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Salungano Group Limited (formerly Wescoal Holdings Limited)

Company Profile Analysis

Ticker: SLG.JO

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Salungano Group Limited - Company showcase

Year Founded & Workforce

2005

122 Employees

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Salungano Group Limited Overview

Salungano Group is a small, black-controlled South African thermal coal producer and trader whose economics are now almost entirely tied to Eskom, the state power utility. Its earnings base rests on two Mpumalanga opencast collieries near Delmas: Moabsvelden (operated by Neosho Trading 86) and Vanggatfontein (operated by Keaton Mining), both selling under long-term coal supply agreements with Eskom, plus an inland coal trading arm and related transport services. Once positioned as a consolidator aiming to become a mid-tier, majority black-owned producer at roughly 8 Mt per year, the group endured a near-collapse between 2022 and 2025: bank default, subsidiary business rescues, two disclaimed audit opinions and a 33-month JSE suspension. FY2026 marked a sharp operational and financial recovery, with record EBITDA of R734m, bank debt fully repaid and the listing restored in May 2026. The equity story is now dominated by a R2.39bn environmental rehabilitation liability, Eskom concentration and contract-renewal risk.


Company's own description. In its FY2026 annual financial statements, the board describes the company as an investment and management company whose operating subsidiaries mine, process and trade coal, operating principally in South Africa. The corporate information page of its interim results describes the nature of business as the mining, processing, sale and distribution of thermal coal. Source: Salungano FY2026 AFS, Directors' report; HY2026 interim results, corporate information.

What the company does. The group extracts bituminous thermal coal by opencast methods, processes (crushes, screens and, where required, washes) it at the Vanggatfontein plant complex, and delivers it by road to Eskom power stations under long-term coal supply agreements (CSAs). It also buys coal from third parties for "rectification" into its Eskom contracts (blending or substituting bought-in coal to meet contracted volumes and qualities), sells coal to inland industrial customers through Salungano Trading, and earns transport revenue on coal delivery. A small property-holding subsidiary rents property within the group.

Business model and revenue model. The model is product sales plus a large logistics service component; there is no subscription or licensing revenue. In FY2025 (audited), revenue of R4,369.4m split into:

Source: HY2026 interim results, note 9 (FY2025 audited comparative). The H1 FY2026 split was Eskom coal sales R2,237.3m, transport R715.5m and local sales R71.1m out of R3,031.3m.

Value chain position. Salungano is an upstream producer and mid-stream aggregator. It holds mining rights and owns processing infrastructure but outsources mining to contractors; contractor cost, bought-in coal and transport are its three largest cost lines (FY2025: direct purchases R1,263.8m, mining contractor cost R1,007.5m, transport R1,015.8m). It does not own rail or port capacity; its first export contracts via Durban in FY2022 were not sustained, and no export sales were recorded in FY2025 or H1 FY2026.

Customer types and end-markets. Eskom is effectively the single customer. The residual is inland industrial and merchant coal buyers served by Salungano Trading. End-market: South African electricity generation, with minor industrial heat demand.

Independent characterisation. Salungano is best understood today as a two-mine, single-customer Eskom contractor with a holding company that is technically insolvent on a standalone basis but sits atop cash-generative mining subsidiaries. The FY2026 recovery was driven by Moabsvelden's ramp-up, high-volume third-party rectification sales through Neosho in the first three quarters, and Vanggatfontein operating under a creditors' compromise.

Strategy

Stated strategy themes (FY2025–FY2026 reporting). The current agenda is recovery and stabilisation rather than growth. Themes communicated in the FY2026 integrated report and AFS, paraphrased:

  1. Embedding the reporting discipline that restored JSE compliance as a permanent feature of the organisation (chairman).

  2. Sustaining operational performance and building long-term resilience now that bank debt is settled and the suspension lifted (CEO).

  3. Predictable operational execution, continued cash generation, disciplined capital allocation, management of contractual commitments and robust financial controls as the board's oversight priorities.

  4. Holding-company liquidity and intercompany funding management, given the parent's standalone insolvency.

Historical strategic positioning. Under Wescoal (2016–2019) the strategy was consolidation of junior coal miners into a majority black-owned mid-tier producer targeting 8 Mt per year, pillared on scalability and standardisation. At the 2022 rename the group announced a transformation into a diversified investment company with focus on agriculture and renewables, underpinned by ESG; this agenda was suspended by the 2022–2025 crisis.

Initiatives in the last 24 months (Oct 2024 – Oct 2026)

Medium-term financial targets / guidance: Not publicly disclosed. The company provides no production, cost or earnings guidance beyond JSE-mandated trading statements. Dividend policy: none declared; no dividend paid since the Wescoal era.

Products & Services

Salungano does not market branded products. Its catalogue is a set of coal supply streams and services, organised below by segment and operating asset.

Mining segment

Moabsvelden Colliery (Neosho Trading 86).

  • Description: Opencast thermal coal mine adjacent to and a satellite of Vanggatfontein near Delmas, Mpumalanga. Originally a Keaton Energy project scoped at 1.5–2 Mt ROM per year, later described as a 3 Mt per year project at first coal.

  • Processing: Uses Vanggatfontein's washing plants, avoiding separate plant capital.

  • Customer and contract: Eskom, under a long-term CSA with first deliveries in March 2021. The FY2026 AFS states the contract is expected to run to early 2028 and is being extended; remaining Eskom contractual tonnes used in the FY2026 impairment model were 6.41 Mt over a four-year horizon.

