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Warehouses De Pauw SA

Company Profile Analysis

Ticker: WDP.BR

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Year Founded & Workforce

1977

145 Employees

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Warehouses De Pauw SA Overview

WDP is one of continental Europe's largest listed specialists in logistics and semi-industrial real estate. It is an owner-developer of essential supply-chain infrastructure, with an €8.7bn portfolio concentrated in the Benelux "logistics gateway". It holds growing positions in France and Germany and a dominant platform in Romania.

The model is built on long-term, CPI-indexed leases with a diversified client base. Growth is driven largely by pre-let development on proprietary land banks, and the company runs an unusually lean, family-anchored operating culture: an operating margin above 90% and about 145 staff.

WDP frames itself as a "net investor with execution power" that compounds EPRA earnings per share through a multi-driver approach. That approach combines indexation, reversion, development, value-add acquisitions and on-site energy (solar and batteries).

The company holds a Moody's A3 rating and targets more than €2.00 EPRA EPS by 2030. Its proposed all-share merger with France's ARGAN, announced in July 2026, would create a €13bn+ pan-European logistics REIT. ING describes the combined group as the sector's number three behind Prologis and CTP.


Company's own description

WDP's investor materials describe the company as a "net investor with execution power" offering an "irreplicable portfolio" and an "attractive risk/reward profile" (H1 2026 investor presentation). Its standard boilerplate describes a high-quality, diversified portfolio of "essential supply chain infrastructure" in Belgium, the Netherlands, France, Luxembourg, Germany and Romania.

The 2025 Annual Report is titled "Disciplined growth: What matters, delivered". Management characterises 2025 as the year of executing a fully funded pipeline and strong leasing, while extending growth ambitions to 2030 on the back of top-tier credit quality and self-financing capacity.

Business model

WDP generates almost all of its revenue from rental income on logistics and semi-industrial buildings. It has four supporting value levers:

  1. Pre-let development (build-to-suit). WDP develops warehouses on its own land reserves or acquired land, typically fully pre-let before or during construction. In H1 2026 it delivered projects at a 6.7% NOI yield. The development pipeline was more than 80% pre-let at year-end 2025.

  2. Acquisitions. These are selective core, core-plus and value-add purchases, including sale-and-leasebacks and contributions in kind paid in WDP shares. Recent examples are two Le Havre port buildings bought from AG Real Estate for €58M (January 2026) and a 100,000 m² land reserve at Zwijndrecht contributed in kind (September 2026).

  3. Organic rental growth. Leases are CPI-indexed and capture reversion on renewals. Like-for-like growth was 2.6% in 2024 with +12% rental uplift on about 500,000 m² reviewed (FY2024). It was 1.6% in H1 2026, with guidance of about 2% for FY2026.

  4. Energy solutions. These are rooftop solar PV, batteries and heat-pump installations sold to tenants or the grid. Third-party commentary describes this as an emerging second income stream (De Belegger, 2025).

Revenue model mix

Revenue typeApproximate shareComment
Rental income (leases)Large majorityLong, indexed leases with high occupancy (97.2% at H1 2026)
Energy income (solar/battery)Minority; exact share n/dReported within property result
Service charges / recoveriesPass-throughNot a margin driver
Licensing / subscription—Not applicable

The FY2025 annual report shows total revenues of €451.76M (financialfilings.com summary of the annual report filed 31 March 2026). H1 2026 rental income was €238.7M (+8.1% y/y) and the property result was €250.4M (+9.7%).

Value-chain position, customers and end-markets

WDP sits at the real-asset layer of the supply chain. It owns the distribution centres, cross-docks, cold stores and urban logistics sites through which goods move.

Its clients include:

  • logistics service providers (3PLs);

  • retailers and e-commerce operators;

  • food and FMCG producers;

  • industrial and manufacturing firms;

  • pharmaceutical and healthcare companies.

