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The Honest Company Inc.

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The Honest Company Inc. - Healthcare showcase

Year Founded & Workforce

2011

174 Employees

Industry

Healthcare

Services

Feminine Care
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The Honest Company Inc. Overview

The FY2023 and FY2024 counts come from aggregator profiles (Alphaspread, Robinhood) that mirror earlier 10-K disclosures [S]. FY2025 is from the 10-K [P].

The Honest Company is a US-centric, asset-light, single-brand personal care company. It has rebuilt itself around three "right-to-win" platforms: wipes, personal care, and diapers. The brand was founded on clean formulation, governed by the "Honest Standard" and a NO List™ of more than 3,500 excluded chemicals.

Honest began as a celebrity-led direct-to-consumer subscription business. It has since become a wholesale brand that sells almost entirely through Amazon, Target, Walmart and other retailers. The three largest retailers accounted for 75% of FY2025 revenue.

Under CEO Carla Vernón, the 2023 Transformation Initiative and the 2025–26 "Powering Honest Growth" programme removed roughly USD 77M of low-margin revenue. The exits were Honest.com fulfilment, apparel and Canada.

The result is a smaller company: FY2026 guidance is USD 319–325M of revenue. It is more profitable: underlying adjusted gross margin reached a record 43.8% in Q2 2026. It has no debt and USD 106M of cash. Honest competes against Kimberly-Clark, P&G and Edgewell, and it grows mainly by taking wipes and baby personal care share while its diaper business declines.


Company's own description (paraphrased from 10-K FY2025 [P])

Honest describes itself as a personal care company that makes cleanly-formulated, sustainably-designed products for everyone from babies to adults. It pairs thoughtful design with science-based innovation, and its categories span wipes, personal care, diapers and beauty.

Its product range has three parts:

Wipes: all-purpose baby wipes; flushable wipes in toddler and adult versions; sanitizing wipes; make-up remover wipes. The Clean Conscious® wipes are plant-based, compostable and made with more than 99% water.

Personal care: a baby-to-adult collection, many items certified by bodies such as the National Eczema Association. All formulas are audited by a toxicologist.

Diapers: built on responsibly sourced, plant-based fluff pulp, with a redesigned format that uses less material.

The company's stated aim is to meet consumers wherever they shop. It frames its multi-retailer distribution as the engine of growth for a trusted, award-winning, multi-category brand.

Business model and revenue model

Revenue model elementDescriptionFY2025 statusFY2026 status
Product sales to retailers and third-party e-commerce (wholesale)Finished goods shipped to Amazon, Target, Walmart, Kroger, H-E-B, CVS and others. Revenue is recognised on shipment or delivery. Payment terms are typically 30–45 daysAbout 91% of FY2025 revenueAbout 100% of product revenue
Direct-to-consumer (Honest.com, including subscriptions)One-off and subscription orders shipped to consumersAbout 9% of FY2025 revenue (11% in H1 2025)Exited 31 Dec 2025; zero revenue in H1 2026
Licensing / royaltiesOutbound trademark licence to O5-MD LLC / O5 North ULC (apparel, accessories, bath and bedding, footwear) signed 1 Jun 2026; runs to 31 Dec 2030 with two 5-year renewals—Royalty revenue starts later in 2026; immaterial in FY2026
One-time inventory liquidationUSD 10.0M sale of remaining apparel inventory to O5, recognised at zero gross profit—USD 3.1M recognised in Q2 2026; about USD 10M in FY2026 guidance
Non-monetary trade creditsHistoric swaps of excess inventory for marketing and transport creditsMinorUSD 1.5M write-off in Q2 2026 reduced revenue

Revenue model mix:

Sources: 10-K FY2025; 10-Q Q2 FY2026; Q2 2026 call highlights [P/S].

Value-chain position

Honest is a brand owner and marketer. It does not own manufacturing.

Sourcing: finished goods come from third-party contract manufacturers in the United States, Mexico and China [P].

Key inputs: plant-based fluff pulp for diapers and plant-based substrate for wipes [P].

Logistics: after 30 Jun 2026, one Las Vegas, Nevada warehouse leased by Honest and operated by NFI (National Distribution Centers, LLC). The Pennsylvania GEODIS site closed [P].

In-house capabilities: R&D (chemists, a toxicologist and an eco-toxicologist), quality audits of contract manufacturers, demand planning, brand marketing, and retailer sales [P].

Customer types and end-markets

Direct customers are mass, club, grocery, drug and e-commerce retailers. In FY2025:

  • Amazon: 39% of revenue

  • Target: 28%

  • Walmart: 8%

  • Others: Kroger, H-E-B, CVS (feminine care aisle placement for flushable wipes in 2026), and others [P].

End consumers are US households with babies and young children. Through flushable and sanitizing wipes and Disney/Pixar kids' personal care, the base is widening to big-kid and no-kid households.

End-markets are US baby wipes, adult and toddler flushable wipes, baby and kids personal care (bath, lotion, OTC diaper-rash and eczema care), disposable diapers, and adult facial care and cosmetics (Honest Beauty).

Independent characterisation

Honest is a sub-scale, premium-positioned challenger brand in large, oligopolistic US categories. Its economics are now driven by three things:

  1. Mix. Wipes and personal care carry higher margins and are growing double digits. Diapers carry lower margins and are declining double digits.

  2. Retailer concentration. Three accounts make up three-quarters of sales, so distribution decisions by one or two buyers swing results. The 2024–25 diaper SKU losses show this.

  3. Operating leverage on a small base. SG&A was cut from USD 99M in FY2024 to USD 80M in FY2025 and is running about 18% of revenue in H1 2026. Marketing has been reinvested.

The business has moved from a "lifestyle brand plus DTC" model to a focused "wholesale CPG brand" model. Its strategic logic now looks like a mid-cap CPG turnaround, not a growth story. A credible margin path and a clean balance sheet make it a natural candidate for strategic interest. That is analyst inference, and no transaction is reported.

Strategy

Stated strategy (paraphrased themes; 10-K FY2025 and FY2025 shareholder letter [P])

Three Transformation Pillars: Brand Maximisation, Margin Enhancement and Operating Discipline have been the framework since 2023.

"Right-to-win" focus: Concentrate resources on wipes, personal care and diapers. Diapers are kept mainly as the brand's entry point for new families.

