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Ridley Corporation Limited

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Ticker: RIC.AX

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Year Founded & Workforce

1987

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Ridley Corporation Limited Overview

Ridley is Australia's largest commercial stockfeed manufacturer and, since 30 September 2025, owner of Australia's number one fertiliser distribution business, Incitec Pivot Fertilisers (IPF). The company has moved from a pure animal-nutrition processor to a diversified agricultural inputs and services platform with three reporting pillars:

Fertilisers: import, storage and distribution of urea, phosphates, UAN and SSP.

Bulk Stockfeeds: pelleted and mash feeds for poultry, pigs, dairy, beef and sheep.

Packaged Feeds & Ingredients: branded and private-label bagged feeds, extruded petfood, rendering of abattoir by-products, and mechanically deboned meat for global petfood makers.

The combination gives Ridley exposure to both Australian cropping and livestock. Management argues this counter-cyclical mix (fertiliser demand rises with good seasons, supplementary feed demand rises in dry ones) dampens weather risk.

FY26 revenue was A$2.86bn, up 120%. Underlying EBITDA was A$157.8m, up 62%. The strategic agenda now centres on integrating IPF, reconfiguring its network to import-only, and delivering the FY26–FY28 Growth Plan.


Company self-description

Ridley's annual reports open by describing the group as an integrated animal feed manufacturer serving a diverse mix of species and lifecycles. The FY25 Annual Report, titled "Leading Together", positions FY25 as a defining year that added a third growth pillar through the IPF acquisition. Since FY26 the company calls itself a "leading diversified Australian agricultural services business" (ASX acquisition announcement, 12 May 2025).

At the FY26 results, the MD described Ridley as now holding number one positions in each of its markets, with more resilience across weather, biosecurity and commodity cycles (FY26 results call, 20 August 2026).

Business model and revenue model

Revenue is overwhelmingly product sales. There is no subscription or licensing revenue of significance; NovaqPro was intended as a licensed or partnered ingredient but has been written off. The four economic engines are below.

Value-chain position

Ridley sits mid-stream in the food-protein and crop-input chains:

Upstream: it buys grain, oilseed meals, abattoir by-products and imported fertiliser.

Downstream: it sells to intensive livestock producers, rural retailers, petfood manufacturers, biofuel producers and, through IPF, to the dealer and retail networks that service broadacre and horticultural farmers.

There are cross-segment links. Some IPF fertiliser customers are also grain suppliers to Ridley's mills (CEO, 12 May 2025). The rendering plants supply a large share of Ridley's own feed ingredients (FY22 and FY23 Annual Reports).

Independent characterisation

Ridley is best understood as a scale processor and distributor of commoditised agricultural inputs. Its competitive edge rests on network density, procurement capability and customer integration rather than proprietary technology. Margins are thin: EBITDA was about 7–7.5% of revenue pre-IPF and about 5.5% in FY26, when the lower-margin, high-turnover fertiliser revenue was added. Returns depend on asset utilisation and working-capital discipline.

The IPF acquisition changes the risk profile in four ways:

  • It brings in global commodity-price and freight risk.

  • It structurally raises working capital, by at least A$50m more than the June 2026 level according to the CFO.

  • It increases exposure to geopolitical supply shocks, illustrated by the 2026 Strait of Hormuz closure.

  • It also roughly doubles the earnings base, and IPF was bought at a discount to fair value (a A$37.5m gain on bargain purchase).

Strategy

Stated strategy themes

From the FY25–FY26 Annual Reports, the 10 March 2026 Investor Strategy Day, and the FY26 results:

Diversified agricultural services leader: Number one positions in fertiliser distribution, bulk stockfeed, and parts of packaged feeds and ingredients, giving resilience across weather, biosecurity and commodity cycles.

"Climb the Wall of Value.": Move ingredient recovery output into higher-value nutrients for petfood and aquafeed (OMP, Oceania Petfood Solutions, Thailand channel).

Bulk Stockfeeds "flywheel.": Scale and technology (NIR, debottlenecking) drive cost, which wins volume, which lifts utilisation.

Fertilisers: Reconfigure into a distribution-only, import-based model; develop supply advantages; build value-added products (UAN).

Five fundamentals: practical risk management, disciplined capital allocation, people and performance alignment, targeted project delivery, embedded sustainability.

Medium-term guidance

Ridley does not give numeric EBITDA guidance. For FY27 it expects earnings growth in each segment:

Fertilisers: a full year of ownership plus integration benefits.

Bulk Stockfeeds: volume growth and better capacity utilisation.

Packaged & Ingredients: operational recovery and an improved commodity outlook.

The Growth Plan's indicative EBITDA path was "on track" at the end of year one (FY26 results).

Products & Services

Ridley does not publish list prices. Pricing is generally formula- or contract-based, reflecting ingredient costs for feed and import parity for fertiliser.

Product Portfolio

Product / serviceDescriptionTarget customerStatus / notes

Urea (imported)

Granular nitrogen fertiliser, the largest-volume product. Historically sourced partly from Middle East producers; re-sourced in 2026 from Indonesia and other Southeast Asian suppliers.

Dealers and rural retailers serving broadacre, pasture and sugar

4 urea cargoes covered by government CFDs in 2026. A contracted urea supply of at least 700kt a year was arranged at the acquisition (May 2025 announcement).