The specific top-10 client list for 2025 is n/d in the sources reviewed. Named project tenants in Romania include Dr. Max (Cluj-Napoca), and DHL is a heat-pump partner.

End-markets: Benelux gateway logistics (Antwerp, Rotterdam, Zeebrugge and the inland corridors), French port and urban logistics (for example Le Havre), German logistics, and Romanian modern logistics (Bucharest, Cluj, Timișoara).

Independent characterisation

WDP is best understood as a low-cost, developer-led logistics compounder. Its edge is not cheap capital alone, though an A3 rating helps. It is the combination of three things:

  • land banks in supply-constrained Benelux locations;

  • a pre-letting culture that de-risks development;

  • an unusually lean cost base.

The trade-off is a modest organic growth profile in a maturing rental cycle, plus rising refinancing costs as legacy hedges roll off. Management guides to a cumulative +85bp organic cost-of-debt reset toward 2030 (FY2025 presentation). The ARGAN merger marks a strategic shift from organic, Benelux-led expansion to M&A-driven European scale.

Strategy

Stated strategy themes

"#BLEND" (2024–2027): "blending" internal opportunities (indexation, reversion, energy, development on own land) with external growth (acquisitions, platform expansion) to deliver about 6% EPRA EPS CAGR. The 2027 target is €1.70 EPRA EPS, which management says is "fully on track".

"#BLEND&EXTEND2030 — building the platform of tomorrow": (FY2025 results), with these targets by 2030 against base year 2025:

  • EPRA EPS above €2.00 (>6% CAGR);

  • DPS above €1.60 (>6% CAGR);

  • cumulative total return above 50% (>10% CAGR).

Funding model: €500M of internally funded capex per year via retained earnings, stock dividend and contributions in kind. €250–300M of this is equity, with debt within net debt/EBITDA of about 8x and LTV of about 40%.

Operating values: "customer-driven entrepreneurship, discipline and sustainable growth" (CEO, 9M 2025).

Initiatives in the last 24 months

InitiativeDateDetail
€1bn investment programme2,024Across development, core+/value-add (7.5% NOI yield) and energy
Moody's A3 and EMTN programmeOct 2025Opens access to the public bond market
€500M green EurobondOct 2025Under the updated Green Finance Framework (Sustainable Fitch SPO: "Excellent")
Board internationalisationJan 2026Two international independent directors
Spain and Italy entryApr 2026Country Managers appointed
ARGAN mergerJul 2026€13bn+ pan-European platform
Energy platformOngoingSolar, batteries, heat pumps (DHL partnership)

Guidance

ItemGuidance
FY2026 EPRA EPS€1.60 (+5% y/y), confirmed at H1 2026
FY2026 DPS€1.29 (payable 2027)
Occupancy≥97%
Like-for-like rental growthAbout 2%
2027 EPRA EPS€1.70
2030 EPRA EPS>€2.00
2030 DPS>€1.60
LeverageNet debt/EBITDA about 8x; LTV about 40%

Products & Services

WDP has no consumer "products". Its offering is a set of real estate solutions, catalogued below by type.

Launch years for individual offerings are not disclosed; the formats are long-standing parts of WDP's model.

Product Portfolio

OfferingDescriptionTarget customerPricing modelFlagship / example

Build-to-suit / pre-let development

Custom warehouses developed on WDP land and pre-let before completion

3PLs, retailers, manufacturers

Long-term indexed lease; NOI yield about 6.6–6.9% on cost

WDPark Bucharest–Dragomirești expansion: about 47,000 m² climate-controlled facility plus about 11,000 m² ambient, about €52M budget, EDGE Advanced certified

Standard logistics warehouses

Lettable distribution centres in WDP parks

Logistics operators, e-commerce

Indexed lease

Nijverdal (NL)

Cross-dock / last-mile

Urban and cross-dock facilities

Parcel and last-mile carriers

Indexed lease

Six cross-dock warehouses in France for €50M (ROIC.ai profile)

