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Bayer Aktiengesellschaft (formerly Bayer AG)

Company Profile Analysis

Ticker: BAYN.DE

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Bayer Aktiengesellschaft - Healthcare showcase

Year Founded & Workforce

1863

88,000 Employees

Industry

Healthcare
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Bayer Aktiengesellschaft Overview

Bayer is a German life-science group with three businesses: Crop Science, Pharmaceuticals and Consumer Health. It is the world's largest combined seed, trait and crop-protection supplier, a mid-sized prescription-drug maker, and a top-five self-care company. Fiscal 2025 sales were EUR 45.6 billion. The 2018 purchase of Monsanto brought leading corn and soybean genetics but also glyphosate and PCB litigation, which has consumed well over EUR 10 billion in settlements and produced net losses in 2023, 2024 and 2025. Under CEO Bill Anderson the company has cut management layers, held the dividend at the legal minimum, and concentrated on four priorities: rebuilding the pharma pipeline, containing litigation, reducing debt and improving crop profitability. In 2026 a 7–2 U.S. Supreme Court ruling on federal pre-emption and a proposed USD 7.25 billion class settlement moved the litigation closer to resolution, though the settlement still awaits final court approval.


Company's own description. Bayer describes itself as a global enterprise with core competencies in the life-science fields of health care and nutrition, operating under the mission "Health for all, Hunger for none" (Annual Report 2025; press boilerplate 2026). Bayer AG is a holding company; operations sit in subsidiaries worldwide. In fiscal 2025 the Group had about 88,000 employees, sales of EUR 45.6 billion and R&D expenses of EUR 5.8 billion.

Independent characterisation. Bayer is best understood as three distinct businesses sharing a balance sheet, a brand and a legal liability.

Crop Science (47 percent of FY2025 sales) is an input supplier to farmers. It earns money from proprietary seed and biotech traits, from chemical and biological crop protection, and to a small extent from digital farming subscriptions. Seed and trait revenue carries royalty-like economics: Bayer licenses traits to other seed companies, and two licensing settlements with Corteva lifted results in Q4 2025 and Q1 2026. The business is strongly seasonal, with Northern Hemisphere sales concentrated in the first half and Latin American sales in the second.

Pharmaceuticals (39 percent of sales) discovers, develops and sells prescription medicines, concentrated in cardiovascular and renal disease, oncology, women's health and ophthalmology, plus a radiology unit selling contrast agents and injector hardware. Revenue is almost entirely product sales, with some licence income (for example U.S. Xarelto royalties from Johnson & Johnson, and Eylea outside the United States under a collaboration with Regeneron). The division is in the middle of a patent transition: Xarelto and Eylea are declining while Nubeqa and Kerendia are growing quickly.

Consumer Health (13 percent of sales) sells non-prescription brands through pharmacies, mass retail and e-commerce. It is a branded consumer-goods model with stable margins and low capital intensity.

Revenue model mix. Bayer does not disclose a product/service/licensing split. On the evidence of the Annual Report 2025, the large majority of revenue is product sales; licensing income is embedded in Crop Science seed and trait lines and in Pharmaceuticals; subscription revenue (Climate FieldView, radiology software) is immaterial at Group level. An exact percentage split is not publicly disclosed.

Value-chain position. Bayer is a research-based originator and manufacturer. It owns discovery, development, active-ingredient and finished-product manufacturing, and commercial organisations, and sells through distributors, retailers, wholesalers, hospitals and pharmacies rather than directly to end users in most markets.

Customers and end markets. Farmers, agricultural retailers and distributors, and seed licensees (Crop Science); wholesalers, hospitals, physicians, pharmacy chains, governments and payers (Pharmaceuticals); pharmacies, supermarkets, drugstores and online retailers (Consumer Health).

Strategy

Stated strategy. Management frames the plan around four priorities set out at the March 2024 Capital Markets Day and repeated in 2026: rebuild the pharmaceuticals pipeline, contain the U.S. litigation, reduce debt, and implement Dynamic Shared Ownership. In March 2026 the CEO described the company as showing strong progress but still working on a comprehensive turnaround.

2026 guidance (currency-adjusted, at 2025 average rates). Sales EUR 45 to 47 billion; EBITDA before special items EUR 9.6 to 10.1 billion; core EPS EUR 4.30 to 4.80 on the new definition; free cash flow minus EUR 2.5 to minus 1.5 billion; net financial debt EUR 29 to 30 billion (lowered in August 2026 from EUR 32 to 33 billion). At updated exchange rates in May 2026: sales EUR 44.5 to 46.5 billion, EBITDA before special items EUR 9.4 to 9.9 billion, core EPS EUR 4.10 to 4.60. Divisional guidance: Crop Science sales 0 to plus 3 percent and margin 20 to 22 percent; Pharmaceuticals 0 to plus 3 percent and margin 23 to 25 percent; Consumer Health 0 to plus 4 percent and margin 22 to 24 percent.

Products & Services

Pricing is not disclosed by product; prescription prices are set by country and payer, and crop inputs are priced by region and season. Launch years for older products are analyst recollection.