DAP / MAP (ammonium phosphates)

Phosphate fertilisers. Sole offtake of domestic and export volumes from Phosphate Hill (about 400kt/a DAP and 200kt/a MAP capacity), supplemented by imports.

Cropping (winter and summer)

Offtake runs to March 2027; extension under discussion with Mayfair. Ridley is holding more product domestically for 2027.

UAN (urea ammonium nitrate)

Liquid nitrogen

East-coast cropping and horticulture

Scale-up brought forward. Tanks repurposed at the Adelaide and Portland PDCs, with a first full cargo planned for about September 2026.

SSP (single superphosphate)

Pasture phosphate. Moved from Geelong manufacturing (closed by Dyno Nobel) to an import-only model.

Pasture, livestock regions

Higher transition inventory held in 1H FY26

Value-added and blended products

Fertiliser blends and value-added capacity investments

Dealers and retailers

Part of FY26 growth capex

Perdaman urea (future)

Supply via Macquarie Commodities from the Perdaman plant near Karratha, WA

Domestic market

Expected to start in FY28 when the plant is commissioned (H1 FY26 commentary)

Product lineDescriptionTarget customerNotes

Poultry feeds (broiler, layer, breeder)

Pelleted and mash complete feeds made to specification

Integrated poultry producers

Monogastric volumes +7% in FY26

Pig feeds

Starter to finisher rations

Integrated pork producers

Growth with existing monogastric customers is a Growth Plan pillar

Dairy feeds

Pellets and concentrates

Dairy farmers (VIC western districts, Gippsland, northern VIC)

Terang debottleneck under way

Beef and sheep feeds

Feedlot rations, supplementary and drought feeds

Feedlots, graziers

Ruminant volumes +11% in FY25 on dry-season supplementary feeding

Concentrates

High-nutrient concentrates for on-farm mixing

Mixed farmers, dairies

New A$1.6m concentrate line at the Gunbower feedmill (November 2025)

Ridley Direct

Grain and co-product procurement and trading using group flows

Third-party buyers

Fourth year of profitability in FY26

Product / brandDescriptionTarget customerNotes

Barastoc and other packaged rural brands

Bagged poultry, horse, livestock and hobby-farm feeds

Rural retail, produce stores

Barastoc is Ridley's longest-established consumer-facing brand

Supplements and blocks

Lick blocks and mineral supplements

Graziers

Benefited from dry conditions in 1H FY25

Private-label extruded dogfood

Kibble manufactured at the Narangba extrusion plant

Petfood brand owners and retailers

Long-term private-label contracts signed; volume +33% in FY26

Ingredient Recovery: poultry meal

Rendered poultry protein meal (about A$1,100/t, August 2026)

Petfood, aquafeed, stockfeed; Asian export markets

Exports suspended during avian influenza events

Ingredient Recovery: meat-and-bone meal

Rendered ruminant protein (about A$600/t)

Stockfeed, petfood

Prices flat for about 18 months

Ingredient Recovery: tallow

Rendered fat (about A$1,800/t in August 2026, against about A$1,500/t in 2H FY26)

Biofuel, oleochemicals, feed

Firming prices support FY27

OMP mechanically deboned meat frozen blocks

Multi-species (lamb, beef, venison, veal) MDM blocks

Domestic and global petfood makers

New Timaru greenfield plant uses plate-freezing technology

Oceania Petfood Solutions

One-stop shop selling owned and agency petfood ingredients in Australia

Petfood manufacturers

Growth Plan initiative

Direct supply chain into Thailand

Ingredient export channel to Asia's petfood manufacturing hub

Thai petfood makers

Established in FY26

NovaqPro®

Novel microbial biomass feed ingredient that boosts prawn growth (originally developed with CSIRO)

Tropical prawn farmers (India, Indonesia, Thailand)

First profit in FY23; registered in Thailand in FY25. Written off (A$28.7m after tax) in FY26. Run leanly (loss under A$1m) while strategic partners are sought.

Domestic extruded aquafeed

Prawn and fish feeds

Aquaculture farms

Exited in FY25 to free extrusion capacity for petfood

Financial Narrative

Basis:

  • FY22–FY25 income statement and balance-sheet line items use S&P Global Market Intelligence standardised data (StockAnalysis). FY26 balance-sheet and cash-flow data come from the same source, updated 19 August 2026.

  • FY26 profit and loss uses company-reported figures from the Appendix 4E and results call.

  • Company "underlying EBITDA" and S&P "EBITDA" differ in definition, so both are shown and labelled.

Income statement

Notes on the income statement:

FY25 underlying EBIT (A$67.2m): A$97.5m less D&A of A$30.3m (FY26 D&A A$43.4m less the A$13.1m increase).

FY26 underlying EBIT (A$114.4m): A$157.8m less A$43.4m D&A.

FY26 statutory EPS (7.4c): is computed as A$27.6m ÷ about 374.9m shares.

FY26 underlying EPS conflicts between sources: The results deck summary gives 16.3c (+18%); the call transcript says 15.3c. Flagged as a source conflict; 16.3c is used here.

FY26 DPS (10.35c): assumes an interim of about 5.0c, implied from A$37.6m dividends paid in FY26 (FY25 final about A$18.7m plus FY26 interim about A$18.9m), plus the 5.35c final. The interim figure is not directly verified.

FY25 underlying NPAT (A$43.1m): is implied from the FY26 +41.5% growth rate.