Cold-chain / climate-controlled

Refrigerated and freezer cells

Food, pharma

Indexed lease

Dragomirești cold-store project (Romania)

Urban logistics

Inner-city small sites

Last-mile, retail

Indexed lease

Timișoara standalone site of about 26,000 m²

Sale-and-leaseback

Acquires owner-occupied logistics assets and leases them back

Corporates freeing capital

Indexed lease

Not individually named in 2025–26 sources

Brownfield redevelopment

Converts industrial plots to modern logistics

Varied

Indexed lease after redevelopment

Value-add acquisitions at about 7.5% NOI yield (FY2024 plan)

Contribution in kind

Sellers receive WDP shares for property

Family owners, developers

Share issuance at set issue price

Zwijndrecht land reserve (Sep 2026); €87M of in-kind contributions in 2025

Healthcare-type logistics

Pharma distribution centres

Pharmacy chains

Indexed lease

Dr. Max centre, Cluj-Napoca (about 11,000 m²)

Energy: solar PV

Rooftop PV across portfolio

Tenants, grid

Power purchase / energy sales

Installed MWp n/d in sources reviewed

Energy: batteries

Behind-the-meter and grid batteries

Tenants, grid

Energy revenue

—

Energy: heat pumps

Heating/cooling on logistics campuses

Tenants

Service fees / rent

Partnership with DHL (ROIC.ai profile)

Financial Narrative

Accounting basis. WDP reports under IFRS as a Belgian REIT. Its key performance metric is EPRA Earnings (recurring result excluding portfolio revaluations and hedge fair-value changes), not EBIT or EPS in the industrial sense. Conventional "gross profit" is not meaningful for a REIT and is not reported.

Income statement and per-share data

Sources and notes:

  • FY2024 release (30 Jan 2025): EPRA earnings €333.7M (+15% y/y); EPS €1.50, of which €1.47 recurring plus €0.03 one-off break fee; DPS €1.20 (+7%); revaluation +€154.9M (+2.0%).

  • FY2025 release (30 Jan 2026): EPS €1.53 (+2% reported, +7% underlying); DPS €1.23; revaluation +€71.1M (+0.8%).

  • FY2023 EPS of €1.40 reported (€1.35 underlying after a +€0.05 one-off) per the FY2025 presentation footnote.

  • FY2025 revenues and net result per financialfilings.com, from the annual report filed 31 March 2026.

  • FY2025 EPRA earnings in absolute terms are n/d. The July 2025 sell-side consensus was €349.8M.

Interim trajectory (2026)

Sources: H1 2025 release; De Belegger; Quartr summary of H1 2026; WDP H1 2026 release. Q1 2026 EPRA EPS was €0.38 (+6% y/y).

Margins

Notes:

  • Operating margin: "90%+ operating margin" per the H1 2025 release.

  • Payout ratio: an 80% payout basis is cited by De Belegger for the 2025 dividend; 2024 DPS/EPS = 1.20/1.50 = 80%.

The FY2025 net margin derived as net result over total revenues is 353.92 / 451.76 ≈ 78%. This is a derived figure, and it includes revaluation gains.

Balance sheet

Notes:

  • FY2025 equity raised of €279M: optional dividend €108M, retained earnings €84M, contributions in kind €87M.

  • FY2025 LTV and net debt/EBITDA are given as "about 40%" and "about 8x" in the FY2025 release.

  • At 30 June 2025 the ratios were 41.3% and 7.7x.

  • At 30 June 2026: portfolio €8.7bn and EPRA NTA €21.4.

Liquidity: €1.4bn of undrawn credit lines (Q1 2025).

Debt instruments outstanding (selected):

  • €500M green Eurobond, 3.175%, due 2031 (a TradingView listing shows a 3.125% bond due 15 Jan 2031; this is a coupon discrepancy to verify against the final terms);

  • €500M green USPP (2022, 10-year);

  • €100M green USPP (2018, 11-year, 2.62%);

  • bank facilities.