Pharmaceuticals

ProductFY2024FY2025
Eylea (EUR M)3,3063,110
Nubeqa (EUR M)1,5232,385
Xarelto (EUR M)3,4802,344
Mirena/Kyleena/Jaydess (EUR M)1,2671,366
Kerendia (EUR M)463829
Adempas (EUR M)721745
YAZ/Yasmin/Yasminelle (EUR M)658700
Kovaltry/Jivi (EUR M)687613
CT Fluid Delivery (EUR M)562583
Ultravist (EUR M)490561
Aspirin Cardio (EUR M)634516
Adalat (EUR M)489503
Gadovist family (EUR M)428415
Stivarga (EUR M)463338
Glucobay (EUR M)166177
Total best-selling products (EUR M)15,33715,185
ProductDescription and target customerStatus and notes
Eylea / Eylea 8 mg (aflibercept)Anti-VEGF eye injection for wet AMD, diabetic macular edema and related conditions; ophthalmologists. Bayer holds rights outside the United States (Regeneron in the U.S.)FY2025 sales down 3.7 percent Fx & p adj. on price cuts and biosimilars; the 8 mg version was about 26 percent of Eylea sales in FY2025, about 38 percent in Q4 2025 and about half in Q2 2026
Nubeqa (darolutamide)Androgen-receptor inhibitor for prostate cancer; oncologists and urologists; co-developed with OrionUp 62.4 percent Fx & p adj. in FY2025; U.S. price affected by the Inflation Reduction Act
Xarelto (rivaroxaban)Oral Factor Xa anticoagulant; marketed in the U.S. by Johnson & Johnson, with royalties booked as salesDown 31.6 percent Fx & p adj. in FY2025 on generics, mainly Europe and Japan
Kerendia (finerenone)Non-steroidal mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist for chronic kidney disease with type 2 diabetes and for heart failureUp 88.0 percent Fx & p adj. in FY2025, led by the U.S. and China; heart-failure indication launched 2025
Mirena / Kyleena / Jaydess (Skyla) and JadelleLong-acting reversible contraceptives (hormonal IUS; implant)Up 12.5 percent Fx & p adj. in FY2025; this is the business moved into the entity in which Apollo is investing EUR 3.0 billion
YAZ / Yasmin / YasminelleOral contraceptivesUp 10.7 percent Fx & p adj., driven by China
Adempas (riociguat)Pulmonary hypertension; sGC collaboration with Merck & Co.Up 6.6 percent Fx & p adj.
Verquvo (vericiguat)sGC stimulator for heart failure; Merck & Co. collaborationSales not disclosed among top products
Kovaltry / JiviRecombinant Factor VIII for hemophilia ADown 7.5 percent Fx & p adj. on competition
Stivarga (regorafenib), Nexavar (sorafenib), Xofigo (radium-223), Vitrakvi (larotrectinib)Oncology portfolioStivarga down 24.5 percent on China volume-based procurement; others not separately disclosed in FY2025 top list
Lynkuet (elinzanetant)Hormone-free NK-1,3 antagonist for menopausal vasomotor symptomsLaunched 2025; FDA priority review for an additional indication announced September 28, 2026
Beyonttra (acoramidis)Transthyretin stabiliser for ATTR cardiomyopathy; European rights licensed from BridgeBioLaunched in Europe 2025
Hyrnuo (sevabertinib)Oral therapy for previously treated advanced HER2-mutant non-small cell lung cancerLaunched late 2025
Aspirin Cardio, Adalat, GlucobayMature cardiovascular and diabetes brands, China-weightedAspirin Cardio down 14.9 percent on China procurement policy
Radiology: Ultravist, Gadovist, CT Fluid Delivery (Stellant family), informaticsContrast media, power injectors and software for CT and MRI; hospitals and imaging centresUltravist up 19.7 percent and CT Fluid Delivery up 7.5 percent Fx & p adj.

Best-selling products (EUR million)

Source: Bayer Annual Report 2025. These 15 products were 85 percent of divisional sales in both years.

Late-stage pipeline. Asundexian (oral Factor XIa inhibitor for secondary stroke prevention) has U.S. and Japanese filings accepted, with FDA priority review (May 19, 2026). BlueRock's bemdaneprocel (cell therapy for Parkinson's disease) is in Phase III (analyst recollection). BlueRock's lemiretprocel (OpCT-001) for primary photoreceptor diseases received FDA and EMA orphan designations (September 30, 2026). AskBio runs gene-therapy programmes. Perfuse Therapeutics, acquired June 12, 2026, adds programmes for ischemia-induced eye diseases.