  • Performance: Contributed more than 70% of group production in H1 FY2024, averaging above 240,000 t per month; production rose a further 9.7% in H1 FY2025. It is the group's principal profit generator.

  • Pricing model: Contract pricing; impairment models assume index-driven escalation of 3.8% (FY2026). Contract prices and coal qualities are not publicly disclosed.

  • Rehabilitation liability: R565.8m (30 Sep 2025).

Vanggatfontein Colliery (Keaton Mining).

  • Description: Opencast mine near Delmas, Mpumalanga; Keaton Energy's former flagship, acquired by Wescoal in 2017. Includes the group's washing and processing plants.

  • History: Supplied Eskom under a ten-year CSA until its energy allocation was exhausted in early 2022, when it was placed on care and maintenance with reserves then stated at more than 15 Mt. Operated below capacity in FY2024–FY2025, supplying Eskom indirectly through rectification into the Neosho contract.

  • Restructuring: Keaton Mining operates under a section 155 creditors' compromise sanctioned 25 September 2024. Its yellow equipment was repossessed by the banks, with proceeds applied to the RCF.

  • Customer and contract: New CSA with Eskom signed 20 October 2025 for roughly five years; remaining contractual tonnes in the FY2026 impairment model were 14.66 Mt.

  • Rehabilitation liability: R1,661.4m (30 Sep 2025), the single largest liability in the group.

  • Status flag: The FY2026 integrated report warns Keaton Mining could enter liquidation if restructuring measures fail.

Elandspruit and Khanyisa Collieries (Wescoal Mining, deconsolidated).

  • Elandspruit: Opencast plus small underground section; targeted 2.5 Mt ROM per year in 2017. Opencast operations ceased in H1 FY2024 and the mine has not produced since July 2023.

  • Khanyisa: Joint-venture complex brought into the group in 2009; reached end of life of mine by FY2025.

  • Status: In business rescue since August 2023; plan approved 12 July 2024; not consolidated since 28 August 2023.

Arnot OpCo (50%, via Wescoal Mining; not consolidated).

  • Supplied Eskom's Arnot power station from February 2022; placed in business rescue October 2022; fully impaired.

Trading segment

Salungano Trading (formerly Wescoal Trading).

  • Description: Buys coal and resells it, with transport, to inland industrial and merchant customers. Historically the founding business of Wescoal.

  • Performance: Revenue R104.7m in FY2025 and R52.6m in H1 FY2026, loss-making in every period reviewed.

  • Pricing model: Spot and short-term contract pricing (not disclosed).

Services

Transport services. Coal haulage revenue recognised on delivery, R1,055.0m in FY2025 and R715.5m in H1 FY2026. Transport cost (R1,015.8m in FY2025) closely offsets this revenue, so it adds volume but little margin.

Third-party rectification sales. Bought-in coal sold into Eskom contracts through Neosho. Direct purchases were R1,263.8m in FY2025. The FY2026 directors' report identifies high rectification volumes in the first three quarters as a key profit driver.

Administration and management fees; rental income. R9.3m and R6.7m respectively in FY2025. Blanford 006 holds investment property carried at R0.7m with an assessed fair value of R0.98m.

Diversification vehicles (non-revenue)

Salungano Power, Salungano Resources and Salungano Agriculture were created to pursue the 2022 diversification agenda (renewables, agriculture). Power and Resources are described as dormant in the FY2026 AFS; no revenue from agriculture or renewables has been disclosed.

Resource base

The group publishes SAMREC-compliant resource and reserve statements via Competent Persons Reports (2025 and 2026 versions on the company website). No material changes were reported between 31 March 2025 and 30 September 2025. Detailed tonnages and qualities were not captured in this research. The FY2026 impairment models used four-year horizons for both operating mines, framed on remaining Eskom contractual tonnes rather than full life of mine.

Financial Narrative

Sources: SENS results announcements FY2022 (4 Jul 2022), FY2023 (21 May 2024), FY2024 (7 Oct 2025), FY2025 (27 Mar 2026); FY2026 audited AFS (30 Jun 2026); HY2026 interim results (30 Apr 2026, which contain the FY2025 audited balance sheet and cash flow). Audit opinions: FY2022 unmodified (KPMG); FY2023 disclaimer (KPMG); FY2024 disclaimer (SNG Grant Thornton); FY2025 and FY2026 unmodified with material uncertainty related to going concern (SNG Grant Thornton). FY2023 and FY2024 figures therefore carry low assurance.

Income statement

FY2021 reference points: revenue R3,902m, gross profit R411m, operating profit R135m, EBITDA R569m, net loss R36m, ROM production 7.7 Mt (FY2022 results).

Revenue CAGR (analyst calc). FY2022–FY2026: -3.4% per year. FY2024–FY2026: +10.6% per year. FY2021–FY2026: +2.7% per year.

Half-year decomposition of FY2026 (derived: audited full year less unreviewed H1).

Commentary. The five-year record shows three distinct regimes. FY2022 was the peak of the Wescoal growth model: 8.2 Mt ROM, first exports and EBITDA of R646m, though the group was already loss-making after interest and the Arnot impairment. FY2023 and FY2024 were crisis years: Vanggatfontein entered care and maintenance, Khanyisa was partly idle pending life-extension approvals, Elandspruit stopped producing, and gross margin collapsed to 2.7% in FY2023 before an operating loss of R745m. FY2024's operating loss of R309m understates the operating damage because H1 included a non-recurring R403m accounting gain on loss of control of Wescoal Mining; management's normalised H1 FY2024 EBITDA was negative R81m. FY2025 and FY2026 show recovery driven by Moabsvelden. Gross margin nearly doubled from 8.5% to 15.1% in FY2026 as the directors credit Neosho's ramp-up, high rectification volumes for three quarters, Vanggatfontein operating under the compromise and the absence of stockpile losses from spontaneous combustion.