Bonds due 1 April 2026 (2.5% fixed and FRN) appear in listings and are presumed repaid at maturity.

Goodwill and intangibles are immaterial for WDP. Working capital and the cash split are n/d.

Cash flow and capital allocation

Notes:

  • FY2024 investment of €1bn per the FY2024 release.

  • The €500M per year internally funded capex is the FY2025 target.

  • No buyback programmes were identified, consistent with the REIT model (zeros reflect no programme identified).

Operating cash flow and free cash flow are n/d in verified form.

Ratios

ROIC, current ratio and the cash conversion cycle are n/d or not meaningful for a REIT.

Commentary

EPS growth. EPRA EPS grew from €1.35 underlying (2023) to €1.53 (2025), roughly a 6% underlying CAGR. That matches the #BLEND2027 trajectory. Reported growth in 2025 (+2%) was suppressed by two factors: the non-recurrence of the 2024 break fee (€0.03) and the Dutch FBI abolition (about –€0.05).

Drivers. Growth came from three sources:

  • about €1bn of 2024 investments delivered at about 6.6–6.7% NOI yields;

  • indexation (2.6% in 2024);

  • reversion (+12% uplift on reviewed leases in 2024).

These were partly offset by an 8% increase in the average share count from 2023–24 capital strengthening (FY2024 release).

Valuations. Valuations troughed in 2023 and recovered modestly: +2.0% in 2024, +0.8% in 2025 and +0.1% in H1 2026, at a stable EPRA Net Initial Yield of about 5.4–5.5%.

Leverage. Leverage drifted from 38.3% LTV and 7.2x net debt/EBITDA (2024) to about 40% and 8x (2025), which is at the edge of policy (<40% and <8x). This leaves limited debt-funded headroom outside self-funding and share-based deals. That helps explain the all-share structure of the ARGAN merger.

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Financial Detail

Segment Overview

SegmentContentsNotes

Belgium (incl. Luxembourg)

Home market around the Antwerp–Brussels–Ghent logistics triangle; HQ in Wolvertem

Latest land addition: 100,000 m² at Zwijndrecht (Sep 2026)

Netherlands

WDP Nederland: large distribution centres along the Rotterdam/Venlo/Tilburg corridors (e.g. Nijverdal)

FBI tax status abolished from 2025

France

WDP France: port and urban logistics, cross-docks (e.g. Le Havre)

Portfolio more than doubled to €700M in 2024

Germany

Developments and acquisitions

Smaller, growing segment

Romania

WDP Romania: about 80 locations and 1.9M m² GLA (Q1 2025)

€1.5bn portfolio value (Q1 2025)

Energy

Solar PV, batteries, heat pumps

Reported as part of the property result

Revenue by Segment

Segment (portfolio value, EUR Mn)FY2024FY2025

France

700—

Romania

—1,500

Group total portfolio (EUR Mn)

8,0008,600

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Income Statement and Per-Share Data

MetricFY2023FY2024FY2025

EPRA Earnings (EUR Mn)

—333.7—

EPRA EPS reported (EUR)

1.401.501.53

EPRA EPS underlying (EUR)

1.351.471.53

Total revenues (EUR Mn)

——451.76

IFRS net result (EUR Mn)

——353.92

Gross dividend per share (EUR)

—1.201.23

Portfolio revaluation (EUR Mn)

—154.971.1

Key Financials and Per-Share Data

MetricH1 2025H1 2026

EPRA Earnings (EUR Mn)

171.2186.7

EPRA EPS (EUR)

0.750.79

Rental income (EUR Mn)

—238.7

Property result (EUR Mn)

—250.4

IFRS net result (EUR Mn)

139.2186.6

EPRA NTA per share (EUR)

—21.4

Margin Analysis (%)

MetricFY2024FY2025

Operating margin (%)

—90

EPRA payout ratio (%)

8080

Balance Sheet and Per-Share Data

MetricFY2024FY2025

Portfolio fair value (EUR Mn)

8,0008,600

Total assets (EUR Mn)

—8,910

Total equity (EUR Mn)

—5,020

Equity raised in year (EUR Mn)

—279

EPRA NTA per share (EUR)

21.121.9

Loan-to-value (%)

38.340

Net debt / EBITDA adj. (x)

7.28.0

Cash Flow

MetricFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025

Investment volume (EUR Mn)

———1,000—

Internally funded capex capacity (EUR Mn p.a.)