Crop Science

Product lineNamed offerings (analyst recollection unless noted)Target customer and notes
Corn Seed & TraitsDEKALB and regional seed brands; SmartStax PRO, VT4PRO and Trecepta traits; Preceon Smart Corn System (short-stature corn)Row-crop farmers in the Americas, Europe, Asia and Africa. Largest and fastest-growing entity: up 13.2 percent Fx & p adj. in FY2025 (Annual Report 2025)
Soybean Seed & TraitsAsgrow; Roundup Ready 2 Xtend and XtendFlex; Intacta RR2 PRO and Intacta 2 Xtend (named in Annual Report 2025)U.S. sales fell in 2025 after the dicamba label was vacated; Latin America grew on Intacta 2 Xtend adoption
Cotton SeedDeltapine; Bollgard 3 XtendFlex; ThryvOnDown 22.9 percent Fx & p adj. in FY2025
Vegetable SeedsSeminis and De RuiterGrowers of open-field and protected vegetables; up 7.5 percent Fx & p adj.
HerbicidesRoundup and other glyphosate products; XtendiMax (dicamba); Adengo, Atlantis, Council and othersGlyphosate products were EUR 2,552 million in FY2025. The dicamba over-the-top label returned for the 2026 season (Half-Year Report 2026)
FungicidesFox Xpro, Xpro family, Prosaro, Luna, Nativo, DelaroDown 4.8 percent Fx & p adj. in FY2025
InsecticidesMovento (named in Annual Report 2025), Sivanto, Vayego, ConfidorDown 12.2 percent after the Movento registration expired in Europe
OtherCanola, rice, wheat and sorghum seed; seed treatments; industrial turf and ornamental (U.S.); digital farmingClimate FieldView digital platform; ForGround and carbon programmes

Bayer reported more than 470 new seed products and 350 crop-protection registrations in 2025 (Bayer corporate presentation, August 2026, as summarised by Quartr).

Consumer Health

CategoryFY2025 growth (Fx & p adj., %)Flagship brands (analyst recollection)Target customer
Nutritionals-3.9One A Day, Berocca, Supradyn, Elevit, RedoxonConsumers via pharmacy, mass retail and e-commerce
Allergy & Cold-3.0Claritin, Alka-Seltzer Plus, AfrinSeasonal demand; soft North American allergy season in 2025
Dermatology2.4Bepanthen, CanestenPharmacy-led
Pain & Cardio2.1Aspirin, AleveGlobal
Digestive Health3.7MiraLAX, Alka-Seltzer, Rennie, IberogastGlobal

Source for growth rates: Bayer FY2025 results press release, March 4, 2026. Category sales in EUR were not captured.

Financial Narrative

All figures IFRS, EUR million unless stated. FY2024 and FY2025 are taken from the Annual Report 2025 statements. FY2021–FY2023 line items are analyst recollection of the respective annual reports.

Income statement

FY2025 reported EBITDA is derived as EBIT plus depreciation, amortisation and net impairments of EUR 2,785 million from the cash flow statement; FY2024 likewise.

Margins (%)

Revenue CAGR FY2021–FY2025: about 0.8 percent a year. Sales peaked in 2022 on glyphosate pricing and have fallen each year since in reported terms, with currency taking EUR 1,742 million off 2025 sales.

Balance sheet

Cash flow

Dividends paid for FY2021–FY2023 are computed as the prior-year dividend per share times 982.42 million shares; FY2024–FY2025 are the cash-flow-statement lines. Bayer's only share purchases are small employee-plan purchases (EUR 16 million in 2024, EUR 14 million in 2025). Bayer's free cash flow definition also deducts net interest paid.

Ratios (analyst-computed from the tables above)

ROIC uses EBIT before special items (EUR 5,436 million in 2024 and EUR 5,108 million in 2025, derived by adding back disclosed special charges) over average equity plus net financial debt. FY2021 ROE and ROA use FY2020 equity of EUR 30,699 million and total assets of EUR 117,046 million (analyst recollection). The cash conversion cycle uses year-end balances: 2025 receivable days 73, inventory days 240, payable days 138.

Commentary.

Revenue: The 2022 peak reflected exceptional glyphosate prices. Normalisation of those prices in 2023, generic pressure in crop protection, the Xarelto patent expiry and a stronger euro pulled reported sales down 10 percent from 2022 to 2025. Underlying growth was positive in 2025 (1.1 percent Fx & p adj.), with corn seed, Nubeqa and Kerendia offsetting Xarelto, insecticides and soybean and cotton seed.

Profitability: EBITDA before special items has fallen for three years, from EUR 13.5 billion to EUR 9.7 billion, and the margin from 26.6 to 21.2 percent. In 2025 currency cost EUR 491 million of EBITDA. Pharma earnings fell because launch spending rose while Xarelto declined. Reported EBIT has been dominated by special items: goodwill and intangible impairments in Crop Science in 2023 and 2024, and EUR 6,185 million of net special charges in 2025, mainly litigation. Crop Science alone booked EUR 5,520 million of litigation charges in 2025, partly offset by EUR 1,843 million of net impairment reversals after the division revised its long-term plan.

Balance sheet: Equity fell by EUR 6.0 billion in 2025 to EUR 26.1 billion because of the net loss and currency translation. Goodwill and other intangibles still total EUR 48.7 billion, 47 percent of assets and almost twice equity. Other provisions rose from EUR 11.2 billion to EUR 15.8 billion (current plus noncurrent), reflecting the class settlement. Net financial debt fell 8.5 percent to EUR 29.8 billion, helped by EUR 1,370 million of currency effects.