Revenue fell by more than half from H1 to H2 and EBITDA by about 56%. This is consistent with the directors' statement that rectification sales ran at high volumes only for the first three quarters. An annualised H2 run-rate (revenue about R2.9bn, EBITDA about R0.45bn) is materially below the FY2026 headline, and investors annualising H1 (as the Financial Mail illustration did) would overstate earnings power.

Finance costs are dominated by non-cash unwinding of the rehabilitation provision discount (R207.6m of R266.6m in FY2025; R116.7m of R133.0m in H1 FY2026). Cash interest is now small (finance costs paid R16.0m in FY2026) following bank debt repayment.

Balance sheet

Short/long debt split: at 31 March 2025 all bank borrowings (R224.5m) were current because facilities had expired; at 31 March 2026 bank debt was nil. The RBFT loan at FY2026 was R30.0m current and R10.5m non-current (the latter payable 1 January 2027). The R208.9m loan from investee was reclassified to current in FY2026.

Discrepancy note: the FY2022 results report net debt of R706m at 31 March 2022, whereas the H1 FY2023 interim report cites an FY2022 comparative of R878m. The difference likely reflects definitional changes (for example inclusion of lease or other liabilities) but is not reconciled in the captured material.

Commentary. Equity was virtually wiped out between FY2022 and FY2024, falling from an estimated R825m to R4.4m as cumulative losses turned positive retained earnings of R194.2m (FY2022) into a deficit of R626.0m (FY2024). FY2026 profit rebuilt equity to R223.7m, but this remains thin against total assets of R3.44bn (6.5%). The balance sheet's defining feature is the rehabilitation provision: R2.39bn at FY2026, 74% of total liabilities and 10.7 times equity, against ring-fenced investments of only R273.5m (11.4% coverage). The provision has grown from R626m in FY2019 (Financial Mail) to R2.39bn, largely through discount unwinding and estimate changes rather than new disturbance. The deferred tax asset of R445.9m is the second-largest asset after PPE and depends on future taxable profits for recovery. On a standalone basis, the listed parent's liabilities exceed its assets by R348m, the basis of the auditor's going-concern material uncertainty.

Cash flow

Interim reference points: cash generated from operations was R262m in H1 FY2023, R396m in H1 FY2024 (helped by working capital), R234m in H1 FY2025 and R467m in H1 FY2026.

Commentary. Cash generation has been more resilient than earnings throughout the crisis, which is why the group could repay R1.1bn-era bank facilities from internal resources without an equity raise. In FY2026, FCF of R376m funded R213m of bank capital repayment, R20m of shareholder loan repayment and R49m of rehabilitation fund top-ups. Capex remains low (R113.7m cash in FY2026, of which R91m was capitalised deferred stripping at Moabsvelden), reflecting short remaining contract horizons and contractor-operated mines. Total FY2026 PPE additions of R199.5m included R85.8m of non-cash rehabilitation asset additions.

Ratios (analyst calculations on year-end balances)

Interpretation. ROE figures are mathematically high but economically meaningless because equity is so small; they should not be read as evidence of quality. Leverage on a bank-debt basis has gone from distressed (bank debt 21 times equity at FY2025) to nil. The cash conversion cycle is short because Eskom pays on contract terms and the group carries little inventory.

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Financial Detail

Group Entities

EntityHeld byActivityReporting segment

Salungano Group Limited

Listed parent

Investment holding, central treasury

Investment holding

Keaton Energy Holdings Limited

Salungano Group

Intermediate holding company

Investment holding

Neosho Trading 86 (Pty) Ltd

Keaton Energy Holdings

Moabsvelden Colliery: mining and exploration

Mining

Keaton Mining (Pty) Ltd

Keaton Energy Holdings

Vanggatfontein Colliery: mining and exploration

Mining

Salungano Trading (Pty) Ltd

Salungano Group

Buying, transporting and selling coal

Trading

Blanford 006 (Pty) Ltd

Salungano Trading

Property investment

Property rental and other

Salungano Power (Pty) Ltd

Salungano Group

Coal exploration; dormant

Property rental and other

Salungano Resources (Pty) Ltd

Salungano Group

Low-grade coal sourcing; dormant

Property rental and other

Salungano Agriculture (Pty) Ltd

Salungano Group

Agriculture

Property rental and other

Leeuw Braakfontein Colliery (Pty) Ltd

Keaton Energy Holdings

Dormant

Property rental and other

Labohlano Trading 46 (Pty) Ltd

Keaton Energy Holdings

Dormant

Property rental and other

Wescoal Share Incentive Trust

Salungano Group

Share incentive trust (holds treasury shares)

Property rental and other

Wescoal Mining (Pty) Ltd (and Proudafrique Trading 147)

Salungano Group, 100% legally

Elandspruit and Khanyisa; in business rescue since Aug 2023; deconsolidated, carried at nil fair value

Not consolidated

Arnot OpCo

Wescoal Mining, 50%

Arnot mine; in business rescue since Oct 2022; fully impaired at FY2022

Not consolidated

Revenue by Segment

SegmentH1 FY2025FY2025H1 FY2026

Mining revenue (ZAR Mn)