Margins (%)

The FY26 EBIT margin is on an underlying basis.

Balance sheet

Cash flow

Source: S&P Global via StockAnalysis: - FY22 divestment proceeds are recorded as "other investing" by S&P.

  • FY26 operating cash flow includes about A$40m of one-off acquisition, integration and restructuring cash costs; company-reported capex was A$67m (FY26 call).

Ratios

Notes on the ratios:

Computation basis: all ratios are computed from S&P data in 6.1 and 6.3, except where marked as company basis.

Current ratio: the company quotes 1.52 for FY26 on the call; the S&P balance sheet gives 1.27. Definitions differ (classification of inventory facilities).

FY25 leverage: reported as below zero because of net cash from the equity raise proceeds.

FY26 interest coverage: uses underlying EBIT of A$114.4m against net finance costs of A$32.2m (including about A$8–10m a year of non-cash lease unwind).

FY26 cash conversion cycle: is not computed, because only nine months of IPF is consolidated against a full year-end balance sheet and the result would be distorted.

ROIC: not computed because the invested-capital definition is not disclosed. The company reports underlying NPAT ROFE of 8% for FY26, Bulk Stockfeeds EBITDA ROFE of 32%, and Fertilisers EBITDA ROFE of 20%.

Trend commentary

Revenue. FY23's +20% reflected grain and protein price inflation passed through in feed pricing rather than volume. FY24–FY25 were flat to modestly up as commodity prices eased. FY26's +120% is almost entirely the IPF consolidation: about A$1.5bn of incremental revenue in nine months, implying an annualised fertiliser revenue run-rate near A$2bn at 2026 prices.

Profitability. Underlying EBITDA rose about 75% across FY24–FY26 (A$90.0m to A$157.8m). The EBITDA margin compressed to 5.5% because fertiliser distribution is high-turnover and low-margin. Statutory NPAT fell 36.4% in FY26 because of A$33.5m of net ISIs:

  • A$33.8m of acquisition and integration costs (including A$13.3m of IT integration);

  • the A$28.7m NovaqPro write-off;

  • a A$5.0m inventory fair-value unwind;

  • partly offset by a A$37.5m bargain-purchase gain, revised down from the A$55.9m provisional estimate at the half year.

Below EBITDA. The FY26 profit and loss was diluted by D&A (+A$13.1m to A$43.4m) and net finance costs (+A$22.5m to A$32.2m), both lifted by leases assumed with IPF. Management guides to:

  • funding costs of slightly under about A$30m a year in FY27;

  • A$8–10m of non-cash lease interest;

  • an underlying tax rate of 26–30%;

  • corporate costs a little above A$16m.

Balance sheet. Total assets nearly tripled to A$1.98bn. Inventory rose from A$103m to A$490m and receivables from A$145m to A$442m, reflecting fertiliser's seasonal stock build that peaks around March. Leverage of 0.85× at 30 June 2026 was flattered by early seasonal sales. Management says June leverage would normally sit near the middle of the 1.0–2.0× target range, and that steady-state fertiliser working capital is about A$50m higher than at June 2026. Liquidity headroom was A$444m, with term facilities maturing in September 2028 (three-year) and September 2030 (five-year).

Cash flow. Operating cash flow of A$122.4m (+79%) was strong despite A$40m of one-offs, helped by favourable fertiliser working-capital timing. Capex doubled to about A$67–69m:

  • growth capex of A$23m (Timaru, Lara, fertiliser value-add);

  • higher maintenance and ESG capex in the fertiliser network and Ingredient Recovery.

The maintenance capex target was re-based to 80–100% of depreciation (from 60–80%) because acquisition accounting lowered depreciation; management says cash spend is unchanged.

Dividends. DPS rose every year from FY21 (2.0c) to FY26 (about 10.35c). The payout target is 50–70% of underlying NPAT, and the FY26 final represented a 64% payout.

Financial Detail

Segment Overview

SegmentContentsProducts and services

Fertilisers (from FY26)

Former IPF distribution business, including the PDC network in Brisbane (Fisherman Islands 3PL), Townsville, Adelaide, Portland and Geelong; the Phosphate Hill offtake; SSP converted to an import model

Urea, DAP/MAP, UAN, SSP, blends and value-added products; supply to dealers and rural retailers

Bulk Stockfeeds

Bulk feedmills in VIC and QLD (for example Lara, Terang, Pakenham, Gunbower, Clifton) plus Ridley Direct (grain and co-product trading)

Pellets, meals, concentrates, premixes for poultry, pigs, dairy, beef and sheep

Packaged Feeds & Ingredients

Packaged Feeds (Narangba packing and extrusion; Barastoc and other brands; private-label dogfood); Supplements; Ingredient Recovery (Laverton VIC, Maroota NSW rendering); OMP (Laverton, Timaru NZ); NovaqPro

Bagged feeds, blocks and supplements, extruded dogfood, poultry meal, meat-and-bone meal, tallow, MDM frozen blocks, NovaqPro aquafeed ingredient

Results by Segment

SegmentFY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025FY2026

Fertilisers EBITDA (AUD Mn)

————72.2

Bulk Stockfeeds EBITDA (AUD Mn)

——44.447.850.3

Packaged Feeds & Ingredients EBITDA (AUD Mn)

58.065.859.962.951.6

Corporate costs (AUD Mn)