————500

Optional (stock) dividend take-up (EUR Mn)

————108

Retained earnings (EUR Mn)

————84

Share buybacks (EUR Mn)

00000

Margin Analysis (%) and Financial Ratios (x)

RatioFY2025Basis

ROE (%)

7.0

Derived: 353.92 / 5020

ROA (%)

4.0

Derived: 353.92 / 8910

Average cost of debt (%)

2.3

H1 2025 release

Cost-of-debt target (%)

<2.5

#BLEND2027

Debt/equity (x)

0.70

MarketInOut, third-party

Interest coverage (x)

5.3—

Capital Markets

ItemValueSource / date

Share price

About €21.3–21.9

Snowball, Börse Stuttgart (Aug–Oct 2026)

Market cap

About €5.1–5.2bn

TradingView, Snowball

1-year performance

+3.85%

Börse Stuttgart (Aug 2026)

YTD return (OTC line)

+2.62% (vs BEL 20 +11.98%)

Yahoo (31 Jul 2026)

P/E (EPRA basis, FY2026E)

About 13.4x

€21.5 / €1.60

Dividend yield (FY2026E DPS)

About 6.0%

€1.29 / €21.5

Price / EPRA NTA

About 1.0x

€21.5 / €21.4

Analyst target range

€23–32

TradingView

Barclays price target

Cut to €26.30 from €29.30

ROIC.ai news (date n/d)

Per-Share Data

MetricFY2024FY2025FY2026

Gross DPS (EUR)

1.201.231.29

Per-Share Data and Capital Markets Data

MetricFY2025FY2026FY2027

EPRA EPS (EUR)

1.541.621.70

DPS (EUR)

1.231.301.36

EPRA NTA per share (EUR)

22.023.324.7

EPRA Earnings (EUR Mn)

349.8372.9400.3

LTV (%)

404040

Analyst Conclusions

Guidance and consensus

FY2026: EPRA EPS €1.60 (+5%) and DPS €1.29, with occupancy ≥97% and like-for-like rental growth of about 2%.

2027: €1.70 EPS (consensus also €1.70).

2030: EPS above €2.00 and DPS above €1.60, a >6% CAGR.

Bull case

  1. Visible earnings growth. A €760M pipeline at a 6.8% yield plus +9% reversion underpins about 5–6% EPS growth at roughly 13x earnings with a 6% yield.

  2. Scale re-rating via ARGAN. A €13bn+ platform, a free float of about 73% and a Paris listing could drive index inclusions and narrow the discount to larger peers.

  3. Credit moat. A3 funding at 80bp spreads, extended to ARGAN's debt, creates financing synergies of about €10M.

Bear case

  1. Leverage constraint. LTV of about 40% and net debt/EBITDA of about 8x sit at the policy limits, while the +85bp debt-cost reset erodes growth.

  2. Lower-growth merger partner. Jefferies flags higher debt and lower projected ARGAN growth (ARGAN guides +4% rental growth for 2026) against WDP's mid-to-high single-digit growth.

  3. Softening operating metrics. Occupancy has slipped from 98.1% to 97.2%, like-for-like growth has decelerated to 1.6%, and NTA growth is flat.

Catalysts and monitorables (next 12 months)

  • Q3 2026 results on 23 October 2026;

  • ARGAN EGMs in November 2026;

  • the French tax ruling and regulatory clearance;

  • merger completion in Q1 2027;

  • FY2026 results in late January 2027 and the merged-entity guidance;

  • refinancing activity and Moody's commentary;

  • leasing in Romania and the Netherlands;

  • Spain/Italy first investments;

  • Prologis–Segro sector consolidation read-across.