Grow physical and digital availability: More stores, doors, aisles, shelves and facings. Management says Honest is still under-indexed versus competitors: rivals have 2–6x Honest's household penetration in baby personal care and 5–7x in all-purpose wipes (Q1 2026 call).

Expand the household base: Move beyond baby homes to "big kid" and "no kid" homes through adult flushable wipes, kids personal care and Disney/Pixar licences. The company added 1.6M new households over the year to Q1 2026.

Purpose-led, data-driven marketing: Social and influencer-heavy, with strategic paid media.

Asset-light model: Contract manufacturing, outbound licensing of apparel, and a single warehouse node.

Long-term algorithm: Revenue growth of 4–6% a year with continued adjusted EBITDA margin expansion.

Strategic initiatives in the last 24 months (Oct 2024 – Oct 2026)

InitiativeAnnouncedScopeTargets / financialsStatus
Transformation 2.0: Powering Honest GrowthBoard approval 30 Oct 2025; announced 5 Nov 2025Exit Honest.com fulfilment, apparel (as a seller) and Canada; rightsize SG&A; supply-chain efficiencies, including warehouse consolidationOne-time costs USD 25–35M; recurring savings USD 8–15M a year; exits about 20% of revenue (USD 77.2M in FY2025)Exits completed 31 Dec 2025; PA warehouse closed 30 Jun 2026; programme to be substantially complete by 31 Dec 2026. H1 2026 charges USD 2.3M; accrued restructuring USD 3.8M
Disney licensed personal care8 Sep 2025Disney Comfort Sweet Cream collection plus limited gift sets—Live; extended in Feb 2026
Disney and Pixar Toy Story Kids Personal Care5 Feb 2026First kids line, exclusive to Walmart—Live
Flushable wipes brand campaign ("It's Time to Get Honest")2,026Adult flushables; CVS feminine care aisleMore than 3 billion impressionsOngoing
Wipes packaging redesign and hand sanitizing wipes refreshQ1 2026Shelf visibility—Done
Inaugural share buyback20 Feb 2026USD 25MAbout 5.6M shares at an average USD 3.35 by 30 Jun; fully used by 5 Aug 2026Complete
Revolver amendmentMar 2026USD 35M plus USD 35M accordion, to 31 Mar 2029Liquidity backstopUndrawn
Apparel outbound licence (O5)1 Jun 2026Apparel, accessories, bath and bedding, footwear licence through 2030Royalty income; USD 10M inventory sale; margin-accretive but immaterial in 2026Live
Warehouse consolidationDec 2025 notice; live by Q2 2026One automated Las Vegas nodeSavings within USD 8–15M programmeDelivering savings
New HQ lease14 Jun 202610-year office lease from 2027About USD 30.7M base rent; USD 6.9M tenant improvement allowanceSigned
Reinvestment in marketing, technology and supply chainAug 2026 (Q2 call)Higher brand and capability spendEmbedded in raised outlookIn progress
AI and data-analytics adoptionFY2025 10-K disclosureOperations and commercial insightsNot quantifiedDisclosed as a strategic risk and opportunity
ESG: Clean Conscious products, Baby2Baby, March of DimesOngoingProduct sustainability and social impactSee Section 20Ongoing

Guidance history

Guidance itemOriginal FY2025 (Feb 2025)Revised FY2025 (Nov 2025)FY2025 actualInitial FY2026 (Feb 2026)Raised FY2026 (5 Aug 2026)
Reported revenue+4% to +6%-3% to flat-1.9% (USD 371.3M)-16% to -18%USD 319–325M (includes about USD 10M apparel liquidation)
Organic revenue growth—+4% to +6%+5.3%+4% to +6%+5% to +7%
Adjusted gross margin——38.7%Low 40s %Raised; includes tariff refund benefit and apparel liquidation drag
Adjusted EBITDAUSD 27–30MUSD 21–23MUSD 21.8MUSD 20–23MUSD 23–25M

Sources: 8-K FY2024 Q4, Q3 FY2025, Q4 FY2025 and Q2 FY2026 releases; call summaries [P/S].

Products & Services

Honest markets one master brand ("Honest" / "The Honest Co."), with "Honest Baby" and "Honest Beauty" sub-brands and licensed Disney and Pixar co-branding. Individual SKU prices are set by retailers; Honest sells at wholesale. Where shelf prices are cited, they are retailer listings.

Wipes platform (about 44% of H1 FY2026 revenue; fastest-growing)

ProductDescription and specificationsTarget customerLaunch / latestNotes
Clean Conscious® Baby Wipes (all-purpose)Plant-based, compostable substrate; more than 99% water; for delicate skinParents of infants and toddlersCore since launch [U]; new bolder package design in Q1 2026 [P]Highest share growth of any all-purpose baby wipes brand per Q4 2025 call [P]
Toddler Flushable WipesFlushable format meeting the IWSFG flushability standardPotty-training householdsBefore 2025 [U]Part of the wipes consumption growth (about 30% in FY2025; 26% in Q2 2026) [P]
Adult Flushable WipesFlushable wipes for adults; "It's Time to Get Honest" 2026 campaign generated more than 3 billion media impressions; placed in CVS feminine care aisleAdults, including no-kid householdsCampaign in 2026 [P]Main lever for expanding beyond baby households [P]
Hand Sanitizing WipesSanitizing wipes for handsFamilies on the goRange refreshed in Q1 2026 [P]Low-margin bulk cleaning and sanitisation was exited in 2023; hand wipes retained [P]
Makeup Remover WipesFacial wipes for removing cosmeticsAdult beauty consumersBefore 2025 [U]Overlaps with Honest Beauty
Milk-carton-style wipes packsDistinctive carton-style packaging; a new item added in Q1 2026Gifting and design-led consumersQ1 2026 addition [P]Item details not disclosed

Personal care platform (about 29% of H1 FY2026 revenue)