Cash flow: Free cash flow of EUR 2.1 billion in 2025 was 33 percent lower than 2024 on litigation and incentive payouts. Management guides to negative free cash flow of EUR 1.5 to 2.5 billion in 2026 because of about EUR 5 billion of litigation payments. H1 2026 free cash flow was about minus EUR 2.7 billion (minus EUR 2,320 million in Q1 and minus EUR 371 million in Q2).

Leverage: Net debt to EBITDA before special items has been at or above 3.0x for two years. The Apollo investment and hybrid issuance are the main tools being used to hold year-end 2026 net financial debt at EUR 29 to 30 billion despite negative free cash flow.

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Financial Detail

Revenue by Segment

SegmentFY2023FY2024FY2025

Crop Science sales (EUR Mn)

23,27022,25921,622

Pharmaceuticals sales (EUR Mn)

18,08118,13117,829

Consumer Health sales (EUR Mn)

6,0275,8705,802

Reconciliation sales (EUR Mn, derived)

259346322

Group sales (EUR Mn)

47,63746,60645,575

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Results by Segment

SegmentFY2023FY2024FY2025

Crop Science EBITDA bsi (EUR Mn)

5,0384,3254,188

Pharmaceuticals EBITDA bsi (EUR Mn)

5,1744,7224,525

Consumer Health EBITDA bsi (EUR Mn)

1,4111,3661,341

Reconciliation EBITDA bsi (EUR Mn, derived)

83-290-385

Group EBITDA bsi (EUR Mn)

11,70610,1239,669

Segment Margins & Growth (%)

SegmentFY2023FY2024FY2025

Crop Science margin (%)

21.719.419.4

Pharmaceuticals margin (%)

28.626.025.4

Consumer Health margin (%)

23.423.323.1

Group margin (%)

24.621.721.2

Results by Segment — Crop Science EBIT

SegmentFY2023FY2024FY2025

Crop Science EBIT (EUR Mn)

—-2,756-2,532

Pharmaceuticals EBIT (EUR Mn)

—2,7903,127

Group EBIT (EUR Mn)

612-71-1,077

Segment Overview

SegmentReported growth (%)Fx & p adj. growth (%)Share of Group sales (%)

Crop Science

-2.91.147.4

Pharmaceuticals

-1.71.739.1

Consumer Health

-1.2-0.112.7

Reconciliation

——0.7

Group

-2.21.1100.0

Revenue by Segment (FY2024–FY2025)

Business entityFY2024FY2025

Corn Seed & Traits (EUR Mn)

6,5597,149

Herbicides (EUR Mn)

5,4935,279

of which glyphosate-based (EUR Mn)

2,6722,552

Fungicides (EUR Mn)

3,1572,888

Soybean Seed & Traits (EUR Mn)

2,4752,214

Insecticides (EUR Mn)

1,6401,369

Vegetable Seeds (EUR Mn)

772788

Cotton Seed (EUR Mn)

585442

Other (EUR Mn)

1,5781,493

Income Statement and Per-Share Data

MetricFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025

Net sales (EUR Mn)

44,08150,73947,63746,60645,575

Gross profit (EUR Mn)

26,68130,86827,91125,33626,778

EBIT / operating income (EUR Mn)

3,3537,012612-71-1,077

EBITDA reported (EUR Mn)

6,40913,51510,6328,7121,708

EBITDA before special items (EUR Mn)

11,17913,51311,70610,1239,669

Income before income taxes (EUR Mn)

2,0464,670-1,621-2,334-3,129

Net income attributable to stockholders (EUR Mn)

1,0004,150-2,941-2,552-3,620

EPS basic (EUR)

1.024.22-2.99-2.60-3.68

EPS diluted (EUR)

1.024.22-2.99-2.60-3.68

Core EPS (EUR, old definition)

6.517.946.395.054.91

Dividend per share (EUR)

2.002.400.110.110.11

Margin Analysis (%)

MetricFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025

Gross margin (%)

60.560.858.654.458.8

EBIT margin (%)

7.613.81.3-0.2-2.4

EBITDA bsi margin (%)

25.426.624.621.721.2

Net margin (%)

2.38.2-6.2-5.5-7.9

Balance Sheet

MetricFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025

Total assets (EUR Mn)

120,241124,880116,261110,850104,541

Cash and cash equivalents (EUR Mn)

4,5645,1715,9076,1916,671

Financial liabilities, current (EUR Mn)

———5,3135,746

Financial liabilities, noncurrent (EUR Mn)

———35,49831,833

Total financial liabilities (EUR Mn)

———40,81137,579

Net financial debt (EUR Mn)

33,13731,80934,49832,62629,843

Total equity (EUR Mn)

33,16838,92633,03732,04526,063

Goodwill (EUR Mn)

40,10639,64832,29930,01628,061

Other intangible assets (EUR Mn)

———22,11220,622

Working capital: current assets less current liabilities (EUR Mn)