Analyst verdict

WDP is a high-quality, conservatively run logistics REIT. Its earnings track record is among the most reliable in European listed real estate. Underlying EPRA EPS compounded at about 6% from 2023 to 2025, and the 2026 guidance of €1.60 was reconfirmed after H1. The company runs a 90%+ operating margin with about 145 staff, and the 2025 Moody's upgrade to A3 gives it a structural funding edge that few peers can match.

Valuation is undemanding. At about €21.5, the shares trade near EPRA NTA (€21.4), on about 13x forward EPRA earnings and with a 6% dividend yield.

The investment debate has shifted decisively with the proposed ARGAN merger. Strategically, the logic is sound. It gives WDP immediate leadership in France, a €13bn+ platform, deeper liquidity, and a credible path to Spain, Italy and Germany. The financial terms are share-based, which preserves the balance sheet in nominal terms, and synergies are concentrated in financing, where WDP's A3 rating has real value. Committed support from holders of about 52% of ARGAN votes and about 19% of WDP votes materially de-risks the shareholder vote.

The cost is a somewhat slower blended growth profile. Leverage remains at policy limits, and the 21% premium to ARGAN holders has to be earned back through cost-of-debt savings and cross-selling.

Operationally, investors should watch the gentle erosion in occupancy and like-for-like growth. They should also watch the cost-of-debt reset, which management itself flags as a headwind toward 2030.

On balance, WDP offers defensive, inflation-linked income with moderate growth and an M&A-driven scale option. Equity is effectively priced at book, so the merger needs to be visibly accretive per share on 2027 numbers to unlock a re-rating. The key test will come with the merged-entity guidance expected around the FY2026 results.

Our verdict is constructive and quality-defensive, with the rating contingent on merger execution and on leverage holding at about 40% LTV.


Source list (principal):

  • wdp.eu press releases and presentations: FY2024, H1 2025, 9M 2025, FY2025, Q1 2026, H1 2026 trading update and H1 2026; Board releases dated 30 Jan 2026, 30 Mar 2026 and 2024; green bond releases dated 2018, 2022 and 8 Oct 2025; Board and governance page; analyst consensus page

  • ARGAN/WDP merger release (GlobeNewswire, 23 Jul 2026) and ARGAN FY2025 results (GlobeNewswire, 22 Jan 2026)

  • Dow Jones/ING (24 Jul 2026); Il Sole 24 Ore/Jefferies; SupplyChain247

  • Quartr event summaries; MarketScreener (Le Havre deal); Transilvania Business (Romania 2025); Berocc (Q1 2025); De Belegger (AEX inclusion)

  • TradingView, Snowball, Börse Stuttgart, Yahoo Finance, MarketInOut, financialfilings.com

  • Clifford Chance (EMTN); Wikipedia (Tony De Pauw)

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Executive Leadership

Executive Leadership Team

NameTitleTenure / backgroundCompensation

Joost Uwents

CEO

Co-CEO from 2010; sole CEO since 1 July 2024

n/d (see 2025 remuneration report)

Mickaël Van den Hauwe

CFO

CFO since at least 2015 (signatory on 2018 green USPP)

—

Alexander Makar

Head of IR & Capital Markets

Named in 2026 releases

—

Country Managers (Spain, Italy)

Country Managers

Appointed in 2026; names n/d

—

Board of Directors

NameRoleNotes

Rik Vandenberghe

Chairman, non-executive

Chair since 2019 (nominated 1 Feb 2019)

Joost Uwents

Executive director, CEO

—

Patrick O

Independent non-executive

Appointed 2024; energy and sustainability expertise

Bernard Boel

Non-executive (family nominee)

Proposed January 2026 under the family's binding nomination right; grandson of founder Jos De Pauw

Isabelle De Pauw

Non-executive (family)