———-13.2-16.3

Group underlying EBITDA (AUD Mn)

——90.097.5157.8

Segment (Fy26) Overview

Segment (FY26)EBITDA AUD MnYoY changeShare of segment EBITDA before corporateEBITDA return on funds employed

Fertilisers

72.2

n.m. (new)

41.5%20%

Bulk Stockfeeds

50.3

+5.2% (+A$2.4m)

28.9%32%

Packaged Feeds & Ingredients

51.6

-18.1% (-A$11.4m)

29.6%

not disclosed

Total before corporate

174.1—100%

Group underlying NPAT ROFE 8%

Segment Revenue

Metric1H FY252H FY251H FY262H FY26

Group underlying EBITDA

50.646.955.4102.4

Packaged & Ingredients EBITDA

35.727.225.626.0

Fertilisers EBITDA

——10.361.9

Income Statement and Margin Analysis (%)

MetricFY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025FY2026

Revenue (AUD Mn)

1,049.01,260.11,263.01,302.62,864.2

Revenue growth (%)

13.120.10.23.1119.9

Gross profit, S&P basis (AUD Mn)

99.6111.4115.9121.2—

Operating income / EBIT, S&P basis (AUD Mn)

51.363.766.362.7—

Underlying EBIT, company basis (AUD Mn)

———67.2114.4

EBITDA, S&P basis (AUD Mn)

71.783.286.486.3—

Underlying EBITDA, company basis (AUD Mn)

——90.097.5157.8

Statutory EBITDA after ISIs (AUD Mn)

———97.8116.8

Pre-tax income, statutory (AUD Mn)

60.558.656.157.8—

Net income, statutory (AUD Mn)

42.441.839.943.327.6

Underlying NPAT (AUD Mn)

———43.161.0

EPS basic, statutory (A$ cents)

13.313.212.613.47.4

EPS underlying, company (A$ cents)

———13.816.3

Dividends per share (A$ cents)

7.48.39.09.7510.35

Margin Analysis (%)

MetricFY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025FY2026

Gross margin, S&P (%)

9.58.89.29.3—

EBIT margin, S&P (%)

4.95.15.24.84.0

Underlying EBITDA margin, company (%)

——7.17.55.5

EBITDA margin, S&P (%)

6.86.66.86.6—

Net margin, statutory (%)

4.03.33.23.31.0

Growth Metric Details

Growth metricValue

Revenue CAGR FY21–FY25 (pre-IPF, organic plus OMP)

8.9% a year (A$927.7m to A$1,302.6m)

Revenue CAGR FY22–FY26 (including IPF)

about 28.5% a year

Underlying EBITDA CAGR FY24–FY26

about 32% a year

Balance Sheet and Per-Share Data

MetricFY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025FY2026

Total assets (AUD Mn)

607.4617.7668.2734.61,984.0

Cash and equivalents (AUD Mn)

27.143.034.284.7251.6

Short-term borrowings incl. current portion of LTD (AUD Mn)

50.045.765.065.0348.2

Long-term debt (AUD Mn)

50.072.585.020.0264.3

Lease liabilities, total (AUD Mn)

11.88.713.39.2213.7

Total debt incl. leases, S&P (AUD Mn)

111.8126.8163.394.2826.1

Net debt incl. leases, S&P (AUD Mn)

84.783.8129.19.5574.6

Net debt, company definition (AUD Mn)

———-64.0296.0

Shareholders' equity (AUD Mn)

316.0315.4323.1458.1498.7

Goodwill (AUD Mn)

69.069.090.795.895.8

Other intangibles (AUD Mn)

6.05.020.720.616.4

Working capital, S&P (AUD Mn)

43.758.826.087.7262.7

Inventory (AUD Mn)

117.1107.1105.3103.2489.7

Receivables (AUD Mn)

127.8122.6132.1144.7442.1

Payables (AUD Mn)

152.2159.5159.3161.3578.3

NTA per share (AUD)

0.750.760.670.911.03

Cash Flow

MetricFY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025FY2026

Operating cash flow (AUD Mn)

46.679.1105.168.3122.4

Capex (AUD Mn)

23.834.330.934.368.7

Free cash flow (AUD Mn)

22.844.874.234.053.7

Free cash flow after leases (AUD Mn)

17.539.869.027.732.7

Dividends paid (AUD Mn)

17.125.227.129.537.6

Share repurchases / on-market purchases (AUD Mn)

0.420.37.910.28.8

Equity issued (AUD Mn)

0.00.00.0125.10.0

Cash acquisitions (AUD Mn)

0.00.053.114.4343.5

Divestment proceeds (AUD Mn)

60.10.00.022.00.0

Returns & Leverage Ratios (%) and Financial Ratios (x)

RatioFY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025FY2026

ROE, statutory, average equity (%)

—13.212.511.15.8

ROE, underlying NPAT (%)

———11.012.8

ROA, statutory, average assets (%)

—6.86.26.22.0

Current ratio (x)

1.191.261.101.351.27

Total debt incl. leases / equity (x)

0.350.400.510.211.66

Headline net debt / EBITDA, company covenant basis (x)

———-0.660.85

Interest coverage, EBIT / interest expense (x)

18.011.67.75.83.6

Asset turnover, revenue / average assets (x)

—2.061.961.862.11

Days sales outstanding (days)