———5,492326

Cash Flow

MetricFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025

Net cash from operating activities (EUR Mn)

5,0897,0935,1177,3685,930

Capital expenditure on PP&E and intangibles (EUR Mn)

2,6112,9492,7512,7782,487

Free cash flow, Bayer definition (EUR Mn)

1,4153,1111,3113,1072,084

Dividends paid (EUR Mn)

1,9651,9652,358131127

Share buybacks (EUR Mn)

00000

Returns & Leverage Ratios (%) and Financial Ratios (x)

MetricFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025

Return on equity (%)

3.111.5-8.2-7.8-12.5

Return on assets (%)

0.83.4-2.4-2.2-3.4

Pre-tax ROIC on EBIT bsi (%)

———8.28.5

Current ratio (x)

———1.191.01

Financial liabilities to equity (x)

———1.271.44

Net financial debt to EBITDA bsi (x)

2.962.352.953.223.09

EBITDA bsi to financial expenses (x)

———3.83.8

Asset turnover (x)

0.370.410.400.410.42

Cash conversion cycle (days)

———172176

Revenue by Region

RegionFY2024FY2025

Europe/Middle East/Africa (EUR Mn)

4,5214,493

North America (EUR Mn)

9,2688,890

Asia/Pacific (EUR Mn)

2,2192,103

Latin America (EUR Mn)

6,2516,136

Revenue by Region — Europe/Middle East/Africa

RegionFY2024FY2025

Europe/Middle East/Africa (EUR Mn)

7,0536,409

North America (EUR Mn)

5,0895,843

Asia/Pacific (EUR Mn)

4,9454,587

Latin America (EUR Mn)

1,044990

Division and Region Details

Division and regionReportedFx & p adj.

Crop Science – EMEA

-0.61.4

Crop Science – North America

-4.1-1.2

Crop Science – Asia/Pacific

-5.20.3

Crop Science – Latin America

-1.84.5

Pharmaceuticals – EMEA

-9.1-8.4

Pharmaceuticals – North America

14.819.7

Pharmaceuticals – Asia/Pacific

-7.2-3.8

Pharmaceuticals – Latin America

-5.27.7

Market Valuation and Per-Share Data

MetricFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025

Year-end market capitalisation (EUR Bn)

46.1747.4833.0418.9736.36

Year-end share price (EUR, derived from 982.42 million shares)

47.0048.3333.6319.3137.01

Dividend per share (EUR)

2.002.400.110.110.11

Performance Measure Details

Performance measureValueBasis

Latest close

EUR 44.69 (October 2, 2026)

Investing.com

52-week range

EUR 25.78 to EUR 53.92

Investing.com

1-year change

About plus 53 percent

Investing.com

Versus end-2023 (about 3 years)

About plus 33 percent

Derived

Versus end-2021 (about 5 years)

About minus 5 percent

Derived

2026 year to date

About plus 21 percent

Derived from end-2025 price

Valuation Snapshot

MultipleValueInputs

Market capitalisation

EUR 43.9 billion

982.42 million shares

Enterprise value (simple)

About EUR 77.5 billion

Market cap plus net financial debt of EUR 33.6 billion at June 30, 2026; excludes pensions and litigation provisions

EV / EBITDA bsi FY2025

8.0x

EUR 9,669 million

EV / Sales FY2025

1.7x

EUR 45,575 million

Price / core EPS FY2025

9.1x (9.8x on the new definition)

EUR 4.91; EUR 4.57

Price / core EPS 2026 guidance midpoint

9.8x

EUR 4.55 currency-adjusted

Price / book

1.7x

Equity attributable to stockholders EUR 25,947 million

P/E on reported EPS

Not meaningful

Net loss

Credit Ratings

AgencyLong-termShort-termOutlook

S&P Global Ratings

BBB

A-2

Negative

Moody's

Baa2

P-2

Negative

Fitch Ratings

BBB

F3

Negative

Analyst Conclusions

Management guidance. For 2026: currency-adjusted sales of EUR 45 to 47 billion (0 to plus 3 percent), EBITDA before special items of EUR 9.6 to 10.1 billion, core EPS of EUR 4.30 to 4.80, free cash flow of minus EUR 2.5 to minus 1.5 billion and net financial debt of EUR 29 to 30 billion. H1 2026 delivered sales of EUR 24,277 million (plus 3.3 percent Fx & p adj.), EBITDA before special items of about EUR 6.6 billion (plus 6.6 percent), core EPS of EUR 3.66 and net income of EUR 2,982 million. The first half therefore carries about two-thirds of full-year guided EBITDA, consistent with crop seasonality.

Management's own framing implies flat 2026 earnings, pharma growth resuming later in the decade, and crop margins rising toward the mid-20s by 2029.

Bull case

  1. Litigation is close to being capped. Durnell removes the main theory in most cases, and the class settlement, if approved, covers future claims too. Annual special charges of EUR 5 to 6 billion would stop.

  2. The pharma transition is working. Nubeqa and Kerendia added about EUR 1.2 billion of sales in 2025, nearly matching the EUR 1.1 billion Xarelto decline, and asundexian could add a large new franchise.