Born 1987; daughter of Tony De Pauw; proposed January 2026

Barbara Bajorat

Independent non-executive

Proposed January 2026; international profile

Gwenaëlle de la Raudière

Independent non-executive

Proposed January 2026; international profile

Other incumbent directors

Various

Full current roster n/d; see the 2025 Annual Report

Major Shareholders

HolderStakeSource

Family Jos De Pauw (via family structure RTKA)

About 18% pre-merger (derived); about 14% post-ARGAN merger (disclosed)

ARGAN/WDP release; derived from about 19% of WDP votes committed in favour

Free float

About 73% post-merger

Merger release

Le Lan family (ARGAN founders)

About 9% post-merger

Merger release

Predica (Crédit Agricole Assurances)

About 4% post-merger

Merger release

Competitive Landscape

Key Competitors

CompetitorListingCore marketsPositioning vs. WDP

Prologis

NYSE

Global, including pan-Europe

Largest global logistics REIT; pursuing Segro (per ING)

Segro

LSE

UK, continental Europe

Large; target of Prologis interest

CTP

Euronext Amsterdam

CEE (Czech Republic, Romania, Poland)

Number 2 in Europe per ING; direct competitor in Romania

VGP

Euronext Brussels

Germany, CEE, Spain

Belgian developer-led peer; JV model with Allianz

Montea

Euronext Brussels

Belgium, Netherlands, France, Germany

Closest structural peer (shared De Pauw family origin)

ARGAN

Euronext Paris

France

Merger partner; premium French warehouses

Catena

Nasdaq Stockholm

Nordics

Listed logistics peer

Logicor

Private

Pan-Europe

Large private competitor

P3 Logistic Parks

Private

CEE / Western Europe

Private competitor

Panattoni

Private developer

Pan-Europe

Development competitor for build-to-suit

GLP / Goodman

Private / ASX

Europe

Developer-owners

Peer Comparison FY2025

MetricWDPARGANPrologisCTP

Portfolio (EUR Bn)

8.74.3——

Rental income FY2025 (EUR Mn)

—212.0——

Rental growth FY2025 (%)

—7——

Occupancy (%)

97.2100——

LTV (%)

4041.1——

R&D intensity (%)

0000

Company Snapshot

$509.3M

Revenue

145

Employees

1977

Founded

Wolvertem, Belgium

Headquarters

SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Consistent EPS compounding: EPRA EPS of €1.35 underlying (2023), €1.47 (2024) and €1.53 (2025), with guidance of €1.60 for 2026.
  • Lean operations: operating margin above 90% (H1 2025) on about 145 employees.
  • Credit quality: Moody's A3 (October 2025) and a €500M bond priced at 3.175% with an 80bp spread.
  • High occupancy: 97.2–98.1% across 2025–26.
  • De-risked growth: a €760M pipeline in execution at a 6.8% NOI yield (H1 2026), more than 80% pre-let.
  • Self-funding: €279M of equity added in 2025 through stock dividend, retained earnings and contributions in kind.

Weaknesses

  • Leverage at the ceiling: LTV about 40% and net debt/EBITDA about 8x against policy limits of <40% and <8x.
  • Reported 2025 EPS growth of only +2%, owing to one-offs and the Dutch tax change.
  • A cumulative +85bp organic cost-of-debt reset toward 2030 (FY2025 presentation).
  • NTA momentum stalled: €21.1 (2024), €21.9 (2025), €21.4 (H1 2026, after dividend).
  • Thin disclosure on energy economics, with installed MWp n/d in this research.
  • Share price roughly at NTA (about €21.5 versus €21.4), so equity issuance is not accretive at a premium.

Opportunities

  • ARGAN merger: €13bn+ platform, about €10M of financing synergies, and a 100%-occupied premium French portfolio.
  • Spain/Italy entry, with Country Managers appointed in 2026.
  • Reversionary potential of +9% across the portfolio (FY2025).
  • Land reserves: over 820,000 m² added in H1 2026, 90% in Western Europe.
  • Energy platform: solar, batteries and heat pumps.
  • Index and liquidity gains: AEX inclusion and a free float rising to about 73% post-merger.