44.535.538.240.5—

Days inventory outstanding (days)

45.034.033.531.9—

Days payables outstanding (days)

58.550.750.749.8—

Cash conversion cycle (days)

31.018.821.022.6—

Segment Overview — Fertilisers

SegmentAustraliaNew ZealandExport / international

Fertilisers

Core: east-coast and SA/VIC distribution via the Brisbane, Townsville, Adelaide, Portland and Geelong PDCs

None disclosed

Exports of Phosphate Hill DAP/MAP under the offtake (reduced in 2026–27 to secure domestic supply); imports from Indonesia, Southeast Asia and formerly the Middle East

Bulk Stockfeeds

100% (VIC and QLD mills; Tasmania supplied from VIC)

—

None material

Packaged Feeds

Predominantly domestic

None disclosed

Limited

Ingredient Recovery

Domestic sales of meal and tallow

—

Poultry meal exported to Asian markets; direct Thailand supply chain set up in FY26

OMP

About two-thirds of production at Laverton, Melbourne

About one-third at Timaru, NZ

Customers in Asia and North America (petfood)

NovaqPro

Historical R&D and production base in Australia

—

Target markets India, Indonesia, Thailand; Thai operations noted in the FY22 Annual Report

Share Price

Metric4 Oct 202419 Sep 202519 Nov 202526 Feb 202630 Jun 202620 Aug 202615 Oct 2026

Share price (AUD)

2.503.082.772.852.652.952.54

Valuation Multiples

MultipleRidleyBasis

Market cap

About A$952m

374.85m × A$2.54

Enterprise value, company net debt

About A$1,248m

Plus A$296m net debt (30 June 2026)

Enterprise value, including leases

About A$1,462m

Plus about A$214m leases

P/E, underlying FY26

About 15.6×

16.3c underlying EPS

P/E, statutory FY26

About 34×

About 7.4c statutory EPS

EV/EBITDA, underlying FY26

About 7.9× (about 9.3× including leases)

A$157.8m underlying EBITDA (nine months of IPF, so forward multiples are lower)

EV/Sales, FY26

About 0.44×

A$2,864m revenue

P/B

About 1.9×

Equity A$498.7m

Price / tangible book

About 2.5×

NTA A$1.03 per share

Dividend yield, trailing

About 4.1% fully franked (about 5.8% grossed-up)

About 10.35cps

Analyst Ratings & Targets

BrokerAnalyst (FY26 call)Rating / target

Canaccord Genuity

James Ferrier

Not retrieved

Jarden

Apoorv Sehgal

Not retrieved

CLSA

Richard Barwick

Not retrieved

Morgans

Belinda Moore

Not retrieved

PAC Partners

Paul Jensz

Not retrieved

UBS

Not applicable

Target raised to A$2.90 (early 2025, historical)

Wilsons

Not applicable

Target cut to A$2.58 (2024, historical)

TipRanks aggregate (2025)

Not applicable

"Buy", A$2.65–A$2.75 target (historical)

Investing.com consensus (H1 FY26 coverage)

Not applicable

EPS about US$0.11 (FY26) and US$0.14 (FY27); revenue about US$1.78bn (FY26) and US$2.19bn (FY27)

Per-Share Data

MetricFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025FY2026

DPS total (A$ cents)

2.07.48.39.09.7510.35

Final DPS (A$ cents)

———4.655.005.35

Debt Facilities

FacilityMaturityNotes

3-year term facility

September 2028

Acquisition funding

5-year term facility

September 2030

Acquisition funding

Working capital and inventory financing facilities

Not disclosed

Excluded from the headline leverage calculation

Liquidity headroom

Not applicable

A$444m at 30 June 2026

Analyst Conclusions

Bull case

  1. Full-year fertiliser plus synergies re-rates the earnings base. A maintainable A$86m plus about A$11.5m of FY27 savings implies Fertilisers at about A$95–100m. That puts group underlying EBITDA near A$190m or more, so the current EV of about A$1.25bn is only about 6.5× forward EBITDA (company net debt basis).

  2. Packaged & Ingredients recovery is mostly self-help. The Maroota dam is back in service (June 2026), Timaru is largely fixed, tallow has firmed to about A$1,800/t and dogfood volume is growing 33%. Recovering most of the A$11.4m FY26 shortfall is plausible.

  3. Supply-security assets gain value in a fractured world. Perdaman urea (from FY28), the Phosphate Hill offtake and proven Southeast Asian sourcing give Ridley a structural edge. The 0.85× leverage and A$444m headroom leave room for value-accretive bolt-ons and a growing franked dividend (yield about 4.1%).

Bear case

  1. FY26 fertiliser margins were flattered by the Hormuz spike and early buying. July–August 2026 demand was soft, urea prices have fallen sharply (inventory risk), and government CFD support is suspended. FY27 Fertilisers could disappoint against the nine-month run-rate (A$72.2m in nine months annualises to about A$96m).

  2. Phosphate Hill renewal risk. The offtake ends March 2027 with no extension yet, a two-month shutdown is flagged, and global phosphate is expected to be tight. Supply gaps or worse terms could erode Ridley's phosphate franchise and working-capital efficiency.

  3. Execution and financial-intensity risk. The record includes the Timaru "own goal", the NovaqPro write-off and the Maroota outage. Integration (ERP, A$30m cost) is still in progress. Finance costs (A$32.2m) and higher D&A dilute EPS conversion, and steady-state working capital about A$50m higher will push leverage towards about 1.5× on a normal June basis.