ProductDescription and specificationsTarget customerLaunch / latestPricing (shelf)
2-in-1 Cleansing Shampoo + Body WashTear-free, hypoallergenic, dermatologist-tested; made without phthalates, parabens, dyes, synthetic fragrance, formaldehyde donors or SLS/SLES. Scents: Lavender, Citrus Vanilla, Sweet Cream (Disney), Fragrance-FreeBabies to adultsCore [U]; Disney variant from Sep 2025 [P]About USD 10.96 per 10 fl oz at Walmart [S]
Bubble BathClean bath formulaBabies and kidsCore; Disney Sweet Cream variant in 2025 [P]—
Face + Body LotionDaily moisturiserBabies to adultsCore; Disney Sweet Cream variant in 2025 [P]—
ConditionerGentle conditionerBabies and kidsDisney Sweet Cream variant in 2025 [P]—
Diaper rash and soothing products (OTC)OTC drug products under the FDA monographInfantsCore [P]—
Colloidal oatmeal skin care (OTC)Eczema-prone skin care; several items carry the National Eczema Association Seal of AcceptanceInfants and sensitive skinCore [P]—
Disney Comfort: Sweet Cream collection (permanent)Shampoo + Body Wash, Bubble Bath, Face + Body Lotion, Conditioner with Mickey & Friends packagingBaby households8–9 Sep 2025 [P]—
Disney Bathtime Gift Sets and Duos (limited edition)Mickey Mouse Lavender set and Winnie the Pooh Sensitive Fragrance-Free set, including konjac spongesGiftingSep 2025; Amazon and Walmart [P/S]—
Disney and Pixar Toy Story Kids Personal CareHonest's first kids personal care range, with Toy Story packagingKids aged about 3 and up ("big kid" households)5 Feb 2026, Walmart [P]—

Position: Honest says it became the #2 brand in total US baby personal care, up from #4 (Q1 2026 call), and the leading natural baby personal care brand (FY2025 annual letter) [P].

Diapers platform (about 25% of H1 FY2026 revenue; declining)

ProductDescription and specificationsTarget customerLaunch / latestNotes
Clean Conscious® DiapersResponsibly sourced, plant-based fluff pulp; redesigned in 2025 to use less material; print-led designNewborn to toddler householdsRenovation in 2025, with a USD 3.0M write-down of old diaper inventory in Q1 2025 [P]Consumption down 15% in FY2025 vs category -1% [P]. Lost SKU distribution at two large retailers in 2024–25 [P]. Management calls diapers a brand "entry point" for new families [P]
Other diaper formats (e.g. overnight, training pants)————

Beauty and adult skincare (Honest Beauty)

ProductDescriptionStatus
Adult facial skin care (e.g. Daily Green Juice Antioxidant Super Serum, launched Q1 2023)Clean facial care for a range of skin typesRevenue declining: -5.7M in FY2025 and -4.5M in FY2024 [P]
Color cosmeticsClean makeupDeclining; social reach fell after Alba's departure [P]

Exited, licensed-out and discontinued lines

LineStatusDetail
Honest Baby apparel, bedding and accessoriesExited as a merchandise seller on 31 Dec 2025; licensed out from 1 Jun 2026USD 15.9M apparel inventory write-down in FY2025. O5-MD / O5 North hold an exclusive licence in the US, Canada, Mexico and some international club and off-price accounts, through 2030 [P]
Honest.com DTC and subscriptionsExited 31 Dec 202511% of revenue in H1 2025; the site is now an education and retailer-locator hub [P]
Canada retail and onlineExited 31 Dec 2025FY2025 Canada revenue fell USD 1.0M before exit; exact level not disclosed [P]
Household cleaning and sanitisation (low-margin elements)Exited 2023Post-COVID demand collapse [P]
Wellness (vitamins and supplements)Current status not specifiedFDA-regulated food category still listed in regulatory disclosures [P]

Financial Narrative

All figures are USD millions unless stated, for fiscal years ended 31 December.

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Financial Detail

Revenue by Segment and Revenue by Segment (%)

Category (legacy)FY2022FY2023

Diapers and Wipes revenue (USD Mn)

200.4218.3

Skin and Personal Care revenue (USD Mn)

89.388.1

Household and Wellness revenue (USD Mn)

23.938.0

Total revenue (USD Mn)

313.7344.4

Diapers and Wipes share of revenue (%)

63.963.4

Skin and Personal Care share of revenue (%)

28.525.6

Household and Wellness share of revenue (%)

7.611.0

Diapers and Wipes YoY growth (%)

—8.9

Skin and Personal Care YoY growth (%)

—-1.4

Household and Wellness YoY growth (%)

—59.0

Revenue by Segment and Segment Margins & Growth (%)

MetricFY2024FY2025

Reported revenue (USD Mn)

378.3371.3

Organic revenue, excluding Powering Honest Growth exits (USD Mn)

279.3294.1

Exited businesses revenue: Honest.com, apparel, Canada (USD Mn)

99.177.2

Organic revenue YoY growth (%)

—5.3

Exited share of reported revenue (%)

26.220.8

Revenue by Segment and Segment Margins & Growth (%) (Half-Yearly)

Category (current)H1 FY2025H1 FY2026

Wipes revenue (USD Mn)

56.470.8

Personal Care and Other revenue (USD Mn)

42.546.4

Diapers revenue (USD Mn)

51.441.0

Honest.com, Apparel and Canada revenue (USD Mn)

40.43.1

Total revenue (USD Mn)

190.7161.4

Wipes YoY growth (%)

—25.5

Personal Care and Other YoY growth (%)

—9.3

Diapers YoY growth (%)

—-20.1

Wipes share of revenue (%)

29.643.9

Personal Care and Other share of revenue (%)

22.328.8

Diapers share of revenue (%)

26.925.4

Results by Segment and Segment Margins & Growth (%)

MetricFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025

Segment operating income (USD Mn)

-36.8-49.9-38.9-6.3-18.5

Segment operating margin (%)

-11.6-15.9-11.3-1.7-5.0

Income Statement and Margin Analysis (%)

MetricFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025

Revenue (USD Mn)

318.6313.7344.4378.3371.3

Revenue growth YoY (%)

6.0-1.69.89.9-1.9

Cost of revenue (USD Mn)

209.5221.3243.8233.7247.7

Gross profit (USD Mn)

109.292.3100.5144.7123.6

SG&A (USD Mn)

8487959980

Marketing (USD Mn)

5448364551

Research and development (USD Mn)

7.77.06.26.97.3

Restructuring (USD Mn)

0.00.02.20.04.2

Operating income, GAAP (USD Mn)

-36.8-49.9-38.9-6.3-18.5

EBITDA, GAAP-derived (USD Mn)