2,148.94,603.73,477.8

Trading revenue (ZAR Mn)

63.8104.752.6

Property rental and other revenue (ZAR Mn)

5.29.94.4

Investment holding revenue (ZAR Mn)

86.8158.259.1

Inter-segment eliminations (ZAR Mn)

-125.3-507.1-562.6

Consolidated revenue (ZAR Mn)

2,179.44,369.43,031.3

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Results by Segment

SegmentH1 FY2025FY2025H1 FY2026

Mining operating profit (ZAR Mn)

74.745.1322.4

Trading operating profit (ZAR Mn)

-11.0-16.2-12.0

Property rental and other operating profit (ZAR Mn)

0.8-0.3-0.9

Investment holding operating profit (ZAR Mn)

-113.4-195.426.1

Eliminations (ZAR Mn)

232.5361.344.3

Consolidated operating profit per segment note (ZAR Mn)

183.7194.4327.7

Results by Segment and Segment Margins & Growth (%)

MetricH1 FY2025FY2025H1 FY2026

Mining profit before tax (ZAR Mn)

-23.0-254.8216.2

Trading profit before tax (ZAR Mn)

-11.7-19.8-13.0

Investment holding profit before tax (ZAR Mn)

-137.3-131.133.2

Mining operating margin, analyst calc (%)

3.51.09.3

Trading operating margin, analyst calc (%)

-17.2-15.5-22.7

Mining EBITDA (ZAR Mn)

—258.6—

Group EBITDA (ZAR Mn)

272429.0511

Income Statement and Margin Analysis (%)

MetricFY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025FY2026

Revenue (ZAR Mn)

5,1394,7893,6534,369.44,467.8

Revenue growth YoY, analyst calc (%)

31.7-6.8-23.719.62.3

Gross profit (ZAR Mn)

551129292371.7674.7

Operating profit (ZAR Mn)

138-745-309188.6457.5

EBITDA as reported (ZAR Mn)

646——429.0734.0

Finance costs (ZAR Mn)

———266.6216.7

Pre-tax profit (ZAR Mn)

———-45.2279.5

Net profit (ZAR Mn; FY2023–FY2024 derived from loss per share x 410.4m shares)

-37-692-14310.4208.8

Basic EPS (ZAR cents)

-9.06-168.52-34.892.5450.89

Diluted EPS (ZAR cents)

-9.06-168.52-34.892.5450.89

Headline EPS (ZAR cents; FY2026 guided at 50.59 to 51.11)

6.13-58.65-111.912.62—

Dividend per share (ZAR cents)

00000

Gross margin, analyst calc (%)

10.72.78.08.515.1

Operating margin, analyst calc (%)

2.7-15.6-8.54.310.2

EBITDA margin, analyst calc (%)

12.6——9.816.4

Net margin, analyst calc (%)

-0.7-14.4-3.90.24.7

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Income Statement

MetricH1 FY2026H2 FY2026 derived

Revenue (ZAR Mn)

3,031.31,436.4

Operating profit (ZAR Mn)

327.7129.8

EBITDA (ZAR Mn)

511223

Net profit (ZAR Mn)

157.950.9

Balance Sheet

MetricFY2022FY2024FY2025FY2026

Total assets (ZAR Mn)

——3,573.13,437.5

Property, plant and equipment (ZAR Mn)

—2,581.12,035.51,962.1

Cash and cash equivalents, gross (ZAR Mn)

——62.067.1

Cash net of overdraft (ZAR Mn)

—6.9-23.467.1

Bank borrowings, term loan plus RCF (ZAR Mn)

677373.4224.50

Bank overdraft (ZAR Mn)

——85.50

Net bank debt (ZAR Mn; FY2022 as reported, others analyst calc)

706366.5248.0-67.1

Shareholder loan, RBFT (ZAR Mn)

—74.953.840.4

Loan from investee (ZAR Mn)

——206.6208.9

Lease liabilities (ZAR Mn)

——3.39.8

Total equity (ZAR Mn; FY2022 derived from share capital plus reported retained earnings)

824.64.414.8223.7

Goodwill and intangibles (ZAR Mn)

——1.81.6

Working capital, current assets less current liabilities (ZAR Mn)

——-83.869.4

Environmental rehabilitation provision (ZAR Mn)

1,3902,109.02,110.52,390.4

Restricted rehabilitation investments (ZAR Mn)

—125.0167.0273.5

Deferred tax asset (ZAR Mn)

——410.7445.9

Total liabilities (ZAR Mn)

——3,558.33,213.9

Cash Flow

MetricFY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025FY2026

Cash generated from operations (ZAR Mn)

672——461.7614.5

Tax paid (ZAR Mn)

———186.7113.7

Net cash from operating activities (ZAR Mn)

———238.4489.5

Capital expenditure, cash (ZAR Mn)

150——59.0113.7

Free cash flow, net operating cash less capex, analyst calc (ZAR Mn)

———179.3375.9

Contributions to rehabilitation investments (ZAR Mn)

———28.548.9

Bank debt repaid, capital (ZAR Mn)

———100.1213.2

Shareholder loan repaid (ZAR Mn)

———29.020.0

Dividends paid (ZAR Mn)

00000

Share buybacks (ZAR Mn)

00000

Returns & Leverage Ratios (%) and Financial Ratios (x)

RatioFY2022FY2024FY2025FY2026

Return on equity, year-end equity (%)

-4.5—70.393.4

Return on assets, year-end assets (%)