Analyst verdict

Ridley in late 2026 is a far larger and more consequential business than the A$1.3bn stockfeed processor of two years ago. The IPF acquisition was well bought: about A$300m for a business with roughly A$86m of maintainable EBITDA, with a A$37.5m bargain-purchase gain recognised. It was well funded through a pro-rata raise plus staggered term debt. Its first nine months were strong, at A$72.2m EBITDA. The core Bulk Stockfeeds franchise keeps compounding at high returns (32% EBITDA ROFE), and the Packaged & Ingredients weakness in FY26 was operational and is largely fixed rather than structural.

The market's caution is nonetheless understandable. The shares fell from about A$2.95 on results day to about A$2.54. FY26 fertiliser earnings carried an unusual price tailwind, and the business now has commodity-trading-like inventory exposure, seasonal working-capital swings and a phosphate supply contract that expires within six months. Statutory earnings quality was noisy, and management's record on greenfield projects and innovation (Timaru, NovaqPro) argues for a margin of safety.

At about 15.6× underlying FY26 EPS, about 7.9× trailing EV/EBITDA, and a forward multiple nearer 6.5× if FY27 lands around A$190m, the valuation appears to price in a reversion of fertiliser earnings below the maintainable base with little credit for synergies. The fully franked yield of about 4% provides support.

On balance, the evidence favours a constructive, risk-aware stance. The FY27 earnings trajectory looks well underwritten by self-help (about A$11.5m of savings, the Packaged & Ingredients recovery and Bulk volume growth), and the key binary is the Phosphate Hill offtake renewal. Investors should look for three things:

  • a renewal on acceptable terms;

  • evidence at 1H FY27 that fertiliser margins hold as prices normalise;

  • a clean ERP cutover.

If all three arrive, a re-rating towards the historical feed-sector multiple on a much larger earnings base looks achievable. A failure on phosphate supply would turn the investment case into a working-capital and margin problem.


*Prepared from public information as of 16 October 2026.

Executive Leadership

Executive Leadership Team

NameTitleTenurePrior roles / backgroundCompensation (latest Remuneration Report)

Quinton Hildebrand

Managing Director & CEO

—

Long-serving Ridley executive. A CEO retention agreement was announced in 2025; the stock fell about 6% on the news.

Not retrieved; see FY26 Annual Report Remuneration Report

Chris Opperman

Chief Financial Officer

Since 5 January 2026

General Manager Group Finance & Investor Relations, Dyno Nobel; CFO Dyno Nobel Asia Pacific (to 2021). Brings direct knowledge of the IPF business.

Not retrieved

Richard Betts

CFO (retired)

About 2021 to January 2026

Presented his final results at H1 FY26

Not applicable

Kirsty Clarke

General Counsel & Company Secretary

Current (AGM, November 2025)

Not disclosed in the sources retrieved

Not retrieved

Adrian Lochland

CEO Novacq & Business Development (per third-party database; may be outdated)

——

Not retrieved

Graeme Dillon

COO Stockfeed (per third-party database; may be outdated)

——

Not retrieved

Board of Directors

DirectorRoleAppointedBackgroundIndependence

Mick (Michael) McMahon

Chair

25 August 2020

Former CEO of Inghams Group (2016–18) and Programmed Skilled Workforce (2012–15); Executive Chair/CEO of Seafarms (2021–22); COO Coles Supermarkets; senior Shell roles; former Metcash NED; University of Tasmania graduate. Holds about 659k RIC shares.

Independent

Quinton Hildebrand

MD & CEO

Executive director

See above

Executive

Rhys Jones

Non-Executive Director

August 2020

CEO/MD of Vulcan Steel since 2011 and its Non-Executive Chair from 2026; director of Tru-Test since 2007; ex Carter Holt Harvey. Victoria University and Massey University.

Independent

Julie Raffe

Non-Executive Director

September 2022

Former Finance Director and Company Secretary of Village Roadshow; NED of Latitude Group; Technology Committee member. Takes part of her fees in shares.

Independent

Daniel Masters

Non-Executive Director

4 October 2024

Partner and founding member of AGR Partners LLC (associated with the 19.4% shareholder); international agribusiness and petfood ingredients experience; Sustainability Committee member. Holds 130,478 shares.

Not independent (substantial-holder nominee)

Melanie Laing

Non-Executive Director

—

Listed at the November 2025 AGM.

Independent (former)

Patria Mann

Former Non-Executive Director

—

Former KPMG partner; NED of Bega Cheese, GWA, Bapcor

Former

Board & Management Changes

DateChangeContext

4 October 2024

Dan Masters in, Ejnar Knudsen out

Continuity of AGR representation

2025

CEO retention agreement

Retention ahead of the transformational M&A

5 January 2026

Chris Opperman becomes CFO; Richard Betts retires

Ex-Dyno Nobel finance lead supports IPF integration

FY26

Leadership strengthened; integration programme management office set up

IPF reset and integration

2026

Melanie Laing leaves the board (final interest notice)

Board renewal

Major Shareholders

HolderStakeSource / date

AGR Agricultural Investments LLC

19.4% (before the raise; committed to the entitlement offer)

ASX, 12 May 2025

State Street Bank & Trust / State Street Global Advisors

Became a substantial holder (5% or more; exact stake not retrieved)

—

Other top-10 holders

Not publicly verified in this cycle

See FY26 Annual Report "Shareholder Information"

Insider ownership (directors)

Small. McMahon about 659k shares, Masters about 130k, Raffe about 57k, Jones not disclosed.