-32.7-47.1-36.2-3.5-15.6

Adjusted EBITDA, company-defined (USD Mn)

-3.5-22.5-11.025.921.8

Interest and other income, net (USD Mn)

-1.80.9-0.30.33.0

Pre-tax income (USD Mn)

-38.6-48.9-39.2-6.0-15.5

Net income (USD Mn)

-38.7-49.0-39.2-6.1-15.7

EPS basic (USD)

-0.55-0.53-0.41-0.06-0.14

EPS diluted (USD)

-0.55-0.53-0.41-0.06-0.14

Dividends per share (USD)

00000

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Margin Analysis (%)

MetricFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025

Gross margin GAAP (%)

34.329.429.238.233.3

Adjusted gross margin (%)

———38.238.7

Operating margin GAAP (%)

-11.6-15.9-11.3-1.7-5.0

EBITDA margin GAAP-derived (%)

-10.3-15.0-10.5-0.9-4.2

Adjusted EBITDA margin (%)

-1.1-7.2-3.26.85.9

Net margin (%)

-12.1-15.6-11.4-1.6-4.2

Marketing as % of revenue (%)

16.915.310.511.913.7

SG&A as % of revenue (%)

26.427.727.626.221.5

Balance Sheet and Share Count (M)

MetricFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025

Total assets (USD Mn)

272.6240.6201.6247.4225.4

Cash and equivalents (USD Mn)

50.89.532.875.489.6

Short-term investments (USD Mn)

42.45.70.00.00.0

Accounts receivable (USD Mn)

31.842.343.143.533.8

Inventories (USD Mn)

75.7115.773.585.372.5

Total current assets (USD Mn)

213.8189.2157.8213.9202.4

Total current liabilities (USD Mn)

48.563.656.759.950.8

Financial debt, short-term (USD Mn)

00000

Financial debt, long-term (USD Mn)

00000

Operating lease liabilities, total (USD Mn)

37.537.629.921.714.0

Net debt, financial, negative = net cash (USD Mn)

-93.2-15.2-32.8-75.4-89.6

Shareholders' equity (USD Mn)

179.1146.4123.1174.3169.7

Goodwill and intangibles (USD Mn)

2.72.62.52.52.4

Working capital (USD Mn)

165.3125.6101.1154.0151.6

Shares outstanding, year-end (M)

91.592.995.9109.2112.8

Cash Flow

MetricFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025

Operating cash flow (USD Mn)

-38.2-76.319.41.515.1

Capital expenditure, outflow (USD Mn)

0.21.61.80.51.5

Free cash flow (USD Mn)

-38.4-77.917.51.013.6

Stock-based compensation (USD Mn)

16.915.115.815.710.5

Dividends paid (USD Mn)

—0000

Share buybacks (USD Mn)

0.60.0000

Proceeds from stock option exercises (USD Mn)

5.70.10.041.00.4

Returns & Leverage Ratios (%) and Financial Ratios (x)

RatioFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025

Return on equity (%)

-21.6-30.1-29.1-4.1-9.1

Return on assets (%)

-14.2-19.1-17.7-2.7-6.6

ROIC, pre-tax operating basis (%)

-42.8-38.0-43.1-6.4-23.1

Current ratio (x)

4.412.972.783.573.98

Financial debt to equity (x)

00000

Lease liabilities to equity (x)

0.210.260.240.120.08

Asset turnover (x)

1.171.221.561.691.57

Days sales outstanding (days)

36.449.245.742.033.2

Days inventory outstanding (days)

131.9190.8110.0133.2106.8

Days payables outstanding (days)

50.040.933.435.622.3

Cash conversion cycle (days)

118.3199.1122.3139.6117.7

Revenue by Region (%)

MetricFY2023FY2024FY2025H1 FY2026

Revenue from US customers, share of total (%)

100100100100

Revenue from Canada and other international (USD Mn)

———0

Revenue by Region (%) (Half-Yearly)

MetricFY2025H1 FY2025H1 FY2026

Retail and third-party e-commerce share of revenue (%)

9189100

Honest.com DTC share of revenue (%)

9110

Amazon share of revenue (%)

39——

Target share of revenue (%)

28——

Walmart share of revenue (%)

8——

Top-3 retailer concentration (%)

75——

Data Point Details

Data pointValueSource

IPO price (5 May 2021)

USD 16.00

[S]

Close, 31 Dec 2025

USD 2.58

DEF 14A 2026 [P]

52-week low (late 2025)

About USD 2.07

[S]

Recent high

About USD 5.95 (4 Sep 2026)

MarketChameleon [S]

Latest verified close

USD 5.32 (17 Sep 2026)

StockAnalysis [S]

Shares outstanding

107.28M (31 Jul 2026)

10-Q [P]

Market capitalisation

About USD 571M

[A]

Enterprise value

About USD 471M (cash of about USD 99.6M = 30 Jun cash of 105.9M less about 6.3M of later buybacks; no debt)

[A]

Beta

About 2.1

[S]

1-year price return

About +50% (to 4 Sep 2026) vs S&P 500 about +20%

MarketChameleon [S]

Year-to-date 2026 return

About +106% (USD 2.58 to USD 5.32)

[A]

3-year and 5-year price returns

Price is down about 67% from the IPO price

[A]

Price vs IPO

-66.8%

[A]

Share Count (M) and Valuation Multiples (x)

MetricFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025

Shares outstanding, year-end (M)

91.592.995.9109.2112.8

Price-to-sales at fiscal year-end (x)

2.310.890.921.850.78

Dividends per share (USD)

00000

Share buybacks (USD Mn)

0.60.0000

Book value per share (USD)

1.961.581.281.601.50

Valuation Multiples

MultipleHNST

P/E, trailing (x)

Not meaningful (TTM net loss of USD 12.2M)

Forward P/E (x)

About 147 (S&P consensus) [S]

EV / Sales, TTM (x)

1.38

EV / Sales, FY2026 guidance midpoint USD 322M (x)

1.46

EV / Adjusted EBITDA, FY2026 guidance midpoint USD 24M (x)

19.6

P / Book (x)

3.42

P / FCF, TTM (x)

10.8 [S]

Firm Details

FirmAnalystLatest actionRatingPrice target (USD)

Morgan Stanley

Dara Mohsenian

13 Aug 2026 PT raise

Equal-Weight

6 (from 3)

Telsey Advisory

Dana Telsey

6 Aug 2026 PT raise

Market Perform

5 (from 4)

Loop Capital

Laura Champine

Last seen 13 Nov 2024

Not current

7 (stale)

Others asking questions on calls

Alliance Global Partners (Aaron Grey); B. Riley (Anna Glaessgen); Northland (Owen Rickert); JPMorgan (Andrea Teixeira); Lake Street (Ryan Meyers)

———

Analyst Conclusions

Management guidance (FY2026, as raised on 5 Aug 2026 [P/S])

  • Reported revenue of USD 319–325M, including about USD 10M of zero-margin apparel liquidation. That is roughly -12% to -14% vs FY2025.