——0.36.1

ROIC, NOPAT over equity plus loans plus net rehab provision less cash (%)

———13.5

Current ratio (x)

——0.911.13

Bank debt to equity (x)

0.8284.920.90

Net bank debt to EBITDA (x)

1.09—0.58-0.09

Interest coverage, operating profit over total finance costs (x)

——0.712.11

Interest coverage, operating profit over cash finance costs paid (x)

——4.028.6

Asset turnover, revenue over year-end assets (x)

——1.221.30

Receivable days (days)

——53.832.5

Inventory days (days)

——7.012.7

Payable days, current trade payables (days)

——48.329.3

Cash conversion cycle (days)

——12.515.9

Effective tax rate (%)

———25.3

Revenue by geography

Revenue by geographyFY2024FY2025FY2026

South Africa share of revenue (%)

100100100

Export share of revenue (%)

000

Revenue by Region and Revenue by Region (%)

ChannelH1 FY2025FY2025H1 FY2026

Eskom coal sales (ZAR Mn)

1,554.13,145.92,237.3

Transport services (ZAR Mn)

532.51,055.0715.5

Local non-Eskom coal sales (ZAR Mn)

84.0152.471.1

Fees and rental (ZAR Mn)

8.816.07.3

Eskom-linked share, coal plus transport, analyst calc (%)

95.796.197.4

Share Price & Returns

Reference pointPrice (ZAR cents)Source

2017 high (Wescoal)

205

Financial Mail

14 Apr 2022

180

Business Day

3 Jul 2023 (after board resignations)

90

Business Day

Pre-suspension close, Aug 2023

about 50

Alphaspread; Financial Mail ("doubled off pre-suspension close")

26 Jun 2026

92

Google Finance

16 Jul 2026

84

Mansa Markets

24 Jul 2026

78

HALO

21 Aug 2026 (latest verified)

100

HALO

52-week range

56 to 120

HALO; Google Finance

Valuation Snapshot

MultipleValue

Market capitalisation (ZAR Mn)

420

P/E, trailing FY2026 (x)

2.0

P/B, FY2026 equity (x)

1.9

EV excluding rehabilitation, incl. shareholder, investee and lease loans, less cash (ZAR Mn)

612

EV/EBITDA excluding rehabilitation (x)

0.8

EV/Sales excluding rehabilitation (x)

0.14

EV including net rehabilitation provision of R2,117m (ZAR Mn)

2,729

EV/EBITDA including net rehabilitation (x)

3.7

Debt item (ZAR Mn)

Debt item (ZAR Mn)FY2024FY2025FY2026

Bank borrowings

373.4224.50

Bank overdraft

—85.50

Shareholder loan

74.953.840.4

Loan from investee

—206.6208.9

Lease liabilities

—3.39.8

Analyst Conclusions

Management guidance. No quantitative guidance is provided. The FY2026 going-concern assessment, covering the 12 months to June 2027, rests on four stated assumptions: a significant increase in Salungano Trading sales, achievement of production and sales targets, extension of the Neosho CSA with Eskom, and continued implementation of the Keaton Mining section 155 plan including repayment of long-outstanding creditors.

Consensus expectations. None; the stock is uncovered.

Bull case.

  1. Cash machine at a distressed price: R376m of FY2026 free cash flow against a market cap of about R420m, with no bank debt and minimal cash interest.

  2. Contract visibility: a new five-year Vanggatfontein CSA (14.66 Mt remaining) plus a Moabsvelden extension in negotiation could sustain EBITDA well above the FY2025 level of R429m.

  3. Governance normalisation: permanent CFO, independent ARC, unmodified opinions in FY2025 and FY2026, and listing restored, creating scope for re-rating and eventual dividends.

Bear case.

  1. The rehabilitation liability (R2.39bn) is several times the market value and only 11% funded; at roughly R30–50m of annual contributions, closure costs will crystallise before the fund is adequate, absorbing much of remaining mine cash flow.

  2. Earnings are flattered: H2 FY2026 revenue and EBITDA fell about half from H1 as rectification volumes faded, implying a lower run-rate; FY2026 also benefited from no stockpile losses.

  3. Fragile structure: a standalone-insolvent parent, a Keaton subsidiary still exposed to liquidation risk, Eskom concentration above 95% and four-year mine horizons.

Catalysts and monitorables (next 12 months)

Analyst verdict. Salungano Group, the former Wescoal Holdings, has completed one of the more improbable recoveries on the JSE. Between mid-2023 and early 2026 it simultaneously endured bank default, two subsidiary business rescues, disclaimed audits and a 33-month suspension, yet emerged with no bank debt, a restored listing and record EBITDA of R734m. That outcome reflects one genuinely good asset, Moabsvelden, a supportive Eskom offtake environment and the willingness of lenders and creditors to accept standstill and compromise arrangements rather than force liquidation.

The equity case, however, is not as cheap as the headline multiples suggest. A trailing P/E of about 2x and an EV/EBITDA below 1x ignore a R2.39bn rehabilitation obligation that is legally binding, growing through discount unwinding alone, and only 11% funded. Treating the net provision as debt lifts EV/EBITDA to roughly 3.7x on FY2026 numbers, and higher still on the derived H2 FY2026 run-rate, which fell sharply as third-party rectification volumes tapered. With both operating mines valued over four-year horizons and over 95% of revenue tied to Eskom, the window for cash flows to exceed closure costs is narrow.