Threats

  • Rising competition and consolidation (Prologis/Segro).
  • Valuation sensitivity: EPRA NIY of about 5.4–5.5%, with revaluations only +0.1% in H1 2026.
  • Tax and regulatory change, as the Dutch FBI abolition (about –€0.05 EPS) showed.
  • Merger execution: regulatory approvals and the French tax ruling are still required.
  • Tenant demand softness: occupancy edged down to 97.2%.
  • Romania macro and currency exposure on a €1.5bn portfolio.

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Key Developments

DateEventSignificance
25 Apr 2025Q1 2025: EPRA EPS €0.36 (+8%); occupancy 98.1%; portfolio €8.1bnStrong start; €1.70 2027 target confirmed
Q2 2025Optional dividend (May 2025)€108M retained via stock dividend over 2025
25 Jul 2025H1 2025: EPRA EPS €0.75 (+6%); LTV 41.3%; net debt/EBITDA 7.7xLeverage near ceiling
6 Aug 2025Death of Tony De PauwGovernance transition for the family shareholder
22 Sep 2025AEX inclusionHigher Dutch investor visibility and flows
Oct 2025Moody's upgrade to A3 (stable)Top-tier credit among European listed real estate
8 Oct 2025€500M green Eurobond, 3.175%, 2031Debut public bond; about 3.5x covered at pricing
17 Oct 20259M 2025: EPRA EPS €1.15 (+8% underlying); 680,000 m² delivered at 6.7%On track
30 Jan 2026FY2025: EPS €1.53; DPS €1.23; occupancy 97.7%; >550,000 m² leased; pipeline €708M2030 targets launched
30 Jan 2026Board proposals: Boel, De Pauw, Bajorat, de la RaudièreGenerational and international renewal
6 Jan 2026Le Havre acquisition (€58M)French expansion
30 Jan 2026Romania 2025 recap: about 200,000 m² pre-let delivered; about 560,000 m² acquiredRomania scale
30 Mar 2026Annual Report 2025 published; AGM convened—
1 Apr 2026Maturity of 2.5% fixed and FRN bonds (per listings)Refinancing
24 Apr 2026Q1 2026: EPS €0.38 (+6%); occupancy 97.3%; €140M net investments at 6.9%Spain/Italy managers appointed
29 Apr 2026Ordinary and Extraordinary General MeetingDividend and Board approvals
~30 Apr – 2 May 2026Ex-dividend date for FY2025 dividend (€1.23)—
23 Jul 2026ARGAN merger announced; H1 trading updateTransformational M&A
24 Jul 2026Merger analyst call; WDP shares –2.1%Market reaction
31 Jul 2026H1 2026: EPS €0.79 (+5%); EPRA earnings €186.7M (+9%); NTA €21.4; portfolio €8.7bnGuidance confirmed
Aug 2026Merger detail call: €11 per share ARGAN special distribution—
5 Aug 2026Board report on contribution in kind ("Ziegler") filedShare issuance
2 Sep 2026Zwijndrecht 100,000 m² land contribution in kindBelgian land bank
Aug–Oct 2026Shares trade at about €21.3–21.9Below NTA (€21.4–21.9); roughly at par
23 Oct 2026 (scheduled)Q3/9M 2026 resultsNext catalyst
Nov 2026 (expected)EGMs on ARGAN mergerKey vote

Financial Performance

Explore key financial metrics, segmented revenue, balance sheet health, and performance trends.

Revenue

1 chart
Revenue by Segment: Group total portfolio rose from EUR 8,000 Mn in FY2024 to EUR 8,600 Mn in FY2025.
Warehouses De Pauw SA — Revenue by Segment
Series (EUR Mn)FY2024FY2025
Group total portfolio8,0008,600
France700—
Romania—1,500

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