  • Organic revenue growth of +5% to +7%, raised from +4% to +6%.

  • Adjusted EBITDA of USD 23–25M, raised from USD 20–23M. This includes the tariff refund benefit; the underlying Q2 margin was 9.8%.

  • Stepped-up investment in marketing, technology and supply chain.

  • Powering Honest Growth to be substantially complete by 31 Dec 2026.

  • Long-term algorithm: 4–6% annual revenue growth with adjusted EBITDA margin expansion.

Consensus growth expectations

S&P-sourced consensus implies a forward P/E of about 147x, which signals modest expected FY2026–27 GAAP EPS [S]. Raised price targets after Q2 (USD 5–6) suggest the sell side broadly accepts organic growth of about 5–7% and expanding margins.

Bull case

  1. Mix-driven margin step-change is structural.

    • Wipes plus personal care rose from about 52% of revenue in H1 2025 to about 73% in H1 2026 [A].

    • Underlying adjusted gross margin reached 43.8% and underlying adjusted EBITDA margin 9.8%, both records.

    • Q2 2026 SG&A was only 18% of revenue.

    • Reaching low double-digit EBITDA margins on about USD 330–350M of organic revenue would imply EBITDA of about USD 35–40M by FY2027–28 [A].

  2. Share-taker with penetration runway.

    • Consumption outgrew categories by more than 5 points in Q2 2026 (+7.7% vs +2.3%).

    • Competitors have 2–7x Honest's household penetration.

    • New adult and kids occasions (flushables in the feminine care aisle, Toy Story) widen the funnel.

  3. Cash, optionality and accounting upside.

    • USD 106M of cash, no debt, and TTM FCF of USD 52.7M (about 9% FCF yield at USD 571M, though inflated by working-capital release).

    • A possible valuation-allowance release would add to book value.

    • Strategic M&A appeal amid big-CPG consolidation (Kimberly-Clark/Kenvue).

Bear case

  1. Diapers are a drag that may not stop.

    • Diaper revenue fell 20% in H1 2026; FY2025 consumption fell 15%.

    • Diapers are still about 25% of revenue and the brand's family entry point.

    • Further delistings at Amazon, Target or Walmart (75% of revenue together) could overwhelm wipes gains.

  2. 2026 earnings quality is flattered by one-offs.

    • Q2 2026 GAAP net income of USD 10.7M included USD 6.6M of tariff refunds.

    • H1 FCF benefited from a USD 23M inventory release that will not repeat.

    • EV/EBITDA of about 20x on the 2026 guide midpoint is rich for a USD 320M CPG company with a history of GAAP losses.

  3. Scale and cost-of-compliance headwinds.

    • Higher marketing reinvestment, the end of EGC status (SOX 404(b), CD&A), new HQ rent from 2027, and Butterblu litigation all pressure the cost base.

    • Competing against Kimberly-Clark and P&G on promotions and private label in a weak consumer economy limits pricing power.

Catalysts and monitorables (next 12 months)

Catalyst / monitorableTimingWhat to watch
Q3 FY2026 resultsExpected early Nov 2026 (not yet announced)Organic growth vs 5–7% guide; underlying gross margin of 43% or more; diaper trend
Q4 FY2026 / FY2027 guidanceAbout late Feb 2027Algorithm reaffirmation; EBITDA margin trajectory; buyback renewal
New buyback authorisationAny timeCapital allocation signal; the current programme is exhausted
Valuation allowance releasePossible at FY2026 year-endNon-cash tax benefit; signals confidence in sustained profitability
Diaper distribution resets (spring and fall shelf resets)2026–27Any further SKU losses or recoveries at the top-3 retailers
Further IEEPA refunds and manufacturer obligationsOngoingSize and timing; no receivable is booked
Butterblu litigationOngoingDamages exposure or recovery
O5 licence royaltiesFrom late 2026 / 2027Royalty run-rate disclosure
EGC exit (CD&A, say-on-pay, auditor ICFR attestation)2027 proxy and FY2026 10-KGovernance and compliance costs
Kimberly-Clark / Kenvue integration2026–27Competitive response in baby personal care
New HQ moveFrom Mar 2027Occupancy cost step-up

Concluding analyst verdict

The Honest Company of late 2026 is not the company that listed at USD 16 in 2021. In three years, management has turned a cash-burning, celebrity-centred DTC lifestyle brand into a focused, debt-free, wholesale CPG brand.

The transformation is real. Revenue fell from USD 378M (FY2024) to about USD 322M (FY2026 guide midpoint). Underlying gross margin rose from 38% to about 44%. SG&A fell by roughly a fifth while marketing grew, and the company now generates meaningful free cash flow. Q2 2026 is the first quarter in which organic growth (+6.7%), record underlying margins and positive GAAP earnings all appeared together.

The quality of the franchise is uneven. Wipes and personal care are clearly winning share; consumption is growing several times faster than their categories. Diapers, still a quarter of sales, are shrinking about 20% a year, and three retailers control three-quarters of revenue.

The valuation has moved ahead of the evidence. The shares rose from USD 2.58 to about USD 5.3 in 2026, and the stock now trades near 20x guided adjusted EBITDA that includes non-recurring tariff refunds. Durability now has to be proven over several quarters.

Balance of evidence:

Positive: a debt-free balance sheet, sector-leading consumption momentum, a credible and experienced CPG management team and board, and genuine strategic optionality.

Negative: scale disadvantage, retailer and diaper risk, and a GAAP earnings base that is still small and flattered by one-offs.

Overall stance: constructive but valuation-sensitive (Hold/Accumulate on pullbacks). Upgrade triggers:

  • Q3 and Q4 2026 organic growth above 5% with diaper declines narrowing to single digits.