The investment debate therefore centres on three binary-like questions: whether Eskom extends the Moabsvelden contract on economic terms, whether Keaton Mining completes its creditor compromise without liquidation, and whether management can convert operating cash into a credible, accelerated rehabilitation funding plan while restoring parent-company solvency. Governance has improved materially, but the track record remains short.

For institutional investors, the appropriate stance is to monitor rather than own until the H1 FY2027 results confirm a sustainable post-rectification run-rate and the Moabsvelden contract extension is secured.

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Executive Leadership

Board of Directors

NameRoleBoard appointmentBackground (as disclosed)

Dr Humphrey (HLM) Mathe

Chairman, independent non-executive

1 Aug 2013

Interim CEO Jan–Mar 2019; chairman since 1 Jul 2019

Muthanyi Robinson Ramaite

Chief executive officer

20 Nov 2007

Former chairman (to Jul 2019); interim CEO from March 2021, subsequently CEO; chairs Simeka Capital; largest beneficial shareholder

Jannie (JFJ) Muller

Chief financial officer and executive director

1 Apr 2026

CA(SA), CFA, 25+ years' experience; interim group CFO from 19 Feb 2025; previously acting CFO of Neosho Trading 86

Thivha Tshithavhane

Executive director (CEO of mining)

4 Apr 2016

Mining executive

Themba (TT) Tshikovhi

Independent non-executive; chair, audit, risk and compliance committee

1 Mar 2024

Not disclosed in captured material

Mzimkulu Malunga

Independent non-executive; chair, social and ethics committee; ARC member

1 Mar 2024

—

Sinesipho (SN) Maninjwa

Independent non-executive; ARC member

1 Mar 2024

—

Cecil Maswanganyi

Non-executive (non-independent); social and ethics member

17 Nov 2017

—

Eric (ET) Mzimela

Non-executive (non-independent); social and ethics member

17 Nov 2017

Original 2016 BEE SPV participant; indirect holder of 33.1m shares

“—” = not publicly disclosed.

Directors' Remuneration

ExecutiveSalary FY2026 (ZAR Mn)Benefits FY2026 (ZAR Mn)Bonus FY2026 (ZAR Mn)Total FY2026 (ZAR Mn)Total FY2025 (ZAR Mn)

MR Ramaite (CEO)

5.0500.0000.8235.8735.163

T Tshithavhane

4.5530.3690.8175.7394.958

KM Maroga (CFO, resigned Feb 2025)

————5.662

Board & Management Changes

DateChangeContext

Apr 2022

CFO Speckman resigns

Personal reasons; shortly after name change

1 Oct 2022

Kabela Maroga appointed CFO

—

30 Jun 2023

Resignation of Andile Mabizela, Nomavuso Mnxasana and Nonzukiso Siyotula (lead independent director)

Days after FY2023 results delay linked to refinancing; preceded suspension

1 Mar 2024

Tshikovhi, Malunga and Maninjwa appointed

Board reconstitution during suspension

May–Jul 2024

Auditor change from KPMG to SNG Grant Thornton

—

18 Feb 2025

CFO Maroga resigns; Muller interim CFO

Contributed to further reporting delays

1 Apr 2026

Muller confirmed as CFO and executive director

—

26 May 2026

AGM re-elects Mathe, Maswanganyi, Mzimela; reappoints committee members and auditor

—

Major Shareholders

HolderSharesStake (%)

K2016316243 (SA) Proprietary Limited

213,628,12250.87

RBFT Investments Proprietary Limited

86,626,18720.63

MR Ramaite (direct)

23,193,3015.52

Wescoal Share Incentive Trust (treasury)

9,508,0002.26

Rutendo Holdings Proprietary Limited

8,640,3962.06

M Marageni

7,016,9881.67

Competitive Landscape

Key Competitors

CompetitorSegment overlapScale indicatorRelative positioning

Exxaro Resources

Eskom tied and contract supply; domestic market

FY2025 revenue R41.8bn; EBITDA R10.2bn; coal production 39.9 Mt

Dominant, diversified, investment-grade-like balance sheet

Thungela Resources

Domestic and export thermal coal

FY2025 revenue R29.6bn; adjusted EBITDA R1.2bn; export saleable production 17.8 Mt

Export-led; net cash R5.1bn

Seriti Resources

Eskom tied supply (Mpumalanga)

Private; financials not publicly disclosed

Largest black-owned Eskom supplier

Glencore South African coal operations

Eskom and export

Not separately disclosed in captured material

Global major

Sasol Mining

Captive coal for Sasol

—

Not a direct Eskom competitor

Canyon Coal

Junior/mid-tier, Eskom and export

Private

Direct junior competitor

Menar (various collieries)

Junior/mid-tier, Eskom and export

Private

Direct junior competitor

MC Mining

Junior, primarily metallurgical/export

Not captured

Limited overlap

Universal Coal (Ata Resources-owned)

Junior Eskom and domestic supplier

Not captured

Direct junior competitor

Black Royalty Minerals

Junior Eskom supplier

Private

Direct junior competitor

“—” = not publicly disclosed.