  3. Crop margins have room. Q1 2026 crop EBITDA rose 17.9 percent and Q2 rose 30.2 percent; reaching a mid-20s margin on EUR 22 billion of sales would add more than EUR 1 billion of EBITDA.

Bear case

  1. The settlement is not final. A rejection or material change by the Missouri court, an adverse verdict on non-warning theories, or an unfavourable EPA glyphosate assessment would reopen the liability.

  2. The balance sheet is stretched. Net financial debt was EUR 33.6 billion at mid-2026, free cash flow is negative, all rating outlooks are negative, and equity has been supported with hybrids and a structured minority sale of a core pharma asset.

  3. Core earnings are still falling. EBITDA before special items has declined three years in a row, Eylea erosion accelerated to 27 percent in Q2 2026, and pharma margins are guided lower again.

Catalysts and monitorables for the next 12 months

Analyst verdict. Bayer in October 2026 is a company whose operating businesses are improving while its accounts remain dominated by a liability it bought eight years ago. The operating evidence is reasonably good. Corn seed is growing at double-digit rates, the two lead pharma launches are compounding fast enough to absorb the Xarelto expiry, Consumer Health margins have held through a weak market, and first-half 2026 earnings were ahead of the prior year. The legal evidence is better than at any point since 2018: the Supreme Court has accepted the pre-emption argument Bayer pursued for years, and a nationwide settlement covering future claims is before a state judge with a special master's recommendation largely in its favour.

The financial evidence is weaker. Bayer has lost money for three consecutive years, will burn cash in 2026, carries net debt above three times EBITDA, and has funded itself this year with hybrids and by selling a minority interest in its contraceptives franchise. Those are the actions of a management protecting an investment-grade rating, and they have a cost: hybrid coupons of around six percent and a partner with a claim on a growing asset.

At roughly eight times EBITDA and nine to ten times core earnings, the shares already reflect a good part of the legal progress; they have more than doubled from the 2024 low. The remaining upside depends on three things arriving in sequence: final settlement approval, asundexian approval, and visible deleveraging in 2027. The main risk is that the first of these slips or fails, because the balance sheet has little room for another round of provisions. On the evidence available, the turnaround is real but incomplete, and the next court order matters more to equity value than the next quarter's earnings.


Compilation notes. Primary sources consulted on October 4, 2026: Bayer Annual Report 2025 (income statement, statement of financial position, cash flow statement, Crop Science and Pharmaceuticals divisional reports); Bayer press releases of November 6, 2025, March 4, May 12, May 19, June 25, July 10, August 4, September 23 and October 2, 2026; Q1 2026 Quarterly Statement and Half-Year Financial Report 2026 (extracts); Bayer debt investor page; U.S. Supreme Court opinion in Monsanto Co. v. Durnell. Secondary sources: Reuters, Quartr, MarketBeat, StockAnalysis, Investing.com, Stockopedia and legal-news coverage of the class settlement. Items not captured and flagged in the text: FY2025 Board compensation, verified top-10 shareholders, Consumer Health and Group regional sales, country-level sales, FY2023 regional data, patent counts, CDP scores, peer valuation multiples, analyst consensus and the debt maturity ladder.

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Executive Leadership

Executive Leadership Team

NameRoleOn Board sinceBackground

Bill Anderson

Chairman of the Board of Management (CEO)

April 2023; CEO since June 1, 2023

Former CEO of Roche Pharmaceuticals and of Genentech; chemical engineer by training (analyst recollection). Contract extended by the Supervisory Board (reported at the April 24, 2026 AGM)

Dr. Judith Hartmann

Chief Financial Officer

March 1, 2026; CFO since June 1, 2026

Former CFO and deputy CEO of ENGIE; former Group CFO of Bertelsmann; earlier roles at General Electric; operating partner at Sandbrook Capital; master's and Ph.D. from Vienna University of Economics and Business; board roles at Marsh McLennan and Ørsted, and at Unilever 2015–2024 (Bayer release, November 6, 2025)

Stefan Oelrich

Head of Pharmaceuticals

November 2018

Previously at Sanofi; contract extended, reported through January 1, 2029 (AGM coverage, April 2026)

Rodrigo Santos

Head of Crop Science

January 2022

Career at Monsanto and Bayer in Latin America (analyst recollection)

Julio Triana

Head of Consumer Health

May 2024

Long Bayer career in pharmaceuticals and consumer health (analyst recollection)

Competitive Landscape

Competitors by Segment

SegmentCompetitorFY2024 revenuePositioning versus Bayer

Crop Science

Syngenta Group

About USD 28.8 billion (group, incl. non-crop units)

Larger in crop protection; Bayer larger in seeds and traits

Crop Science

Corteva Agriscience

About USD 16.9 billion

Closest seed and trait rival in North American corn and soybeans; also a Bayer trait licensee

Crop Science

BASF Agricultural Solutions

About EUR 9.8 billion

Crop protection, with seed assets bought from Bayer in 2018

Crop Science

FMC, UPL, ADAMA, Nufarm

USD 4.3 billion (FMC)