  • Underlying adjusted EBITDA margin sustained above 9% without tariff benefits.

  • Renewed capital returns.

Downgrade triggers:

  • Further SKU losses at a top-3 retailer.

  • Underlying gross margin slipping back below 41%.


Appendix A — Quarterly bridge

MetricQ1 FY2025Q2 FY2025Q3 FY2025Q4 FY2025Q1 FY2026Q2 FY2026
Revenue (USD M)97.393.592.688.078.183.3
Organic revenue (USD M)75.275.1—71.378.180.2
Gross margin GAAP (%)38.740.437.015.742.648.4
Net income (USD M)3.33.90.8-23.60.010.7
Adjusted EBITDA (USD M)6.9——3.84.014.5

Notes:

  • Q2 FY2025 gross margin [A] from 37.8 / 93.5.

  • Q1 FY2025 gross margin [A] from H1 FY2025 gross profit of 75.4M less Q2's 37.8M = 37.7M on 97.3M revenue.

  • Q1 FY2026 net loss was USD 0.04M.

  • Q2 FY2026 adjusted EBITDA includes the tariff refund; underlying was USD 7.8M.

Appendix B — Methodology and verification limits

  • SEC filings: 10-K FY2025 and FY2024; 10-Q Q2 FY2026; DEF 14A 2026; 8-K earnings releases FY2022–Q2 FY2026.

  • Company press releases and earnings-call materials.

  • Secondary data providers: S&P Global via StockAnalysis; edgar.tools; MarketBeat; Benzinga; Quartr; 13F aggregators; Retail Dive; TechCrunch; Bloomberg Law; License Global; MarketChameleon.

Limitations:

  • Analyst calculations [A] use rounded inputs and may differ slightly from company-reported figures.

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Executive Leadership

Executive Leadership Team

NameTitleAgeIn role sincePrior rolesEducation

Carla Vernón

CEO and Director

55

9 Jan 2023 (Board since 25 Jan 2023)

VP Consumables Categories, Amazon (2021–22); 20+ years at General Mills, latest as President of the Natural & Organic operating unit (2017–20; about USD 900M portfolio including Annie's). Director of Hasbro

BA Princeton; MBA Texas McCombs

Curtiss Bruce

Chief Financial Officer

53

Jun 2025

SVP FP&A and IR, Hain Celestial (2023–25); finance roles at Keurig Dr Pepper, Kellogg, Kraft Heinz, Mars

MBA Penn State; BS Accounting, Millersville

Dorria L. Ball

Chief People Officer

64

Jan 2024 (interim from Aug 2023)

Founder, Global Ballance Group; VP HR, Mondelēz; Kraft

Indiana University

Etienne von Kunssberg

SVP Supply Chain

50

Feb 2025

Dole Packaged Foods; WWP Beauty; Henkel; P&G; Coty

MBA, Paris School of Business

Jonathan Mayle

SVP Customer Sales

35

Dec 2023

General Mills sales roles (Walmart, Target, Dollar General)

BS, University of Arizona

Brendan Sheehey

General Counsel and Corporate Secretary

48

Jun 2020

GC, Targus; Associate GC, Arbonne; Sidley Austin

JD UC Law SF; MA South Carolina; BA UCSB

Thomas Sternweis

SVP Strategy and Enterprise Development

44

Mar 2024 (at Honest since 2018)

Mattel corporate development; BCG

MBA Kellogg; BA Northwestern

Steve Winchell

Chief Innovation Officer

51

Sep 2024 (at Honest since Jun 2022)

The Parent Company; 14 years at Clorox (including Burt's Bees R&D)

BS Chemistry; MS Chemical Engineering, University of Cincinnati

Directors' Remuneration

NEOYearSalaryBonusStock awardsNon-equity incentiveAll otherTotal

Carla Vernón (CEO)

FY2025

773,46203,139,166219,80013,5184,145,946

Carla Vernón (CEO)

FY2024

725,00003,683,758884,0009,7605,302,518

Curtiss Bruce (CFO, from 2 Jun 2025)

FY2025

269,231212,5001,030,63058,00011,4841,581,845

Etienne von Kunssberg (SVP Supply Chain, from 24 Feb 2025)

FY2025

286,73143,000585,97151,00011,536978,238

Board of Directors

DirectorAgeSinceClass / term toIndependentCommittees (fiscal 2025, after the May 2025 rotation)Background

James D. White

65

2021 (Chair since May 2021)

III / 2027

Yes

Nominating & Corporate Governance (member)

Ex-Chair and CEO, Jamba; director of Simply Good Foods and CAVA

Carla Vernón

552023

I / 2028

No (CEO)

—

See 9.1

Jessica Alba

44

Co-founder (Chair 2018–21)

II / 2029 if re-elected at the 2026 AGM

No (former CCO)

—

Founder; director of Yahoo and LA28. Attended 5 of 8 Board meetings in 2025

Katherine Bayne

59

Oct 2018

III / 2027

Yes

Audit; NCG Chair

Ex-President North America Brands, Coca-Cola; Guggenheim Securities

Susan Gentile

59

May 2021

III / 2027

Yes

Audit Chair (financial expert); Compensation

MD and CFO, Advent International; ex-Clorox

John R. (Jack) Hartung

68

May 2022

I / 2028

Yes

Audit (financial expert); Compensation Chair

Ex-CFO and President, Chipotle; director of Tesla and Portillo's

Michael Barkley

59

Dec 2023

I / 2028

Yes

Compensation; NCG

Ex-CEO, KIND

Alissa Hsu Lynch

57

Dec 2023

II / 2029 if re-elected

Yes

Audit; NCG

Ex-Google MedTech lead; 20 years at Johnson & Johnson; director of Topcon

Andrea A. Turner

62

Dec 2023

II / 2029 if re-elected

Yes

Audit; Compensation

Ex-SVP Global Customer Service & Logistics, Mondelēz; General Mills; Merck

Board & Management Changes

DateChangeContext

9 Jan 2023

Carla Vernón becomes CEO; Nick Vlahos steps down

Margin turnaround mandate

Aug 2023 / Jan 2024

Dorria Ball becomes interim, then permanent, CPO

Organisation reset

Dec 2023

Jonathan Mayle promoted to SVP Customer Sales

Retail-led model

Mar 2024 / Sep 2024

Sternweis promoted to SVP Strategy; Winchell named Chief Innovation Officer

Innovation pipeline

Apr 2024

Jessica Alba exits as CCO; Likeness Agreement terminated

Inventory write-downs of USD 0.8M in 2024 plus later immaterial amounts; loss of founder social reach

24 Feb 2025

Etienne von Kunssberg joins as SVP Supply Chain

Supply-chain consolidation

2 Jun 2025

Curtiss Bruce replaces David Loretta as CFO

Powering Honest Growth execution

Major Shareholders

HolderShares%

Jessica Alba (including Warren Trust; 700k options; RSUs)

6,161,3465.5

BlackRock, Inc. (Schedule 13G as of 30 Sep 2024)

5,698,5705.1

All directors and executive officers as a group (16 persons)

10,689,6209.4

Major Shareholders by Rank

RankHolderShares% of outstanding
1

BlackRock, Inc.