Peer Comparison FY2026

MetricSalungano FY2026Exxaro FY2025Thungela FY2025

Revenue (ZAR Mn)

4,46841,77129,599

Revenue growth (%)

2.32.6-16.8

EBITDA (ZAR Mn)

73410,2251,216

EBITDA margin (%)

16.424.54.1

Company Snapshot

$248.2M

Revenue

122

Employees

2005

Founded

Sandton, South Africa

Headquarters

SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong operating cash generation: R614.5m cash generated from operations in FY2026 (FY2025: R461.7m), sufficient to repay all bank debt without equity issuance (FY2026 AFS).
  • Bank-debt-free balance sheet since 18 March 2026, with RCF and GBF facilities cancelled (FY2026 AFS).
  • Two signed Eskom contracts, including a new five-year Vanggatfontein CSA from October 2025 (HY2026 interim, note 17).
  • Record EBITDA of R734m and gross margin of 15.1% in FY2026 (FY2026 AFS).
  • Low capital intensity: FY2026 cash capex of R113.7m (2.5% of revenue).
  • Majority black ownership above 51%, entrenched since 2016, aligned with Eskom procurement requirements (Mining Weekly, 2016; FY2026 shareholder register).

Weaknesses

  • Customer concentration: Eskom-linked revenue about 96% of FY2025 sales (analyst calc from note 9).
  • Environmental rehabilitation provision of R2.39bn, 74% of total liabilities, against restricted investments of R273.5m (FY2026 AFS, KAM).
  • Parent company insolvent on a standalone basis: liabilities exceed assets by R348m; current liabilities exceed current assets by R509m (FY2026 AFS, going concern).
  • Governance and reporting history: two consecutive disclaimers (FY2023, FY2024), reportable irregularities to IRBA, and a 33-month suspension.
  • Loss-making Trading segment (operating loss R16.2m in FY2025 on revenue of R104.7m).
  • Thin equity (R223.7m) relative to assets of R3.44bn, and dependence on a R445.9m deferred tax asset.

Opportunities

  • Extension of the Moabsvelden CSA beyond early 2028, which the FY2026 AFS states is in progress.
  • Recovery of R76m in disallowed Neosho diesel rebates and an estimated R27m from the Keaton diesel dispute (FY2026 AFS; HY2026 note 16).
  • Resumption of dividends once holding-company liquidity is restored; AGM approved repurchase authority (26 May 2026).
  • Continued rectification sales to Eskom, which lifted FY2026 results for three quarters.
  • Salungano Trading turnaround, assumed in going-concern forecasts.
  • Re-rating from very low multiples (EV/EBITDA below 1x excluding rehabilitation; Section 21) if delivery and reporting discipline persist.

Threats

  • Keaton Mining liquidation risk if the section 155 restructuring fails (FY2026 integrated report via Business Times).
  • Eskom contract non-renewal or reduced offtake as coal stations are decommissioned.
  • Cost inflation: a 1% rise in production cost would trigger a Moabsvelden impairment (FY2026 AFS, note 3).
  • Rehabilitation cost escalation: provision grew R279.8m in FY2026 alone.
  • SARS tax disputes and potential further diesel claw-backs.
  • Regulatory and climate policy tightening (carbon tax, water licences), which management currently assesses as immaterial.

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Key Developments

DateEventSignificance
30 May 2025Quarterly progress report during suspensionReiterated reporting timetable
13 Jun 2025Further delay in FY2024 results and H1 FY2025 interims announcedMissed mid-June target; no new timeline given
26 Aug 2025Standstill agreement concluded with lendersEnded 26 months of continuous default; set repayment path
29 Aug 2025Quarterly report withdraws mid-November 2025 target for lifting suspensionSignalled further slippage
30 Sep 2025Trading statement for FY2024 (headline loss 110–114c guided)Precursor to audited FY2024 results
7 Oct 2025FY2024 audited results: revenue R3.65bn, operating loss R309m, auditor disclaimer and reportable irregularities to IRBALowest-assurance year on record
20 Oct 2025Keaton Mining signs Eskom CSA for Vanggatfontein (about five years)Second direct Eskom contract restored
28 Nov 2025RCF fully repaid; quarterly progress reportMajor deleveraging milestone
2 Dec 2025AGM held; results announcedGovernance normalisation
Dec 2025SARS disallows R76m of Neosho diesel rebatesReversed as adjusting event in FY2025; under appeal
10 Dec 2025Trading statement for H1 FY2025–
12 Dec 2025H1 FY2025 interims: revenue R2.18bn, normalised EBITDA R272m, HEPS 21.56cConfirmed Moabsvelden-led recovery
27 Feb 2026Quarterly report: suspension lifting now targeted from June 2026–
Mar 2026Neosho appeals SARS diesel decisionPotential R76m recovery
18 Mar 2026General banking facility settled; all lender facilities cancelledGroup free of bank debt
27 Mar 2026FY2025 audited results: revenue R4.37bn, operating profit R189m, EPS 2.54c; unmodified opinion with going-concern material uncertaintyFirst clean opinion since FY2022
27 Mar 2026Jannie Muller appointed permanent CFO from 1 Apr 2026Finance leadership stabilised
30 Apr 2026H1 FY2026 interims: revenue R3.03bn, normalised EBITDA R511m, profit R157.9m, sales volumes 4.2 MtReporting fully up to date
15 May 2026JSE lifts trading suspensionLiquidity restored after 33 months
21 May 2026SARS extends diesel appeal response period by 30 business daysOutcome expected by end-September 2026
26 May 2026AGM approves director re-elections, auditor reappointment, share issue and repurchase authorities–
11 Jun 2026Financial Mail/Miningmx critique highlights R2.2bn unfunded rehabilitation, deferred tax asset dependency, inventory provisions and related-party loanShaped market scepticism
24 Jun 2026FY2026 trading statement: EPS 50.64–51.14c; share rises over 26% on the day–
30 Jun 2026FY2026 audited AFS: profit R208.8m, EBITDA R734m, operating profit R457.5m; going-concern material uncertainty at company levelBest result in the group's history on EBITDA
Jul 2026FY2026 integrated annual report and 2026 Competent Persons Report publishedKeaton liquidation risk flagged
1 Aug 2026Business Times feature on turnaround; share up about 24% year-on-yearMedia re-rating of narrative
21 Aug 2026Share closes at R1.00 (market cap about R420m)Latest verified price
Oct 2026No further material SENS announcements identified in public search results; H1 FY2027 interims due by 31 December 2026 under JSE rulesFirst on-time interim test

Financial Performance

Explore key financial metrics, segmented revenue, balance sheet health, and performance trends.