Crop protection specialists and generics; the source of pricing pressure Bayer cites

Pharmaceuticals

Novartis, Roche, Merck & Co., Pfizer, AstraZeneca, Sanofi

USD 50 to 64 billion each

Each roughly three times Bayer's pharma sales

Pharmaceuticals

Bristol Myers Squibb/Pfizer (Eliquis), Johnson & Johnson and Bristol Myers Squibb (milvexian)

—

Anticoagulant rivals; milvexian is the competing Factor XIa programme

Pharmaceuticals

Roche (Vabysmo), Amgen, Sandoz, Samsung Bioepis

—

Eylea competitors, branded and biosimilar

Pharmaceuticals

Astellas (Veozah)

—

Menopause competitor to Lynkuet

Radiology

GE HealthCare, Bracco, Guerbet

—

Contrast media and injectors

Consumer Health

Haleon, Kenvue, Opella, Procter & Gamble, Reckitt

GBP 11.2 billion (Haleon); USD 15.5 billion (Kenvue)

Bayer is a top-five player by sales

Peer Comparison FY2024

CompanyFiscal yearRevenueGrowthMarginR&D intensity

Bayer AG

FY2025

EUR 45.6 billion

plus 1.1 percent Fx & p adj.

EBITDA bsi 21.2 percent

12.7 percent of sales

Corteva

FY2024

About USD 16.9 billion

About minus 2 percent

Operating EBITDA about 20 percent

About 8 percent

Novartis

FY2024

About USD 50.3 billion

About plus 12 percent constant currency

Core operating margin about 39 percent

About 19 to 20 percent

Haleon

FY2024

About GBP 11.2 billion

About plus 5 percent organic

Adjusted operating margin about 22 percent

About 3 percent

Company Snapshot

$51,381.1M

Revenue

88,000

Employees

1863

Founded

Leverkusen, Germany

Headquarters

SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Corn Seed & Traits sales rose 13.2 percent Fx & p adj. to EUR 7,149 million in FY2025, the largest and fastest-growing crop entity (Annual Report 2025).
  • Nubeqa sales reached EUR 2,385 million (plus 62.4 percent) and Kerendia EUR 829 million (plus 88.0 percent) in FY2025.
  • Consumer Health held a 23.1 percent EBITDA margin in a weak market, within 0.3 points of the 2023 level.
  • A 7–2 Supreme Court ruling on June 25, 2026 established federal pre-emption of label-based failure-to-warn claims.
  • Operating cash flow stayed positive at EUR 5.9 billion in 2025 despite litigation payments.
  • Investment-grade ratings from all three agencies (BBB / Baa2 / BBB) and demonstrated market access: USD 5 billion of bonds, EUR 2 billion of hybrids and EUR 3 billion of Apollo equity in 2026.
  • MSCI ESG rating of AA for the first time and removal of the Sustainalytics red flag at end-2025.

Weaknesses

  • Net losses three years running: minus EUR 2,941 million, minus EUR 2,552 million and minus EUR 3,620 million (FY2023–FY2025).
  • EBITDA before special items down 28 percent from EUR 13.5 billion in 2022 to EUR 9.7 billion in 2025.
  • Net financial debt of EUR 33.6 billion at June 30, 2026, above the year-end 2025 level, with all three rating outlooks negative.
  • Goodwill and intangibles of EUR 48.7 billion against equity of EUR 26.1 billion at December 31, 2025.
  • Dividend held at the EUR 0.11 legal minimum for FY2023, FY2024 and FY2025.
  • Pharmaceuticals EBITDA margin down from 28.6 percent (2023) to 25.4 percent (2025), with 23 to 25 percent guided for 2026.
  • European pharmaceuticals sales down 8.4 percent Fx & p adj. in 2025.

Opportunities

  • Asundexian: FDA priority review granted May 19, 2026 on a 26 percent stroke-risk reduction without added major bleeding.
  • Crop Science Five-Year Framework targets a mid-20s EBITDA margin by 2029 from 19.4 percent in 2025.
  • Eylea 8 mg was about half of Eylea sales in Q2 2026, which slows erosion from biosimilars.
  • Dicamba label reinstatement for the 2026 season restores a soybean and cotton trait system that cost sales in 2025.
  • Final approval of the class settlement would cap most current and future Roundup claims within a USD 7.25 billion programme.
  • U.S. pharma share at 35 percent of divisional sales with a stated aim to double U.S. sales by 2030.
  • EUR 2 billion of organisational savings due by end-2026.

Threats

  • Judge Boyer has not ruled on final approval; more than 100 class members objected, and he could require changes or reject the deal.
  • A Missouri trial that opened September 29, 2026 is testing non-warning theories that may survive Durnell.
  • About EUR 5 billion of litigation cash outflow in 2026, producing negative free cash flow.
  • EPA's updated human health risk assessment for glyphosate, expected in late 2026, could change the regulatory basis the Supreme Court relied on.
  • Xarelto sales fell 31.6 percent in 2025 and Eylea fell 27 percent in Q2 2026.
  • U.S. government pressure on drug prices and tariffs, cited in coverage of the Ohio investment.
  • Currency: a EUR 1,742 million sales headwind in 2025 and EUR 886 million in Q1 2026 alone.