6,560,4146.1
2

Vanguard Group Inc

6,374,6355.9
3

MAK Capital One LLC

4,776,0884.5
4

Vanguard Capital Management LLC

4,248,8794.0
5

Portolan Capital Management, LLC

3,045,8342.8
6

ArrowMark Colorado Holdings LLC

2,548,5462.4
7

Geode Capital Management, LLC

2,414,5622.3
8

Citadel Advisors LLC

1,964,3631.8
9

Marshall Wace, LLP

1,921,1431.8
10

State Street Corp

1,894,7191.8

Competitive Landscape

Competitors by Segment

CategoryCompetitor (brands)Relative positioning vs Honest

Wipes

Kimberly-Clark (Huggies wipes, Cottonelle flushables)

Scale leader; 5–7x Honest's household penetration in all-purpose wipes (company data)

Wipes

Procter & Gamble (Pampers wipes, Charmin flushables)

Scale leader

Wipes

ZURU Edge Limited (Millie Moon, Rascals)

Value-premium challenger

Wipes

WaterWipes UC

Direct "purity" competitor (99%+ water positioning)

Wipes

DUDE Wipes, Inc.

Adult flushable challenger

Wipes

Edgewell Personal Care (Wet Ones)

Hand and sanitizing wipes leader

Wipes / all

Retailer private label

Price anchor

Skin and personal care

Kimberly-Clark (pending acquirer of Kenvue: Johnson's Baby, Aveeno Baby)

Category leaders.

Skin and personal care

The Clorox Company (Burt's Bees)

Natural-positioned peer

Skin and personal care

Unilever PLC (SheaMoisture)

Natural/textured peer

Skin and personal care

Estée Lauder; L'Oréal

Beauty and skin leaders

Skin and personal care

Pacifica Beauty

Clean beauty peer

Diapers

Kimberly-Clark (Huggies)

US #1–2

Diapers

Procter & Gamble (Pampers, Pampers Pure, Luvs)

US #1–2; Pampers Pure competes directly in clean diapers

Peer Comparison FY2025

MetricHonest (FY2025)Kimberly-Clark (FY2025)Edgewell (FY Sep-2025)Clorox (FY Jun-2026)

Revenue (USD Mn)

371.316,4002,223.56,720

Reported revenue growth (%)

-1.9-2.1-1.3-5.0

Organic growth (%)

5.31.7-1.3—

Gross margin GAAP (%)

33.336.041.642.3

Adjusted gross margin (%)

38.737.342.0—

Operating margin GAAP (%)

-5.014.64.3—

Pre-tax margin (%)

-4.2——11.8

R&D intensity (% of revenue)

2.0———

Company Snapshot

$371.3M

Revenue

174

Employees

$571M

Market Cap

2011

Founded

California, US

Headquarters

SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Category-beating consumption. Wipes POS grew 31% in FY2025 vs the category's 5%; baby personal care grew 12% vs 3%. Total consumption grew 7.7% vs 2.3% in Q2 2026 [P].
  • Record margins. Q1 2026 adjusted gross margin was 43.5% and Q2 2026 underlying adjusted gross margin 43.8%, about 500 basis points above FY2025's 38.7% [P].
  • Fortress balance sheet. Cash of USD 105.9M, no debt and an undrawn USD 35M revolver at 30 Jun 2026 [P].
  • Strong cash generation after the reset. H1 2026 FCF was USD 35.3M against -USD 3.8M a year earlier [P/S].
  • Lean cost base. SG&A fell 19% in FY2025 (USD 99M to 80M); 174 employees produce about USD 2.1M of revenue each [P/A].
  • Brand trust assets. NO List of 3,500+ chemicals, 100+ EWG Verified SKUs, NEA seals, and #2 rank in baby personal care [P].
  • Experienced CPG board and management. Directors and executives come from Chipotle, Coca-Cola, Clorox, General Mills, Mondelēz, KIND and Amazon [P].

Weaknesses

  • Retailer concentration. Amazon, Target and Walmart account for 75% of FY2025 revenue, with 30–60 day termination rights at Amazon and Walmart [P].
  • Structural diaper decline. H1 2026 diaper revenue fell 20%; FY2025 consumption fell 15% [P].
  • History of GAAP losses. Cumulative deficit of about USD 490M; net losses in every full year FY2021–FY2025 [P].
  • Thin patent moat. One issued US patent, expiring 2037 [P].
  • Low household penetration. Competitors have 2–6x Honest's penetration in baby personal care and 5–7x in wipes [P].
  • Erosion of founder halo. Alba's departure and the end of the Likeness Agreement cost the brand social reach; Honest Beauty engagement fell [P].
  • Smaller revenue base. FY2026 reported revenue of USD 319–325M is about 14–16% below the FY2024 peak [P/A].

Opportunities

  • Penetration headroom. Every point of household penetration gained in wipes and personal care drives high-margin growth; Honest added 1.6M households in a year [P].
  • Adult and kids expansion. Adult flushable wipes (CVS feminine care aisle; 3 billion+ impressions) and Disney/Pixar kids lines [P].
  • Valuation allowance release. The company sees a "reasonable possibility" of a near-term partial release, a potentially large non-cash gain [P].
  • Royalty income. The O5 apparel licence runs to 2030 with renewal options, adding asset-light, margin-accretive income [P].
  • Further tariff refunds. No receivable is recorded for future IEEPA refunds, so any further recoveries are upside [P].
  • Strategic optionality. A debt-free, margin-improving clean brand at an EV of about USD 0.47B could attract strategic buyers. This is analyst inference; nothing is reported [A].