Revenue

6 charts
Revenue by Segment: Mining revenue rose from ZAR 2,148.9 Mn in H1 FY2025 to ZAR 3,477.8 Mn in H1 FY2026.
Salungano Group Limited — Revenue by Segment
Series (ZAR Mn)H1 FY2025FY2025H1 FY2026
Mining revenue2,148.94,603.73,477.8
Trading revenue63.8104.752.6
Property rental and other revenue5.29.94.4
Investment holding revenue86.8158.259.1
Inter-segment eliminations-125.3-507.1-562.6
Consolidated revenue2,179.44,369.43,031.3

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Sources

Sources

  1. JSE SENS: Wescoal proposed change of name (31 Jan 2022) (senspdf.jse.co.za)
  2. JSE SENS: Finalisation of change of name (29 Mar 2022) (senspdf.jse.co.za)
  3. JSE SENS: FY2022 results short-form (4 Jul 2022) (senspdf.jse.co.za)
  4. Salungano FY2022 condensed results (senspdf.jse.co.za)
  5. Salungano H1 FY2023 results (senspdf.jse.co.za)
  6. JSE SENS: FY2023 results (21 May 2024) (senspdf.jse.co.za)
  7. JSE SENS: H1 FY2024 results (29 Oct 2024) (senspdf.jse.co.za)
  8. ShareData SENS: FY2024 results (7 Oct 2025) (sharedata.co.za)
  9. ShareData SENS: H1 FY2025 results (12 Dec 2025) (sharedata.co.za)
  10. ShareData SENS: FY2025 results (27 Mar 2026) (sharedata.co.za)
  11. Salungano H1 FY2026 unaudited interim results (30 Apr 2026) (senspdf.jse.co.za)
  12. ShareData SENS: H1 FY2026 results announcement (sharedata.co.za)
  13. Salungano FY2026 consolidated and separate AFS (30 Jun 2026) (salunganogroup.com)
  14. Salungano annual reports and results page (salunganogroup.com)
  15. ShareData SENS: Lifting of suspension (15 May 2026) (sharedata.co.za)
  16. ShareData SENS: CFO appointment (27 Mar 2026) (sharedata.co.za)
  17. ShareData SENS: CFO resignation (19 Feb 2025) (sharedata.co.za)
  18. ShareData SENS: Withdrawal of Keaton Mining cautionary (6 Jan 2025) (sharedata.co.za)
  19. ShareData SENS: Quarterly progress reports (Aug 2025, Nov 2025, Feb 2026) · sharedata.co.za · sharedata.co.za
  20. Miningmx / Financial Mail: The coal miner that looks cheap until you read the small print (11 Jun 2026) (miningmx.com)
  21. Business Day / Business Times: Salungano emerges into sunlight after years of darkness (1 Aug 2026) (businessday.co.za)
  22. Mining Weekly: Salungano's share price rises on higher earnings expectation (24 Jun 2026) (miningweekly.com)
  23. Mining Weekly: Wescoal pursues Keaton in R525m acquisition (3 Feb 2017) (miningweekly.com)
  24. Mining Weekly: Wescoal lifts black ownership to 59% (29 Sep 2016) (miningweekly.com)
  25. Mining Weekly: RBFT lifts stake in Wescoal to nearly 65% (2 Mar 2021) (miningweekly.com)
  26. Mining Weekly: Wescoal appoints new CEO (22 Feb 2019) (miningweekly.com)
  27. Miningmx: Demana steps down, Ramaite interim CEO (miningmx.com)
  28. Miningmx: Wescoal delivers first coal from Moabsvelden (miningmx.com)
  29. Engineering News: Wescoal puts Vanggatfontein on care and maintenance (25 Feb 2022) (engineeringnews.co.za)
  30. Mining Weekly: Arnot OpCo placed under business rescue (11 Oct 2022) (miningweekly.com)
  31. Business Times: Creditors at war over Arnot OpCo rescue plan (27 Aug 2023) (businessday.co.za)
  32. Business Day: Salungano rocked by mass board resignations (3 Jul 2023) (businessday.co.za)
  33. Mining Weekly: Another Salungano subsidiary enters business rescue (27 Feb 2024) (miningweekly.com)
  34. Miningmx: Wescoal's Boje quits amid Ramaite conflict (miningmx.com)
  35. ShareData SENS: Wescoal transfer of listing to Main Board (24 Mar 2010) (sharedata.co.za)
  36. Tracenable: Salungano revenues and employee counts · tracenable.com
  37. HALO Technologies: SLG share data (halo-technologies.com)
  38. Google Finance: SLG:JSE (google.com)
  39. Thungela Resources: 2025 annual results (23 Mar 2026) (thungela.com)
  40. Exxaro Resources: 2025 annual results highlights (investor.exxaro.com)

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