Director interest notices / MarketScreener

Ownership mix (2024)

About 46% individuals, about 27% institutions

Simply Wall St summary (via Moomoo news feed, 2024)

Competitive Landscape

Competitors by Segment

SegmentCompetitorTypeRelative positioning against Ridley

Fertilisers

Nutrien Ag Solutions (Nutrien Ltd)

Global integrated retail and distribution

Largest Australian farm-input retail network; partly a channel and partly a competitor

Fertilisers

CSBP (Wesfarmers Chemicals, Energy & Fertilisers)

Manufacturer and distributor

Dominant in WA, where Ridley/IPF is less present

Fertilisers

Yara Australia

Global nitrogen major

Import and distribution competitor in the east

Fertilisers

Impact Fertilisers

Importer and distributor

Price competitor in eastern states and Tasmania

Fertilisers

Australian Fertilizer Corporation

Importer and distributor

Emerging competitor (its CEO commented on 2026 phosphate tightness)

Fertilisers

Summit Fertilizers

Importer (WA and SA)

Regional competitor

Fertilisers

Elders (ASX: ELD) / independent rural retailers

Retail

Customers more than competitors; can buy direct from importers

Bulk Stockfeeds

Vertically integrated poultry companies' own mills (e.g. Inghams, Baiada)

Captive feed production

Main alternative to outsourcing feed; Ridley competes on cost and service

Bulk Stockfeeds

Riverina (Australia)

Private feedmiller

Direct competitor in NSW and QLD ruminant and monogastric feed

Bulk Stockfeeds

Reid Stockfeeds and other regional VIC millers

Regional private millers

Dairy and ruminant competition

Packaged Feeds

Laucke Mills; Gippsland and regional packaged feed brands; Hygain (equine)

Branded packaged feed

Rural retail shelf competition against Barastoc

Petfood (private label)

Mars Petcare, Nestlé Purina, Real Pet Food Co. (own manufacturing)

Brand owners and co-manufacturers

Ridley supplies private label; large brand owners are customers or competitors depending on category

Rendering and ingredients

JBS Australia, Teys and other integrated meat processors' rendering plants; independent renderers

Rendering

Compete for raw material and meal and tallow markets

Aquafeed (exited)

Skretting (Nutreco), BioMar

Global aquafeed

Ridley exited domestic aquafeed in FY25

Peer Comparison FY2026

MetricRidley (FY26)Elders (ELD)GrainCorp (GNC)Inghams (ING)

Revenue

A$2,864m

———

Revenue growth

+119.9%———

Underlying EBITDA margin

5.5%———

R&D intensity

Not disclosed

Not disclosed

Not disclosed

Not disclosed

Business overlap with Ridley

Not applicable

Fertiliser and rural retail channel

Grain supply and ag commodities

Feed customer / captive feed

Company Snapshot

1987

Founded

Melbourne, Australia

Headquarters

SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Market leadership: number one fertiliser distributor (IPF) and largest commercial stockfeed producer (ASX, 12 May 2025; Grain Central, August 2025).
  • Earnings scale-up: underlying EBITDA A$157.8m in FY26 against A$90.0m in FY24, with Fertilisers contributing A$72.2m in nine months (FY26 Appendix 4E and call).
  • Bulk Stockfeeds consistency: three consecutive years of EBITDA growth (A$44.4m to A$47.8m to A$50.3m) and 32% EBITDA ROFE (FY26 deck).
  • Bargain acquisition: IPF bought below fair value, producing a A$37.5m gain on bargain purchase (FY26 ISIs).
  • Cash generation: FY26 operating cash flow of A$122.4m (+79%) despite A$40m of one-offs (S&P; FY26 call).
  • Liquidity and staggered debt: A$444m headroom; maturities in September 2028 and September 2030 (FY26 call).
  • Progressive dividend record: DPS up every year since FY21 (2.0c to about 10.35c) (S&P; FY26 4E).

Weaknesses

  • Thin EBITDA margin: 5.5% in FY26 (FY26 revenue and EBITDA).
  • Operational execution failures: Maroota dam outage for about 14 months and Timaru design problems cut Packaged & Ingredients EBITDA by A$11.4m (FY26 call).
  • Failed innovation bet: NovaqPro written off (A$28.7m after tax) after years of investment (FY26 ISIs).
  • Statutory profit volatility: statutory NPAT down 36.4% to A$27.6m even as underlying NPAT rose 41.5% (FY26 4E).
  • Higher financial intensity: net finance costs up from A$9.7m to A$32.2m; interest cover falling from 18× (FY22) to 3.6× (FY26) (computed from S&P and company data).
  • Structurally higher working capital: fertiliser inventory build; the CFO guides steady-state working capital about A$50m above the June 2026 level (FY26 call).
  • Limited geographic diversification: almost entirely Australian operations.