Threats

  • Big-CPG consolidation. Kimberly-Clark's pending acquisition of Kenvue would combine Huggies with Johnson's and Aveeno Baby [P].
  • Private label and value-seeking in a weak consumer economy; the 10-K flags elasticity risk [P].
  • Tariff and trade policy volatility on China and Mexico sourcing. Refunds owed to manufacturers (USD 4.2M liability) show how complex this is [P].
  • Declining birth rates limit baby-category volume [P].
  • Product safety, labeling and class-action risk. Prior sunscreen, detergent, wipes and "plant-based" suits; recalls in 2017 and 2021 [P].
  • Butterblu litigation. A counter-suit alleges breach and interference; outcome uncertain [P].

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Key Developments

DateEventSignificance
14 Apr 2025Court preliminarily approves IPO securities class action settlementRemoves the main litigation overhang [P]
17 Apr 2025CFO Curtiss Bruce hired (employment agreement)Finance leadership transition [P]
7 May 2025Q1 FY2025: revenue USD 97.3M; net income USD 3.3M; adjusted EBITDA USD 6.9M; guidance reaffirmedPrior-year base inflated by retailer tariff pre-buys [P/S]
May 2025Insurers fund the settlement into escrowNo cash cost to Honest [P]
28 May 20252025 AGM; committee chair rotation (Hartung to Compensation; Bayne to NCG)Governance [P]
2 Jun 2025Bruce succeeds Loretta as CFO— [P]
Early Aug 2025Q2 FY2025: revenue USD 93.5M; net income USD 3.9M; cash USD 72M; 4–6% growth and USD 27–30M EBITDA guidance reaffirmedBefore the reset [P]
30 Jul 2025Final court approval of the about USD 27.5M IPO settlementSecurities case closed [P/S]
8 Sep 2025Disney Baby personal care collection launchedFirst licensed personal care line [P]
30 Oct 2025Board approves Powering Honest GrowthStrategic reset [P]
5 Nov 2025Q3 FY2025: revenue USD 92.6M (-6.7%); gross margin 37.0% (-140 bps); FY revenue guide cut to -3% to flat; EBITDA guide cut to USD 21–23M; exits about 20% of revenueStock fell to about USD 2.5–3.3 [P/S]
5 Nov 2025Termination notice to Butterblu; lawsuit filed (voluntarily dismissed 21 Nov after a temporary extension)Apparel exit [P]
6 Nov 2025Telsey cuts price target to USD 3 from USD 6Sentiment trough [S]
Nov 2025Customers told Honest.com sales end 28 Dec; app shut down; orders from 24 Nov are final saleDTC exit [S]
Dec 2025Notice to GEODIS terminating the PA warehouse effective 30 Jun 2026Network consolidation [P]
18 Dec 2025Agreement in principle to settle all derivative suits— [P]
31 Dec 2025Exits effective; stock closes FY2025 at USD 2.58— [P]
2 Jan 2026Honest files an updated federal complaint against ButterbluLitigation [P]
5 Feb 2026Toy Story Kids Personal Care launched at WalmartKids expansion [P]
11 Feb 2026Butterblu counter-sues in Los Angeles Superior CourtContingent exposure [P]
Feb 2026US Supreme Court invalidates certain IEEPA tariffsRefund opportunity [P]
20 Feb 2026First buyback approved (USD 25M); Severance Plan adoptedCapital return [P]
25 Feb 2026Q4/FY2025 results and 10-K: FY revenue USD 371.3M; organic +5.3%; Q4 net loss USD 23.6M; FY2026 guidance issuedReset complete [P]
Mar 2026Revolver amended (USD 35M, to 2029); Morgan Stanley Equal-Weight, price target USD 3 (4 Mar); ROTH conference (23 Mar)Liquidity; coverage [P/S]
9 Apr 2026DEF 14A filedEGC status ends after FY2026 [P]
Apr 2026First IEEPA refund claims filed with US Customs and Border Protection— [P]
6 May 2026Q1 FY2026: revenue USD 78.1M (-19.7%); organic +3.9%; record adjusted gross margin 43.5%; USD 11.3M of buybacks year-to-date at about USD 3.26Margin inflection [P/S]
21 May 20262026 AGMClass II directors up for election [P]
1 Jun 2026O5 apparel licence and USD 10M inventory saleAsset-light pivot [P]
14 Jun 2026New 10-year HQ leaseLong-term occupancy commitment [P]
30 Jun 2026PA warehouse closed; single-node network liveSavings ramp [P]
13 Jul 2026Derivative settlement (USD 1.2M, insured) gets final approval; Delaware and state cases dismissed 20 and 30 JulLegacy litigation closed [P]
29 Jul 2026Court partly grants and partly denies Butterblu's motion to dismissLitigation ongoing [P]
5 Aug 2026Q2 FY2026: organic +6.7%; consumption +7.7% vs category +2.3%; net income USD 10.7M; USD 11.9M IEEPA refunds; FY2026 outlook raised; buyback completePositive inflection [P/S]
6 and 13 Aug 2026Telsey raises price target to USD 5 (Market Perform); Morgan Stanley raises to USD 6 (Equal-Weight)Re-rating [S]
20 Aug 2026Announces Barclays (10 Sep) and Wells Fargo (23 Sep) consumer conferencesIR outreach [P]
Sep 2026Shares trade around USD 5.3–5.95 (USD 5.95 on 4 Sep; USD 5.32 on 17 Sep)About +50% over one year [S]
Expected early Nov 2026Q3 FY2026 results (date not yet announced in sources reviewed)Next catalyst

Product Offering

  • The Honest Company Inc.
    • Feminine Care

Financial Performance

Explore key financial metrics, segmented revenue, balance sheet health, and performance trends.

Revenue

10 charts
Income Statement: Revenue & Gross Profit: Revenue rose from USD 318.6 Mn in FY2021 to USD 371.3 Mn in FY2025.
The Honest Company Inc. — Income Statement: Revenue & Gross Profit
Series (USD Mn)FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025
Revenue318.6313.7344.4378.3371.3
Cost of revenue209.5221.3243.8233.7247.7
Gross profit109.292.3100.5144.7123.6

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