key financial metrics, segmented revenue, balance sheet health, and performance trends.

Revenue

5 charts
Income Statement: Revenue & Gross Profit: Service revenue rose from USD 695.2 Mn in FY2022 to USD 918.1 Mn in FY2025.
REDFLEX HOLDINGS — Income Statement: Revenue & Gross Profit
Series (USD Mn)FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025
Service revenue695.2783.6841.7918.1
Product sales46.433.737.560.9
Cost of service revenue ex-D&A16.318.21930.3
Cost of product sales30.925.227.145.5
Revenue less direct costs, "gross profit proxy"694.3773.9833.2903.3

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Sources

Sources

  1. Verra Mobility 8-K Ex. 99.1, Q2 2026 results (5 Aug 2026): sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1682745/000119312526335111/vrrm-ex99_1.htm
  2. Verra Mobility 8-K Ex. 99.1, FY2025 results (24 Feb 2026): sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1682745/000119312526067015/vrrm-ex99_1.htm
  3. Verra Mobility 8-K Ex. 99.1, FY2024 results (27 Feb 2025): sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1682745/000095017025029073/vrrm-ex99_1.htm
  4. Verra Mobility 8-K Ex. 99.1, FY2023 results (29 Feb 2024): sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1682745/000095017024023081/vrrm-ex99_1.htm
  5. Verra Mobility 8-K Ex. 99.1, FY2022 results (1 Mar 2023) and FY2021 results (Apr 2022), sec.gov
  6. Verra Mobility Form 10-K FY2025: sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1682745/000119312526067293/vrrm-20251231.htm
  7. Verra Mobility Form 10-K FY2024: sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1682745/000095017025029180/vrrm-20241231.htm
  8. Verra Mobility DEF 14A (6 Apr 2026): sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1682745/000119312526143753/vrrm-20260331.htm
  9. Verra Mobility 8-Ks: Avis termination (26 May 2026) · CEO transition (1 Jun 2026); organizational changes (17 Jun 2026) · Avis framework (28 Jul 2026) · Q1 2026 results (6 May 2026) · AGM results (19 May 2026), sec.gov / ir.verramobility.com
  10. Verra Mobility 8-Ks: Redflex binding agreement (21 Jan 2021) and completion (17 Jun 2021) · T2 Systems completion (7 Dec 2021) · NYC renewal (7 Feb 2022)
  11. Redflex Holdings ASX announcements: scheme implementation (18 Jun 2021) · H1 FY2021 Appendix 4D (24 Feb 2021), announcements.asx.com.au
  12. Verra Mobility press releases: Los Angeles speed programme (Jun 2026) · Hertz partnership (26 Aug 2026) · AI Title & Registration (2 Sep 2026) · U.S. Bank (29 Sep 2026), ir.verramobility.com
  13. US DOJ (N.D. Ill.) press release on Karen Finley guilty plea, justice.gov
  14. Jenoptik Annual Report 2025: Sensys Gatso Year-End Report 2025 · Conduent Q4/FY2025 results and 10-K FY2025
  15. Secondary: MarketBeat earnings-call summaries (Q4 2025, Q1 2026, Q2 2026) · Motley Fool · Investing.com · StockStory/TradingView · Yahoo Finance · Fintel · Levi & Korsinsky · HBSS (PR Newswire) · Stockhead · FNN · Pocket GPS World · Wikipedia (Redflex Holdings) · Smart Cities Dive · Kurrant · Digrin · Equibles · Earnings Whispers · StockTitan · Revelio Labs; roic.ai · Clime/Livewire

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