Opportunities

  • Integration synergies: about A$8m headcount savings plus A$3.5m of IT synergies in FY27 (rising to A$7m), plus A$5–10m procurement savings by FY28 (FY26 call).
  • Perdaman urea from FY28: domestic supply advantage via Macquarie (H1 FY26 commentary).
  • UAN and value-added fertiliser: east-coast UAN scale-up brought forward (FY26 call).
  • Petfood private label: dogfood volume +33%; long-term contracts; Thailand channel (FY26 call).
  • Bulk capacity expansions: Lara (+50kt a year) done; Terang under way; more options subject to offtake (FY26 call).
  • Recovery of Packaged & Ingredients towards about A$63m (FY25 level) as Maroota and Timaru normalise (management on the FY26 call).
  • Bolt-on M&A: "disciplined M&A" named as a growth driver, with leverage of 0.85× against a 1–2× target (FY26 deck).

Threats

  • Phosphate supply: Phosphate Hill offtake ends March 2027, extension not yet agreed, plus a March 2027 maintenance shutdown (FY26 call; The Land).
  • Geopolitical fertiliser shocks: Hormuz closure removed about 30% of global urea production according to management; government CFD support is suspended (FY26 call).
  • Avian influenza: wild-bird incidence rising; poultry is the largest feed category and poultry-meal exports would be suspended (FY26 call).
  • Commodity price swings: urea prices fell sharply after the spike, a risk for high-cost inventory partly hedged by CFDs; meal prices flat (FY26 call).
  • Weather: El Niño risk to the 2026–27 season (FY26 call).
  • Raw-material competition: lamb slaughter below the long-term average limits OMP supply (FY26 call).
  • Customer insourcing: integrators running their own mills.

Key Developments

DateEventSignificance
April 2025Ex-dividend for FY25 interim of 4.75cps (fully franked)Dividend progression
6 May 2025Maroota process-water dam wall slipStart of the FY26 Ingredient Recovery underperformance
12 May 2025IPF acquisition announced (A$300m plus A$75m property option); A$125m ANREO launchedTransformational
May–June 2025Institutional placement and entitlement (about A$99m) completed; retail offer followed; directors (Masters, Raffe) participatedFunding secured with strong support
30 June 2025Wasleys feedmill sale completed (about A$22m)Portfolio pruning
21 August 2025FY25 results: EBITDA A$97.8m (+8.6%), NPAT A$43.3m (+8.7%), above consensus (A$95.8m EBITDA, A$42.7m NPAT per Visible Alpha); final dividend 5.0cpsShares up about 7.9% to A$3.14
30 September 2025IPF acquisition completes; FY25 Annual Report releasedNew segment live
1 October 2025Dyno Nobel says Phosphate Hill will close by 30 September 2026 if unsoldSupply risk for the Ridley offtake
October 2025OMP Timaru moves to the greenfield plantCommissioning problems begin
23 October 2025FY25 final dividend paid (about A$18.7m)Not applicable
November 2025Gunbower concentrate line completed (A$1.6m)Bulk product expansion
19 November 2025AGM: FY26 earnings growth outlook across segments; directors re-elected; MD performance rights approvedGovernance
5 January 2026Chris Opperman starts as CFOLeadership
26 February 2026H1 FY26: underlying EBITDA A$55.4m (+9%); statutory NPAT A$52.7m (+137%, including the provisional A$55.9m bargain gain); Bulk EBITDA +25%, Packaged & Ingredients -28%; 45 job cuts (about A$8m a year saving); Lara A$5.7m debottleneck committedShares up about 16–18% to about A$2.85
28 February 2026Middle East conflict; Strait of Hormuz closes; urea prices spikeFertiliser margin up, volume down
9 March 2026Phosphate Hill sale to Mayfair agreed (effective 1 April 2026)Offtake continuity
10 March 2026Investor Strategy Day (Geelong): FY26–FY28 Growth Plan presentationStrategic roadmap
March–April 2026Ridley enters CFDs on four urea cargoes under the federal facilityPrice-risk protection
Around March 2026Register change
June 2026Maroota dam rebuilt and returned to service (last week of June)Ingredient Recovery recovery
June–July 2026Urea CFDs settle; facility later suspended as urea prices returned to pre-war levelsHedge offsets high-cost FY27 stock
30 June 2026FY26 close: share price A$2.65; net debt A$296m; leverage 0.85×Not applicable
–Final director's interest notice for Melanie LaingBoard change
20 August 2026FY26 results: revenue A$2.86bn (+120%), underlying EBITDA A$157.8m (+62%), statutory NPAT A$27.6m; NovaqPro write-off; final dividend 5.35cps; FY27 growth guided in all segmentsShares down 1.7% to A$2.95
Late August 2026Post-results roadshowNot applicable
About September 2026First full UAN cargo planned for the east coastValue-added fertiliser
7 October 2026Record date for the final dividendNot applicable
15 October 2026Shares at A$2.54, near the lower part of the 52-week rangeDe-rating since results
22 October 2026 (scheduled)Final dividend payment (about A$20.1m)Not applicable

Financial Performance

Income Statement: Revenue rose from AUD 1,049 Mn in FY2022 to AUD 2,864.2 Mn in FY2026.
Ridley Corporation Limited — Income Statement
Series (AUD Mn)FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025FY2026
Revenue1,0491,260.11,2631,302.62,864.2
Gross profit, S&P basis99.6111.4115.9121.2—
Operating income / EBIT, S&P basis51.363.766.362.7—
Underlying EBIT, company basis———67.2114.4
EBITDA, S&P basis71.783.286.486.3—

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