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Key Developments

DateEventSignificance
April 2025Monsanto petitioned the U.S. Supreme Court in Durnell; AGM approved an authorisation to raise equity capital if needed for litigation (analyst recollection)Opened the pre-emption route
July 2025FDA approved Kerendia for heart failure (analyst recollection)Expanded the addressable population
End of July 2025Bayer raised its currency-adjusted 2025 outlookFirst upgrade under the current CEO
October 2025Lynkuet approved in the United States (analyst recollection)New women's health franchise
October 28–30, 2025Press reports of Avelox sale to HSGMature-brand divestment
November 6, 2025Judith Hartmann named future CFOSuccession for Wolfgang Nickl
November 2025Q3 2025 results: sales EUR 9.66 billion, net loss EUR 963 million on litigation chargesProvisions building
November 23, 2025Asundexian met primary efficacy and safety endpoints in OCEANIC-STROKEPotential first-in-class Factor XIa launch
January 2026Supreme Court agreed to hear Durnell; soybean licensing dispute with Corteva resolvedLegal and earnings catalysts
February 2, 16 and 24, 2026Avelox, Ventavis and Actron (Mexico) divestments completedPortfolio pruning; EUR 250 million for Avelox
February 2026Proposed USD 7.25 billion nationwide Roundup class settlement announcedCovers current and future non-Hodgkin lymphoma claims
March 1, 2026Hartmann joined the Board of ManagementTransition
March 4, 2026FY2025 results: net loss EUR 3.62 billion; dividend EUR 0.11; MSCI AA ratingGuidance for negative 2026 free cash flow
March 4, 2026Missouri court granted preliminary approval of the class settlementNotice and opt-out process began
April 16, 2026OCEANIC-STROKE published in the New England Journal of MedicineSupports filings
April 24, 2026AGM: Smits and Stern proposed for the Supervisory Board; boards ratifiedGovernance refresh
April 27, 2026Supreme Court oral argument in DurnellDecision followed in June
May 12, 2026Q1 2026: sales EUR 13,405 million, EBITDA bsi EUR 4,453 million, net income EUR 2,763 million, free cash flow minus EUR 2,320 millionCrop Science margin 39.9 percent
May 2026Agreement to acquire Perfuse Therapeutics (up to USD 2.45 billion)Ophthalmology pipeline beyond Eylea
May 19, 2026FDA and Japan accepted asundexian filings; FDA priority reviewPossible approval within months
June 1, 2026Hartmann became CFOLeadership change
June 4, 2026Class settlement opt-out deadlineFixed before the Supreme Court ruling
June 12, 2026Perfuse acquisition closedCompleted
June 25, 2026Supreme Court ruled 7–2 that FIFRA pre-empts Durnell's failure-to-warn claimRemoves the main legal theory in most Roundup suits
July 10, 2026Apollo EUR 3.0 billion investment in LARC entity signedLowers year-end net debt guidance
Mid-2026USD 5 billion of bonds placed (per Bayer's September 23 release)Funding for maturities and litigation
August 4, 2026Q2 2026: sales EUR 10,872 million, EBITDA bsi EUR 2,144 million, net income EUR 219 million, net financial debt EUR 33,647 million; outlook confirmedNet debt guidance cut to EUR 29–30 billion
August 27, 2026Eighth Circuit dismissed objectors' attempt to move the settlement to federal courtCleared the way for the hearing
September 4, 2026Special master recommended denying most challenges to the settlementFavourable procedural step
September 14, 2026Fairness hearing before Judge Timothy Boyer, St. Louis; more than 100 class members objected; decision reservedFinal approval pending
September 23, 2026EUR 2 billion hybrid bonds placed (5.75 percent non-call six; 6.25 percent non-call nine)Hybrids outstanding EUR 6.55 billion
September 28, 2026FDA priority review for an additional Lynkuet indicationLabel expansion
September 29, 2026New Roundup jury trial opened in Missouri with three plaintiffs arguing inadequate testingTests which claims survive Durnell
October 1, 2026Dr. Christoph Koenen appointed Chief Medical OfficerPharma leadership
October 2, 2026USD 2.2 billion Ohio manufacturing site announcedU.S. expansion

Financial Performance

Explore key financial metrics, segmented revenue, balance sheet health, and performance trends.

Revenue

6 charts
Revenue by Segment: Crop Science sales fell from EUR 23,270 Mn in FY2023 to EUR 21,622 Mn in FY2025.
Bayer Aktiengesellschaft — Revenue by Segment
Series (EUR Mn)FY2023FY2024FY2025
Crop Science sales23,27022,25921,622
Pharmaceuticals sales18,08118,13117,829
Consumer Health sales6,0275,8705,802
Reconciliation sales259346322
Group sales47,63746,60645,575

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